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Arthur Hayes Clarifies: Ethena’s Yield Mechanism Unique from Terra’s Collapsed UST Stablecoin

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The stablecoin initiative USDe by Ethena Labs has seen notable adoption, with its market cap surging by over 40% in the last week and by 400% in the last month, reaching $840 million. Following the setback of the Terra ecosystem’s downfall, concerns have been raised within the community about the launch of USDe.

However, Arthur Hayes is optimistic, seeing Ethena as the leading contender in the crypto space to deliver a synthetic USD based on a public blockchain.

USDe is not UST

Ethena Labs introduced its USDe synthetic dollar on the public mainnet on February 19.

The launch sparked apprehension among investors due to the Ethereum-based synthetic dollar offering a 27.6% annual percentage yield (APY), surpassing the 20% yield provided by Anchor Protocol on Terra’s UST prior to the collapse of the algorithmic stablecoin issuer in May 2022.

Hayes clarified that the method by which USDe generates yield differs entirely from that of UST.

In his latest blog post, the BitMEX founder explained that Ethena utilizes two assets to generate yield: ETH staking yield and positive perp swap funding. This combination is responsible for generating the yield of USDe, which is independent of the value of Ethena’s governance token. Therefore, USDe and UST generate yield through distinct mechanisms.

“As people come to believe that the USDe yield isn’t fugazi, USDe in circulation will grow. The next step is owning a piece of the kingdom. That is where the forthcoming Ethena governance token comes into play.”

Different Risks in UST and USDT

Hayes highlighted that Ethena carries exchange counterparty risk as it is not decentralized and does not aspire to be so. Instead, it maintains short perp swap positions on centralized derivative exchanges.

In the event that these CEXs are unable to fulfill their obligations, such as paying out profits on swap positions or returning deposited collateral, Ethena could incur capital losses. To address this risk, Ethena employs third-party custodians, which is similar to how Tether’s counterparty risk lies with TradFi banks.

While stablecoin giant Tether faces counterparty risk with TradFi banks, Ethena’s risk lies with derivative CEXs and crypto custodians. However, it’s worth noting that these CEXs are investors in Ethena and have a vested interest in maintaining security and ensuring proper payouts on derivatives.

They are highly profitable entities within the crypto industry and are motivated to sustain this profitability. As Ethena expands, the open interest in derivatives grows, increasing fee income for CEXs, thereby aligning incentives for mutual success.

On the other hand, Tether’s product plays a role in facilitating the functioning of crypto capital markets, which inherently seeks to disintermediate TradFi banks.

However, traditional banks are not supportive of crypto and view Tether as a threat to their existence, Hayes said. Consequently, their incentives are not aligned with Tether’s success, and neither are those of regulators aligned with the success of Tether.

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Cryptocurrency

2 Bullish and 2 Bearish Shiba Inu Signals as the SHIB Price Consolidates

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TL;DR

  • Shiba Inu’s spike in large transactions and increase of investors currently in profit suggest the meme coin could be headed for further gains in the near future.
  • On the other hand, slight drop in network growth and a 50% decline in SHIB’s burn rate indicate potential challenges ahead for price momentum.

Showing Mixed Signals

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has been rallying in the past week, witnessing a price jump of around 9% for that period. However, it stalled its progress in the past few days and even flashed red on a daily scale. Currently, it trades at around $0.00001441 (per CoinGecko’s data).

SHIB Price
SHIB Price, Source: CoinGecko

There are two factors hinting that the meme coin may soon head north again. The first is the spike of large SHIB transactions volume (where each transaction exceeds $100,000). According to IntoTheBlock, the figure surpassed $20 million in the past 24 hours, representing a 170% increase compared to the amount observed on September 23.

Such large transactions often indicate the involvement of whales. Increased activity from those investors with significant holdings can be seen as a positive sign from smaller players and encourage them to enter the ecosystem, hence injecting fresh capital.

The next bullish sign is the “In the Money” metric, which is up 4.3%. The technical analysis tool measures the change in the number of SHIB investors currently sitting on paper profits. As of now, 48% of all Shiba Inu investors are in the green, while 51% are underwater. Only 1% of those exposed to the meme coin are break-even.

Conversely, two bearish elements suggest that SHIB’s valuation might be poised for a correction. For instance, Net Network Growth (a momentum signal that gives “a pulse of the true growth of the token’s underlying network”) is down 0.17%.

Shiba Inu’s burning mechanism is also on a downtrend. The burn rate has fallen by almost 50% in the past 24 hours, resulting in less than 8 million tokens sent to a null address.

The program’s ultimate goal is to reduce the huge circulating supply of SHIB and thus propel a price increase (assuming demand keeps its levels or rises). Currently, there are over 583 trillion tokens in circulation, with 410 trillion already destroyed over the past few years.

SHIB Predictions

Some analysts are quite optimistic about Shiba Inu’s future, envisioning somewhat wild targets. JAVON MARKS recently argued that the asset’s uptrend witnessed after the US Federal Reserve lowered interest rates could be the starting point for a rally to as high as $0.000081.

Another X user, using the handle pepa, was even more bullish, claiming SHIB might erase two zeroes from its valuation in the near future based on the formation of a specific triangular shape on the price chart.

It’s important to note that for this kind of massive surge to happen, the market capitalization of the meme coin would need to hit around $800 billion.

Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) is the only cryptocurrency that exceeds that level, making this prediction very improbable.

 

 

 

 

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This Is Why Bitcoin Surged Above $64K, Can it Go Higher? (Bitfinex)

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Last week, the Federal Reserve reduced its interest rate by 50 basic points, allowing increased cash flow in the United States. Two days after the rate reduction, bitcoin’s price surged past $64,000, reigniting confidence in the market.

According to Bitfinex’s latest weekly report, the jump in BTC price was influenced by increased activities within the futures and perpetual markets rather than the spot market.

What Triggered Bitcoin’s Latest Price Surge?

The report noted that bitcoin’s open interest drove the latest surge instead of spot trading, implying that the futures and perpetual markets saw the most investor engagement. The exchange’s analysts added that the crypto asset’s open interest “outpaced the price gains of BTC itself.”

According to on-chain data from the blockchain analytics platform Coinglass, bitcoin’s open interest recently attained $34.9 billion, the highest seen since early August.

Bitfinex analysts added that an increased engagement with the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) could drive the leading cryptocurrency to reclaim prices closer to its peak value of $73,800. Over $397.2 million flowed into the U.S.-traded spot Bitcoin ETFs in the past week, proving that BTC price may follow in the uptrend.

The market report explained that the leading crypto asset could unlock the $65,200 price resistance from late August if this trend of Bitcoin ETF inflows continues.

“Should Bitcoin breach the key resistance levels from late August, this could propel the asset towards new highs, coinciding with the end of summer’s low liquidity. However, without sustained spot buying, consolidation or a partial correction seems the most likely scenario,” the analysts said.

Altcoins See Price Increases

Aside from bitcoin, other crypto assets have seen considerable increment within the past month. Bitfinex referenced SUI and AAVE as altcoins that unlocked a 100% price increase in August and September.

On the other hand, altcoins that do not belong to the top 10 coins by market capitalization have not increased, as revealed in an index showing the data. Still, open interest in these assets has soared from $10.74 billion in August to $11.48 billion.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Eyes $64K, NEAR Protocol (NEAR) Soars 20% in 2 Days (Market Watch)

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Bitcoin’s price tumbled below $63,000 yesterday, but the bulls seem back in control as they have pushed the asset toward $64,000 once again.

Most larger-cap altcoins are sluggish on a daily scale, aside from ADA, which has jumped by over 4%, and DOT, which has added just under 4%.

BTC Aims at $64K

After the slow start to the previous week, when it dropped to $57,600, bitcoin experienced a true rollercoaster by the end of the five-day trading period that ended on Friday, especially during and after the Wednesday FOMC meeting, in which the US Fed announced a 0.5% reduction in the key interest rates.

BTC recorded several substantial price moves before it headed north decisively. In just a few days, it peaked above $64,000 before it lost some ground during the weekend and remained around $63,000.

The bulls went at it again on Monday morning and drove the asset to its highest price level in over four weeks of $64,800. However, it failed to conquer that level and the subsequent rejection pushed it south to under $63,000 yesterday.

Nevertheless, the cryptocurrency has gained around a grand since then and is now close to $64,000. Its market cap has neared $1.260 trillion on CG but its dominance over the alts is just shy of 54%.

Bitcoin/Price/Chart 24.09.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/Price/Chart 24.09.2024. Source: TradingView

NEAR Sees Double-Digit Gains

Binance Coin, Solana, and Cardano have emerged as the top performers from the larger-cap alts today. BNB has reclaimed the $600 level after a 2.6% daily increase, SOL is close to $150 after gaining 3%, while ADA has soared by 5% and stands at $0.36.

Although the rest of the larger caps are also in the green, their gains are a lot more modest. NEAR Protocol’s native token has jumped by 8% on a daily scale and 20% since Sunday and now trades above $5.2.

Other impressive gainers from the top 100 alts include AR (16%), TIA (15%), WIF (11%), LDO (9%), ICP (9%), and STX (9%).

The total crypto market cap has added another $20 billion overnight and is at $2.340 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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