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ChatGPT Analyzes if the Ripple v. SEC Lawsuit Will be Over in 2024

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TL;DR

  • The lawsuit between Ripple and the SEC is approaching a crucial trial in April 2023, with potential long-term impacts on the cryptocurrency sector and possibilities of extended legal battles through appeals.
  • Ripple has gained key partial legal victories, but the final outcome and its implications are still uncertain.

Could We See the Conclusion This Year?

The lawsuit between Ripple and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission has been among the trendiest topics in the cryptocurrency industry for years. It dates back to December 2020, when the agency accused the company of illegally raising more than $1.3 billion in an unregistered securities offering by selling XRP. 

For its part, Ripple argues that its native token is a currency rather than a security and thus does not fall under the SEC’s jurisdiction.

The case is reaching its last chapter – a grand trial scheduled for April 2023, whose outcome might significantly impact the entire cryptocurrency sector. However, the beginning of the courtroom battle does not necessarily mean that the end of the dispute is around the corner. As such, we decided to ask ChatGPT if a resolution is likely to be observed before the end of the year.

The AI-powered chatbot estimated that a final judgment is expected in the summer of 2024. On the other hand, it is important to note that appeals could delay the outcome potentially until 2026:

“This means that while a decision might be reached this year, the overall legal battle could extend further due to the appeals process.”

In addition, the case has been adjourned “sine die,” which translated from Latin means “without a date.” Another factor hinting that the battle might be nowhere near its end is the SEC’s determination to win at all costs and appeal each unfavorable (for its part) ruling. Earlier this week, the popular X (Twitter) user Mr. Huber presented a flippant scenario in which the Commission drags the lawsuit for an additional decade.

ChatGPT claimed that a resolution is still possible this year, assuming both parties shake hands on a mutual agreement:

“Like many legal disputes, there’s always a possibility of settlement before a final verdict, which could be seen as a victory for Ripple if the terms are favorable.”

Who has the Better Chance?

Ripple seemingly enters the upcoming trial as the top dog, securing three vital (yet partial) court wins last year. The first occurred in July when Judge Analisa Torres ruled that the firm’s programmatic sales to secondary trading platforms did not constitute offers of investment contracts.

The magistrates later dismissed the SEC’s wish to appeal and cleared Ripple’s CEO – Brad Garlinghouse – and Executive Chairman – Chris Larsen – of all charges brought by the watchdog.

The regulator achieved a small victory earlier this year when Judge Sarah Netburn ruled that Ripple should disclose important financial records for 2022 and 2023 (as insisted by the Commission). 

 

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Cryptocurrency

UK Bitcoin Treasury Companies on The Rise, The Current Leaders in Focus

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The United Kingdom, while slow to join the race, has some rising players with notable amounts of Bitcoin in their vaults.

A new financial instrument has also emerged as an aftereffect, offering a novel, two-way method of fundraising and accumulation.

The Smarter Web Company

The technology firm specializing in web design and online marketing, listed on the Aquis Stock Exchange (SWC), has announced the launch of a new financial product called “Smarter Convert”, developed in partnership with TOBAM.

This will be an interest-free capital-raising initiative designed as a convertible bond, denominated in Bitcoin. This instrument has been completely subscribed (bought out) by TOBAM, an asset management company that has been engaged with the leading digital asset since 2016, for $21 million.

Smarter Convert’s structure is meant to align incentives for stakeholders while also providing downside protection. The asset manager used three of its funds for the purchase, and it projects that future bonds could be issued to other investors, including TOBAM, at future market prices using the same method.

The “Reference Share Price” for the initial tranche of Smarter Convert is set to £1.95, which is the closing price of the company’s stock as of yesterday. Some key terms for the product include:

  • Conversion Share Price: Equity by investors can be converted at a 5% premium to the Reference Share Price, with a 1.3288 GBP/USD conversion rate
  • Downside Protection: If bonds are not converted within 1 year, the firm will repay 98% of the value to investors

This instrument provides the opportunity to raise funds at a premium to current market prices, while also enabling the enterprise to increase its BTC holdings. However, the maximum amount attainable via this method will be capped at around 30% of the existing unburdened stash.

The Smarter Web Company has a Bitcoin balance of 2,050 coins, currently valued at $233.31 million, with an average purchasing cost of $110,040. They joined the treasury race around the end of April this year, and are positioned in 27th place on the BitcoinTreasuries site.

Satsuma Technology PLC

The London Stock Exchange-listed (SATS.L) AI-focused software development company, which recently adopted a treasury strategy, has completed its second loan note capital raise, reaching £163.7M ($217.6 million), which is over 63% of its minimum target of £100 million ($133M).

The loan notes obtained from the fundraiser will be converted into ordinary shares of £0.001, subject to shareholder approval and the issuance of a prospectus by the company.

Renowned global fund managers, exchanges, and various institutions, including Kraken, Pantera Capital, DCG, and Borderless Capital, among others, backed the funding, which netted the company 1,097 BTC for which they paid £96.8M ($128 million) in cash.

Some of the proceeds from the raise will be used to expand current operations, further solidifying their focus on AI and DeFi. At the same time, the remainder will be allocated to bolster the Bitcoin coffers.

The company embarked on its treasury journey in mid-July and already holds 1,126 bitcoins, currently valued at $128.54 million, with an average purchase price of $115,149 per coin, according to the most recent data obtained from BitcoinTreasures. They are currently ranked 35th on the site’s leaderboard.

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July Saw Solid Growth in Crypto Market Capitalization: Binance Report

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The cryptocurrency market grew by 13.3% in July, driven mainly by bitcoin (BTC) hitting several price highs throughout the month. The rally attracted increased institutional interest in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and major altcoins, supported by more companies integrating digital assets into their corporate treasuries.

According to a monthly report by Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, regulatory progress in the U.S., including the passage of new stablecoin laws, helped build confidence among market participants. As a result, altcoins outperformed BTC during the month, pushing Bitcoin’s market dominance down to 60.6%, while altcoins’ share rose close to 39.2%.

Regulatory Advances Boost Crypto Market

July showed positive signs from expected Federal Reserve rate cuts and new crypto legislation. Binance noted that these developments boosted institutional demand for altcoin futures and increased corporate digital asset holdings.

Specifically, ether (ETH) saw a significant jump in corporate holdings, rising by about 127.7% to over 2.7 million ETH. This surge aligned with a 50% increase in the asset’s price, making it one of the best-performing cryptocurrencies last month.

A key regulatory milestone was the passage of the GENIUS Act, which established a federal framework for stablecoins fully backed by cash or short-term Treasuries and compliant with anti-money laundering rules. This law encouraged major banks like JPMorgan and Citi to expand pilot programs for tokenized deposits and cross-border payments.

Fintech firm Visa also acknowledged the growing importance of stablecoins in payments and plans to increase its support. On-chain stablecoin transfers remained near record levels, consistently exceeding Visa’s transaction volumes since late 2024, underscoring their expanding role in global payments.

Tokenized Stocks Gain Traction

Tokenized stocks saw growing activity in July, reaching a market value of about $370 million. Popular tokenized assets like Tesla shares and the S&P 500 ETF accounted for $53.6 million, while active on-chain addresses surged from 1,600 to 90,000, highlighting rising user participation.

Despite this growth, centralized exchanges still handle the majority of tokenized stock trading, with volumes more than 70 times higher than those on on-chain platforms. Binance suggests that if even a small portion of the global stock market is tokenized, it could create a $1.3 trillion market, paving the way for broader adoption of on-chain assets and decentralized finance.

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This On-Chain Strategy Tells You Exactly When to Buy More BTC

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Bitcoin (BTC) has been in consolidation mode for a few weeks, and analysts believe this is the right time to keep accumulating the crypto asset.

A report by the market analytics firm CryptoQuant explained a smart dollar-cost averaging (DCA) method based on Realized Price signals. This is to help investors accumulate BTC to make the most of the asset’s price appreciation.

When to Buy More BTC

DCA seeks to minimize the impact of market volatility on large crypto acquisitions. It involves the allocation of a fixed amount of capital at regular intervals regardless of the price of the purchased asset.

According to CryptoQuant analyst BorisVest, this DCA strategy offers a data-driven solution that tackles one of the biggest challenges in Bitcoin investing. This method helps investors to avoid entering the market during tops or periods of fear of missing out (FOMO). It also enables market participants to take advantage of bottoms despite fearful sentiment, reversing emotional trading cycles and leading to long-term success.

CryptoQuant’s DCA recommends buying BTC when its price falls below the one-week to one-month realized price. At such levels, short-term holders are often under increased selling pressure as they are in the red. The strategy executes hourly purchases during such periods, keeping the BTC and USD cost basis closer.

More Accumulation Needed

At press time, the one-week to one-month realized price stood around $117,700, while the price of BTC hovered around $117,760. This indicates that the market is still in the accumulation zone, although the price is nearing the realized threshold. As long as bitcoin’s price stays below the $117,700 level, investors can continue accumulating.

However, once the price climbs above the realized threshold, it is time to gradually sell the acquired assets, using the same approach.

“In essence, Smart DCA removes emotion from the decision-making process and replaces it with behavioral on-chain metrics. By buying during fear-driven dips and selling into strength, it builds a more resilient and optimized portfolio over time,” BorisVest added.

Meanwhile, traders have been taking advantage of bitcoin’s price movement to grow their holdings. CryptoPotato reported that they bought roughly 120,000 BTC as bitcoin recovered from $112,000 to $116,000 over the last two days. However, the market needs stronger accumulation to form sustainable support.

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