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Bitcoin is close to a two-year low. What awaits it next

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Experts explain what factors put pressure on cryptocurrencies and when you can expect positive changes in the market

Since the beginning of the year, the capitalization of digital currencies has decreased by 60% — to $934 billion. The “crypto winter” collapsed the price of bitcoin by 70% of the historical maximum of $69,000.

Tokens of meta-vendors and NFT-projects, as well as currencies of DeFi-platforms were hit hardest — coins lost in price from 70% to 85% since the beginning of the year. Cryptocurrencies on exchanges fell the least: their quotes fell by 46%-57%.

Since mid-June, bitcoin rates have been fluctuating in the range of $18,000 — $22,000. Because of the falling quotes, some institutional investors and credit crypto platforms have already faced financial problems, and mining companies are forced to sell all the mined bitcoin to cover operating costs.

Is there potential for bitcoin growth in the near term, or is a true reversal in the market still to come? Experts described the current price dynamics in the cryptocurrency market and told when the turning point may occur.

Bitcoin price dynamics

The current week “pleases” traders with increased volatility. After bitcoin went below $19K on July 13, the panic was very strong.

If you look at the chart of BTC from the point of view of technical analysis, “the price is in a horizontal channel with a width of about $4000. Approximately the same channel was formed in May-June and as a result the price strongly “fell”.

Now there are already a lot of touches in the new channel as the upper and lower edges, so with a high degree of probability, the exit from the channel will occur in the next couple of weeks, the expert suggested. On July 13, the price “pushed back” from the lower boundary; that is, we can hope that the growth will continue to the upper boundary.

There is full synchronization with the index S & P 500, from its movement now directly depends on the dynamics of bitcoin and other top cryptocurrencies. A breakdown of the horizontal channel upwards will open a target to levels around $26k, while a breakdown downwards will open a target of $16k.

Influence of external factors

The most likely negative scenario, which implies the fall of the entire crypto market, and bitcoin — to $15,000 in the next month.

Cryptocurrencies are seen as a tool to hedge inflation risks. But on the other hand, digital assets now correlate strongly with the stock market, and the latter will inevitably show a decline due to high inflation in the U.S., despite all the efforts of the Fed to curb this growth.

At the next meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve will decide to raise the key rate again. This is already obvious, and in the run-up to the meeting, capital will start to exit high-risk assets.

In August, bitcoin will fall to multi-year lows, but this does not cancel the forecast for the growth of bitcoin in the perspective of 3 years. Bitcoin will return to growth in the autumn.

In the second half of 2023, a new bullish cycle will begin in anticipation of another halving. And bitcoin will update to new all-time highs within 12 months of it — between May 2024 and May 2025.

Intermediate bottom

Soon we expect mostly sideways movement with the risk of another renewal of annual lows for BTC, ETH, and some other capitalized assets.

Such dynamics are unlikely to lead to a significant drop in quotations, and the new lows will allow market participants to enter assets more profitable, the expert explained. He said he expects the prices will recover sharply after the possible decline of BTC up to $17,000 and ETH — up to $900.

Until the end of July, the crypto market will form an intermediate bottom, which will give cryptocurrencies an opportunity to strengthen within 2-3 months; Pershikov said. The current dynamics will remain until the end of the month, while growth in individual assets and the market will begin in August. 

Cryptocurrency

3 Things to Watch in Ripple’s (XRP) Price Today

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XRP is testing the resistance at $2.3. Will it break?

Key Support levels: $2

Key Resistance levels: $2.3, $2.6, $3

1. Key Resistance Under Pressure

Yesterday, buyers pushed XRP to the key resistance at $2.3, but sellers returned to stop a breakout. At the time of this post, the price is in a pullback. Nevertheless, this is a positive sign that shows buyers are returning. If this bullish momentum intensifies, then $2.3 could fall and be followed by a test of $2.6 next.

XRPUSDT_2025-07-01_11-55-28
Chart by TradingView

2. Optimism Returns

With the price keen on making higher highs, optimism is returning to this cryptocurrency. This can be seen on the volume profile where buyers have dominated in the last few days. A break above $2.3 will likely see the volume spike and allow further price expansion into new highs.

XRPUSDT_2025-07-01_11-55-56
Chart by TradingView

3. MACD Turning Bullish

After the daily MACD turned positive last week, the 2-day MACD has also turned bullish today. This shows that the buy momentum is slowly creeping into higher timeframes which will build confidence in the price action and attract more buyers. With a positive feedback loop in action, XRP has a good shot at $2.6 or even higher in July.

XRPUSDT_2025-07-01_11-56-50
Chart by TradingView
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Bitcoin Traders Wait Important Economic Announcements Today, These Altcoins Plummet (Market Watch)

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Bitcoin’s price has retraced by a slight 0.9% in the past 24 hours as traders are expecting a few important economic events during today’s session.

Meanwhile, the broader cryptocurrency market is also reflecting the uncertainty as the majority of altcoins are trading in the red with some charting a lot bigger declines than others.

Bitcoin Price Waits for News

The deep involvement of corporate Bitcoin buyers and institutions has surely played a major role in its price increase over the past year but it’s also the reason why the crypto market has been largely correlated to traditional ones.

A few years ago, literally nobody cared about metrics such as CPI, PMI, and whatnot, but now every crypto trader has them on their watchlist.

As such, today is also shaping up to be a volatile experience with a few important economic events on the calendar.

First, Jerome Powell will speak in the afternoon, followed by data for job openings, PMI, and ISM manufacturing – all indicators that shape policymaking, especially when gauging the strenght of the local economy.

That said, Bitocin’s price is down about 1% on the day and is currently trading at around $106,500 after having tested $109,000 yesterday. It’s interesting to see if the bulls have it in them to push bakc towards the upper boundary of the recent trading range or if the bears will send the price back below $105K.

BTCUSD_2025-07-01_12-41-24
Source: TradingView

Altcoins in Red, Some More Than Others

As you can clearly see in the heatmap below, the altcoins are also not having a great day. This is, perhaps, to be expected – Bitcoin’s dominance over the market has been rising gradually over the past many months and whenever BTC slips, altcoins crash.

The past 24 hours have hardly been a crash, though, but it’s clear that most of them are charting more considerable declines.

This is especially true for TKX, ARB, SPX6900, SEI, and others, that are down between 8% and 15% on the day.

Believe it or not, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is today’s best performer, gaining more than 6%. Who would have thought?

Screenshot 2025-07-01 at 12.44.19
Source: Quantify Crypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

How Much You Should Invest in Bitcoin (BTC)? Veteran Trader Peter Brandt Weighs in

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TL;DR

  • The expert advises monthly investments in SPY and BTC for long-term success.
  • The leading cryptocurrency is up 6% this week and trades near $108,000. Analysts are split – some see a breakout to $130K – $200K if key resistance levels are cleared, while others warn of a possible drop to $100K or even $95K if momentum fades.

‘Trading is the Wrong Path’

Besides its fundamentals and ability to transform the global financial system, Bitcoin (BTC) has proven to be an excellent investment opportunity.

At least, that was the case in the past few years: the asset went through multiple bear and bull markets to eventually cross the $100,000 mark. Currently, it trades at around $108,000 (according to CoinGecko’s data), representing a 75% increase on a yearly scale and a substantial 43,000% jump compared to its valuation a decade ago.

But does the leading cryptocurrency remain a good investment after this major rally over the years, and how much should people allocate to it? That’s a question many people are trying to figure out.

It seems that there isn’t a direct answer, and it all depends on the risk profile of the investors, as well as other important factors. However, one can turn to certain experts who are experienced enough to give guidance. 

An example is the veteran trader Peter Brandt, who recently suggested that approximately 95% of people fail when trading. Instead, he advised them to excel in their regular jobs, prioritize their families, and invest in homeownership. Last but not least, Brandt recommended making monthly investments, allocating 80% of the amount to SPY (the ETF that tracks the S&P 500 Index) and 20% to BTC.

The Next Potential Targets

Let’s now take a closer look at BTC’s recent performance and explore its chances for a further pump in the short term. The asset has increased in value by approximately 6% over the past week, with numerous analysts predicting a surge to a new all-time high if certain conditions are met.

The X user Cipher X believes “a strong weekly close” above $107,720 could open the door to a further rally to as high as $130,000-$135,000 in Q3 2025.

“Just look at Q4 2024 chart and you’ll see what happened when BTC had its biggest weekly close,” they added.

Merlijn The Trader thinks the final pump for this bull run is coming, envisioning a fresh ATH of around $200,000 towards the end of the year. At the same time, he advised investors to take profits, anticipating a drastic pullback to $95,000 shortly after that.

On the contrary, Ali Martinez argued that the cryptocurrency currently faces a key rejection while the stochastic RSI flashes a death cross on the daily chart. The analyst thinks a plunge to $100,000 is not out of the question unless “we get a sustained close” above $109,000.

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