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Bitcoin options strategy: How to trade July’s Q2 earnings

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The stock market can offer valuable insights into possible Bitcoin (BTC) price movements, with a significant potential trigger expected this month.

Q2 earnings numbers due this month

Notably, Q2 earnings numbers are expected from some of the largest companies in the world in July, including:

  • UnitedHealth, Citigroup and JPMorgan on July 14.
  • Bank of America and Morgan Stanley on July 18.
  • Tesla, Google, Apple, Meta, Microsoft and Amazon before July 27.

The S&P 500 companies account for an aggregate $36.5 trillion in market capitalization, so it makes sense to expect a positive impact on Bitcoin’s price if the earnings season sustains modest growth.

In other words, investors’ appetite for risk-on assets will increase if the odds of an imminent recession are reduced.

Leverage to be avoided given the level of uncertainty

Traders calling for a global economic slowdown will have a chance to profit if those companies fail to deliver earnings growth, further adding uncertainty to the economies. Governments rely heavily on taxes from companies and consumers, so a weak earnings season represents a serious threat.

Related: How to financially prepare for a recession

Investors are concerned that companies’ profitability could decline due to the unprecedented tightening of monetary policy by the United States Federal Reserve and macroeconomic concerns. And thanks to persistent inflation, businesses are forced to reduce hiring and use cost-cutting strategies.

Still, the U.S. economy has displayed resilience, as evidenced by the latest 0.3% retail sales growth month-over-month in May, with economists expecting a decline. The retail results demonstrated that decreasing oil prices may be allowing consumers to spend more money on other goods.

Such a scenario explains why professional traders have used the bullish “iron condor” strategy to maximize gains with limited risk if Bitcoin trades above $31,550 in July.

Using Bitcoin options for a bullish but hedged strategy

Buying Bitcoin futures pays off during bull markets, but the issue lies in dealing with liquidations when BTC’s price drops. This is why professional traders use options strategies to maximize their gains and limit their losses.

Related: Crypto derivatives 101: A beginner’s guide on crypto futures, crypto options and perpetual contracts

The skewed iron condor strategy can yield profits above $31,550 by the end of July while limiting losses if the expiry price is below $31,000.

It is worth noting that Bitcoin traded at $30,520 when the pricing for this model took place.

Bitcoin options iron condor strategy returns. Source: Deribit Position Builder

The call option gives its holder the right to acquire an asset at a fixed price in the future. For this privilege, the buyer pays an upfront fee known as a premium.

Meanwhile, the put option allows its holder to sell an asset at a fixed price in the future, which is a downside protection strategy. On the other hand, selling a put offers exposure to the upside in prices.

The iron condor consists of selling the call and put options at the same expiry price and date. The above example has been set using the July 28 contracts, but it can be adapted for other timeframes.

Related: Major US banks get passing grade in ‘severe recession’ stress test

Modest 3% Bitcoin price gain needed for profits

As depicted above, the target profit range is $31,550 (3% above the current price) to $38,000 (24.5% above the current price).

To initiate the trade, the investor must short (sell) 1.5 contracts of the $33,000 call option and three contracts of the $33,000 put option. Then, they must repeat the procedure for the $36,000 options, using the same expiry month.

Buying 4.8 contracts of the $31,000 put option to protect from an eventual downside is also required. Lastly, one needs to purchase 3.7 contracts of the $38,000 call option to limit losses above the level.

This strategy’s net profits peak at 0.206 BTC ($6,290 at current prices) between $33,000 and $36,000, but they remain above 0.087 BTC ($2,655 at current prices) if Bitcoin trades in the $32,150 and $37,150 range.

The investment required to open this skewed iron condor strategy is the maximum loss (0.087 BTC, or $2,655) which will occur if Bitcoin trades below $31,000 on July 28.

The benefit of this trade is that a wide target area is covered while providing a potential 238% return versus the potential loss. In essence, it provides a leverage opportunity without the liquidation risks typical of futures contracts.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Cryptocurrency

Dogecoin Millionaire Says to Watch Pepe, Neiro Ethereum, Brett for the Next Crypto Bull Run: What About Pepe Unchained?

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Glauber Contessoto, the “Dogecoin millionaire,” is back in the news.

He recently shared on Twitter which coins he believes could be the next big winners in the upcoming bull run.

PEPE, NEIRO, and BRETT are three coins he’s got his eye on – and he believes they have serious potential to take off.

Dogecoin Millionaire’s Picks for the 2025 Bull Run

Contessoto’s tweet on Monday went viral.

With over 85,000 views, his tweet laid out what he believes will be the two biggest meme coin narratives driving the 2025 bull run.

First up, he’s betting on the rise of the “PEPEVERSE,” with PEPE on Ethereum and BRETT on Base leading the way.

Contessoto sees these coins, along with others tied to characters like Andy and Wolf, producing big wins for investors.

Next in line is the “DOGEVERSE.”

He expects a revival of old favorites like DOGE, SHIB, and FLOKI from the last cycle.

But he’s also watching for new dog coins – with NEIRO on Ethereum catching his eye as the “younger sister of Doge.”

It’s no surprise that Contessoto’s picks have stirred up plenty of excitement.

And many investors are eager to see if these picks will be the stars of the next crypto bull run.

Could We Be on the Verge of Another Bull Cycle?

Are we on the brink of another crypto bull run?

Several signs suggest it’s possible.

For starters, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates at their FOMC meeting today.

Historically, lower interest rates have been great for riskier assets like crypto as investors look for better returns.

More money flowing into the crypto market could push prices higher.

Then there is the growing role of institutional adoption.

With spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs now available, big investors can get into crypto through more trusted channels.

That added legitimacy might boost demand even further if interest rates begin to come down.

Of course, the broader economic picture matters too.

For example, a “soft landing” in which inflation reaches the Fed’s target without causing a recession could create the ideal conditions for crypto to thrive.

These combined factors suggest we might be on the verge of a bullish shift – making Contessoto’s coin picks even more exciting.

Investors Also Stacking Pepe Unchained for the Next Bull Run

Contessoto’s picks are definitely worth watching – but they’re not the only contenders.

One rising star that’s been catching a lot of attention is Pepe Unchained (PEPU), which puts a new spin on the iconic Pepe meme.

Featuring a “Pepe the Frog” theme, Pepe Unchained aims to set itself apart by combining meme culture with a real-world blockchain project.

Think of it like a classic joke token, but upgraded.

It still has that “degen” vibe, yet it offers extra utility by creating its own Layer-2 blockchain, Pepe Chain.

This chain claims it would offer super-fast transactions, low fees, and easy integration with the Ethereum ecosystem.

And if that wasn’t enough, the staking rewards definitely are.

Currently, PEPU holders can stake their tokens and generate yields of 152% per year.

That’s far higher than what most staking coins offer.

No surprise, then, that Pepe Unchained’s presale has already raised over $13.5 million.

FOMO is beginning to kick in, and the hype is building.

Crypto influencers like ClayBro are even predicting that PEPU will be “ready to explode” after the Fed’s upcoming rate decision.

With a potential crypto bull run on the horizon, Pepe Unchained could be another meme coin worth watching.

The next price increase takes place in less than 24 hours, so there’s limited time to participate in the current phase.

Visit Pepe Unchained Presale

Disclaimer: The above article is sponsored content; it’s written by a third party. CryptoPotato doesn’t endorse or assume responsibility for the content, advertising, products, quality, accuracy, or other materials on this page. Nothing in it should be construed as financial advice. Readers are strongly advised to verify the information independently and carefully before engaging with any company or project mentioned and do their own research. Investing in cryptocurrencies carries a risk of capital loss, and readers are also advised to consult a professional before making any decisions that may or may not be based on the above-sponsored content.

Readers are also advised to read CryptoPotato’s full disclaimer.

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Cryptocurrency

Ripple Price Analysis: XRP Bulls Eye $0.6 as Positive Sentiment Spreads

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After a solid bullish rebound, Ripple’s price surged to the $0.60 level. However, it has since entered a brief consolidation phase, which may pave the way for further upward movement toward the significant $0.64 resistance.

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

A closer look at Ripple’s daily chart reveals that following an increase in demand around the key 100-day ($0.53) and 200-day ($0.55) moving averages, buying activity intensified, leading to a sharp price surge toward the $0.60 mark.

Although Ripple’s upward momentum has temporarily paused, the price has now entered a short-term consolidation at this level. This phase is likely to be followed by a continuation of the bullish trend, with XRP targeting the critical $0.64 resistance level, a zone that has consistently challenged buyers in recent months.

Should sellers regain control of this resistance, XRP’s price could face a reversal, potentially declining back toward the $0.55 support region. On the other hand, if buyers manage to break through the $0.64 resistance, the bullish trend is expected to continue, signaling a shift in market sentiment.

xrp_price_chart_1809241
Source: TradingView

The 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour chart, XRP saw increased buying interest at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level ($0.52), which coincides with the lower boundary of a descending flag pattern. This triggered a strong bullish reversal, pushing the price toward the upper boundary of the flag at $0.62, a key resistance level in this formation.

If the cryptocurrency successfully breaks above $0.62, the bullish trend is likely to continue, with the price targeting the $0.64 threshold. However, failure to break through this resistance could lead to a bearish rejection, with the price potentially retracing back to the $0.55 static support area.

xrp_price_chart_1809242
Source: TradingView
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Fed Cut Rates, Now What’s Next for BTC?

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Bitcoin’s price finally looks set to break back above the $60K level after weeks of consolidation. However, there is still one more key resistance level that the price needs to overcome.

Technical Analysis

By: Edris Derakhshi (TradingRage)

The Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, Bitcoin’s price is demonstrating a willingness to finally break above the $60K resistance level, following its rebound from $52K.

The RSI also shows values above 50, indicating that the market momentum is bullish once again. However, for the cryptocurrency to begin a new long-term rally, the price should first rise above the 200-day moving average, which is located near the $64K resistance level.

btc_price_chart_1809241
Source: TradingView

The 4-Hour Chart

The 4-hour chart clarifies the recent price action, as the market has been making higher highs and lows since bouncing from the $52K support level.

As this suggests, it is only a matter of time for the $60K resistance level to be broken to the upside, which would pave the way for BTC to rally toward the significant $64K resistance area. The RSI is also showing bullish momentum in this timeframe and has yet to reach the overbought region. Therefore, the market seems to be on the verge of an increase, at least in the short term.

btc_price_chart_1809242
Source: TradingView

On-Chain Analysis

By Edris Derakhshi (TradingRage)

Bitcoin Exchange Supply Ratio

To sell their coins in the crypto market, most people have to first deposit them into an exchange. The amount of BTC held in exchange wallets is, therefore, a proxy for market supply (at least retail), and analyzing its trends could be beneficial.

This chart presents the BTC exchange supply ratio, which measures the ratio of the BTC held in exchanges to the total supply of the coin.

As it shows, the metric has been declining rapidly since February, indicating that heavy accumulation occurred during the recent consolidation. As a result, if sufficient demand is present, the market can begin a new rally toward higher prices.

Bitcoin Exchange Supply Ratio - All Exchanges
Source: CryptoQuant
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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