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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Will Not Drop Below This Level Again, Says PlanB

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Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model creator and analyst PlanB has identified a level which he believes Bitcoin (BTC) will never go below again.

According to a tweet by the controversial analyst, BTC is “highly unlikely” to ever move below $33,000, which is also its 200-week moving average. This prediction applies to post-halving slumps and subsequent bear markets.

Bitcoin to Remain Above $33K

The outcome of PlanB’s latest analysis differs from his prediction in early February. At the time, he said BTC may not go below $40,000, which was its five-month realized price.

Bitcoin had just recovered from the losses incurred by investors selling the news after the United States Securities and Exchange Commission approved the launch of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The cryptocurrency had reached $45,000, and PlanB said a plunge to sub-$40,000 levels may not be seen again.

To substantiate his claims, the analyst has outlined Bitcoin’s realized prices on different scales: 2-year and 5-month realized prices of $32,000 and $40,000, respectively, and an overall price of $23,000. Since Bitcoin’s rally had pushed it above all the realized prices, it was unlikely that the asset would fall below $40,000.

However, with the change in on-chain dynamics and the continuation of the bull market, PlanB has altered his predictions, stating BTC will not go below $33,000. The overall realized price has increased to $29,000 and the 2-year and 5-month realized prices have also risen to $44,000 and $60,000, respectively. He identified the 2-year and 5-month realized prices as the conservative and aggressive floors, which BTC never goes below during bull markets.

Bitcoin’s Never-Come-Back Line

In some way, PlanB’s prediction aligns with that of pattern analyst Trader Alan, who tweeted in March that BTC would hit a “never come back line” this month. With a chart showing the never-come-back lines recorded in previous cycles, Trader Alan explained that BTC would never return to the $60,000 level, which is its 5-month realized price, as identified by PlanB.

Although PlanB’s S2F analysis has been accurate on several occasions, the model has also experienced some failures and may be considered inaccurate by community members. Nevertheless, the upcoming months would tell if he is correct or not.

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This Is How US-Based Bitcoin, Ethereum Investors Are Preparing for the FOMC Meeting

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The United States Federal Reserve will meet on September 18 and 19 to discuss whether it will follow the example set by other central banks, such as the ECB, and start lowering the key interest rates after years of hiking.

This is a particularly intriguing event for all financial markets, but especially crypto, given its relatively short history and its susceptibility to similar news and developments. As such, it’s interesting to see what US investors have done to prepare, at least in terms of ETF investments in Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Bitcoin Buying

Ever since their inception in mid-January this year, the 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs have showcased the general sentiment from US investors toward the largest cryptocurrency. Their activity has also impacted the underlying asset’s price movements, as long buying streaks have led to rallies and vice-versa.

Their actions are heavily influenced by market news and the overall status of the local economy. For example, they went on a short-term buying spree on August 23 and 26 (Friday and Monday) after Jerome Powell said the US central bank will likely cut the interest rates soon.

Although their behavior changed in the next couple of weeks due to economic uncertainty, they started to accumulate once again in the past several days. FarSide data shows that the total net inflows toward all spot BTC ETFs in the US soared to $186.8 million on Tuesday, which was the last full trading day before the FOMC meeting.

Previously, the positive numbers stood at $12.8 million on Monday, a whopping $263.2 million last Friday, and $39 million last Thursday. This means that US-based investors have stacked up their BTC ETF portfolios by just over $500 million in the past four trading days.

What About ETH?

The spot Ethereum ETFs have failed to attract serious demand and interest from investors, as discussed in the past. The trend hasn’t really changed that much this week as the total outflows stood at $9.4 million on Monday and $15.1 million yesterday.

This means that even the promising news for riskier assets, such as the potential rate cut by the Fed, couldn’t help the Ethereum ETFs in terms of changing investors’ perspective.

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Why Did This Bitcoin Bull Buy a lot of Ripple (XRP) Now?

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TL;DR

  • The CEO of BecauseBitcoin invested heavily in XRP, citing specific technical analysis as the reason.
  • XRP’s NVT ratio has fallen to around 125, which is considered undervalued, potentially supporting the case for future price growth.

Change of Heart

The X user Max (CEO and founder of the crypto analysis platform BecauseBitcoin) recently jumped on the Ripple (XRP) bandwagon as an investor. The exec revealed purchasing “a lot of” XRP tokens based on the emergence of a specific chart.

Max promised to release a dedicated video on the matter and explain the technical analysis which led to that move. 

“Never in a million years would I have thought this would be the case… but the chart never lies,” they added.

Numerous X users praised Max’s decision to enter the XRP ecosystem. MandoCT (a popular trader with almost 500,000 followers on the social media platform) said this is “an easy trade to $1.50-$1.90.”

Max was even more bullish, replying to one of the comments that he expects a spike to as high as $5 sometime next year.

Other optimistic analysts envisioning a price explosion for XRP in the future include Mikybull Crypto and EGRAG CRYPTO. The former believes the recent chart of the asset reminds the one observed in 2017 which was later followed by a massive bull run.

“Analysts refer to this chart as a technical time bomb waiting for an explosion,” the enthusiast stated.

EGRAG CRYPTO presented five different scenarios for a potential XRP price rally. The targets vary from $3 to a “mega pump” of $27.

“My Color? I’m choosing ALL of them! I’ll sell small portions at each key target. Let’s not make the same mistake as last cycle. While in the last cycle I sold a bit around $1.85, I bought back around $1 thinking we’d hit a new high (past $1.96). Lesson learnedthis time, we’re READY,” the analyst said.

Escaping Overvalued Conditions

One important factor worth considering when speculating on XRP’s future market dynamics is the NVT (Network Value to Transactions) ratio.

The metric measures the relationship between market capitalization and the value of transactions conducted on the blockchain. A high ratio suggests the asset could be overvalued, potentially signaling the likelihood of a price correction.

While the NVT soared substantially toward the end of August, it has been on a downfall ever since. Currently, the ratio stands at around 125, which is generally considered an undervalued territory.

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BNB Chain Announces Major Update For Stablecoin Infrastructure

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[PRESS RELEASE – Dubai, UAE, September 18th, 2024]

BNB Chain, the community-driven blockchain ecosystem that includes the world’s largest smart contract blockchain, has announced new developments as part of a strategic focus to become the core infrastructure for stablecoin payments and digital financial transactions. This move is part of BNB Chain’s broader mission to bridge the gap between Web2 and Web3, making cryptocurrency as practical for everyday transactions as traditional money, and reinforcing its commitment to onboarding the next billion Web3 users.

BNB Chain aims to make stablecoin payments faster, cheaper, and more accessible for users by focusing on gasless transactions across centralized exchanges (CEXs), wallets, and bridges. By partnering with leading payment providers, gas-free transfers for USDT, USDC, and FDUSD will be supported. BNB Chain invites wallet providers, payment gateways, and merchants to contribute to the future of the stablecoin infrastructure here.

Key Developments:

  1. Gasless Transfers on CEXs: BNB Chain will collaborate with centralized exchanges to ensure users can take full advantage of fee-free transfers, providing opportunities to maximize their savings on every transaction such as Binance, Bitget, Gate.io, HTX, and MEXC. Additionally, MegaFuel, an innovative global gasless solution developed by NodeReal and sponsored by BNB Chain, will cover gas fees for users across CEXs, wallets, and decentralized applications (Dapps).
  2. Enhanced Wallet Support: BNB Chain is partnering with top wallet providers including Bitget Wallet and SafePal with Binance Web3 Wallet and Trust Wallet coming soon, to facilitate seamless, low-fee stablecoin transactions for users.
  3. Free and Easy Cross-Chain Transfers: BNB Chain is enhancing liquidity and interoperability through collaborations with leading bridge providers like Celer. This will enable zero-fee transfers and superior liquidity, simplifying the movement of assets across different blockchains.
  4. Real-Life Payment Integration: In a bid to integrate cryptocurrency into everyday transactions, BNB Chain is working with payment gateways such as Alchemy Pay, Oobit, Lunu, MugglePay, and Now Payment. These collaborations will facilitate real-life payments, allowing users to make everyday purchases, like buying a coffee, with stablecoins, making cryptocurrency transactions more practical and affordable. The payment gateway can be accessed here.

BNB Chain is committed to accelerating the adoption of stablecoin payments, tokenizing real-world assets, and making cryptocurrency as accessible and practical as traditional money in pursuit of its mission of onboarding the next billion Web3 users. As part of the enhancement of its stablecoin infrastructure, BNB Chain is launching the “Gasless Carnival Season” from September 19, 2024. This campaign will offer zero withdrawal fees on stablecoins from participating CEXs to BSC and opBNB, covers gas fees for transfers via participating wallets, and sponsors gas-free cross-chain transfers via participating bridges. More details will be released soon.

For more information, users can visit here. 

About BNB Chain

BNB Chain is a community-driven blockchain ecosystem that is removing barriers to Web3 adoption. It is composed of:

  • BNB Smart Chain (BSC): A secure DeFi hub with the lowest gas fees of any EVM-compatible L1; serves as the ecosystem’s governance chain.
  • opBNB: A scalability L2 that delivers some of the lowest gas fees of any L2 and rapid processing speeds.
  • BNB Greenfield: Meets decentralized storage needs for the ecosystem and lets users establish their own data marketplaces.

Setting a high bar for security, the AvengerDAO community protects BNB Chain users while Red Alarm provides a real-time risk-scanner for Dapps. The ecosystem also offers a range of monetary and ecosystem rewards as part of its Builder Support Program.

For more, readers can follow BNB Chain on X or start exploring via the Dapp library.

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