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Crypto investors gave bitcoin prediction today in anticipation of Fed meeting

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bitcoin predictions 2023

As the publication of the Fed’s next key rate decision approaches, the market has been flooded with bitcoin prediction analysis about BTC’s reaction to the event.

Bitcoin prediction today — A rare bottom

Popular in the crypto community analyst Peter Brandt, who managed to correctly predict the crypto winter of 2018, in his bitcoin forecast analysis, confirmed the passage of the cryptocurrency bottom. According to their observations, the coin formed a cyclical low in the form of a rare figure of technical analysis — a fulcrum (bottom) with two walls.

Reflexivity Research co-founder Will Clement also believes bitcoin has already passed the cyclical bottom. In his opinion, investors are at a stage of “disbelief” regarding the psychology of market cycles.

Bitcoin predictions 2023 — The psychology of market cycles

Analyst Oriel Ohayon joined bitcoin predictions today, predicting that the lows have been left behind. According to his observations, a bear market lasts about a year. After that comes a three-year bull market. Oriel-Ohayon bitcoin prediction is based on the theory of cyclicality. Recall that every four years the BTC network experiences a halving. A halving of the cryptocurrency’s mining rate, as the history of observation of the coin shows, triggers its growth. The reason is the formation of a shortage of bitcoins in the market amid the growing popularity of digital assets.

Bitcoin forecast analysis — where next

Many members of the cryptocurrency community support a positive outlook for bitcoin. Among the signals that can support the growth of the cryptocurrency, the network users highlight the long-awaited exit of BTC from the narrowing wedge, as well as the MACD indicator moving into the bulls’ zone and the coin’s approach to the 200-day curve on the weekly chart.

Many crypto investors believe that the nearest target for BTC may become $25K. Over time, analyst Lark Davis is sure that the positive dynamics will bring bitcoin to the level of $100K. At the same time, some participants in the crypto community do not exclude the possible correction of BTC before further growth.

Following the stock market

To recap, bitcoin went up at the beginning of January amid the positive dynamics of the stock market, behind which the coin, as history shows, repeats the movements. Market participants paid attention to the fact that the S&P 500 managed to break the border of the downward channel, in which it has been moving since early 2022.Bitcoin echoed the positive dynamics of the index.

Bitcoin forecast 2023 — S&P 500 Index and BTC

On Wednesday, February 1, at 10:00pm, the results of the Fed meeting will be released, including new key rate values. According to CME-FedWatch, the regulator may slow down the rate hike to 0.25pc. Recall that the first step to slow the Fed rate increase was recorded in December 2022 (+0.5 p.p.). Before that, the market experienced four rate hikes of 0.75 p.p.

Crypto-investors believe that the Fed’s policy easing could support the stock market, which, in turn, can support the positive dynamics of the cryptocurrency market.

Previously, we told you that Cardano officially announced the upcoming launch of stablecoin Cardano — Djed.

Cryptocurrency

ADA, DOGE, SOL Dump Hard Again as BTC Slides Below $97K (Market Watch)

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After heading toward $100,000 yesterday, bitcoin’s price has taken another wrong turn as the asset has lost over three grand since then.

The altcoins are also deep in the red, with massive daily price declines from the likes of SOL, DOGE, ADA, AVAX, LINK, SHIB, and many others.

BTC’s Short-Term Recovery

Although the business week started quite spectacularly for BTC, whose price skyrocketed from $101,000 to a new all-time high of over $108,000 by Tuesday, it actually turned sour on Wednesday after the latest US FOMC meeting.

The primary cryptocurrency began a massive correction that culminated on Friday with a price slump to around $92,000. Thus, the asset had lost more than $16,000 in just 72 hours.

At this point, the bulls finally managed to halt the freefall and helped BTC climb to $95,000. It kept going north on Saturday morning and jumped to $99,600. As the community was preparing for a potential challenge for the six-digit mark, bitcoin’s trajectory reversed once gain.

BTC started to lose value once again and dropped to just under $96,000 hours ago. Despite being above that line now, bitcoin is still 2% down on the day.

Its market capitalization struggles to remain above $1.9 trillion, while its dominance over the alts has risen to 55% as most altcoins have suffered a lot more.

Bitcoin/Price/Chart 22.12.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/Price/Chart 22.12.2024. Source: TradingView

Alts Back in Red

Yesterday’s brief relief was halted as the altcoin market is back in red again. Ethereum failed at $3,500 and has slumped to $3,350 after a 3.5% daily decline. XRP was stopped ahead of $2.4 and has slipped to $2.24 now.

Even more painful daily declines are evident from SOL, DOGE, ADA, AVAX, LINK, SHIB, XLM, DOT, HBAR, APT, ICP, AAVE, and CRO, with losses of up to 11% in the case of APT.

The total crypto market cap has shed another $100 billion in a day and is down to $3.460 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

This Pivotal Level Will Determine Whether XRP Goes to $2.7 or Below $2 Again (Analyst)

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TL:DR;

  • Ripple’s cross-border token took the recent market-wide meltdown quite badly, with its price dumping from over $2.7 to under $2 within days.
  • The asset has recovered some ground but now sits at a pivotal level that will determine whether it resumes its bull run or slips once again.

The start of the business week was quite bullish for XRP as the company behind it announced on Monday that its long-anticipated stablecoin will be officially released for trading on the next day.

XRP went on a massive run, surging from under $2.4 to above $2.7 by the time the launch date arrived. However, it reversed its trajectory shortly after, and the broader market’s collapse took it south hard.

In fact, Ripple’s token came crashing by 28% from the aforementioned local peak to $1.96. Many XRP whales used this opportunity to stack up on more tokens, which perhaps helped the asset recover some ground as it pumped to almost $2.4 yesterday.

Nevertheless, it has lost its momentum once again and now struggles to remain above $2.2. According to popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez, this level is particularly significant for XRP’s future price movements.

If it manages to maintain it, the token could resume its recent bullish activities and head toward $2.7 once again. In contrast, it risks falling beneath $2 for the third time in December if it breaks below it.

XRP indeed slipped below that line to $2.17 earlier today but managed to bounce off, at least for now. The next few days will be crucial to determine XRP’s closing price at the end of the year and if there will indeed be a Santa Claus rally, as many expected.

With its most recent correction, XRP’s market cap has dropped once again to under $130 billion. This means that it has lost its third-place position to USDT, whose market capitalization is close to $140 billion.

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These Are the Top 10 Cryptocurrencies by ‘Notable Development Activity’ (Santiment)

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TL;DR

  • Internet Computer (ICP), Chainlink (LINK), and Hedera (HBAR) retained their top spots in terms of “notable development activity.”
  • The rankings are based on filtered development events that reflect real progress, emphasizing active contributions from developers.

The Top 10 List

Cryptocurrency analytics platform Santiment recently estimated that Internet Computer (ICP) ranked first in terms of “notable development activity” in the past month, collecting a score of 409.63.

The asset started December on the right foot, with its price jumping to a multi-month high of over $15. However, the latest market correction negatively affected ICP, which plummeted below $10 (per CoinGecko’s data).

ICP Price
ICP Price, Source: CoinGecko

Chainlink (LINK) claimed the second spot with a ratio of 287.07, while Hedera (HBAR) ranked third. It is interesting to note that the top 3 club looked exactly the same after the previous research. 

Starknet (STRK) climbed the ladder and was positioned in fourth place, while Cardano (ADA) lost some steam and is now fifth. 

Similar to ICP and many other cryptocurrencies, ADA was at the forefront of gains in the first week of the month. On December 7, its price touched $1.30 (a level last observed at the start of 2022). The peak was short-lived, though, with ADA currently trading at around $0.84.

The other digital assets down the line include Optimism (OP), Polkadot (DOT), Kusama (KSM), DeFiChain (DFI), and sUSD (SUSD).

Santiment’s Methodology 

To conduct the aforementioned research, the platform’s team employs the so-called Ecosystem Dev Activity Dashboard, which shows the number of development events created on various blockchains and their associated dApps. 

“These events are carefully filtered and predefined to be representative of real programming progress, meaning no low-value actions are taken into consideration. This way, any crypto-curious person can easily see which are the most active crypto ecosystems out there,” the working group explained.

The team emphasized the importance of the size of a project’s community, particularly focusing on how many members are developers and actively contributing to the ecosystem.

Finally, Santiment clarified that development activity differs from GitHub activity. The former focuses on specific types of events, excluding things like commits, forks, comments, and project management tasks. In contrast, GitHub is comprised of all kinds of factors apart from commits.

“One key distinction between Dev Activity and GitHub Activity is that Dev Activity allows for a fairer comparison between different organizations. This is because some events excluded in Dev Activity are related to Issues and Issue Comments,” Santiment’s team concluded.

Disclaimer: CryptoPotato has received a grant from the Polkadot Foundation to produce content about the Polkadot ecosystem. While the Foundation supports our coverage, we maintain full editorial independence and control over the content we publish.

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