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Bitcoin price prediction – “Will Bitcoin go back to the low”? Why the asset risks falling in price again

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bitcoin price today

Experts explain what’s causing the rise in Bitcoin prices today and what events may affect the market soon. On July 29, Bitcoin reached a 1.5-month high of $24.4 thousand; its price went up by 5% per day, and by more than 26% over the month. Ethereum price rose to $1.77 thousand, showing a monthly increase of 70%. Current Bitcoin price is around $23,650. 

Bitcoin price prediction

The largest altcoins by capitalization are also rising in price, and the total estimate of the cryptocurrency market exceeded $1.41 trillion, while a month ago it was $946 billion.

The rise in cryptocurrency prices accelerated on the evening of July 27, when the Federal Reserve announced a 75 basis point rate hike. Also, the appearance of precise dates for Ethereum’s transition to the Proof-of-Stake protocol had a positive impact on some token prices.

What factors are affecting the crypto-market at the moment, and what may be the dynamics of rates soon?

Downward pressure

The main reason for the growth of the CFA market in recent days is fundamental pressure on the market by the U.S. Federal Reserve. Tightening of the monetary policy occurs softly, without dramatic raises of rates over the forecasts.

Decreased pressure of authorities together with low rate of taper (gradual reduction of economic stimulation by central banks) allows cryptocurrency investors to increase volume of purchases without fear of price fall because of actions of regulators.

In the case of a positive scenario, Bitcoin may test the $30,000 level. The current volume of purchases and activity in the networks will not allow the price to grow significantly. As we remember, Bitcoin prices all-time high in 2021. Before we see the market rise to historic highs, the price could still fall this year. Therefore, I recommend buying cryptocurrency at current prices with an eye on the fact that there is a possibility of a price correction after the rise.

Intermediate Bottom

The corrective channel that started with the lowest prices in June emerged as an intermediate stop before further declines. This was confirmed by the price exiting through the upper boundary and returning back. Quotes were already moving to the lower boundary, but the situation became more complicated. Now there was another exit over the upper boundary, but it happened in the absence of the necessary conditions for growth.

The ascending wedge on the Bitcoin price chart, which indicates a limited upside potential. The price is on top, which does not allow an upward movement to develop. Globally, the situation has not changed, but further downward hikes will be possible already in the new formation.

The current price impulse has occurred without any serious reason, and soon nothing special is expected. Negative influence can be made by such factors as investigations concerning Coinbase or legislative decisions on stablecoins in the USA.

But the impact of external factors should not be overestimated, because the crypto market only matters supply and demand, not reporting, like the stock market, the expert said. He suggested that the increase in rates could simply contribute to large purchases in a situation of reduced liquidity.

Bitcoin prices by the end of 2022: Downside risks exist

In the coming weeks, the main focus of market players is on Ethereum’s transition to the PoS version, which will make adjustments to the activities of miners and investors around the world. The overall outlook for Ethereum is assessed positively. But the current growth in the value of ETH will probably not be unstoppable: there are risks of falling prices amid the problems of ETH 2.0.

Market participants are upbeat now, despite the recession risks in the US. The U.S. inflation data, which will be released in mid-August, will be slightly better than forecasts, and this will entail a positive reaction of the economy to the Fed’s actions. These events will cause stock markets to rise, which will also support crypto-asset prices.

If inflation data turns out to be bad, it will cause a flight out of risky assets, a drop in stock markets and an expectation of tougher Fed action. This is what could momentarily put pressure on cryptocurrency, causing prices to return to their sideways rally without a surge.

Now the main task of sellers is to prevent the enthusiasts, who bought Bitcoin at the exit of the channel for the first time (in mid-July), from making money. This means a possible movement downwards and fixing of stop-orders at $21K. After that, the support level will be broken and the rate will go down: at first, towards $19K and then to the local minimum of $17.5K. Well, the price growth up to $100K is rather Bitcoin price prediction 2025.


BTC price holds 6% gains as Bitcoin battles for ‘crucial’ $28K support

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Bitcoin (BTC) passing $28,000 hints at bullish sentiment, but reclaiming it for good is essential, analysis says.

In an X (formerly Twitter) post on Oct. 17, Yann Allemann and Jan Happel, co-founders of on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, described the $28,000 mark as a “critical milestone” for the BTC price.

Glassnode: “Keep an eye out” for $28,000

After snap volatility, which caused Bitcoin to hit $30,000 for the first time since August, the largest cryptocurrency has managed to preserve some of its gains.

At the time of writing, BTC/USD is circling $28,500, per data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView — still up around 6% since the weekly open.

For Allemann and Happel, the pair is now at a defining crossroads.

“The crypto market is hinged on BTC’s ability to breach and consistently maintain a value north of $28k,” part of their commentary stated.

$28,000 has formed a battleground ever since Bitcoin first crossed it in early 2021, and liquidity has traditionally surrounded it as bulls and bears fight to secure control over long-term trajectory.

Data from the trading suite DecenTrader, among others, confirms that the status quo remains despite recent BTC price moves, with $28,000 lying in a zone between major longs and shorts of varying leverage.

Bitcoin liquidity data. Source: DecenTrader

“While this pivotal milestone was momentarily attained on futures, the spot market price peaked at $27.98k earlier today. It’s evident just how crucial this price point is in the larger scheme,” Allemann and Happel added.

“The rapid movements and these price thresholds aren’t just numbers. They signify investor sentiment, market dynamics. Keep an eye out for the 28k level.”

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

Road to Bitcoin halving contested

As Cointelegraph reported, predictions over what the future will bring for Bitcoin both before and after its next block subsidy halving in April 2024 differ considerably.

Related: Mining BTC is harder than ever — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

In an interview last month, DecenTrader co-founder Filbfilb eyed BTC price galvanizing itself for upside during Q4, possibly reaching $46,000 by the halving.

Some well-known market participants, however, remain risk-averse. Among them, popular trader Crypto Tony and others are betting on a pre-halving return to $20,000 for a final local bottom.

“Many can scream they are long right now and caught that move, but if your not taking profit here at resistance your doing something wrong,” he told X subscribers about the recent surge.

“I personally will not be long unless we flip that $28,500 level into support.”

BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Crypto Tony/X

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Ripple job posting hints at possible IPO, XRP community says

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Fintech payments company Ripple released a new job posting on Oct. 16 for a shareholder communications senior manager across multiple locations in and outside the United States. The job posting prompted many crypto enthusiasts to label it as an official hint about the company’s plans to go public.

The job posting outlines that the role will require direct communication with shareholders — a concept generally associated with publicly traded companies. The chosen candidate would be responsible for developing and implementing communication and relationship management strategies for “existing and prospective investors, current shareholders, and financial analysts.”

The job description emphasizes the candidate’s need to create strategic plans specifically suited for situations like “M&A [mergers and acquisitions], investments, liquidity events, and other high-impact moments.“

The role includes creating investor-focused materials like “presentations, fact sheets, case studies, and analyses“ to inform and educate potential investors about the company’s prospects and performance — a necessary component of the initial public offering (IPO) preparation process. The responsibilities of the post also include maintaining a shareholder database and managing routine communications like quarterly updates.

Related: How are crypto firms responding to US regulators’ enforcement actions?

Many XRP (XRP) proponents and the pro-Ripple community on X (formerly Twitter) are referring to the job posting as a hint that there may be an IPO. Some key executives from the company have also alluded to the possibility that Ripple might go public but haven’t given any indication of timing.

The crypto-focused payments company has recently been in the limelight due to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) lawsuit alleging XRP is a security. Ripple scored a major win in the lawsuit in July when a judge ruled that XRP is not a security in terms of sale on digital asset exchanges.

Key Ripple executives have claimed that even though the SEC lawsuit has cost them many business opportunities in the U.S., most of its remittance business lies outside America.

Magazine: US enforcement agencies are turning up the heat on crypto-related crime

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Banks’ crypto exposure must be disclosed — BIS’ Basel Committee

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The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) released a consultation paper on Oct. 17, proposing to make it compulsory for banks to disclose their crypto exposure.

The Basel Committee comprises central banks and financial authorities from 28 jurisdictions and is a forum for regulatory cooperation on banking supervisory matters. The latest consultation paper is based on the disclosure guidelines in the final prudential standard on how banks should handle their exposure to crypto assets released in December 2022.

The consultation paper aims to set a standardized “disclosure table and set of templates for banks’ crypto-asset exposures,” with a proposed implementation date of Jan. 1, 2025. The Basel Committee has opened the proposal for public comment until Jan. 31, 2024, after which the results will be published on its website.

Under the new proposed regulations, banks would be required to provide quantitative data on exposures to crypto assets and the corresponding capital and liquidity requirements. Banks would also be required to offer qualitative data on their activities linked to cryptocurrencies.

Additionally, banks would be required to offer information on the accounting classifications of their exposure to crypto assets and liabilities. In its proposal, the committee claimed that using a uniform disclosure format will encourage the application of market discipline and lessen information asymmetry between banks and market participants.

Related: Ripple joins BIS cross-border payments task force

The committee also reviewed crypto assets and bank exposure in June. At the time, the committee didn’t delve deeply into the topic, mentioning only that it was focusing on permissionless blockchains and the eligibility criteria for “Group 1” stablecoins.

The BIS has been actively involved in crypto consultations and examining the regulatory aspect of decentralized technology. Recently, the BIS and a handful of European central banks published details of a concept to develop a system to track international flows of cryptocurrencies.

Magazine: Blockchain detectives: Mt. Gox collapse saw birth of Chainalysis

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