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Coinbase: Speculators are responsible for cryptocurrency market decline

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Analysts at Coinbase assure that long-term bitcoin holders hardly ever sell VTCs in the falling market.

Coinbase’s “Elusive Bottom,” a June report, said miners and companies forced to liquidate their positions to remain solvent amid a liquidity drain demonstrated: the industry is facing credit risks, not a crisis.

The number of bitcoin holders has dropped to 77%, although back in early 2022 the figure was 80%. The report also states that bitcoin has managed to show that it is a strong asset. The number of long-term holders was over 60%. This is even higher than at its peak in December 2017. The situation was not even affected by the high turbulence in the market. Coinbase says that centralized blockchain lenders (CeFi) increased their short-term debt at the peak of the bull trend.

“They were taking huge loans on DeFi protocols and shrinking capital to counterparties that were paying even higher interest rates. Some counterparties had duration mismatches and serious re-listing of assets on their books” provided to hedge funds and other entities,” the report said.

The report’s authors believe that the credit crunch was building up until a severe correction hit the market, reinforcing a kind of contagion effect that quickly spread through the market.

Compounding the ongoing credit crisis, listed miners, who had taken out huge loans secured against bitcoins or mining equipment during a bullish trend, were forced to sell their positions amid falling asset values. But since the top 28 publicly traded mining companies account for only 20% of Bitcoin’s hash rate, their sales don’t have a significant impact on trading volume.

Analysts at Glassnode argue that the massive drop in the market has led to a “flight of tourists and margin traders.” 

Hoarders continue to accumulate bitcoins, and the pace has increased significantly over the past month. Small holders, who hold no more than 1 BTC in their wallets, have purchased nearly 60,500 BTC in a month. And this is “the most aggressive pace in history.”

Activity in the Bitcoin network has decreased noticeably – in November there were more than 1 million active addresses daily; now the figure is about 870,000. At the same time, if you count exactly the market participants – companies and holders with multiple wallets – their number even reaches 244,000 per day.

The number of daily transactions, meanwhile, remains at about the same level. On the one hand, it speaks about the lack of demand from new market participants. On the other hand – it shows the intention of long-term investors to keep coins further.

Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Price Recovery Begins With Jump to $106K as Monero Marks 5% Increase (Market Watch)

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Following a dull weekend marked by a notable price dip to $103,000, bitcoin’s price has recovered some ground and reached $106,000 earlier today.

Most altcoins are with minor gains today, including HYPE, which has posted a 3% increase. XMR leads the larger-cap alts with a 6% surge.

BTC Aims at $106K

The all-time high registered on May 22 was followed by a violent correction on the following day when US President Trump warned that the EU might face another set of tariffs. Although the two parties reached some sort of an agreement and the tariffs were delayed for over a month, BTC failed to recapture its momentum and was stopped at $110,000 on a couple of occasions during the previous business week.

It continued to trade sideways until Friday evening, when Trump blamed China for violating their trade agreement. Beijing responded almost immediately, and bitcoin slumped by several grand. The culmination transpired on Saturday when BTC slipped to $103,100, which became a 12-day low.

However, it maintained that level on Sunday and even recovered some ground to around $104,000. During the Monday morning Asian trading session, BTC added a few more grand and tapped $106,000, where it faced some rejection and now sits about $500 lower.

Its market cap has risen to $2.1 trillion on CG, while its dominance over the altcoins is up to 61.5%.

BTCUSD. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD. Source: TradingView

XMR Pumps

Most altcoins have marked insignificant gains over the past 24 hours, such as XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, TRX, ADA, and SUI. HYPE stands out as the top performer from the largest 20 alts, while ETH has slipped inches below $2,500.

Monero’s native token has gained the most from the top 60 alts, as a 5.4% increase has pushed it to over $345. Other impressive performers include FLR, SPX, and FARTCOIN.

The total crypto market cap has increased by around $30 billion since yesterday and is up to $3.41 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

Modest Strategy Bitcoin Acquisition Brings Stash to Almost 581,000 BTC

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The world’s largest corporate holder of bitcoin continues with its BTC accumulation strategy, this time with a relatively modest purchase.

Announced just minutes ago, Michael Saylor’s brainchild has spent $75.1 million to acquire 705 BTC at an average price of $106,495 per bitcoin.

This week’s announcement is a lot smaller than almost all made since the US elections at the end of last year. Since then, the company has made countless purchases, many of which were in the billions of dollars.

Nevertheless, Strategy’s stash continues to increase and is now at 580,955 BTC, bought for $40.68 billion or an average price of just over $70,000 per BTC. This means that the current value of the holdings is well above $60 billion, given today’s bitcoin prices (or a paper gain of around $40 billion).

Earlier today, another big BTC accumulator, Metaplanet, announced its latest acquisition, which was even bigger than that of Strategy.

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Hope for Altcoins? Analysts Predict Epic Finale to This Bull Cycle

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A lot of market dynamics witnessed in past bull cycles have played out differently in this one. One of them is the on-chain patterns and trends that precede altcoin seasons, which refer to periods when alternative cryptocurrencies outperform bitcoin (BTC).

While traders are skeptical that the market will witness an altseason before this cycle is over, analysts at the on-chain data intelligence platform CryptoQuant believe that all hope is not yet lost. Investors still stand a chance to make profits with altcoins in this cycle.

Not Time to Lose Hope

In previous cycles, BTC rallies were preceded by a steady decrease in the proportion of mid-to-long-term holding volumes. With new capital flowing into the market at the time, altcoins eventually surged towards the end of those cycles. However, the opposite has been the case this time; mid-to-long-term holding volumes have surged each time BTC rallies to new highs.

According to pseudonymous analyst Crypto Dan, the price movement of altcoins in this cycle has tallied with that of BTC. Bitcoin has constantly faced corrections after small gains in this cycle, and during those dips, altcoins have also suffered significant declines, indicating overall weakness.

The current bull cycle is nearing its final stages, and at this phase, it is almost impossible for investors to make profits with altcoins. However, since altcoin rallies have corresponded with BTC surges, Dan insists there is still hope.

When Altseason?

Bitcoin is yet to experience its final leg for this cycle, which means the asset’s dominance is likely to decrease. If the market plays out as Dan predicts, then altcoins may experience higher rallies than seen in previous patterns when bitcoin’s dominance plummets, marking the end of the cycle. Hence, all indicators point to bitcoin’s next upward move, which could occur at any moment from now.

“It’s not time to abandon hope just yet. Since we’re already in the latter half of the cycle, it’s worth waiting for Bitcoin’s next upward move,” Dan stated.

It is worth mentioning that Dan is not the only analyst who believes altcoins still stand a chance. CryptoPotato reported that many other traders and analysts believe this altseason will be epic, making the rally seen in 2021 seem tiny.

However, some have warned that not all tokens will go up during the altcoin season. Only a few chosen assets will record significant gains as they attract new liquidity.

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