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Bitcoin futures open interest jumps by $1B: Manipulation or hedge?

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Bitcoin’s (BTC) open interest on derivatives exchanges experienced a sudden surge of $1 billion on Sep. 18, prompting investors to question whether whales were accumulating in anticipation of the unsealing of Binance’s court filings.

However, a closer look at derivatives metrics suggests a more nuanced picture, as the funding rate did not exhibit clear signs of excessive buying demand.

The decision to unseal these documents was granted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which had accused Binance of non-cooperation despite previously agreeing to a consent order related to unregistered securities operations and other allegations.

BTC futures aggregate open interest, USD (green, left). Source: CoinGlass

The open interest spiked to $12.1 billion while Bitcoin’s price concurrently increased by 3.4%, the highest point in over two weeks at $27,430.

However, investors soon realized that, aside from a comment by the Binance.US auditor regarding the challenges of ensuring full collateralization, there was little concrete information revealed in the unsealed documents.

Later in the day, Federal Judge Zia Faruqui rejected the SEC’s request to inspect Binance.US’s technical infrastructure and share additional information. Nevertheless, the judge stipulated that Binance.US must furnish more details about its custody solution, casting doubt on whether Binance International ultimately controls these assets.

By the end of Sep. 18, Bitcoin’s open interest had receded to $11.3 billion as its price dropped by 2.4% to $26,770. This decline indicated that the entities behind the open interest surge were no longer inclined to maintain their positions.

These whales were likely disappointed with the court’s outcomes, or the price action may not have unfolded as expected. In any case, 80% of the open interest increase disappeared in less than 24 hours.

Futures’ buyers and sellers are matched at all times

It can be assumed that most of the demand for leverage was driven by bullish sentiment, as Bitcoin’s price climbed alongside the increase in open interest and subsequently plummeted as 80% of the contracts were closed. However, attributing cause and effect solely to Binance’s court rulings seems unwarranted for several reasons.

Firstly, no one anticipated that the unsealed documents would favor Binance or its CEO, Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, given that it was the SEC that had originally requested their release. Additionally, the Bitcoin futures contract funding rate, which gauges imbalances between long and short positions, remained largely stable throughout this period.

BTC futures average 8-hour funding rate. Source: CoinGlass

If there had indeed been an unforeseen demand surge of $1 billion in open interest, primarily driven by desperate buyers, it’s reasonable to assume that the funding rate would have spiked above 0.01%. However, quite the opposite unfolded on Sept. 19, as Bitcoin’s open interest expanded to $11.7 billion while the funding rate plunged to zero.

With Bitcoin’s price rallying above $27,200 during this second phase of open interest growth, it becomes increasingly evident that, regardless of the underlying motives, the price pressure tends to be upward. While the exact rationale may remain elusive, certain trading patterns could shed light on this movement.

Market makers’ hedge could explain OI spike

One plausible explanation could be the involvement of market makers executing buy orders on behalf of substantial clients. This would account for the initial enthusiasm in both the spot market and BTC futures, propelling the price higher. After the initial surge, the market maker becomes fully hedged, eliminating the need for further buying and leading to a price correction.

During the second phase of the trade, there is no impact on Bitcoi price, as the market maker must offload the BTC futures contracts and purchase spot Bitcoin. This results in a reduction in open interest and may disappoint some participants who were anticipating additional buying fervor.

Rather than hastily labeling every “Bart” formation as manipulation, it is advisable to delve into the operations of arbitrage desks and carefully analyze the BTC futures funding rate before jumping to conclusions. Thus, when there is no excessive demand for leveraged long positions, an increase in open interest does not necessarily signify a buying spree, as was the case on Sep. 18.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Cryptocurrency

Bitget Wallet Hits 60M Users with 300% Growth in 2024

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[PRESS RELEASE – Victoria, Seychelles, December 30th, 2024]

Bitget Wallet, a leading Web3 non-custodial wallet, has exceeded 60 million global users, achieving 300% annual growth in 2024. Through strategic innovation and ecosystem expansion, the platform has seen substantial adoption across key regions, solidifying its position as a major player in the multi-chain wallet ecosystem.

Bitget Wallet saw exceptional growth across key regions, particularly Africa, the Middle East, and Europe. Africa recorded over 1000% growth, led by Nigeria at 1468%. In the Middle East and Europe, the user base climbed by over 400%, with Saudi Arabia and the UAE showing 482% and 326% growth, respectively. France led in Europe with 1091%, followed by the UK and Germany at 687% and 657%.

Bitget Wallet’s growth is driven by innovative features designed to meet user needs. Leveraging the bull market recovery and Meme coin surge, tools like Instant Swap, Smart Money Tracking, MemeX, and GetGas have enhanced the trading experience. Meme coins, DeFi, and AI are the top trading categories. Onchain data shows average annual per capita trading volumes of $3,312 for DeFi tokens, led by East Asia, the Middle East, and the Americas, and $1,337 for Meme coins, with the Middle East, Europe, and East Asia leading activity.

Bitget Wallet has strengthened its integration with major mainnets and Web2 platforms. Data shows that blockchain adoption, with TON, Base, and Solana addresses, is increasing over 40 times year-on-year. The launch of Bitget Wallet Lite attracted over 10 million users in just a month, making it the largest Telegram multi-chain wallet. Supporting this, Bitget Wallet launched a $20 million Telegram Mini-App Support Program and OmniConnect Dev Kit, connecting a billion Telegram users to the multi-chain Web3 ecosystem.

Bitget Wallet introduced Bitget Onchain Layer in early 2024, and recently merged its platform token BWB with BGB tokens, with BGB becoming the sole ecosystem token. The integrated BGB will support multi-chain gas payments, staking, trading, and more DeFi functionalities while expanding into offline payment utilities. This move aims to bridge CeFi and DeFi ecosystems, delivering greater value to token holders.

Looking ahead to 2025, Bitget Wallet aims to deliver seamless onchain financial services, offering fast, secure trading while helping users maximize digital asset returns. The platform will simplify crypto payments for effortless transfers and spending, and streamline asset management with easy fiat-to-crypto conversions. “Our vision is to build a superapp that seamlessly connects Web2 and Web3, enabling a billion users to embrace financial freedom,” said Alvin Kan, COO of Bitget Wallet. “We are committed to leading this transformation and becoming the definitive bridge between the real world and the onchain economy.”

For more information, users can visit the Bitget Wallet blog.

About Bitget Wallet

Bitget Wallet is the home of Web3, uniting endless possibilities in one non-custodial wallet. With over 60 million users, it offers comprehensive on-chain services, including asset management, instant swaps, rewards, staking, trading tools, live market data, a DApp browser, and an NFT marketplace. Designed for everyone from beginners to advanced traders, it supports mnemonic, MPC, and AA wallet options. With connections to over 100 blockchains, 20,000+ DApps, and 500,000+ tokens, Bitget Wallet enables seamless multi-chain trading across hundreds of DEXs and cross-chain bridges, along with a $300 million protection fund for your digital assets. Experience Bitget Wallet Lite to start your Web3 journey.

For more information, users can visit: X | Telegram | Instagram | YouTube | LinkedIn | TikTok | Discord

For media inquiries, users can contact media.web3@bitget.com

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Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Miner Foundry Returns Excess 8.18 BTC Fee After Transaction Error

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Foundry USA Pool – the largest Bitcoin mining pool by hash rate – recently took action to return an 8.18 BTC transaction fee, which is roughly worth $777,000, that had been accidentally overpaid.

The error occurred on December 19 during the mining of block 875475, which included a transaction with a fee 91,127 times higher than what was needed.

Foundry Refunds Large Overpaid Bitcoin Fee

After recognizing the mistake, Foundry reached out to the sender and refunded the excess fee after assessment. In a statement to The MinerMag, the mining pool assured that this refund did not affect the payouts of its regular customers stating that the payout system disregards the three highest and three lowest transaction fees each day.

Its official tweet read,

“We have received numerous messages from across the industry, and we want to extend our thanks to everyone who reached out on the user’s behalf. Please note that this decision was made after thorough deliberation, and we will continue to handle these instances on a case-by-case basis.”

This incident marks the second such event in recent months, following a similar action by Antpool in November 2023, when it had to refund a $3 million Bitcoin transaction fee after a user error led to the highest-ever fee paid on the Bitcoin network.

As reported earlier, the user mistakenly submitted 83 BTC as a fee on November 23, following which the Bitcoin mining company froze the fee temporarily, and announced its plan to verify the sender’s identity before issuing a refund.

Meanwhile, Foundry’s pool, with a massive hash rate of 273.6 EH/s, remains the largest in the industry, far surpassing Antpool’s 146.7 EH/s, according to data compiled by Hashrate Index. Additionally, Foundry controls almost 38% of the market share among pool operators, while Antpool accounts for 18%, at the time of writing.

Foundry Layoffs

The latest development comes less than a month after Foundry was reported to have laid off 60% of its workforce, as part of its “realignment” strategy.

The layoffs at Foundry mainly affected employees outside of the company’s core operations. Originally employing 250 people, 20 were reassigned to Yuma, while around 160-170 staff were let go. This included the entire ASIC repair and hardware teams, though mining pool operations remained unaffected. Foundry was also believed to have been exploring selling its site operations team, which oversees Bitcoin mining locations.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Slips Below $94K, Ripple (XRP) Drops Toward $2 (Market Watch)

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The highly-anticipated Santa Claus rally is nowhere to be seen as bitcoin continues to lose value by dropping below $94,000.

The altcoins are also mostly in the red, with XRP dumping by 6% and XLM following suit.

BTC Fails at Recovery

It hasn’t been a particularly hopeful end of 2024 on a micro-scale. The asset began its painful decline on December 17 when its price stood above $108,000. In just a matter of three days, it had lost around $16,000 and dumped to $92,000.

The bulls intercepted the move and helped prevent a further drop below $90,000. In fact, BTC started recovering some ground and spiked toward $100,000 on a couple of occasions, but to no avail. The last such example was on December 26 when BTC touched that line but was quickly rejected once again.

The subsequent decline pushed it south hard, and the asset fell to $95,000 over the weekend. However, the landscape worsened in the past 24 hours and dropped further to $93,000. Despite bouncing off that level, for now, BTC is still over 1% down on the day.

Its market capitalization has plummeted to under $1.860 trillion on CG, and its dominance over the alts stands at 54%.

Bitcoin/Price/Chart 30.12.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/Price/Chart 30.12.2024. Source: TradingView

XRP Keeps Bleeding

Most altcoins are in the red once again today. The trend is led by XRP, which continues its downfall and is close to breaking below $2 now. If it dumps below that level, analysts foresee another massive decline toward $1.

XLM has also dropped hard from the larger-cap alts, losing nearly 5% of value and trading well below $0.35. BNB, SOL, DOGE, ADA, TRX, AVAX, LINK, TON, SUI, and many others are also in the red, albeit in a less painful manner.

The total crypto market cap has lost another $60 billion since yesterday and is down to $3.430 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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