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Bitcoin Reserves Held by Miners Witness Notable Decline Ahead of Halving: CryptoQuant

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A significant shift is occurring in the Bitcoin mining landscape as the fourth halving event approaches, which is set to reduce the supply subsidy of BTC from 6.25 BTC for every block to 3.125 BTC per one.

With approximately just 82 days left, Bitcoin miners appear to be selling their reserves, according to the latest analysis by CryptoQuant.

Miners Brace for Reduced Rewards in Halving

A notable reduction was observed in the Bitcoin reserves held by miners, coupled with a surge in BTC transfers to exchanges. Currently, the movement of Bitcoin from miners to exchanges is three times greater than the opposite flow. This pattern indicates a notable selling pressure originating from the mining community.

The fact that the miners selling their reserves is being deemed as a strategic move by CryptoQuant’s analysis.

Traditionally, miners tend to secure profits in anticipation of a halving event to cover operational expenses and prepare for future investments. This becomes especially significant as the competition in Bitcoin mining grows more intense with each halving. The reduction in the block reward following a halving event leads to a decrease in miners’ income unless there is a proportional increase in the price of Bitcoin.

To remain competitive in this changing landscape, miners find themselves compelled to invest in new and more efficient mining equipment and technologies. The capital required for these investments often comes from selling a portion of their Bitcoin reserves.

This pattern is crucial for both investors and market analysts to keep an eye on. The heightened selling pressure from miners has the potential to impact the short-term price of BTC. However, CryptoQuant also underscored the dynamic nature of the Bitcoin ecosystem, where strategic decisions made by miners can wield influence over market dynamics.

Price Revolution Post-Halving

The upcoming fourth halving, scheduled for April in the current cycle, is anticipated to follow a pattern observed in previous cycles. In last April, Bitcoin climbed all the way to $31,000. This historical trend suggests a high probability of a substantial surge post the fourth halving, potentially extending until April-August 2025 and surpassing the previous peak of $69,000.

Notably, a key takeaway from Bitcoin’s price behavior indicates a consistent pattern around each halving. The leading crypto tends to exhibit a gradual ascent about a year before the halving, sustaining this upward trajectory for 12-16 months post-halving, ultimately reaching new highs before entering a bearish phase.

For long-term investors, recognizing these patterns becomes crucial. The projected peak for this cycle is anticipated to fall between April and August 2025. It is important to adopt a strategic approach to exit the market during this period gradually, the on-chain analytic platform added.

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Cryptocurrency

Ripple v. SEC Lawsuit: Rumors Suggest Next Potential Chairman of the Regulator Will be Pro-Crypto

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TL;DR

  • Trump’s pledge to replace SEC Chair Gensler with a pro-crypto leader has sparked excitement across the community.
  • Legal experts believe such changes could lead to a faster resolution of the Ripple v. SEC case.

Gensler’s Possible Successor

Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential elections triggered a massive bull run for the cryptocurrency sector due to his shift from a previously skeptical view to a supportive stance on the asset class. During his campaign, the Republican pledged to make America “the crypto capital of the planet” and proposed creating a strategic BTC reserve.

He also expressed the intention to fire the SEC’s Chairman Gary Gensler on day 1, a promise which triggered huge enthusiasm among the XRP Army. To the uninitiated ones, the Commission and its head have been at war with numerous crypto companies, including Ripple.

Crypto X has been speculating whether the newly-elected president will stick to his promise and wondering who might replace Gensler at the helm of the securities regulator. Eleanor Terrett (a popular journalist at Fox Business) recently claimed she discussed the matter with “a person close to the Trump transition team,” who assured her that the successor “will be someone pro-crypto.”

A new SEC Chairman who is more open to innovation and less inclined to hamper the crypto industry’s advancement by constant legal battles is considered good news not only for those invested in XRP but the entire digital asset market.

The Potential Effect on the Case

Last week, Fred Rispoli (a US attorney who has been following the updates surrounding the Ripple v. SEC lawsuit) argued that the election of Trump could lead to “extreme changes” at the watchdog.

He claimed that the $125 million penalty, which Federal Judge Torres ordered Ripple to pay for violating certain securities laws, is the biggest win the agency can gain. Rispoli also thinks that the SEC’s new potential leadership will “recognize this whole case was idiotic and settle at that point.”

“This might include a reduction in the fine and an agreement that current sales of XRP by Ripple are sufficiently structured to not be investment contracts, he added.

The American lawyer Jeremy Hogan chipped in, too. He went even further, forecasting that the new leader of the SEC may dismiss all non-fraud crypto lawsuits filed over the years. Similar to Rispoli, Hogan believes the case could be officially settled for the amount of $125 million:

“It would be…awkward to settle for less than what was already awarded by a Court! The Coinbase and other cases in litigation will simply be dismissed. This will take some time. Not January, but perhaps before summer. That’s my call, and I’m sticking to it.”

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After XRP, Dogecoin Overtakes USDC to Become 6th-Largest Crypto by Market Cap

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Dogecoin (DOGE) is on a roll. The OG meme coin crossed the $0.25 mark on November 10, 2024, for the first time in three years, then added another 25% in the last 24 hours to reach $0.28. Meanwhile, its market cap surged to a three-year high and is currently hovering near $42 billion.

As a result, Dogecoin flipped XRP and the USDC stablecoin to become the sixth-largest crypto asset by market cap.

Bold Predictions For Dogecoin

Experts suggest that the token may be primed for more accelerated gains. Crypto analyst under the pseudonym ‘Mikybull Crypto’ said that Dogecoin has just experienced a “golden cross” on its weekly chart, a bullish technical signal that last appeared in Q4 2020 before a massive price rally.

With the current golden cross, the analyst suggests that the asset may once again be poised for a significant upward trend. Based on Fibonacci extension levels, price targets between $2 and $4 appear achievable in this cycle, sparking optimism for a repeat of its historic growth trajectory.

Drawing from historical price patterns, another popular crypto analyst, Ali Martinez, said that Dogecoin’s potential peak may align between the Fibonacci retracement levels of 1.618 and 2.272. If this analysis holds, it places the meme coin’s possible top in the range of $3.95 to $23.26 – a massive leap from its current price levels.

Meanwhile, another bold prediction suggests that Dogecoin could hit $30 by March 2025.

What’s Behind The Hype?

This surge can be attributed to Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, who has been vocal in his support of Donald Trump, now President-elect, and even joined him on the campaign trail. Musk hinted at a possible role as the head of a proposed Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E.). This was enough to stir humorous speculation that Musk might bring Dogecoin into the Treasury.

Following Trump’s victory and his pledges to support the crypto industry, the prices of several dog-themed assets have rallied over the past week. This includes Shiba Inu (SHIB), which moved up in market cap rankings to become one of the largest cryptocurrencies, surpassing Tron (TRX) and Toncoin (TON) along the way.

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Cryptocurrency

Cardano’s (ADA) Price Rally, Bitcoin’s (BTC) Fresh ATH, and More: Bits Recap Nov 11

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TL;DR

  • Bitcoin (BTC) hit nearly $82,000, now being the 9th-largest global asset in terms of market cap.
  • Cardano’s (ADA) price rose 76%, driven by founder Charles Hoskinson’s latest announcements.
  • Ethereum (ETH) gained 28% in the last week, with analysts eyeing a breakout past $3,200.

BTC Keeps Pumping

The past several days (ever since Donald Trump’s US presidential win) have been highly successful for the cryptocurrency market. The 47th President of America made numerous BTC-related promises during his campaign, and somewhat expected, Bitcoin has been at the forefront of gains lately.

Earlier today (November 11), its price hit a new peak of almost $82,000, while its market capitalization exceeded the staggering $1.6 trillion. This makes BTC the ninth-biggest asset in the world, surpassing well-known names like Meta (formerly known as Facebook), Tesla, and others.

BTC Price
BTC Price, Source: CoinGecko

Crypto X is full of analysts envisioning further gains for the asset. The one using the moniker Checkmate suggested that BTC has entered the so-called “Euphoria zone, convincingly breaking through the previous cycles’ ATH.” 

He also noted that the price record coincided with “a relatively cooled down MVRV ratio.” According to CryptoQuant’s data, the Market Value to Realized Value has been hovering around an index of 2.

Readings below that level indicate that the asset is in a neutral or undervalued zone, suggesting more room for price growth. On the other hand, anything above 2 signals a possible pullback in the short term due to potential profit-taking from investors.

ADA in the Spotlight

Cardano (ADA) has charted an even more substantial price increase than BTC in the past week. It currently trades at just south of $0.60, representing a whopping 76% surge for the aforementioned period.

ADA Price
ADA Price, Source: CoinGecko

It is worth mentioning that its real bull run started on November 10, shortly after Cardano’s founder Charles Hoskinson published a 40-minute long video on X. He touched upon numerous topics, including the incoming administration of the newly-elected President Trump.

Hoskinson announced plans to dedicate significant time next year to collaborating with US policymakers to help create a more thorough and potentially supportive regulatory framework for the cryptocurrency industry.

“The crypto policy should be written by the American people, by the American crypto industry, and by well-meaning lawmakers who are willing to take the time to listen.”

What About ETH?

The second-largest cryptocurrency in terms of market cap was reluctant to join the bull run shortly after Trump’s victory.

However, in the past several days, it recorded a substantial increase, with its price briefly exceeding $3,200. As of the moment, it trades at around $3,100 (per CoinGecko’s data), which is a 28% spike on a weekly scale but still far away from the all-time high of over $4,800 witnessed in November 2021. 

ETH Price
ETH Price, Source: CoinGecko

Multiple analysts noted ETH’s revival, predicting a much more impressive rally in the near future. X user Michael van de Poppe expects the valuation to “have some resistance” at around $3,200, envisioning a pump once it surpasses it. He also believes the Ethereum ecosystem will “heavily outperform in the coming period.”

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