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Bitcoin to Maintain Upward Momentum and Break Through $100K If This Happens (Bitfinex)

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With December historically a volatile and choppy month for bitcoin (BTC), analysts at the crypto exchange Bitfinex believe the digital asset could experience a short-term pullback; however, a shift in network dynamics could push it above $100,000.

According to a weekly report, BTC could maintain upward momentum this month and rally past $100,000 if short-term holder (STH) demand can meet long-term holder (LTH) supply. At the time of writing, BTC was changing hands at $94,800, following a week of consolidation between $90,000 and $98,000.

Can STH Demand Meet LTH Supply?

Bitcoin long-term holders have begun to capitalize on increased BTC demand in the market to distribute their held supply on a large scale. Heightened BTC demand from institutional investors and the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) market drove the latest rally.

The LTH supply recorded a peak in September, and since then, this cohort of market participants has distributed roughly 508,990 BTC. While this figure represents a significant volume, Bitfinex revealed that it is smaller than the 934,000 BTC LTHs spent during the March rally, which led to bitcoin’s high of $73,666.

The last eight months saw LTHs re-accumulate after distributing their bitcoins before the halving. However, with the resumption of a redistribution phase among this cohort of investors, STHs have been buying and accumulating rapidly. Per Bitfinex’s analysis, a reduction in the LTH-held supply is expected at this stage of the bull cycle.

BTC Needs ETF Inflows And Strong Demand

As LTHs continue to take profits, BTC needs positive ETF flows and strong demand from marginal buyers in the short term to maintain upward momentum. This is because the supply entering the Bitcoin market from LTHs has been sustained for the past two weeks, and a weak spot demand would fail to absorb the supply, resulting in a significant price correction.

It is worth mentioning that the LTH Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), which measures the profit margin at which this investor cohort is selling their BTC, signals the market is not near the top. In past cycles, this metric has shown LTHs selling at an average profit of 3.5x at market tops; however, at the time of writing, the SOPR average hovered around 2.6x.

Also, the final leg of the bull market starts when the STH supply crosses the pre-halving cycle high of 3,282,000 BTC; this figure is currently at 3,252,000 BTC.

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Cryptocurrency

New ATHs for BNB and TRX as BTC Returns to $97K (Market Watch)

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Bitcoin faced some extreme volatility yesterday amid the latest developments in South Korea, but it managed to recover its losses and is back to roughly $97,000.

The show, though, belongs to a few altcoins once again, such as TRX and BNB, both of which have soared to new all-time highs.

BTC Back to $97K

After last week’s bounce-off from $91,000, the primary cryptocurrency went on the offensive and shot above $98,000 on Friday. However, the bears came out of the woods again at that point and didn’t allow another attempt at cracking into six-digit price territory.

BTC slipped during the weekend and stood within a range between $96,000 and $97,000. Monday began with a brief surge past $98,000, which was met with tons of resistance that drove bitcoin south to under $95,000. Another volatile wave hit the market with a surge to $97,500 and a subsequent rejection to $94,500.

A similar scenario repeated yesterday amid the brief martial law in South Korea, and BTC dumped to $93,500 this time, with warnings about an even more severe correction.

However, the cryptocurrency headed in the opposite direction and now sits close to $97,000 after recovering over three grand since yesterday’s low.

Its market cap has reclaimed the $1.9 trillion line, but its dominance over the alts has dumped again to 51.3% on CG.

Bitcoin/Price/Chart 4.12.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/Price/Chart 4.12.2024. Source: TradingView

TRX, BNB at New Peaks

As reported earlier, TRX emerged as today’s top performer as it skyrocketed by almost triple digits at one point and shot above $0.4 to mark a fresh all-time high. Binance Coin is another larger-cap asset that charted a new peak of almost $800.

Other notable gainers from the larger-cap alts include AVAX, TON, DOT, BCH, ETC, and FIL. Ethereum has gained more than 3% and sits above $3,700.

The total crypto market cap has added another $60 billion since yesterday and sits at a peak of its own at over $3.730 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

Long-Term Bitcoin Holders ‘Pumping Sell-Side Brakes’ as Consolidation Continues: Analyst

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“One of the biggest misconceptions in Bitcoin is that HODLers never sell,” said on-chain analyst James Check on X on Dec. 3. However, they do sell, and they’re currently keeping prices from moving higher, he added.

Bitcoin has been range bound, oscillating around $95,0000 since Nov. 20, two weeks ago. It has failed to register a new all-time high but remains in price discovery as long-term holders are “pumping the sell-side brakes,” said Check.

Pumping The Bitcoin Brakes

Right now, markets are approximately six times off the FTX cycle low, “and the market has hit resistance, chopped around, and corrected from similar levels in both of the prior cycles,” he added in a newsletter on Dec. 2. However, it has still powered onward to massively higher highs.

The analyst compared the market to a car, with demand being the accelerator and sell-side pressure being the brakes. The demand is “pedal to the metal,” with Michael Saylor and the spot Bitcoin ETFs hammering the buy-side, he said before adding:

“If the Long-Term Holders are pumping the sell-side brakes at an equal magnitude, the car isn’t going anywhere.”

Following a parabolic monthly candle of $26,000 in November to the psychological $100,000 barrier, a period of consolidation where the asset can build market structure is a healthy phase.

On-chain analysis platform Glassnode concurred, reporting that daily realized profits to exchanges have cooled off significantly, representing a 42% drop from the peak in mid-November.

“This sharp decline signals reduced profit-taking activity, suggesting the market has entered a consolidation phase.”

Bitcoin dipped to $93,700 on Dec. 3 as political tensions in South Korea escalated but regained $96,000 during the Wednesday morning Asian trading session, keeping it within its sideways channel.

Analyst ‘Rekt Capital’ reported that BTC continues to retest the series of lower highs as support, adding that as long as this continues, the asset should be able to reclaim the ~$96,400 support area, which was touched a couple of hours ago.

Elsewhere on Crypto Markets

Total capitalization is at an all-time high of $3.67 trillion, and altcoins are driving it there at the moment.

Today’s big movers are Binance Coin (BNB), which gained 15% to hit an all-time high of $771, and Tron (TRX), which surged a whopping 68% to an all-time high of $0.43 during early trading on Dec. 4.

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After XRP and TRX, Is PEPE The Next Altcoin to Explode in Price?

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TL:DR;

  • Several altcoins have popped up in the past few weeks to register massive double- and even triple-digit gains at some point.
  • Will PEPE be the next in line? Some whale activity suggests so.

Alts’ Rally

The current crypto environment screams altseason. It all started after Donald Trump’s decisive victory in the US presidential elections when DOGE, alongside BTC, skyrocketed to new multi-year peaks, perhaps due to the asset’s affiliation with Elon Musk.

Since then, bitcoin has stalled and is in consolidation mode, while DOGE has calmed. However, numerous other altcoins have started to pop up frequently. XRP was at the forefront of these rallies, surging by more than 420% within a month, charting a 7-year high, and becoming the third-largest cryptocurrency by market cap.

The past 24 hours have seen the rise of two other bright stars – Tron and Binance Coin. Both have blasted through their previous ATHs, especially the former. TRX shot up by more than 70% and jumped above $0.43 to mark a fresh peak.

Other noteworthy contenders include XLM, HBAR, DOT, and AVAX. Now, the community has started to speculate on which altcoin will be next.

Is PEPE Next?

The third-largest meme coin also soared in value after Trump’s win and marked a new all-time high on November 14 at $0.00002457 (CoinGecko data). This came after numerous listings on large exchanges and a growing hype within the community.

Similar to DOGE, though, it retraced in the following weeks and now sits below $0.000021 – or 15% away from its peak from last month. It has remained somewhat on the sidelines, with the focus going on many of the aforementioned assets.

However, it seems certain large investors, known as whales, are turning their attention back to it, which could suggest a further rally. Data from Lookonchain shows that a single whale had accumulated and withdrawn nearly $7 million worth of PEPE in the past 20 days. Such large purchases and withdrawals often precede price increases due to the declining available supply and immediate sell pressure.

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