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DOGE to Skyrocket? Analyst Predicts a 900% Surge ‘at Any Moment’

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TL;DR

  • Analyst Ali Martinez points to past surges, suggesting DOGE could skyrocket above $3 in a matter of 48 hours, though skeptics question feasibility.
  • A potential green light of Bitwise’s spot DOGE ETF filing could fuel a major rally, but investors should be aware that past ETF approvals have triggered short-term corrections.

DOGE’s Next Potential Targets

The biggest meme coin in terms of market capitalization has experienced severe price fluctuations since the beginning of the year. At the start of January, it was trading at around $0.31, but less than three weeks later, it jumped above $0.40. The local top occurred on January 18, just two days before Donald Trump’s inauguration, which caused huge excitement across the crypto community.

After the Republican assumed office, though, Dogecoin (DOGE) witnessed a substantial downtrend. It dropped to as low as $0.30 during the crypto market correction at the start of the business week, while currently, it is hovering at around $0.32 (per CoinGecko’s data).

DOGE Price
DOGE Price, Source: CoinGecko

Despite the volatility, many analysts remain optimistic that the meme coin has yet to stun the community with a gigantic surge this cycle.

One of the people sharing that thesis is the popular X user Ali Martinez. He wondered how people could bet against DOGE since “at any moment” it could skyrocket by a whopping 900% in just 48 hours. The analyst referred to the asset’s performance at the end of January 2021, when the valuation exploded by triple digits in a few days. 

Several people commenting on the prediction noted that such a rally would require DOGE’s market cap to jump to almost $500 billion. As of the moment, the token’s capitalization stands at less than $50 billion, making the forecast quite challenging.

However, Martinez claimed that nothing is impossible, pointing to XRP’s resurgence and the fact that its current market cap is bigger than BlackRock’s. Recall that the capitalization of Ripple’s native token was less than $30 billion prior to the US presidential elections at the start of November 2024, while two months later, it surpassed $190 billion. As of this writing, the figure is hovering around $178 billion. 

Other industry participants who recently outlined bullish predictions for DOGE include JAVON MARKS and Trader Tardigrade. The former assumed the price may soon climb above $2, while the latter thinks it could tap $4 in the following months. 

DOGE Enters the ETF Race

One important development that could propel a serious move to the upside for Dogecoin is the potential approval of a spot DOGE ETF in the United States. Most recently, Bitwise filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to list an exchange-traded fund tracking the price of the meme coin.

The securities regulator approved the first wave of spot BTC ETFs approximately a year ago. The companies introducing the products included well-known corporations such as BlackRock, Fidelity, Grayscale, WisdomTree, and many more.

It is worth noting that BTC’s price witnessed a significant decline shortly after the green light before stabilizing and rallying to new peaks.

It will be interesting to see whether the new leadership of the SEC will give the thumbs up on a spot DOGE ETF and whether the decision will have the same “sell the news” effect. According to Polymarket, there is a 56% chance of approval sometime in 2025.

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Cryptocurrency

Saylor’s Strategy Bought Another 4,225 BTC Before Bitcoin’s Price Explosion: Details

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Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin-oriented brainchild has made another massive purchase, accumulating 4,225 BTC for $472.5 million.

Due to the cryptocurrency’s substantial price expansion in the past few years, Strategy now sits at a mindblowing unrealized profit of roughly $30 billion.

This is because the company has spent $42.87 billion to acquire its BTC stash of 601,550 bitcoins bought at an average price of $71,268 per unit. Given BTC’s price as of press time ($121,500), this puts Strategy’s fortune at over $73 billion.

Saylor hinted about this purchase yesterday, indicating that some weeks, “you don’t just HODL.” Recall that the company didn’t announce a new acquisition last week, which was somewhat surprising given its history since the US elections in November last year.

Strategy’s former CEO has also been particularly vocal on X about different BTC purchases from other companies. In the past few days alone, he has reposted the accumulations completed by the likes of Metaplanet, K33, DigitalX Ltd., Sequans, and the Blockchain Group.

The average price of Strategy’s latest purchase means that it was most likely completed in the middle of the previous week when BTC challenged $112,000. The asset has traded well beyond that level ever since Thursday.

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Metaplanet Snaps Up 797 More BTC in Aggressive Bitcoin Gold Rush

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Japanese investment firm Metaplanet has expanded its Bitcoin holdings with the purchase of 797 BTC, after spending approximately 13.8 billion yen, which is worth around $93 million.

The company acquired Bitcoin at an average price of around $117,000 per unit.

Aiming for “Escape Velocity”

Following the latest acquisition, Metaplanet currently holds 16,352 BTC, equivalent to approximately $1.64 billion. It maintains its position as the world’s fifth-largest publicly traded corporate BTC holder, according to data shared by BitcoinTreasuries. The accumulation now comes just a week after the Tokyo-listed company purchased 2,205 BTC.

The firm, which shifted from hotel operations to Bitcoin treasury management last year, has been accelerating its accumulation strategy amid rising institutional interest in crypto assets. Metaplanet has set an ambitious target to control over 210,000 BTC by 2027, which is around 1% of the total Bitcoin supply.

Metaplanet had previously revealed its plans to leverage its growing Bitcoin reserves to acquire cash-generating businesses, even potentially including a digital bank in Japan.

Last week, Gerovich told the Financial Times that the company is racing to accumulate as much BTC as possible, while describing it as a “Bitcoin gold rush” to reach “escape velocity” and maintain a lead over competitors. The exec also said that he would never sell the crypto asset.

“We think of it as a Bitcoin gold rush. We need to accumulate as much Bitcoin as we can to get to a point where we have reached escape velocity, and it just makes it very difficult for others to catch up.”

Metaplanet’s Ambitious Bitcoin Plan

In its next phase, Metaplanet aims to use the crypto asset as collateral to access financing, similar to how securities or government bonds are used. The goal will be to deploy these funds to buy profitable businesses aligned with its strategy. While crypto-backed lending remains rare in traditional banking, experiments like Standard Chartered’s pilot with OKX suggest growing institutional interest.

Gerovich ruled out issuing convertible debt to fund growth, preferring options like preferred shares to avoid repayment tied to volatile share prices. The firm said that it envisions digital banking services as a future area of expansion, and aims to deliver superior retail banking options in Japan using its BTC-backed leverage.

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Nearing Exhaustion or Gearing Up for $130K Next?

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Bitcoin has officially entered price discovery once again, trading just below $122,000 at the time of writing. After months of consolidation and multiple failed breakout attempts, the bulls have finally regained full control.

The breakout above the previous all-time high around $112,000 was followed by explosive momentum, and investors are wondering how much further BTC will run.

By ShayanMarkets

The Daily Chart

The daily chart shows that the asset is still respecting the long-term ascending channel, as it rebounded from its lower boundary and is currently rallying toward the mid-line. The price decisively closed above the $112,000 previous all-time high, a level that acted as a distribution zone for over a month. Following this breakout, BTC printed several bullish continuation candles, pushing all the way up to $122,000.

Yet, a retracement into the $114K–$117K zone is probable to cool the market down. This pullback would not invalidate the bullish structure but instead offer a healthier continuation setup. As long as the price holds above the $114K breakout level, the medium-term structure remains strongly bullish.

The 4-Hour Chart

The 4H chart shows a clean breakout from the recent range and a near-vertical price expansion, confirming the daily momentum. After breaking above the descending channel, Bitcoin formed a strong impulsive leg. As a result, the RSI is now extremely elevated at 78+, hinting at potential short-term exhaustion.

The 4H chart also highlights the newly formed Fair Value Gaps stacked below the price, which could get revisited in the coming sessions or days. These FVGs can both attract the price and act as potential support. As long as BTC remains above the 114K block, short dips into this region would be considered bullish retests.

Moreover, if the price begins to range around the 121K–122K area, it would allow RSI to cool off and provide fresh momentum for the next breakout, without experiencing much correction.

Sentiment Analysis

Bitcoin Funding Rates

Funding rates have started to spike again, reflecting the surge in long-side leverage after the breakout. This sharp uptick in funding confirms that traders are aggressively chasing the move. While elevated funding is expected during trend continuations, it also introduces risk: the higher the leverage imbalance, the more vulnerable the market becomes to a flush.

Historically, when funding remains excessively positive while prices stall or consolidate, it often leads to a liquidation-driven pullback. So far, we haven’t seen aggressive spikes like those in Q1 2024, but it’s something to monitor closely.

If the asset fails to push higher while funding stays elevated, a quick shakeout into the 114K zone is possible. Until then, the sentiment remains bullish but slightly overheated, which aligns with current RSI readings and market structure.

 

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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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