Cryptocurrency
Did Bitcoin Bottom? This is How to Know
Analysts at market intelligence platform CryptoQuant have outlined on-chain metrics that could signal that the bitcoin (BTC) price has bottomed and cryptocurrencies are beginning to rally again.
The latest weekly CryptoQuant report mentioned signals like higher bullish momentum, rising BTC demand, and faster stablecoin liquidity growth as the metrics to watch.
Higher Bullish Momentum
CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator currently signals that the crypto market has been in its least bullish state since March 2023, when the United States banking crisis occurred.
With BTC hovering around $61,000 at the time of writing and having fallen to a one-month low of $58,500 earlier this week, the market needs bullish momentum for prices to recover. This means CryptoQuant’s Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator needs to rise above its 30-day simple moving average.
Also, Bitcoin demand growth has to accelerate to levels seen in the first quarter of the year for prices to recover. Although the demand growth recovered a little after May, it is still significantly slow compared to the rate seen at the start of the year when the U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were launched.
Increased buying from permanent Bitcoin holders can signal that the price of the leading digital asset has bottomed. Currently, this cohort of investors is purchasing BTC at a monthly pace of 72,000 BTC, a far cry from the Q1 monthly pace of 160,000 BTC. While the pace has recovered slightly from the May rate of 68,000 BTC, much higher purchases are needed for prices to regain upward momentum.
A Potential Major Correction
Bitcoin’s ultimate price support level is $56,000, based on Metcalfe price valuation bands, which marked resistance and top levels in the previous cycle. Any decline below this support level could trigger a major correction that would wipe out even more value from the market. Hence, this level could determine whether Bitcoin has bottomed or not.
In addition, traders’ on-chain unrealized profit margins becoming positive could signal incoming rallies. An increase in Bitcoin flow from other exchanges to Coinbase signals an uptick in U.S. investor Bitcoin demand, which is often correlated with higher prices.
Finally, an acceleration in stablecoin liquidity, often seen in the 60-day growth of Tether’s (USDT) market cap, indicates an inflow of capital into the market – a crucial metric needed for prices to move northward.
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Cryptocurrency
Cardano Price Analysis: ADA Enters Consolidation Phase After 16% Weekly Drop
Cardano is navigating a pivotal price range, bounded by the $0.75 and $1.3 thresholds, with its recent price action underscoring a successful pullback to the previously breached $0.75 support.
The outcome of a breakout from this range will likely set the tone for its next significant market direction.
Technical Analysis
By Shayan
The Daily Chart
Cardano has recently encountered a rejection at the $1.3 resistance level, triggering heightened volatility and a descending retracement phase. As a result, the price settled at the $0.75 support zone, which coincides with a significant prior yearly swing high and is laden with demand and buying interest. This support has halted further downside momentum, keeping ADA confined within the $0.75-$1.3 range.
This consolidation phase suggests a build-up of market pressure, with the potential for a decisive breakout on either side. A bullish breakout above $1.3 would signal the initiation of a sustained uptrend, while a bearish breakdown below $0.75 could result in a significant liquidation cascade, pushing the price toward lower support levels.
The 4-Hour Chart
On the shorter timeframe, Cardano’s price action has been shaped by a descending wedge pattern, a formation that often indicates a potential bullish breakout if the upper boundary is breached. Currently, the asset is hovering around the wedge’s lower boundary, near the $0.75 support zone, where increased buying interest is evident. This area is further reinforced by the critical 0.5 ($0.82)-0.618 ($0.7) Fibonacci retracement levels, solidifying it as a formidable barrier against further selling pressure.
In the mid-term, ADA is anticipated to continue consolidating within this wedge pattern while maintaining its position above these key Fibonacci levels. A bullish breakout from the wedge could pave the way for an advance toward the $1.3 resistance. Conversely, a bearish breakdown below the wedge’s lower boundary might trigger a deeper decline, with the $0.5 threshold emerging as the next significant support level.
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
Cryptocurrency
Binance Prevents Over $129M From Being Lost to Scams in 2024 via AI and ML
Crypto exchange giant Binance reportedly stopped more than $129 million from being lost to criminals in 2024.
In its Anti-Scam Refund Initiative end-of-year report, the company outlined how it deployed cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) technologies to transform digital asset security from reactive measures to proactive defense strategies.
Anti-Scam Initiative
According to the report, on average, the company processed about 80 successful fund recoveries monthly, totaling to about $9 million of stolen funds returned to victims in 2024. Additionally, it revealed that it made over 30,000 phone calls to warn potential targets of likely scams, with at least 15,000 alerts issued daily to platform users.
The initiative’s efforts resulted in no less than 47,000 malicious addresses being blacklisted and, as of November, more than $129 million in annual funds prevented from being swindled.
The key to Binance’s approach to stopping bad actors from stealing from its user base is a system that combines technological surveillance and human-centered support. In it, machine learning algorithms analyze complex transaction patterns in real-time, identifying potential criminal activities at super-fast speeds. It also employs AI-powered behavioral profiling to distinguish between legitimate user activity and potential illegal undertakings.
The firm reported that it developed more than 50 specialized models and implemented 14 major upgrades to outmaneuver the fraudsters’ increasingly sophisticated tactics.
Its Anti-Scam Refund Initiative operates through four pillars: proactive protection, 24-hour safety mechanisms, rapid response recovery, and support for silent victims. The one-day safety net allows users a cooling period for suspicious transactions, with funds moved to flagged accounts frozen to provide an opportunity for investigations and potential intervention.
Binance’s Wins Over Crypto Thieves
Since the beginning of the year, CryptoPotato has reported several incidents in which Binance’s intervention helped cryptocurrency users recover stolen funds. For instance, in October, the company aided Delhi police in taking down a digital asset scam ring in the city and recovering up to 100,000 USDT.
Earlier in September, the exchange’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) helped authorities in the same country crack a scheme in which user funds amounting to $47.6 million were stolen from an online gaming platform and siphoned into several digital wallets.
In August, the company announced that its risk management system had prevented more than $2.4 billion in losses from potential swindlers in the first half of 2024. About $1.1 billion of this was attributed to suspected criminal withdrawals, with another $73 million previously frozen due to external hacks.
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Cryptocurrency
SOL Eyes $200 After 5% Daily Surge, BTC Calms at $95K (Weekend Watch)
Bitcoin’s declining trading volumes continue over the weekend as the asset has produced little to no actual price movements over the past day.
The altcoins have recovered some ground from the Saturday correction, with ETH above $3,400 and DOGE aiming at $0.33.
BTC Stalls at $95K
Last week’s correction erased much of BTC’s price gains charted in December as the asset plummeted to $92,000 on December 21. It managed to bounce off immediately and headed toward $100,000 on a couple of occasions since then = on December 22 and 26 – but to no avail.
Each attempt was met with a vicious rejection that pushed the cryptocurrency south by several grand. The last such movement came at the end of the business week, and BTC slumped toward $93,000.
It defended that level and jumped to $94,000 yesterday and $95,000 now. This is somewhat expected given the declining trading volumes as of late, which could actually be a blessing in disguise for BTC and other assets if whales continue to make big purchases.
For now, though, BTC’s market cap remains well below $1.9 trillion on CG, and its dominance over the alts has been reduced to 54%.
SOL, SUI Recover
Most altcoins suffered badly yesterday but have produced some minor increases over the past 24 hours. ETH has climbed above $3,400, XRP is close to $2.2, while BNB continues to defy the market sentiment with a 2.5% jump to $718.
Dogecoin has added over 3% of value and stands close to $0.33, while SOL and SUI have gained 5-6%. As a result, SOL now trades above $195, while SUI is north of $4.25.
Other notable gainers include HBAR, DOT, AAVE, APT, ICP, and PEPE.
The total crypto market cap has recovered about $50 billion since yesterday and is close to $3.5 trillion on CG.
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
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