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Ether price charts reflect weakness, but inflow to LSDFi could prevent an ETH sell-off

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Ether has been on a downward trend, with the $2,000 level forming a crucial resistance level in recent months.

While Bitcoin (BTC) recorded 11.94% gains, moving past $30,000 in June after BlackRock filed an application for an exchange-traded fund with the Securities and Exchange Commission in the United States, the upside in Ether (ETH) stayed around 3.16%.

In the first week of July, buyers attempted to move the price past crucial resistance at around $1,900. However, a failed breakout exposed the price to further correction.

The Ethereum network also witnessed a decline in activity, evident in the one-year-low levels in total transaction fees. The price of leading nonfungible token (NFT) collections on Ethereum plummeted, while decentralized finance (DeFi) activity stalled due to low yields.

The 7-day moving average of total transaction fees paid on Ethereum. Source: Glassnode

However, the downside may be limited, as the demand for liquid staking derivatives (LSDs) like Lido’s stETH continues to grow, rising faster than investors are moving to sell.

LSD activity is on the rise

While the primary use cases on Ethereum of NFT trading and DeFi activity suffered a downturn in June, the LSD narrative continued to grow.

On-chain analytics firm Glassnode wrote in its latest report that deposits to the staking contract have “been higher, or equal in scale to exchange inflows since Shanghai went live,” suggesting that more ETH is being moved toward staking than selling on exchanges.

Ethereum exchange inflows (pink) versus staking deposits (blue). Source: Glassnode

The total ETH deposited in staking contracts is 19.7% compared to the centralized exchange balance of around 12.8%. LSD platforms captured most of the inflow, followed by independent validators and staking-as-a-service clients.

Ether staking deposits increased significantly after the Shanghai upgrade in April, as confidence increased with active redemptions. Among LSD platforms, Lido led the sector, followed by Rocket Pool and Frax.

The weekly inflows of ETH staking deposits by category. Source: Dune

Glassnode’s report also suggested that the network has “yet to see an appreciable influx of new holders,” as the number of new addresses holding Lido’s stETH has been “more or less unchanged” year-to-date.

Currently, 20% of Ether’s total supply is staked with validators compared to over 40% for most other proof-of-stake blockchains like Solana (SOL), Cosmos (ATOM) and Avalanche (AVAX), indicating room for growth.

With annual DeFi yields hovering around 1-3% for ETH on Aave and Yearn.finance and between 3-5% for stablecoins, LSD derivatives offer a base rate of 4% with an opportunity to earn additional yields by using their liquidity in DeFi applications.

Glassnode’s report said that LSD derivatives “have seen increased activity within different DeFi protocols, with Lido’s stETH being the most significant.”

Additionally, LSD tokenholders are also exhibiting a shift from providing liquidity on DEXs like Curve and Balancer to chasing higher yields on lending protocols like Compound and Aave. Glassnode’s analysts wrote, “This leveraged staking position is estimated to amplify yield by 3x.”

The LSD sector appears to be the current hotspot for DeFi players looking to maximize their yield.

Related: Rapid growth in DeFi-focused Ethereum liquid staking derivatives platforms raises eyebrows

Ether price analysis

ETH recorded a positive breakout from a bullish ascending channel pattern with a target of $3,000 earlier this week. However, the trend reversed quickly, as Bitcoin dropped to $30,000 after expectations of a rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve rose and sellers gained an upper hand.

Technically, the price can take two paths from here: find support at the base of the ascending triangle around $1,790 before making a break for the $1,900 resistance level again, or a continued drop toward the long-term resistance and support level of $1,700.

A breakdown below $1,700 would give sellers a chance to target the 200-day weekly moving average at around $1,575.

ETH/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

The ETH/BTC pair also shows that Ether has room for more downside toward the 200-day moving average at 0.0574 BTC and the long-term resistance and support level at 0.0538 BTC.

ETH/BTC weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

Ether had a failed positive breakout in early July, exposing the price to further downside to around $1,700. However, a surge in the LSD narrative with higher yields than the DeFi sector is providing a cushion for any future downside, suggesting that the price will likely establish bullish support.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Cryptocurrency

SEC Reviews Grayscale’s Solana ETF Filing, Indicating Possible Shift in Crypto Regulation

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The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has acknowledged Grayscale’s filing for a Solana-based exchange-traded fund (ETF).

It is the first time the agency has engaged with an ETF proposal tracking a cryptocurrency that was once considered a security.

‘A Positive Sign’

The acknowledgment, relayed on February 6, caught many by surprise, given that just six weeks ago, the regulator, then led by former Chair Gary Gensler, asked the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) to withdraw similar Solana ETF filings.

Breaking the news on X, ETF expert James Seyffart pointed out that the regulator’s action was notable because it had previously refused to engage with other companies that had attempted to file SOL-based exchange-traded products. Further, he suggested it could be a “positive sign” for crypto firms, including exchanges, that the SEC has sued over claims that Solana is a security.

Eric Balchunas, Bloomberg’s senior ETF analyst, shared similar sentiments, calling it a “notable development” and adding:

“We are now in new territory, albeit just a baby step, but seemingly the direct result of leadership change.”

Earlier in the year, Seyffart had said that proposals for ETFs tracking the world’s fifth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap may face delays until 2026 because of ongoing lawsuits involving the classification of SOL as a security. The SEC had taken separate legal action against Binance and Coinbase, accusing the exchanges of offering unregistered securities for listing tokens such as Solana and Cardano.

Grayscale, the biggest digital asset manager in the world, first applied to convert its Grayscale Solana Trust into an ETF towards the end of last year. It launched the product slightly more than three years ago, and as of the start of this month, it had over 7 million shares outstanding.

Accepting its filing is just the first step in a lengthy process. The regulator now has a 240-day window to approve or deny the proposal.

CBOE Files XRP ETF Requests

Elsewhere, the CBOE has filed 19b-4 forms on behalf of several crypto investment firms, including Bitwise, Canary Funds, WisdomTree, and 21Shares, for XRP ETFs. The documents represent the next stage in the approval process, following the submission of S-1 registration statements.

While their validation is far from guaranteed, the SEC’s recent engagement with Litecoin ETF proposals suggests there could be a more favorable environment for crypto-based financial products going forward.

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Binance Test Token Pumps to $37M After Accidental Name Reveal

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A test meme coin (TST) created for a tutorial on the Four.Meme platform experienced an unexpected surge in value following a social media post by former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao, popularly known as CZ.

The token, originally intended as a demonstration asset on the BNB Chain, saw its market cap skyrocket as traders and influencers turned it into a fully functional cryptocurrency.

Accidental Launch

According to an X post from Zhao, the meme coin’s name was briefly visible in a single frame of the training video. After realizing it had been exposed, the team removed the video from the web. However, by then, it had already been spread across the internet.

The video and the token soon caught the eye of several Chinese crypto influencers, with their endorsements creating further interest and attracting more traders. What had started as a simple test asset quickly transformed into a fully tradable coin.

Zhao has since clarified that neither he nor Binance endorsed the coin, stating:

“This is NOT an official token by the BNB Chain team, or anyone. It is a test token used just for that video tutorial. Nothing more.”

He added that a team member had also deleted the private key for the creator address used in the tutorial, which contained 0.13% of the token supply. He further stated that no one on the training team or at Binance held any of the cryptocurrency.

Despite this, the former executive suggested restoring the instruction video while also encouraging the community by commenting, “Happy trading.”

TST’s Meteoric Rise

According to DEX Screener data, TST, which initially held a valuation of just under $500,000, saw its fully diluted value surge beyond $25 million. Eager traders drove its market cap past $37 million, with its liquidity reaching $4.5 million.

As the coin continued gaining traction, it was listed on PancakeSwap. Shortly after, it was also added to the MEXC exchange, where its price fluctuated between $0.02 and $0.04. Early investors also made substantial profits, with one trader reportedly earning $303,600 from sales and another securing $258,200.

The rapid rise of the meme coin shows the intense demand for this asset class. However, despite their popularity, they have faced growing scrutiny in recent weeks. Pump.fun is currently the subject of a proposed class-action lawsuit from investors alleging it marketed and sold unregistered securities.

Additionally, the launch of a Trump-themed meme coin in January also caused controversy within the industry. Mark Cuban criticized the initiative as a setback for crypto’s legitimacy, arguing that it weakens ownership and fuels speculation.

Senator Elizabeth Warren also called for an investigation into the Trump token, citing concerns over ethics, foreign influence, and regulatory oversight.

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Bitcoin Eyes $100K After Market Crash, Trump Approves US Sovereign Wealth Fund: Weekly Crypto Recap

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Somewhat unexpectedly, all the drama started during the previous weekend, which is typically a calmer period for the financial markets. Well, except crypto, because it’s open 24/7.

President Trump’s implementation of new taxes on Canada, China, and Mexico brought mass panic across the charts. On Saturday evening and Sunday, BTC tumbled from $102,000 to under $100,000 and down to $97,000. It managed to catch its breath on Sunday afternoon, but the bears were back in control of the market on Monday morning.

In a matter of hours, BTC slumped hard and fell below $92,000 for the first time in about two weeks. Consequently, bitcoin had lost ten grand within 24 hours and roughly $15,000 since last Friday when it stood above $106,000.

After that multi-week low, though, the cryptocurrency bounced off and jumped above $100,000 and back to $102,000, thus completing another ten-grand move within hours. Nevertheless, it failed to sustain within six-digit territory and headed south in the following days. It flirted with the $96,000 support line on several occasions but so far has managed to maintain above it.

Hours ago, BTC pumped by a few grand and touched $100,000 for the first time since Monday, following the US jobs data. However, it couldn’t keep the momentum going and is now back below it.

The weekly charts are quite painful for most altcoins. Ethereum is down by 17% and trades well below $2,800. XRP has plunged by 18% to under $2.5, while DOGE, ADA, LINK, AVAX, and SUI have plummeted by over 20%.

In fact, OM is the only larger-cap altcoin in the green. An 18% surge since last Friday has pushed its price to well above $6.

Market Data

Crypto Weekly. Source: QuantifyCrypto

Market Cap: $3.359T | 24H Vol: $154B | BTC Dominance: 58.5%

BTC: $98,750 (-5%) | ETH: $2,750 (-17.25% ) | XRP: $2.49 (-18.3%)

This Week’s Crypto Headlines You Can’t Miss

Bitcoin Rallies Toward $100K as Mexico and US Suspend Tariffs. As explained above, the highly volatile trading week due to Trump’s tariffs against a few countries led to a substantial crash in the market. However, the suspension agreement between the US and Mexico sent BTC flying on Monday evening, with a brief surge toward $100,000.

Trump Approves US Sovereign Wealth Fund, Will it Buy Bitcoin? The new US President dominates the news on all fronts and his decision to approve a US sovereign wealth fund earlier this week broke Crypto Twitter as many anticipated that it will finally see the inclusion of BTC and perhaps other digital assets. However, that doesn’t seem to be the case, at least for now.

MicroStrategy Drops ‘Micro’ From Name After Record BTC Buying Quarter. The biggest corporate holder of bitcoin rebranded its name this week by dropping ‘Micro.’ The company, now called simply ‘Strategy,’ has introduced BTC into its logo and reaffirmed its leadership position in the bitcoin landscape by registering its best quarter in terms of accumulation.

Arthur Hayes Slams US Bitcoin Reserve Plans and Crypto Regulation Efforts. The BitMEX co-founder is among the critics of the supposed US bitcoin reserve as he believes that such a move would be mostly political and can be a double-edged sword. He noted that ‘what can be bought can be sold,’ and a potential accumulation of BTC by the US government could be devastating if there’s a change in the nation’s political scene in the next few years.

Crypto Analyst Says Altcoins May Take 2 Months to Recover, Here’s Why. The aforementioned crash in the crypto markets hit the altcoins the hardest, with many charting double-digit losses daily and on a weekly scale. A popular analyst believes many of them would need at least a month or two to recover as their corrections were deeper.

BlackRock Expands Crypto Offerings With Bitcoin ETP in Europe: Report. The asset manager behind the world’s largest Bitcoin ETF plans to expand its portfolio of BTC-related products. BlackRock aims to launch a BTC-linked exchange-traded product in Europe, which would become its first entry into the European crypto scene.

Charts

This week, we have a chart analysis of Ethereum, Ripple, Cardano, Binance Coin, and Solana – click here for the complete price analysis.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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