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Cardano (ADA) Price Bounces Back: Will it Reclaim $0.35 Amid Whale Activity?

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On Friday, June 10, Cardano (ADA) price dropped to a two-year bottom of $0.23 as the markets reacted to recent SEC court filings. However, increased whale activity over the past few days has seen ADA regain 20% as it approached $0.28 on Monday morning. Will the ADA price recovery continue in the coming weeks?

Last week, Cardano’s parent firm, Input Output Global (IOG), issued a robust response refuting the Security and Exchange Commission’s claim that ADA is a security. On-chain data shows that Cardano’s (ADA) price has started flashing green signals indicating an imminent recovery.

In the last few days, crypto whale investors have started to bet big on ADA again, while long-term investors are tuning down the sell-action.

What are the chances that the ongoing Cardano recovery will see ADA price reclaim $0.35 in the coming weeks?

Cardano Whales Are Returning to Action

After taking hawkish positions during last week’s massive price retracement, Cardano whales now appear to be returning to action. Specifically, between June 8 and June 12, ADA Whale Trasanctions Count (1M) spiked 41% from 97 to 137 daily transactions.

The Whale Transactions Count (1M) metric evaluates the trading activity of millionaire investors by tracking the number of daily confirmed transactions that exceed $1 million in value.

Given the whale’s disproportional financial power, their increased trading activity, as seen above, can soak up the sell-pressure across exchanges. It could inspire other strategic investors to believe that the bottom is in for ADA.

Long-term Investors are Holding Out for More Gains

Despite the recent ADA price gains, long-term investors across the Cardano network are unwilling to sell. The Santiment chart below shows that since the ADA price dropped below $0.27 on June 10, Mean Coin Age across the Cardano ecosystem has been trending upward.

Specifically, on June 12, ADA Mean Coin Age hit 37.25. This is 3% up from the 36.15 that was recorded on June 10.

In simple terms, Mean Coin Age tracks the trading activity of long-term investors by evaluating how long coins in circulation have stayed in their current wallet addresses.

When Mean Coin Age increases marginally during a price retracement, as seen above, it signals growing confidence across the network.

Currently, nearly 54% of the total Cardano in circulation is controlled by long-term investors, i.e., those who have held for more than 1 year.

Hence, if the whales stay active and the majority of long-term investors HODL, the ADA price recovery will likely continue.

ADA Price Prediction: Mission to Reclaim $0.35

Considering the aforementioned factors, ADA could potentially rebound toward 0.35 in the coming weeks. However, IntoTheBlock’s In/Out of The Money Around Price (IOMAP) data suggests that ADA must first clear the initial resistance at $0.30.

As seen below, 202,000 investors that bought 2.31 billion ADA at an average price of $0.30 could mount a sell-wall. However, if the bullish momentum prevails, as expected, the bulls could push the recovery toward $0.35.

​​On the other hand, the bears could invalidate the positive Cardano price prediction if ADA unexpectedly drops below the critical $0.25 support zone.

But, the 47,600 investors that purchased 697 million ADA at a minimum price of $0.26 will likely prevent that. Although unlikely, ADA could retrace further toward $0.20 if that support level is breached. 

Cryptocurrency

These Altcoins Extend Losses as BTC Faced Rejection at $100K (Weekend Watch)

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Bitcoin’s price struggles continue as the asset was violently rejected at $100,000 yesterday and pushed south by over four grand in hours.

Nevertheless, many altcoins are in even worse condition, with massive double-digit losses on a weekly scale.

BTC Up and Down

It was a painful week for the primary cryptocurrency, which started during the previous weekend with a price slump from $102,000 to $97,000 on Sunday morning after Trump’s tariffs against China, Mexico, and Canada. The situation worsened on Monday morning with another nosedive to under $92,000.

However, the cryptocurrency exploded out of the blue at this point and added ten grand within hours to spike above $102,000. That was short-lived, though, as it quickly lost the six-digit price tag and headed toward $97,000.

After a few days of sideways action around that line, BTC jumped to just over $100,000 on Friday. Yet, the bears were quick to intercept the move and didn’t allow a further increase. Moreover, the rejection was quite brutal as it pushed bitcoin south to under $96,000.

The asset now struggles to reclaim that level, and its market capitalization is close to breaking below $1.9 trillion. Its dominance over the alts, though, is quite high (close to 59% on CG), as most of them have been hit harder.

BTCUSD. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD. Source: TradingView

Alts Back in Red

The alternative coins suffered even more than BTC, and many continue to be well in the red. Ethereum has dumped by 4% over the past day alone and struggles to remain above $2,600. Chainlink, SUI, AVAX, ADA, and XMR are the other substantial price losers from the larger-cap alts, with declines of up to 7%.

DOGE, BNB, SOL, and HBAR are also in the red, albeit in a less painful manner. XRP and TRX are among the few alts with minor gains over the past day.

Nevertheless, the total crypto market cap has shed another $80 billion since yesterday and is down to $3.250 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Cryptocurrency

Dogecoin Whales Keep Buying but DOGE Price Keeps Dropping

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TL:DR;

  • Dogecoin whales have gone on a real accumulation streak in the past few days, but the asset’s price has yet to recover from the substantial losses charted on a weekly scale.
  • Nevertheless, analysts remain bullish, predicting that DOGE has hit its low during this cycle and will bounce off soon.
DOGEUSD. Source: TradingView
DOGEUSD. Source: TradingView

It wasn’t all that long ago when DOGE’s price stood well above $0.4. In fact, the last time the OG meme coin traded above that threshold was on January 21, when it briefly spiked above it.

However, its downfall began immediately, and it has not touched that line ever since. The most substantial slump came during Monday morning’s market-wide crash when all crypto assets bled out, and DOGE was among the poorest performers with a price dump to $0.2 (a two-month low).

The market started its recovery shortly after, and Dogecoin even neared $0.3 on Tuesday but was quickly rejected and is down to under $0.25 as of now. This represents a 25% decline on a weekly scale.

This substantial correction comes despite Dogecoin whales’ behavior, which has been quite bullish. As reported on Thursday, these large market participants had accumulated over 750 million DOGE during the crash.

They kept buying in the following days and added another 100 million within a 24-hour period, thus further reducing the available supply.

None of those purchases have materialized in a price rebound yet. However, this hasn’t deterred certain analysts from predicting a strong recovery, given DOGE’s historical performance.

Trader Tardigrade said the meme coin had copied its 2017 price movements, and it seems to have bottomed out, which could propel it toward a new all-time high soon.

KrissPax acknowledged the substantial correction but said such moves occur every cycle and are to be expected. He noted that they tend to shake out weak hands but are actually ‘excellent times to buy more on dips and prepare for what’s coming.’

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Consolidation Persists, but Risks Remain

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Bitcoin sellers are grappling with a decisive support zone at the 100-day moving average, with a potential breakdown paving the way for a retest of the critical $90K region.

However, heightened volatility is anticipated, as price action will dictate the market’s next direction.

Technical Analysis

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

After sustained declines, Bitcoin has approached a crucial support zone where significant demand will likely emerge. This level is particularly important as it aligns with the 100-day moving average and the key psychological support at $95K. A confirmed breakdown below this region could accelerate selling pressure, pushing BTC toward the substantial $90K support area.

Conversely, a strong bullish rebound from this level could trigger a recovery, with buyers targeting a retest of the ascending channel’s midline at $100K. Bitcoin remains range-bound between $90K and $108K, and a definitive breakout from this consolidation phase will determine the market’s next major trend.

The 4-Hour Chart

On the lower timeframe, Bitcoin’s price action has been choppy, characterized by a phase of low-volatility consolidation, reflecting market participants’ indecision. The cryptocurrency fluctuates within the $90K-$108K range without establishing a clear trend.

The lower boundary at $90K remains a crucial demand zone, providing strong support since November 2024. Bitcoin could stage another rally toward $108K in the mid-term if buyers successfully defend this level. However, a breakdown below this threshold could invalidate this scenario and expose the price to deeper corrections.

Until Bitcoin decisively exits this prolonged trading range, traders should remain cautious, as heightened volatility is expected.

On-chain Analysis

By Shayan

The realized price of UTXO age bands, specifically the 1-3 month cohort, provides crucial insight into short-term holders’ behavior and overall market sentiment. This metric reflects the average acquisition price of recent buyers, serving as a dynamic support or resistance level that signals market confidence.

Historically, when Bitcoin tests this level from above, it often acts as support, suggesting that short-term holders remain confident in their positions despite elevated price levels. Bitcoin has declined toward the realized price of the 1-3 month UTXO cohort, which is around $96K. Holding above this key level reinforces a bullish market sentiment, increasing the likelihood of an extended upward trend.

However, if Bitcoin fails to maintain support at this critical threshold and breaks below, it could trigger a shift in sentiment toward fear, potentially leading to a distribution phase. As a result, price action around this level will play a decisive role in shaping Bitcoin’s short- to mid-term trajectory.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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