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Bitcoin more likely to plummet to $10,000 than rise to $30,000 — poll

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Bitcoin enthusiasts better watch out: Wall Street thinks the cryptocurrency hasn’t bottomed out yet

According to the latest MLIV Pulse poll, 60% of respondents believe that BTC will fall another half of its current levels, to $10,000, rather than rise to $30,000. Only 40% of those surveyed were optimistic. BTC fell 2.8% to $20,390 in Monday’s trading.

The skewed outlook suggests that bearish sentiment dominates the market. Lately, the industry has been hit by one crisis: after another: cryptocurrencies collapse, lenders go bankrupt. Investors run to safe assets, anticipating the end of an easy money policy.

According to CoinGecko, an analytics service, cryptocurrency market capitalization has shrunk by nearly $2 trillion since the end of last year.

Retail investors are more skeptical. Nearly a quarter of those surveyed believe that cryptocurrency, as an asset class, will become nothing. Professional investors are more open and loyal to digital assets.

Overall, the market remains deeply divided and polarized: about 28% of total respondents believe cryptocurrencies are the future, while 20% say they are useless garbage.

Bitcoin (BTC) hit an all-time high of $69,000 in November 2021; since then, the cryptocurrency has lost two-thirds of its value. The last time $10,000 was fixed was in September 2020.

The crisis in the industry is likely to prompt governments to tighten regulation. Most respondents believe regulations and controls are needed. They will increase trust and encourage mass adoption of cryptocurrency among institutional and retail investors.

Consumers affected by the TerraUSD Stablecoin crash, as well as those who lost money due to the bankruptcy and shutdown of Celsius Network, Voyager and others, would also welcome government intervention.

Regulators and government institutions are also considering developing their own cryptocurrencies.

But neither falling prices nor a possible tightening of controls will destroy the industry. Most respondents believe one of the leading cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin or Ethereum, will remain a driving force over the next five years, even as digital currencies play a key role.

Respondents were nearly unanimous on the issue of non-interchangeable tokens. NFTs have become famous for their fabulous prices. Pictures of monkeys at the peak of the crypto boom were selling for millions of dollars. But the vast majority of those surveyed see them as mere art projects or status indicators, and only 9% see them as an investment opportunity.

Those who are on the lookout for a new bubble, however, would be better off looking at something new. Speculative mania rarely hits the same spot twice. Overall, most respondents believe the next boom will not involve cryptocurrencies.

Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Price Crashes Below $100K as Iran Votes to Close Straits of Hormuz

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Bitcoin’s price has crashed below $100,000 for the first time since May 25th, charting a decline of around 4% in the past 24 hours alone. The cryptocurrency is down 5.5% throughout the last seven days.

BTCUSD_2025-06-22_17-42-47
Source: TradingView

The market downturn has also caused a broader selloff amongst altcoins, most of which are deep in the red, resulting in almost $1 billion worth of liquidated positions, according to CoinGlass.

As CryptoPotato reported earlier today, the US joined the war between Israel and Iran, striking three strategic nuclear Irany sites.

In response, some media reports indicate that the Iranian Parliament has voted in support of closing the Strait of Hormuz – one of the world’s most criticial oil transit chokepoints.

This resulted in immediate increase in oil prices, which are up almost 1% on the day, sparking international fears of inflation and economic turmoil. Traders are seemingly derisking and it’s interesting to see how deep this correction will extend.

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Bitcoin Demand is Drying Up, What Does This Mean? (CryptoQuant)

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As bitcoin (BTC) attempts to recover from the effects of tensions in the Middle East, demand for the digital asset is drying up. Market experts from the on-chain intelligence company CryptoQuant have discovered that Bitcoin demand is entering a slowdown period.

According to the latest CryptoQuant weekly report, the decline in Bitcoin demand comes after a period of acceleration that pushed the price of BTC towards $112,000. Demand-momentum metrics are currently showing their most negative readings on record — -2 million BTC.

Bitcoin Demand is Weakening

CryptoQuant revealed that Bitcoin spot demand has continued to grow but at a decelerated expansion rate. Apparent demand growth has fallen to 118,000 BTC over the last 30 days, compared to 228,000 BTC recorded on May 27. The metric is also below its 30-day moving average, indicating that the demand for BTC is weakening.

Bitcoin whale and spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have halved their purchases. The expansion of whale balances has fallen to 1.7% month-over-month (MoM) from 3.9% as of May 27. Daily BTC purchases from ETFs are also down from an April 23 local peak of 9,700 BTC to 3,300 BTC today.

Additionally, demand from new participants entering the Bitcoin market is low, and overall demand momentum has turned negative. Short-term holders now account for 4.5 million BTC, a decline of 0.8 million BTC from the 5.3 million BTC they controlled as of May 27.

Furthermore, investors in the futures market have sold their BTC to lock in profits and are currently opening new short positions. CryptoQuant said its Bitcoin Traders’ Behavior Dominance metric shows that participants offloaded their coins to take profits after BTC hit $110,000 last week. Afterward, they opened fresh short positions as BTC below $105,000 amid rising tensions between Israel and Iran.

What to Expect

For BTC to experience a sustained rally, whales and spot ETFs need to increase their demand for the cryptocurrency. New investors also need to buy BTC from the old ones, thereby expanding the balances of short-term holders.

If demand continues to decline, BTC could plummet below $100,000 and fall to the support zone near $92,000. The crypto asset was hovering around $102,700 at the time of writing following the attacks from the US against Iran.

Meanwhile, CryptoQuant has identified $92,000 as the Traders’ On-chain Realized Price, which often acts as price support during bull markets. If BTC falls below this level, it could plunge to $81,000, which has been marked as the lower band of the Traders’ On-chain Realized Price.

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Max Keiser Predicts $800K BTC from ‘Bond Apocalypse,’ Markets Eye $93K

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At the time of this writing, Bitcoin (BTC) was a couple of hundred dollars under $103,000, after dipping 4% in 24 hours, but Max Keiser is suggesting this volatility is mere tremors before a seismic surge to $800,000.

In a sit-down with Bitcoin Magazine’s Isabella Santos, the legendary BTC prophet claimed that the 10-year Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yield is the “lynchpin” threatening financial collapse and triggering Bitcoin’s epic moon mission.

The Road to $800K

In the interview, the Bitcoin bull laid out a doomsday scenario that could potentially lead to an astronomical spike in the king cryptocurrency’s price:

“There is one piece of data that is the lynchpin of the entire global financial system… It’s the rate of interest on the 10-year Japanese bond,” Keiser declared.

Currently, the yield is at about 3.5%, and any higher, the market watcher warned, could potentially lead to the collapse of the decades-long “yen carry trade,” where Wall Street borrowed near-zero-yen to fuel speculative investments.

“The Japanese economy is going to have to start selling U.S. Treasury bonds to stay solid, which would create a cascading event, what I call the bond apocalypse, where the global bond market crashes.”

He stated that if this were to happen, then trillions of dollars’ worth of capital would flee collapsing government debt and rush straight into BTC.

“In that environment, Bitcoin spikes to $500,000, $600,000, $800,000.”

Bearish Caution

While Keiser’s prediction might have gotten the crypto community on X talking, the market remains rather tense and confused. Pseudonymous trader Mr Wall Street hinted at a potential short-term nosedive to the $93,000 to $95,000 range, warning that the charts were “screaming for lower.”

Still, voices of resilience have been piping up, with analyst Axel Adler Jr. pointing to rising long liquidation dominance without a major price crash as a “good signal,” suggesting strong underlying buyer support.

Additionally, on-chain sleuth DeFiTracer sees cooling Middle East tensions due to Iran’s apparent openness to talks as well as Fed member Christopher J. Waller’s signal for July rate cuts as bullish signals. He suggested these catalysts are quietly shifting markets from uncertainty “into the trust phase.”

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