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Did Bitcoin (BTC) Price Indeed Bottom After the Unrealistic ETF-Related Market Expectations? (Analysis)

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The US Securities and Exchange Commission made history in mid-January when it finally approved nearly a dozen spot BTC ETFs to launch on local exchanges after a decade of delays and rejections.

There was a big price run-up ahead of the approvals that resulted in a highly positive Q4 ’23 for BTC. However, the landscape changed on the day the ETFs launched in the US, and Bitcoin slumped by over ten grand in the following weeks. Has the asset finally bottomed?

The ETF Aftermath

All eyes in the financial world were on the US SEC at the start of the year, with multiple experts claiming that the regulator will finally allow spot Bitcoin ETFs in the country. As such, the anticipation led to a massive increase in BTC’s price, which soared past $40,000 for the first time in nearly two years.

The experts turned out to be correct, and the US watchdog greenlighted 11 such products on January 10, and they went live for trading on the next day amid record-setting volumes.

Bitcoin’s price reacted well at first and shot up to over $49,000 hours after the US exchanges opened on that Thursday, but the landscape changed later on. After an immediate retracement of over seven grand, BTC kept dumping and bottomed at $38,500 last Thursday. As such, the asset had lost more than ten grand in two weeks.

Since then, BTC’s price performance has been a lot less volatile but still positive, and the cryptocurrency currently stands at around $43,000. Thus, it has erased almost all losses induced after the ETF approvals.

The Botton Was Reached?

After this substantial decline, the community started speculating on whether the asset had indeed reached its post-ETF bottom as those approvals became a sell-the-news moment. Data from Santiment shows that this might be the case, especially when we compare social discussions.

They shot up in the second half of 2023 when the anticipation for the ETFs was on a high note, which led to a gradual increase in the greed factor. However, three weeks after the launch of the ETFs, Santiment said this indicator “has finally normalized,” suggesting that BTC’s price has gone through the post-approval volatility and could be preparing for the next big event of 2024 – the halving.

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Cryptocurrency

Trump’s Crypto Advisor Says There’s A ‘Space Race’ to Build a Bitcoin Reserve

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Bo Hines, executive director of the President’s Council of Advisers on Digital Assets, has said that the country is in a global “space race” to build a U.S. Bitcoin reserve.

Hines also confirmed that the government is moving swiftly to establish a Strategic Bitcoin stockpile.

Bitcoin Stockpile Plans

In a recent interview with Bitcoin Magazine, the White House crypto advisor stated that countries around the world are quietly working to collect Bitcoin as a long-term asset, emphasizing that America aims to take the lead.

According to him, the administration is collaborating with the Treasury Department to audit current Bitcoin holdings and design “budget-neutral” acquisition methods. He also clarified that no single policy approach is being pursued. Instead, multiple strategies are being explored to determine the most practical and efficient path forward.

Hines expressed confidence in the U.S. Treasury Department and the Chamber of Commerce to develop “extremely creative” ways to accumulate the flagship cryptocurrency. The initial objective is to begin the process quickly, prioritizing speed and scalability, with additional steps to be introduced in phases.

The crypto advisor has previously cited tariffs implemented by the president as a potential means for building federal Bitcoin reserves.

When asked about how much Bitcoin the U.S. wants to acquire, Hines referred to it as “a silly question,” implying that the government has plans to hold more of the digital asset.

Milestones and Bitcoin’s Value

Reflecting on the first days of his administration, the 29-year-old highlighted early actions taken under President Trump, including an executive order signed during his first week in office. The directive created an interagency working group, officially ended what is widely known as “Operation Chokepoint 2.0,” and led to major regulatory reversals.

This included the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) dropping key lawsuits and banking regulators easing restrictions on crypto firms. The Trump administration also hosted the first-ever White House Crypto Summit.

Hines stated that the U.S. is positioning itself to become “the crypto capital of the world,” aligning with the president’s broader vision to make America the most attractive destination for innovation in digital assets.

The former Republican nominee was appointed in January 2025 to the newly formed crypto advisory group and serves alongside crypto czar David Sacks. Although he acknowledged the existence of other digital ecosystems, Hines emphasized that the main focus is on Bitcoin due to its uniqueness.

He also referred to the cryptocurrency as “digital gold,” describing it as a commodity, not a security. Trump’s advisor referenced its origins and the concept of “Immaculate Conception,” a term previously used by David Sacks to show its intrinsic value.

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Tension Builds: Solana (SOL) on the Verge of a Huge Move?

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TL;DR

  • Solana’s Bollinger Bands have tightened on the 4-hour chart, a technical signal that sometimes precedes enhanced turbulence.
  • Despite a mild retreat in the last few days, analysts remain bullish on SOL, with price targets ranging from $240 to over $300.

Silence Before the Roar?

Solana’s SOL has been on a slight downtrend in the past week, with its valuation slipping by 3% and currently trading at roughly $148 (per CoinGecko’s data). Over the last several hours, it experienced little to no volatility, ranging from $145 to $149.

One important metric, though, suggests this calmness could be a precursor of a massive price action in the short term. The indicator in question is the Bollinger Bands, which, according to the popular X user Ali Martinez, has squeezed on SOL’s four-hour chart. 

Developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s, this technical tool helps traders identify when an asset may be overbought or oversold, signaling a potential trend reversal. When the bands tighten, it typically indicates a period of low volatility, which could be imminently followed by a substantial resurgence or a considerable pullback.

This pattern has also appeared on the charts of other cryptocurrencies and, on some occasions, has been followed by a notable bull run. For example, in December last year, XRP’s Bollinger Bands tightened significantly when the price hovered around $2.10. Just a few weeks later, the asset soared to nearly a new all-time high of approximately $3.40.

We have to make a disclaimer that the squeezing bands might have played their role, but the entire cryptocurrency market was also rallying at that time. Bitcoin (BTC), for instance, reached an ATH of just south of $110K. 

Price Targets

Despite the setback on a weekly scale, SOL is up almost 20% for the month, and some analysts believe the uptick is about to continue.

Jelle told his over 100,000 followers on X that Solana’s monthly candle “is not looking too shabby,” indicating it might be time for another test of $240. The last time the price was trading so high was at the end of January this year.

Earlier this month, BitBull also chipped in. They assumed that SOL could be gearing up for a “massive move” this year, which might mimic Ethereum’s explosive performance in 2021. The analyst thinks the $120-$130 was an accumulation zone, setting a target of over $300.

Recall that Ethereum (ETH) traded at around $730 at the start of 2021, whereas by the end of the year, it hit an ATH of almost $5,000, representing a 560% price increase. 

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Crypto Market Consolidation Continues as Bitcoin (BTC) Fails to Break Above $95K (Market Watch)

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Bitcoin’s failure to produce a big move toward $100,000 continued in the past 24 hours as the asset seems stuck at around $95,000 without any indication of where the next fluctuation wave will take it.

The altcoins have also been quite sluggish lately, with minor losses dominating the chart on a daily scale.

BTC Stalls at $95K

The primary cryptocurrency managed to break through its previous consolidation phase at the beginning of last week, when it pumped above $86,000, which served as the upper boundary of that channel. In the following days, the asset flew past $90,000 for the first time in over six weeks and skyrocketed to just shy of $96,000 last Friday. This became its highest price tag in two months.

Although it failed to breach that level and retraced slightly during the weekend, it remained high above the $90,000 support. The only brief slip came on Monday when BTC dropped to $93,000 but quickly recovered the losses.

The bulls went on the offensive but were stopped on a couple of occasions ahead of $96,000 despite the substantial inflows into the BTC ETFs. As such, bitcoin continues to trade sideways at around $95,000, currently sitting just inches below it.

Its market capitalization has stalled at $1.880 trillion on CG, while its dominance over the alts is well above 61%.

BTCUSD. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD. Source: TradingView

Alts Slightly in the Red

Most altcoins have lost some traction over the past 24 hours. LINK, AVAX, and XRP lead the adverse trend from the larger caps, with losses of up to 3.5% in the case of Chainlink.

ETH, DOGE, ADA, SUI, SHIB, HBAR, and BCH are also in the red, albeit in a slightly less painful manner.

The biggest losers from the top 100 alts include yesterday’s top performer, VIRTUAL, as well as TAO and TRUMP. The meme coin related to the US president has faced a lot of controversy as of late, including reports that the team behind it had started disposing of its holdings amid the price rally.

The total crypto market cap has declined slightly by around $15 billion since yesterday to $3.065 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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