Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin price prediction – “Will Bitcoin go back to the low”? Why the asset risks falling in price again
Experts explain what’s causing the rise in Bitcoin prices today and what events may affect the market soon. On July 29, Bitcoin reached a 1.5-month high of $24.4 thousand; its price went up by 5% per day, and by more than 26% over the month. Ethereum price rose to $1.77 thousand, showing a monthly increase of 70%. Current Bitcoin price is around $23,650.
Bitcoin price prediction
The largest altcoins by capitalization are also rising in price, and the total estimate of the cryptocurrency market exceeded $1.41 trillion, while a month ago it was $946 billion.
The rise in cryptocurrency prices accelerated on the evening of July 27, when the Federal Reserve announced a 75 basis point rate hike. Also, the appearance of precise dates for Ethereum’s transition to the Proof-of-Stake protocol had a positive impact on some token prices.
What factors are affecting the crypto-market at the moment, and what may be the dynamics of rates soon?
Downward pressure
The main reason for the growth of the CFA market in recent days is fundamental pressure on the market by the U.S. Federal Reserve. Tightening of the monetary policy occurs softly, without dramatic raises of rates over the forecasts.
Decreased pressure of authorities together with low rate of taper (gradual reduction of economic stimulation by central banks) allows cryptocurrency investors to increase volume of purchases without fear of price fall because of actions of regulators.
In the case of a positive scenario, Bitcoin may test the $30,000 level. The current volume of purchases and activity in the networks will not allow the price to grow significantly. As we remember, Bitcoin prices all-time high in 2021. Before we see the market rise to historic highs, the price could still fall this year. Therefore, I recommend buying cryptocurrency at current prices with an eye on the fact that there is a possibility of a price correction after the rise.
Intermediate Bottom
The corrective channel that started with the lowest prices in June emerged as an intermediate stop before further declines. This was confirmed by the price exiting through the upper boundary and returning back. Quotes were already moving to the lower boundary, but the situation became more complicated. Now there was another exit over the upper boundary, but it happened in the absence of the necessary conditions for growth.
The ascending wedge on the Bitcoin price chart, which indicates a limited upside potential. The price is on top, which does not allow an upward movement to develop. Globally, the situation has not changed, but further downward hikes will be possible already in the new formation.
The current price impulse has occurred without any serious reason, and soon nothing special is expected. Negative influence can be made by such factors as investigations concerning Coinbase or legislative decisions on stablecoins in the USA.
But the impact of external factors should not be overestimated, because the crypto market only matters supply and demand, not reporting, like the stock market, the expert said. He suggested that the increase in rates could simply contribute to large purchases in a situation of reduced liquidity.
Bitcoin prices by the end of 2022: Downside risks exist
In the coming weeks, the main focus of market players is on Ethereum’s transition to the PoS version, which will make adjustments to the activities of miners and investors around the world. The overall outlook for Ethereum is assessed positively. But the current growth in the value of ETH will probably not be unstoppable: there are risks of falling prices amid the problems of ETH 2.0.
Market participants are upbeat now, despite the recession risks in the US. The U.S. inflation data, which will be released in mid-August, will be slightly better than forecasts, and this will entail a positive reaction of the economy to the Fed’s actions. These events will cause stock markets to rise, which will also support crypto-asset prices.
If inflation data turns out to be bad, it will cause a flight out of risky assets, a drop in stock markets and an expectation of tougher Fed action. This is what could momentarily put pressure on cryptocurrency, causing prices to return to their sideways rally without a surge.
Now the main task of sellers is to prevent the enthusiasts, who bought Bitcoin at the exit of the channel for the first time (in mid-July), from making money. This means a possible movement downwards and fixing of stop-orders at $21K. After that, the support level will be broken and the rate will go down: at first, towards $19K and then to the local minimum of $17.5K. Well, the price growth up to $100K is rather Bitcoin price prediction 2025.
Cryptocurrency
El Salvador Buys the Dip, Adds 11 BTC to Its Holdings
El Salvador has expanded its Bitcoin reserves by purchasing an additional 11 BTC on February 4.
The move is part of President Nayib Bukele’s ongoing strategy to accumulate the cryptocurrency, particularly during market downturns.
Bitcoin Purchases
According to the Nayib Bukele Portfolio Tracker, the latest acquisition brings El Salvador’s total holdings to 6,067.18 BTC, valued at approximately $613.7 million.
The country initially implemented a strategy of purchasing one Bitcoin per day but has recently accelerated its accumulation pace. Its National Bitcoin Office revealed via a February 4 post on X that in the past week alone, it has added over 20 BTC to its reserves.
President Bukele has made it clear that El Salvador’s goal is to continue acquiring more Bitcoin. He previously teased about getting the chance to “buy Bitcoin at a discount” after the U.S. government announced a $6.7 billion sale, an event typically associated with price volatility.
In September 2021, El Salvador became the first country to officially adopt BTC as a legal tender with the enactment of the Bitcoin Law. Since then, the government has introduced several initiatives connected to the cryptocurrency, including bonds, volcano-powered BTC mining, and a citizenship program linked to investments, while continuing to expand and maintain its holdings.
Last month, Bukele’s administration secured a $1.4 billion financing agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which included commitments to scale back certain Bitcoin initiatives.
Under the agreement, businesses are no longer required to accept cryptocurrency as payment, tax settlements in BTC have also been discontinued, and the government’s role in the state-backed Chivo wallet has been reduced.
El Salvador Remains Committed to Bitcoin Strategy
The IMF has repeatedly expressed concerns over El Salvador’s Bitcoin adoption, warning of potential financial stability risks. However, despite the recent policy adjustments, the government remains committed to its broader strategy.
In December 2024, Stacy Herbert, director of the National Bitcoin Office, hinted that El Salvador would accelerate its Bitcoin acquisitions. She recently reaffirmed this position, stating:
“El Salvador will continue buying Bitcoin (at possibly an accelerated pace AND at a discounted price) for its Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.”
The Central American nation’s crypto policies have also attracted interest from major industry players. Tether, the issuer of the world’s largest stablecoin, recently relocated its headquarters to the country. The firm cited its supportive regulatory environment and long-term economic vision for the move.
Additionally, President Bukele has personally invited Rumble CEO Chris Pavlovski to consider moving his company’s operations to El Salvador, further showing the country’s commitment to its Bitcoin-centred approach.
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Cryptocurrency
Dogecoin’s Price Could Hit $1.25 by May, Analyst Predicts
The crypto market is showing signs of recovery following a rollercoaster for a few days, and thoughts are turning to how high some of the more popular assets could go in the coming days and months.
One analyst has suggested that the largest meme coin by market cap, Dogecoin (DOGE), could shatter its current all-time high price and break past the $1 level by May, drawing from historical trends and technical patterns.
Bullish Symmetry
Pseudonymous crypto analyst Master Kenobi recently highlighted DOGE’s price symmetry over the past year. He noted that the OG meme coin followed a cyclical pattern of two major pumps, the first coming in February 2024 and the second following six months later in August.
While the initial surge saw the coin’s value go up at least 3 times, the gains were all lost following a significant crash in August. However, it rallied a second time soon after, with its price multiplying six times.
This particular pump also came to an abrupt end over the weekend when the entire crypto market shed more than $400 billion, triggered by a squabble over tariffs between the United States and three of its trading partners, Mexico, Canada, and China.
Dogecoin holders saw about 57% of the profits they had gained over the last five months disappear within 24 hours as the market reacted to the tariff impasse.
Despite the setback, Kenobi sees potential for another upswing. According to the analyst, DOGE’s green trendline support, which was a key level, has now turned into resistance. Consequently, if the meme coin breaks above that level again, it could trigger a strong rally.
The analyst laid out two possible scenarios for the token’s price action: On one hand, it could repeat the rally from February last year, with a peak forming by the end of the month. The second possibility is that it could follow an extended consolidation period before hitting new highs by mid-April or early May.
Kenobi is leaning more towards the latter case, estimating that if DOGE mirrors the August 2024 pattern, then a 6x rally from the current bottom could push its price to at least $1.25.
Market Sentiment Divided
The analyst’s prediction has come only a day after reports emerged that several Dogecoin whales had offloaded 270 million tokens worth about $70 million within 24 hours. This mass sell-off increased supply and raised concerns about further price declines if demand fails to keep up.
Another well-regarded market watcher, Ali Martinez, previously flagged a bearish crossover between DOGE’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio and its 30-day Simple Moving Average. According to him, this signal could indicate further price drops in the near term.
At the time of writing, the cryptocurrency was back in the green, jumping 5.9% in the last 24 hours. However, the current price is still 21% below its seven-day peak of $0.3398, underperforming the broader crypto market, which is down 5.7%.
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Cryptocurrency
US Prosecutors Charge Canadian Hacker in $65M Crypto Heist
U.S. authorities have charged 22-year-old Canadian Andean Medjedovic for allegedly stealing approximately $65 million from two decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols, Indexed Finance and KyberSwap.
The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announced on February 3 that a federal court had unsealed a five-count indictment against him.
The Charges Against Medjedovic
According to court documents, Medjedovic manipulated smart contracts on the two platforms between 2021 and 2023, tricking the protocols into miscalculating key financial variables. This allowed him to withdraw funds at artificial prices, causing significant investor losses.
Prosecutors say he laundered the stolen money through digital asset swaps, bridging transactions, and crypto mixers in an attempt to hide the illicit proceeds.
U.S. Attorney John J. Durham described the alleged crimes as a “highly sophisticated scheme to exploit two decentralized finance protocols and steal tens of millions of dollars’ worth of cryptocurrency from investors.”
Authorities further allege that after the KyberSwap exploit, the accused sought to extort the protocol’s developers and investors, demanding full control of the platform and its DAO in exchange for returning half of the stolen assets.
Medjedovic is charged with wire fraud, unauthorized damage to a protected computer, attempted extortion under the Hobbs Act, and two counts of money laundering. If convicted, he could receive a maximum sentence of 10 years for the computer damage charge and up to 20 years for the other four counts.
The Suspect’s Trail
The Canadian has been on the run since stealing from Indexed Finance in 2021. He has defended his actions online by claiming they were legal under the disapproved “code-is-law” argument, which suggests that exploiting flaws in smart contracts is fair game.
In a 2023 interview with DL News, Medjedovic stated he had traveled through Europe and Latin America, eventually settling on an undisclosed island. While he dodged questions about the exploit, he insisted he had turned to ethical hacking as a “more sustainable mode of being.”
Months later, KyberSwap was drained of approximately $50 million in crypto. Blockchain investigators linked the incident to a wallet associated with the 22-year-old that later transferred $2 million to a separate one also tied to him.
After the exploit, prosecutors say he tried to move stolen crypto to Ethereum but was blocked by developers. Frustrated, he allegedly contacted support to demand they process the transaction.
Laurence Day, a co-founder of Indexed Finance, believes the suspect’s arrest will bring little relief to victims. He noted that much of the stolen crypto was later taken in a separate hack, complicating recovery efforts.
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