Cryptocurrency
Bitget’s 2024 Bitcoin Report: ORDI’s High Potential and Lightning Network’s Crucial Role
[PRESS RELEASE – Victoria, Seychelles, December 15th, 2023]
Bitget Research, the research arm of Bitget, the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchange and Web3 company, has released a research analysis delving into macro and micro trends within the Bitcoin ecosystem. This report offers insights for investors and outlines potential future technological and financial trends for Bitcoin and its assets within the network for 2024.
Given the future macroeconomic environment and market conditions, the Bitcoin ecosystem presents a promising outlook. Not only do popular cryptocurrencies like BTC and ORDI have significant potential for appreciation, but there will also be new exciting opportunities for coins within the Bitcoin ecosystem. While the trading volume in the Bitcoin NFT market has surged, its current scale remains relatively small, indicating the anticipated potential for growth in the future. Simultaneously, the Lightning Network is expected to serve as the primary technological support for the broader adoption of Bitcoin payments in the short to medium term.
Combining the above analyses, Ryan Lee, Chief Analyst at Bitget Research makes some major predictions of future trends in the Bitcoin ecosystem. He predicts “If the Bitcoin ecosystem continues to expand, the surge in demand for Bitcoin may drive the price of BTC to surpass its previous highs in the upcoming bull market, potentially reaching as high as $100,000. As the leading coin of the Bitcoin ecosystem, ORDI will rank in the top 30 by market cap in the next bull market. “
“Protocols like Bitcoin, Ordinal, Atomical, and Taproot have significant potential for growth, with new opportunities arising for 100x coins and NFTs within these ecosystems. And in the short term, the Bitcoin ecosystem will retain the ‘one project, one protocol solution’ status, fostering a variety of Bitcoin protocols. In the long run, a BTC virtual machine will emerge within the ecosystem, unifying developer compile environments. On the other hand, the Lightning Network will be the largest technical foundation supporting the continued adoption of BTC payments, with more assets to be issued on it.” He continues.
Key Takeaways:
- ORDI: Currently, ORDI’s market cap stands around $400 million, suggesting a high potential when compared to the $4.9 billion market cap of SHIB, one of the leading ETH memecoins. However, the introduction of the Ordinals protocol, while offering new functionalities to the BTC network, also brings challenges. Ordinals function by embedding data into individual Bitcoin transactions, occupying considerable block space and increasing the complexity of using the Bitcoin network as Ordinals map BRC-20 and Ordinals NFT to specific Satoshis. These hurdles require collective attention from the community and developers.
- Improved Miner Revenue: The launch of the Ordinals protocol has significantly boosted Bitcoin miners’ earnings over the past three months, with the proportion of earnings from on-chain fees rising gradually from 1.7% in August to a peak of 19.57% on November 10. These improvements to miners’ earnings will, in turn, lead to further support for the BRC-20 asset class and the Bitcoin ecosystem from the heavily capitalized miner community.
- The Lightning Network: The Lightning Network is poised to be the primary technological support for the broader adoption of Bitcoin payments in the short to medium term with its almost instantaneous transaction processing and new micropayment options in the digital economy. However, setting up and maintaining channels on the Lightning Network is more complex than conducting simple Bitcoin transactions. Therefore, users need to understand how to open, manage, and close channels, raising the entry barrier for the wider adoption of Bitcoin payments.
- Potential Bottlenecks: The question of whether the Bitcoin ecosystem can sustain its current growth trajectory is challenging to predict, but data hints at potential shifts. As a global cryptocurrency, Bitcoin strengthens its consensus with increased acceptance. Yet, bottlenecks may emerge within the ecosystem for two main reasons. Firstly, Bitcoin’s limited scalability impedes application implementation, causing bottlenecks at this stage and potentially affecting the ecosystem’s overall development pace. Secondly, Bitcoin’s core developers, mostly conservative, hold reservations about various asset protocols within the Bitcoin ecosystem. If prices drop or innovation stalls, this stance could hinder ecosystem development.
Overall, considering the future macro environment and market conditions, the Bitcoin ecosystem shows promising development prospects. Assets like BTC, ORDI, and Bitcoin NFTs have potential for growth, with new opportunities arising for various coins within the Bitcoin ecosystem. The Lightning Network is poised to act as the primary technical backbone facilitating the wider adoption of Bitcoin payments.
“This in-depth report is an invaluable source, providing historical insights into the development of the Bitcoin network and unique perspectives on potential future scenarios. The profound insights from the report will play a pivotal role in guiding Bitget’s comprehensive plan for product and platform enhancement,” said Gracy Chen, Managing Director of Bitget. “Bitget remains steadfast in its commitment to supporting and advancing these trends within the evolving Bitcoin ecosystem and the Web 3 industry.”
In line with Bitget’s efforts to support the development of the BTC ecosystem, Bitget Wallet is strategically focused on expanding its support for the Bitcoin ecosystem. Apart from offering basic functionalities like providing support for BTC asset management, swaps, and on-ramping, Bitget Wallet also offers Taproot compatibility together with asset transfers for BRC-20 tokens and NFTs. Users can track market trends on Bitget Swap and interact with popular projects on Bitget Wallet’s DApp browser. In the future, Bitget Wallet will place its focus on medium to long-term market prospects of the Bitcoin ecosystem, and work to enhance both its technological infrastructure and product features. This also includes increased investments in key areas such as Lightning Network, Nostr and Taproot Assets, BRC-20, and ARC-20 inscriptions.
About Bitget
Established in 2018, Bitget is the world’s leading cryptocurrency exchange that offers Copy Trading services as one of its key features. Serving over 20 million users in more than 100 countries and regions, the exchange is committed to helping users trade smarter by providing a secure, one-stop trading solution. Bitget inspires individuals to embrace crypto through collaborations with credible partners, including legendary Argentinian footballer Lionel Messi and official eSports events organizer PGL.
To safeguard users’ funds on the platform, Bitget adopts top-notch security and protection measures, including a $300 million Protection Fund, a Fund Custody service, pledged to be fully reserved back by the Merkle Tree Proof of Reserves model.
For more information, visit: Website | Twitter | Telegram | LinkedIn | Discord
BitGet is the source of this content. This Press Release is for informational purposes only. The information does not constitute investment advice or an offer to invest.
Contact
Rachel Cheung
media@bitget.com
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After a worrying start to the month, Ethereum finally showed signs of recovery as April progressed. The altcoin climbed to nearly $1,830 a few days ago before facing a small correction.
In the backdrop of this uptrend, the Ethereum network fundamentals appear to be heating up.
Active Addresses Surge
CryptoQuant’s latest analysis stated that Ethereum’s active addresses increased from 306,211 to 336,366 within just two days, an almost 10% jump. This surge, coupled with a rise in the price of Ether, indicated heightened network activity and growing interest in the blockchain.
This recent uptick is seen as a positive indicator for Ethereum, especially given its role as the foundation for many major blockchain projects. With Ether being a cornerstone of the broader altcoin ecosystem, any significant price movement in ETH is likely to influence the entire market.
As Ethereum continues to grow, the momentum may spark further growth across decentralized applications and projects built on the network.
“Final thought: Since Ether is the most important token in the Altcoin ecosystem, what would happen if its price explodes? The answer: very likely, the entire ecosystem would move with it.”
Institutional Offloading of Ethereum
With regards to Ethereum’s cost basis distribution, there is a significant concentration of supply around the price level of $1,895, where approximately 1.64 million ETH is held. This concentration indicates a key overhead resistance point, as many holders at this price level were last active in November 2024, during the crypto asset’s rally.
At that time, these investors purchased ETH, driving their cost basis higher. This suggests that as ETH approached this price range earlier this week, it faced selling pressure from these holders who sought to break even or secure profits.
As selling pressure mounts around this price level, it coincides with a broader trend of institutional offloading. For instance, Galaxy Digital transferred 65,600 ETH, worth $105.5 million, to Binance, which was a noticeable decline in its Ether holdings from about 98,000 ETH in February to 68,000 ETH, as tracked by Arkham.
Ethereum funds also faced significant outflows. Meanwhile, CoinShares reported $26.7 million in outflows last week, which pushed the total outflows to $772 million over the last two months. Despite these outflows, the altcoin has seen positive net inflows of $215 million year-to-date.
Galaxy Digital is not the only entity that has cut its Ether position. In fact, Paradigm has also reduced its exposure, as it transferred 5,500 ETH ($8.66 million) to Anchorage Digital on April 22nd.
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Bitcoin has gained significant momentum over the past week, surging 10% against the US dollar after a relatively quiet and often painful spring. After recently hitting two-month high, the world’s leading cryptocurrency appears to be setting its sights on a new all-time high, and this signals a potential new phase for the asset.
Experts point to several factors contributing to Bitcoin’s resurgence.
Bitcoin’s Decoupling Cycle
According to CryptoQuant’s latest analysis, the weakening of the US dollar, which has historically shown an inverse correlation, is a factor. As the dollar drops, Bitcoin typically strengthens, a trend that seems to be playing out once again.
Another potential catalyst for BTC’s rise is the ongoing geopolitical situation. Market uncertainties, particularly due to trade tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, have recently shown signs of de-escalation. Reports indicate that the tariffs, which have weighed on markets, could be moderated as political leverage shifts.
In addition, talks surrounding a possible peace deal in Ukraine have sparked optimism. Should these negotiations result in a resolution, high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies could benefit significantly.
Perhaps the most significant trend in Bitcoin’s performance is its decoupling from traditional markets. Over the past seven days, Bitcoin has notably separated from both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, indicating a weakening correlation with traditional stocks. The correlation coefficient with the S&P 500 has dropped from 0.88 in late 2024 to 0.77, while the Nasdaq correlation has fallen from 0.91 to 0.83 in the same period.
Digital Gold Narrative
Interestingly, Bitcoin’s relationship with gold has been strengthening. The correlation coefficient with gold has improved from -0.62 earlier this month to -0.31 currently. This suggests that Bitcoin may be increasingly viewed as a store of value similar to gold.
Such a shift could signal that Bitcoin is emerging as “digital gold,” with gold potentially serving as a leading indicator for Bitcoin’s price movements in the near future.
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TL;DR
- Binance unveiled its next delisting effort, causing an immediate market fallout for the involved digital assets.
- In contrast, tokens gaining support from the exchange usually experience strong rallies, highlighting the platform’s powerful influence over short-term price action.
These Assets Take a Blow
The world’s leading crypto exchange periodically reviews each asset listed on its platform to determine whether it meets quality, safety, or market relevance standards. Based on its recent examination, it decided to terminate all trading services with Alpaca Finance (ALPACA), PlayDapp (PDA), Viberate (VIB), and Wing Finance (WING).
The delisting is scheduled for May 2, when all sport trading pairs involving the aforementioned tokens will be removed.
“The token’s valuation will no longer be displayed in users’ accounts after delisting. To view their assets after trading ceases, users should ensure they have not selected “Hide Small Balances” in all (of) their accounts,” the company clarified.
Binance explained that deposits involving these assets will not be credited to users after May 3, whereas withdrawals will become unavailable from July 4.
“Delisted tokens may be converted into stablecoins on behalf of users after 2025-07-05 03:00 (UTC). Please note that the conversion of delisted tokens into stablecoins is not guaranteed,” the disclosure reads.
Somewhat expectedly, the news triggered a major price decline for the affected cryptocurrencies. VIB and WING crashed by 42% and 36%, respectively, while ALPACA and PDA witnessed less substantial plunges.
Reactions of that type are something normal. After all, withdrawn support from Binance leads to reduced liquidity and visibility. It can also trigger fear and uncertainty by damaging their reputation, prompting increased selling pressure.
A similar thing was observed earlier this month when the exchange scrapped 14 altcoins from its platform. Some of the affected ones, including CREAM, recorded a whopping decrease of almost 60% after the announcement.
The Pumping Effect
Conversely, embracing a certain cryptocurrency in one way or another from Binance often results in a significant rally. Such was the case with DeepBook (DEEP), whose price jumped by double digits earlier this week after the trading venue launched the DEEP/USDT perpetual contract with up to 50x leverage.
Other examples include Cat in a Dogs World (MEW), whose valuation headed north after the company placed it in its pre-listing selection pool, Binance Alpha, and Tutorial (TUT), which skyrocketed by 130% following inclusion in the Binance Simple Earn section.
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