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BTC growth faces resistance from hodlers and whale inaction

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BTC growth

The last week showed that bitcoin (BTC) growth began to stall clearly at $28,000, where long-term hodlers began to actively fix profits. The decline in activity among the whales also added fuel to the fire. Will the bulls hold out?

Long-term hodlers sell BTC

Bitcoin (BTC) had a brisk start to the year and at the end of the first quarter was the best performing asset, having risen about 70% and leaving the S&P 500, Nasdaq and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF far behind.

However, the macro environment for digital assets is far from favorable right now, as U.S. regulators have begun to actively tighten the screws on the crypto industry. The news that the U.S. government intends to sell more than 40,000 BTC (over $1.1 billion at current exchange rates) confiscated in the Silk Road darknet marketplace case by the end of 2023 does not add to optimism.

Whales go into hibernation

Another unfavorable onchain signal for bitcoin is the relative decline in whale activity. According to IntoTheBlock, the number of large BTC transactions has been trending downward since the coin crossed the $25,000 mark. Between March 14 and April 2, that onchain figure dropped from 21,000 to 11,640 transactions.

This dynamic may indicate a lack of demand and confidence from large investors. This is considered a bearish signal, as whale activity traditionally provides the market with decent liquidity. Accordingly, a decline in their activity maylead to a decline in prices in the conditions of a liquidity outflow.

BTC forecast: probable drop below $27,000

According to IntoTheBlock’s In/Out of Money Around Price (IOMAP) stats, bitcoin’s road toward the $30,000 area could be quite bumpy. As a reminder, this metric tracks addresses that are approaching the breakeven levels and reflects the distribution of hodlers along the average purchase price lines. 

Meanwhile, strong resistance is located around $28,500. There is a cluster of 1.37 million addresses holding 821,000 coins in this area, and it seems that their owners are looking to actively lock in profits.

If sales continue, BTC could gain support at $26,800. This is the average price at which 310,000 addresses previously bought about 250,000 coins.

Earlier, we reported that USDC supply has shrunk by $10 billion in just three weeks.

Cryptocurrency

Top 10 RWA Cryptocurrencies by Development Activity: Details

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TL;DR

  • The leading token in the real-world asset (RWA) category shows higher development activity compared to its rivals.
  • Despite a recent dip in value, analysts are optimistic about a potential significant price rally for this asset in the near future.

This is the Winner

Real-world assets (RWA) represent certain physical assets, such as objects, properties, and others, and function on the blockchain through smart contracts. They have become quite popular lately, with a market capitalization equal to billions of dollars.

According to the market intelligence platform Sentiment, the token of that type that leads with the most development activity recorded in the past 30 days is Chainlink (LINK). 

“Chainlink currently produces 2.49x more daily activity than the next most active project, Synthetix, in the RWA sector,” the entity claimed.

Centrifuge (CFG), Dusk (DUSK), and Orai Chain (ORAI) rounded up the top 5 list.

“Santiment pulls notable github activity from project repositories via a back tested process to ensure only the team’s significant efforts to innovate and improve are included,” the platform explained.

LINK Price Predictions

Despite being down 10% on a two-week scale, multiple analysts remain optimistic that LINK’s value will experience a bull run in the near future

The popular X user Ali Martinez claimed that the TD (Tom DeMark) Sequential “is flashing buy signal on the Chainlink 12-hour chart.” He assumed LINK’s valuation could surge to $15.50 should it maintain above the critical resistance level of $13.87.

Michael van de Poppe was bullish, too, describing the token as one of the top 5 altcoins that can generate a 3x increase in BTC “with the lowest amount of risk.” 

Subsequently, CryptoWolf placed LINK on the list of “mooners” for the next bull cycle, while SlumDOGE Millionaire argued that it is one of the top “blue chip” cryptocurrencies at the moment.

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DOGE, SOL, AVAX Keep Plummeting as BTC Slumps Toward $62K (Market Watch)

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The positive price movements for bitcoin at the start of the business week were short-lived as the asset has lost over three grand since then and now struggles to remain above $62,000.

The altcoins are in no better state, with DOGE, SOL, and AVAX dropping by 5% or more in the past 24 hours.

BTC Drops Toward $62K

Bitcoin had a highly negative start to May that culminated last Wednesday with a price dump to a two-month low of $56,500. More volatility ensued when the US Fed said it would not raise the interest rates, but the actual recovery began at the end of last week.

BTC jumped to $59,500 before it initiated another leg up that drove it past $60,000 and $62,000 by Saturday. The gradual increases continued on Sunday, and bitcoin knocked on the $65,000 door.

After being stopped there at first, the cryptocurrency shot above it on Monday morning and tapped a 12-day peak of $65,500. However, it failed to maintain its run and started losing value rapidly.

This resulted in a price drop to $63,000, a brief bounce-off, and another decline in the past few hours to just over $62,000. Its market cap has dumped to $1.220 trillion on CG, but its dominance over the alts is up to almost 51%.

Bitcoin/Price/Chart 08.05.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/Price/Chart 08.05.2024. Source: TradingView

Alts Back in Red

Most of the larger-cap altcoins have turned red on a daily scale. Ethereum, for instance, is down to $3,000 after a 3% decline. Binance Coin has dropped to $580, ADA is down to $0.44. while XRP is close to breaking below $0.5.

Even more painful losses come from the likes of Dogecoin, Avalanche, and Solana. All of these have dumped by 5-7% in a day.

Most lower- and mid-cap alts are in a similar state, with WIF (-11%), ZBC (-7.5%), JUP (-7.5%), SUI (-7%), and FLOKI (-7%) leading the adverse trend.

The total crypto market cap has dropped to $2.4 trillion. This means that the metric is down by $100 billion in a day and $150 billion since Monday’s peak.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

FTX Has Amassed More Money Than Needed for Repayments 

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FTX filed an amended Plan of Reorganization and Disclosure Statement with the bankruptcy court on May 7 as part of its ongoing case.

The firm has proposed a way to repay creditors between $14.5 billion and $16.3 billion, which it has recovered from selling assets and consolidating funds from various entities. It owes customers and other non-governmental creditors about $11 billion.

This is billions of dollars more than it needs to cover what customers lost when the exchange collapsed in November 2022, and great news for creditors waiting for reimbursement.

FTX Back in The Black

“FTX has achieved this recovery level by monetizing an extraordinarily diverse collection of assets, most of which were proprietary investments held by the Alameda or FTX Ventures businesses, or litigation claims,” it stated in the announcement.

Under the proposed plan, 98% of FTX creditors with claims under $50,000 would receive around 118% of their allowed claims in cash within 60 days after the plan is approved.

Other non-governmental creditors would receive 100% of their allowed claims, plus potential additional interest payments of up to 9% from when FTX filed for bankruptcy.

FTX Chief Executive Officer John Ray said, “In any bankruptcy, this is just an unbelievable result.”

He added, “We are pleased to be in a position to propose a Chapter 11 plan that contemplates the return of 100% of bankruptcy claim amounts plus interest for non-governmental creditors.”

Additionally, FTX has reached settlements to resolve huge claims from the United States IRS (Internal Revenue Service) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

It aims to create a fund to provide supplemental payments to some creditors using recoveries that would have gone to regulators.

However, the payouts are still several months away as the firm finalizes its bankruptcy case.

Crypto Recovery

Much of that excess cash has been attributed to the recovery in cryptocurrency markets, particularly its heavy holdings such as Solana.

SOL prices have surged more than 1,100% since November 2022, when they fell below $12 in the wake of the exchange meltdown.

The asset is currently trading around $149, following a 4.5% decline on the day. SOL hit a 2024 high of $208 in mid-March but remains down 43% from its November 2021 peak price of $260.

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