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Crypto Market Still in Bull Cycle But There Are Worrying Signs: CryptoQuant

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The crypto market is in the red amid significant bloodshed from bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins. There is currently no bullish momentum, and BTC is hovering around key levels, falling below traders’ on-chain realized price of $65,800.

Regardless, CryptoQuant analysts insist in a recent report that the market is in a bull season.

Lack of Bullish Momentum

The lack of bullish momentum in the crypto market is evident in weak bitcoin whale demand growth and low stablecoin liquidity. Demand from large BTC holders has no strength and is growing at a monthly rate of 4.8%. Although the current rate is slightly higher than the 2.4% seen in late May, it is still a far cry from the 6%-10% recorded in the first quarter of this year, when BTC rallied to its all-time high.

In addition, traders’ demand for BTC is yet to reignite, as seen in on-chain data, which suggests that they are not purchasing the asset at the moment. This cohort of investors has been diminishing their holdings since bitcoin’s price touched $70,000 in late May.

Stablecoin liquidity, correlated with price rallies, has continued to go low, recording the slowest pace since November 2023. Tether’s (USDT) 60-day market capitalization growth has slowed from $12.6 billion in late April to $3.7 billion currently. The crypto market needs higher stablecoin liquidity for prices to surge.

BTC Could Hit $60K

Furthermore, the demand for bitcoin and ether (ETH) from United States investors is still at its weakest, which is evident in the BTC and Ethereum Coinbase Premiums staying below zero since May 20. U.S. investor demand growth is a significant driver for BTC and ETH prices.

The weak demand from U.S. investors can also be seen in spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, which have been on an outflow streak since June 13. The funds have collectively lost over $100 million every trading day in the past week.

“Indeed, CryptoQuant’s Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator is still trending downwards, signaling we remain in a bull market but without much upward momentum. The index is at its lowest level since October 2023 and below its 30-day moving average. A crossover it’s 30-day moving average is needed for the index to signal upward bull momentum,” CryptoQuant stated.

Meanwhile, BTC could decline further to $60,000 since it has fallen below traders’ on-chain realized price.

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Cryptocurrency

Zoom Meeting Scam: Crypto Users Fall Prey to Potential Russian-linked Hackers

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Cybercriminals are once again exploiting trusted tools for malicious gains.

This time, a phishing campaign centered around fake Zoom meeting links has left victims counting massive losses in cryptocurrency.

Fake Zoom Invites Mask Malware

A recent report by blockchain security firm SlowMist detailed a sophisticated phishing campaign targeting cryptocurrency users through fake Zoom meeting links. The attack has reportedly resulted in the theft of millions of digital assets.

It involved the use of a fraudulent domain resembling the authentic one. This site mimicked the genuine Zoom interface to trick unassuming victims into downloading a malicious installation package. Once executed, the malware prompted users to enter their system passwords which enabled the collection of sensitive information such as KeyChain data, browser credentials, and cryptocurrency wallet details.

Upon analysis, SlowMist said that it identified the malware’s code as a modified osascript script. The script extracted and encrypted user data before transmitting it to a hacker-controlled server flagged as malicious by threat intelligence platforms.

The server’s IP address was traced to the Netherlands, and the attackers’ monitoring tools, including logs showing Russian script usage, suggest a connection to Russian-speaking operatives.

On-chain tracking through SlowMist’s MistTrack tool revealed that the hackers’ primary wallet amassed over $1 million, converting stolen assets into 296 ETH. Further transfers led to a secondary address which is now linked to transactions across popular crypto exchanges such as Binance, Gate.io, and MEXC. A complex network of smaller wallets and flagged addresses, including those tagged “Angel Drainer” and “Pink Drainer,” facilitated fund dispersal.

“These types of attacks often combine social engineering and Trojan techniques, making users vulnerable to exploitation. The SlowMist Security Team advises users to carefully verify meeting links before clicking, avoid executing unknown software and commands, install antivirus software, and update it regularly.”

Phishing Scams Hit Alarming Highs

There has been a surge in crypto phishing scams lately. Earlier this month, a fraudulent work meeting link sent via KakaoTalk caused a person to lose $300,000 in cryptocurrency. The malware-compromised funds were transferred to a BingX-associated wallet. The link installed malware and compromised Ethereum and Solana wallets.

Another blockchain security expert, Scam Sniffer reported over $9.4 million was lost in phishing attacks in November alone. Malicious blockchain signatures remain a top threat, as scammers exploit fraudulent transaction permissions to drain wallets, including high-profile thefts exceeding $36 million.

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LINK Dumps by 9% Daily as BTC Falls to $94K (Weekend Watch)

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Bitcoin’s price actions at the end of the year are quite underwhelming as the asset tumbled from $97,000 to under $94,000 yesterday and is down by fourteen grand since last Tuesday’s peak.

The altcoins have suffered as well, with many violent price corrections from the likes of AVAX, LINK, SUI, and others.

BTC’s Struggles See No End

The Fed-induced correction began last week as bitcoin dumped from its latest all-time high of over $108,000 to $92,000 in just a few days. It managed to recover some ground last weekend and even spiked to $99,000, but that was short-lived, and the asset headed straight south on Monday.

After another slump toward $92,000, the bull took charge and pushed it to a multi-day peak of just under $100,000. However, this rally was halted quickly as well, and bitcoin started losing value once again in the following days.

After failing at $97,000 yesterday, the bears drove it down once more to under $94,000. Although it has been able to recover some ground since then and now trades above that line, BTC is still more than 2% down on the day.

Its market capitalization has dumped to $1.870 trillion on CG, and its dominance over the alts has retraced to 54.4%.

Bitcoin/Price/Chart 28.12.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/Price/Chart 28.12.2024. Source: TradingView

Alts in Red Only

The alternative coins are deep in red today as well. Ethereum was stopped on a few occasions at $3,500 and is down to $3,360 now. XRP is well below $2.2, while BNB fights to remain above $700. SOL, ADA, DOGE, and TON have produced losses of up to 3%.

Even more painful declines come from AVAX, SUI, LINK, DOT, and HBAR. In fact, Chainlink’s token has plummeted by nearly 10% and is deep beneath $22.

Most lower- and mid-cap alts are in a similar state as well. Consequently, the total crypto market cap has dumped by $150 billion in the past two days to just over $3.4 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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ChatGPT Weighs in: Can Ripple (XRP) Finally Hit New All-Time High in 2025?

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TL:DR;

  • XRP went on a wild ride at the end of 2024 but still came short when it was a matter of breaking above $3 and potentially reaching a new all-time high.
  • Will that finally change for the asset in 2025? Here’s ChatGPT’s answer.

Can XRP Break Above $3.4 in 2025?

It’s safe to say that the Trump-induced rally after his decisive win in the 2024 US presidential elections benefited some assets more than others. XRP stood quietly below $0.6 but on the hopes that the SEC lawsuit will finally be resolved during a more favorable administration and better regulations, it skyrocketed within several weeks to almost $3.

However, its run was halted there and Ripple’s native cross-border token even slipped below $2 on a couple of occasions. It now stands at around $2.15, which is more than 35% away from its January 7, 2018 all-time high of $3.4.

With just a few days left in 2024, it seems highly unlikely that this record will fall by January 1. But, what are XRP’s chances for a new all-time high in 2025? Well, ChatGPT’s answer was quite bullish, actually.

In the first part, the AI chatbot indicated that numerous analysts and forecasts envision XRP going to $4.5 in H1 of 2025, driven by “factors such as increased adoption and favorable regulatory develpoments.” Furthermore, the AI tool asserted that the asset could shot up to $7 if the aforementioed factors align with better market conditions and investor sentiment.

Nevertheless, it also had a second part to its answer, suggesting that “XRP may underperform in 2025 as investors might shift their focus to newer cryptocurrencies, potentially impacting its growth prospects.”

And Perplexity Says…?

ChatGPT’s rival also outlined XRP’s spectacular price growth at the end of 2024 and highlighted three probable scenarios for the asset for the next year. The conservative one sees XRP stabilizing between its current level and $3. The more optimistic one foresees a price rally to uncharted territory of $4.44 and $5.25.

The more outrageous prediction indicates a run toward $8 by the end of 2025. Such a price tag would put XRP’s market capitalization at roughly $500 billion, which would make it the second-largest by that metric if ETH’s stays the same.

Perplexity mentioned essentially the same factors that could propel a price rally for XRP, including better regulatory landscape in the US, bullish market sentiment across the entire crytpo fieled, and growing institutional adoption. The last part could be fastlaned if the upcoming SEC administration approves a Ripple ETF, just like it did with BTC and ETH in 2024.

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