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Bitcoin Demand Weakens but Large Investors Enter Reaccumulation: CryptoQuant

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Since the United States presidential inauguration, overall bitcoin spot demand growth has slowed considerably. Spot demand growth is needed for BTC’s price to rally again; however, the metric has yet to make a comeback.

A CryptoQuant report revealed that despite the lack of such an increase, large BTC investors have entered a reaccumulation phase and are loading up on their bags.

Bitcoin Demand Growth is Slow

While spot demand growth is slow, bitcoin’s apparent demand has continued in expansion territory but at a slower pace. The rate of expansion has fallen from 279,000 BTC in early December 2024 to 75,000 BTC currently.

Additionally, the demand momentum increase has slumped from 1.7 million to 0.1 million between early December and now. Bitcoin needs to see an increase in this metric’s growth for its price to rally significantly.

Notably, bitcoin demand growth from large investors surged between January 14 and 17 ahead of U.S. President Donald Trump’s inauguration. CryptoQuant found that the monthly percentage rise of large investors’ BTC holdings rose from -0.25% to +2% between January 14 and 17, marking the highest monthly rate since mid-December.

On-chain data revealed that large investors have been one of the key drivers of bitcoin demand and price since the U.S. presidential election. This cohort of market participants has increased their holdings, while small investors have done the opposite. Between November 4 and January 24, the total holdings of large investors have grown from 16.2 million BTC to 16.4 million, while the stash of small investors has slumped from 1.75 million to 1.69 million BTC.

Large Investors Drive BTC Price

As large investors drive bitcoin demand and price, sell pressure has declined significantly, mainly after other holders sold their assets to realize profits during the rally in December. Analysts noted that realized daily profits were as high as $10 billion when BTC hovered around $100,000 in December.

Currently, daily realized profits have slumped to levels between $2 billion and $3 billion, indicating that traders have finished selling their BTC to a large extent. This can also be seen in traders’ unrealized profit margins falling to levels that often mark a price floor.

“The Traders’ On-chain Realized Profit Margin declined almost to zero in mid-January, after touching overheated levels near 60% in November-December as Bitcoin rallied towards $100K. A low realized profit margin for traders indicates there are less profits to be made by selling and hence lower selling pressure for Bitcoin,” CryptoQuant stated.

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ETH Withdrawals Surge to $1.2B Weekly as Price Nears 3-Month High

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In the last seven days, Ethereum (ETH) has defied market odds and reversed its price trajectory, rallying to a level last seen in mid-February 2025.

This surge in the value of the second-largest cryptocurrency comes amid aggressive accumulation from market participants and declining sell-side pressure.

ETH Records Large Exchange Withdrawals

According to a tweet by the institutional-grade decentralized finance (DeFi) platform Sentora (previously IntoTheBlock), ether has witnessed an intense and sustained trend of net outflows from centralized exchanges since the beginning of the month.

Ethereum investors have withdrawn more than $1.2 billion worth of ETH from trading platforms within the last seven days. This happened just as ETH recorded a 52% rally in its price, jumping from less than $1,800 to at least $2,730. Massive accumulation trends like this often signal that investors are moving their assets off exchanges to hold in the long term, hoping for significant price appreciation.

ETH has remained dormant for most of this bull cycle, and this has caused investors and market participants to dismiss its bullish potential for this season. However, the asset’s sudden breakout from a resistance zone that has held it down for months triggered a shift in market sentiment.

Investor sentiment moved from fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) due to ether’s underperformance to the fear of missing out (FOMO) as traders scrambled for entry points amid the rally. As more traders try to get into the market, demand for ETH will increase. With sell-side pressure decreasing amid massive withdrawals from exchanges, ETH is bound to experience higher surges in the near term.

Most ETH Holders in Profit

Ether’s ongoing price appreciation has increased the percentage of addresses holding the cryptocurrency in profit to more than 60%. This is a significant development compared to 32% of addresses in profit roughly a month ago.

While most analysts believe ether’s rally is not just the result of a short squeeze, others have warned that the asset could consolidate between $2,400 and $2,700 before its next leg up. Nevertheless, on-chain analyst Ali Martinez has identified the range between $2,060 and $2,420 as the most crucial support floor for ETH. Here, there are 10 million wallets holding more than 69 million ETH.

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Retail Bitcoin Investors Are Returning — A Sign of Renewed Confidence?

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Every major bitcoin (BTC) rally during bull seasons has always seen the active participation of retail investors. While retail activity has been low in the last three months, the situation is changing.

Data from the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant revealed that retail investors have begun to return to the Bitcoin market as BTC has maintained its upward momentum over the past few weeks.

Retail Investors Are Coming Back

CryptoQuant analyst Carmelo Alemán explained that retail investors, who are the most sensitive to market fluctuations, are gradually returning to the Bitcoin ecosystem. This cohort of market participants refers to those with BTC balances ranging from $0 to $10,000.

Since BTC began to recover on April 9, the market has witnessed a significant increase in retail buying, as seen in the Retail Investor (Volume $0 to $10K by USD) Demand 30D Change metric. The indicator turned positive on April 28 and recorded a 3.4% surge in purchases from retail investors from then until May 13.

The growth suggests the market is witnessing a notable recovery in retail investor interest. The trend also shows renewed confidence in Bitcoin’s potential, reinforcing bullish narratives and increasing buying pressure. This renewed confidence can become a catalyst for Bitcoin’s next price movements, as higher demand often drives positive momentum.

More Rally Incoming?

Notably, the entrance of retail investors may indicate the beginning or middle of a bull cycle, especially if institutional buyers have positioned themselves. Hence, if BTC continues its current rally, more retail investors could flock into the market, triggering an even more significant surge.

“This could benefit the entire crypto space, as small investors are likely to diversify into other projects, including DeFi, staking, futures, and other instruments. All signs point to this shift in retail behavior being the start of a new wave of mass adoption in the cryptocurrency market,” Alemán stated.

The CryptoQuant analyst added that increased retail participation can lead to growth in active addresses, new addresses, transfer volume, and Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO) count. This will reflect an expansion of the crypto ecosystem in the coming months.

Meanwhile, BTC was changing hands around $102,770 at the time of writing, after crossing $100,000 for the first time in three months. The asset was showing a 21% monthly and 9% weekly surge.

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Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Cardano (ADA) Are ‘Gems With 100x Potential,’ Says Analyst

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TL;DR

  • Shiba Inu (SHIB) is gaining momentum, with analysts pointing to certain catalysts for a potential triple-digit price surge in the current cycle.

  • Cardano (ADA) is described as “built to last,” with some predicting a breakout to $1.60 in the short term and possibly $3 by year-end.

SHIB Bull Run on the Way?

The popular X user Henry recently claimed to have explored more than 500 cryptocurrencies to determine which ones are the “gems with 100x potential,” and Shiba Inu (SHIB) found a spot in the prestigious club.

The analyst suggested that the “SHIB movement [has] just started,” adding that the meme coin has much more room for growth due to the increased Shibarium adoption and the aggressive token burns. Henry is not the first to predict that further advancements in the layer-2 blockchain solution could positively impact Shiba Inu’s price. Not long ago, the Bitcoin advocate Jeremie Davinci said:

I like Shiba Inu, as you know, and I think it will do relatively well in this cycle, but it may not go as high as you expect. I think Shiba Inu has a lot of utility now that they have Shibarium, and basically, it’s a chain that you can actually run all kinds of applications.

However, nobody is using it, and there are no applications for using your tokens on Shibarium yet. If they get that solved, Shiba Inu will go to the moon.”

Shibarium officially went live in the summer of 2023 and is specifically designed to foster the development of the meme coin’s ecosystem. Earlier this year, the total number of transactions processed on the protocol surpassed the milestone of one billion.

Henry also reminded that analysts predict a solid surge for Shiba Inu this year. The market observer shared their optimism, envisioning a “huge pump which is going to break all the past levels ATH and will be at least 790%.”

How About ADA?

Cardano’s native token was also on the list. Henry described it as the ocean: “calm, deep, and misunderstood.” However, the analyst argued that when ADA moves, it makes waves across the entire market. 

They further suggested that the asset was “built to last” and that Cardano “is shaping infrastructure.” In their view, ADA’s price is set to reach $3 later this year.

Other industry participants who recently touched upon the token’s performance and made optimistic predictions include Captain Faibik and STEPH IS CRYPTO. The former forecasted a “massive bullish rally” above $1.60 in the short term. 

The latter did not provide exact numbers, simply envisioning that ADA is about “to go parabolic.”

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