Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and most altcoins finished September with losses. Market participants hope that the long-expected correction in current cryptocurrency rates will start in October.
Сryptocurrency price analysis
Macroeconomic factors created a bearish mood in financial markets, increasing pressure on cryptocurrency rates. The amount of fees reflects network activity and people’s willingness to use cryptocurrency. The bitcoin network generated just under $30 million in commissions during the past quarter, down 30% from the second quarter of 2022, when the amount of commissions received reached $49.2 million.
Commissions on the Ethereum network dropped nearly 80%, from $1.29 billion in Q2 to $264 million in Q3. However, despite the drop in onchain activity, the bitcoin exchange rate consolidated in a relatively narrow range, and ETH strengthened 30% quarter over quarter.
Also, net flows reflect neutral sentiment on BTC and a clear bullish sentiment on ETH. About $50 million worth of bitcoins entered centralized exchanges in the third quarter, compared to more than $192 million in outflows in the second quarter. ETH outflows from exchanges exceeded $1 billion for the fourth consecutive quarter, with $57 million more ether flowing off exchanges in the third quarter.
What to watch out for in October
In September, bitcoin didn’t consolidate above the psychologically significant barrier of $20,000. As long as there is no demand for bitcoin from whales and retail investors, a sustained upward trend in cryptocurrency exchange rates is only a dream. Santiment’s onchain statistics for whales show no indication that whales are accumulating BTC. Nor is there evidence of high utilitarian demand.
Bitcoin whales with assets between 100 and 10,000 coins, continue to get rid of BTC. This affects current cryptocurrency rates. Over the past year the number of such addresses has decreased to 3.5% of the volume of coins on much smaller addresses, which does not have a significant impact on price dynamics. Only in September whale stocks decreased by 0.4%. In October, an important factor for the market will be signs that whales are moving into an accumulation phase.
The number of unique BTC moving from one address to another is still small. In this regard, the NVT indicator is giving a bearish signal for the second month in a row. An increase in this indicator will be a bullish signal for current cryptocurrency rates.
The dynamics of BTC funding rates are another disturbing trend. When the price is not falling, traders actively accumulate long positions. As soon as they become large enough, another price dump occurs, because traders try to enter short positions temporarily, but then give up and buy again.
Thus, these indicators will be crucial in determining the dynamics of cryptocurrency rate exchanges. A reversal of these onchain indicators will be a bullish signal for BTC, ETH, and the all-market.
Previously, we reported on TOP 5 airdrops of October that should not be missed.
Crypto Investors intend to have FTX arrested through protests
Members of the crypto community intend to have FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried arrested. Crypto trader and youtuber Ben Armstrong addressed this initiative to the crypto industry.
“If Sam [Bankman-Friede] is not arrested by the end of December, I will gather a large group (probably over a hundred people) who lost money [amid the collapse of] FTX. We will go to the Bahamas and protest outside the government building, the Albany Resort [where Bankman-Fried supposedly has real estate] and other [Bankman-Fried] properties until he is arrested,” Ben Armstrong wrote on his microblog asking subscribers who would like to join the initiative to check in under the post.
Many members of the crypto community responded to the trader’s call. For example, the initiative was supported by popular youtuber Dusty BC Crypto. The irony is that earlier Ben Armstrong himself, as a crypto blogger with a million audience, advertised the FTX crypto exchange and its native FTT token.
Some of the subscribers noted that it was time to file regulatory complaints against the crypto blogger himself, as he was involved in attracting investors to FTX. All of these events increase volatility in the cryptocurrency market, so it makes sense for an investor to consider the AMD price chart today.
This isn’t the first time members of the cryptocurrency community have raised the issue that FTX’s creator should be in jail. Some online users speculate that Sam Bankman-Fried could literally buy his freedom. Recall, it was previously revealed that the entrepreneur donated large sums of money to political parties.
Earlier we reported that Binance bought Sakura Exchange BitCoin in Japan.
Hackers stole cryptocurrency worth $3.37 billion since the beginning of the year
In the 11 months since the beginning of the year, hackers stole $3.37 billion worth of cryptocurrency. According to PeckShield, cryptocurrency companies lost $1.3 billion to fraud in the fall alone.
Thus, in September there were 17 hacks, which resulted in losses of $171 million. Marketmaker Wintermute incurred losses of $160 million.
How do hackers steal cryptocurrency?
In October, hackers stole $760.2 million worth of cryptocurrency because of 44 hacking attacks. Then BNB Chain was hacked for $544 million, but the fraudsters could withdraw only $100 million of it – the other part of the funds were blocked by the developers. Then a hacker stole $1 million from the BitKeep cryptocurrency wallet by hacking it through a swap feature. Another hack came on Team Finance’s launchpad, which lost $14.5 million due to a smart contract migration feature bug.
There were 29 hacks in November that stole $391 million in various digital assets. Another $3 million was stolen from Skyward Finance based on the NEAR Protocol. An unknown hacker could “empty the reserves” of the project through a vulnerability in the smart contract. Note that due to global problems in the cryptocurrency market and the high cost of mining, even the NVIDIA price chart went down.
It was also reported that crypto exchange Coinsquare was hacked, but representatives of the company assured that customers’ assets “are safely stored in cold storage and are not at risk.”
Meanwhile, over the three months of the summer, cryptocurrencies suffered about $446 million in hacks. In June, the loss from 21 attacks was $227.76 million; in July, companies suffered losses from 12 hacks worth $10.2 million; and in August there were 18 attacks, which resulted in the loss of $208.5 million.
Earlier we reported that Terra Classic developers are launching an LUNC wallet.
Largest bitcoin miners owe banks $4 billion
Now the largest bitcoin miners can’t pay back loans and give creditors hundreds of thousands of devices as collateral. This is reported by Bloomberg.
After the collapse of FTX crypto exchange, many companies that provided loans to largest bitcoin miners, including New York Digital Investment Group (NYDIG), Celsius Network, BlockFi Inc, Galaxy Digital, and the Foundry (a division of Digital Currency Group) are facing problems due to non-payment of loans.
Loans backed by mining equipment have become one of the most popular financing tools in the industry. Now, however, mining companies are having trouble making payments because of the drop in the bitcoin exchange rate and don’t have the funds to pay back the loans. Lenders cannot seize any assets from them other than cryptocurrency mining devices, the value of which has fallen 85% since last November. Even the Tesla price chart has gone down from that drop.
“We continue to take a cautious approach to risk-based financing in the mining industry. For example, in the third quarter, Galaxy’s mining division closed three existing leases totaling about $8 million,” said Michael Wursthorn, a Galaxy spokesperson.
Lenders are already paying attention to the surplus of mining equipment received after the loans are paid off. They are having to sell the equipment at a big discount or find data centers to mine bitcoins on their own. This surplus means that lenders could face further losses, given how saturated the market for mining equipment already is.
In November, mining company Iris Energy said it would not repay the loan it took out against the equipment and would prefer to develop other business operations instead. It said its two units registered to buy the equipment secured against it were not generating enough cash flow to service the line of credit.
Earlier, we reported that support for OpenSea Binance’s smart chain had appeared.
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