Cryptocurrency
Ethereum Poised to Retest $3.5K as Bullish Sign Reappear (ETH Price Analysis)
After experiencing a rapid downturn, Ethereum has found itself supported by a substantial zone, comprising the 100-day moving average and a critical price range between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. Consequently, a bullish rebound is anticipated in the medium term.
By Shayan
The Daily Chart
A thorough examination of the daily chart reveals an extended period of corrective retracements, culminating in the price finding support within a pivotal zone.
This zone encompasses the 100-day moving average at $3050 and the significant price range between the 0.5 ($3190) and 0.618 ($2972) Fibonacci levels.
This range carries significance as it attracts considerable demand, potentially hindering further downward pressure from market sellers. Additionally, a minor bullish divergence between the price and the RSI indicator suggests the potential for a bullish resurgence, targeting a reclaim of the $3.5K threshold. However, despite the bullish indications, an unexpected breach below this critical support zone could trigger a cascade effect toward the 200-day moving average at $2.5K.
The 4-Hour Chart
A closer inspection of the 4-hour chart reveals the formation of a descending wedge pattern during a multi-month consolidation correction. Following a significant decline, the price has reached the lower boundary of the wedge and the support region around $3K.
Nonetheless, given the potential buying pressure within this crucial range, the price has entered a consolidation phase characterized by minimal volatility.
This price action highlights a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Nevertheless, a noticeable divergence between the price and the RSI indicator on the 4-hour timeframe suggests the strength of buyers, increasing the likelihood of a bullish upswing in the medium term. In such a scenario, the next target for the price would be the critical resistance level at $3.5K. Conversely, should a break below this support occur, a descent toward the $2.7K support becomes increasingly probable.
By Shayan
As Ethereum’s price exhibits signs of recovery, it’s crucial to determine whether this resurgence stems from spot buying or leveraged futures activity. A key metric for this analysis is the funding rates, where positive values signify bullish sentiment and negative values indicate fear in the market.
Observing the recent downtrend in Ethereum’s price, it’s notable that the funding rate metric has mirrored this trajectory, steadily declining until reaching near-zero levels. This alignment suggests that the recent price drop has led to the liquidation of a significant number of positions in the perpetual market, resulting in a cooling effect on the futures market. Consequently, the market appears primed for the re-emergence of long positions, with the potential for a fresh upward surge.
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin Explodes Above $63K as the Bulls Eye This Level Next (BTC Price Analysis)
Bitcoin’s price has been going through some major moves throughout the past couple of weeks. The bulls are fighting to reestablish their dominance, staging a convincing recovery above $60K. But will it last?
Technical Analysis
By TradingRage
The Daily Chart
The price has been oscillating inside a descending channel on the daily chart for the past couple of months. The channel was briefly broken to the downside a few days ago.
However, BTC quickly rebounded and climbed back inside the channel, making a fake bearish breakout. With the $60K level also turning into support, the price will likely target the $68K resistance level in the short term.
The 4-Hour Chart
Looking at the 4-hour chart, it is evident that the price has quickly recovered from below the channel and the $60K level. The midline of the descending channel is now the next target.
Meanwhile, with the RSI approaching the overbought zone, the price might experience a pullback soon. The continuation of the bullish trend is dependent on whether the price can finally break the channel to the upside.
On-Chain Analysis
By TradingRage
Bitcoin Miners Position Index
While Bitcoin’s price has been trading below the $75K level, many market participants have been offloading their coins as they assume that the bull market might be over or a much deeper pullback is probable. However, miners are not in this group.
This chart demonstrates the Miners Position Index (MPI) metric. It measures miners’ selling pressure. Values above 2 can be considered dangerous, as they show massive destruction by the miners.
As the chart depicts, the MPI has been dropping rapidly over the last few months. This is a good sign, as the Miners’ selling pressure is declining. Thus, with sufficient demand, Bitcoin’s price can once again begin a rally toward $80K and even higher prices.
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
Cryptocurrency
Coinbase Q1 Revenue Hit $1.6 Billion Amid ETF Approvals, Surging 72%
Coinbase, the largest U.S. crypto exchange, has released its Q1 2024 earnings report, posting a total revenue of $1.6 billion, a 72% increase quarter on quarter.
The performance has been driven by the rising crypto asset prices and the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. which further improved inflows into the market.
Coinbase Earnings Surged in Q1
Coinbase’s net income reached $1.18 billion, $4.40 per share, translating to $1 billion in adjusted EBITDA in Q1. Comparatively, the adjusted EBITDA, which shows earnings before tax, depreciation, interest, and amortization, was $977.5 million in 2023.
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The earnings report also showed that Coinbase attributed its net income partly to $737 million in pre-tax unrealized gains on crypto assets. The firm ended the quarter with $7.1 billion in capital, including $1.1 billion in net cash raised through the sale of 2030 convertible notes.
Consumer transaction revenue doubled to $935.2 million, and volume mirrored this, growing 93% to $56 billion. Institutional interest increased as well with transactions gaining revenue of $85 million, a 133% increase quarter on quarter. Meanwhile, the Coinbase Prime trading volume grew 105% to $256 billion, surpassing the U.S. spot market. Notably, Bitcoin accounted for a third of consumer and institutional transactions.
Coinbase’s custodial services revenue jumped 64% to $32 million. The surge was driven by the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier in the year since Coinbase is the custodian of eight of the eleven newly launched products. Assets under custody hit $171 billion as the quarter came to an end.
Coinbase’s Base Revenue Soars, Expenses Surge
Since its August launch, Base, Coinbase’s Ethereum layer 2 chain, has amassed $56.1 million in revenue. It has exhibited double the transaction volume compared to Ethereum, alongside an 800% surge in developer activity.
During the quarter, Coinbase acquired a minority stake in Circle, the issuer of USDC stablecoin, whose market capitalization increased by 30%. This boosted subscriptions and services revenue by a third, including a 15% increase in stablecoin revenue.
Despite diversification with Base and USDC, the recent boom was due to favorable market conditions. Bitcoin’s price skyrocketed 57% to an all-time high of $73,000, fueled by over $50 billion entering 10 spot Bitcoin ETFs approved in January.
Meanwhile, the company’s transaction expenses increased by 73% to $217 million. Due to increased trading volume, the company expects even higher costs in Q2, as high as $890 million.
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Cryptocurrency
Is the Ethereum Bull Market Back or is Another Dip Below $3K Imminent? (ETH Price Analysis)
Ethereum’s price is yet to continue its uptrend following a rejection from the $4,000 resistance level. But the bulls are now showing signs of strength, perhaps staging a more considerable recovery.
Technical Analysis
By TradingRage
The Daily Chart
As the daily chart depicts, Ethereum’s price has been making lower highs and lows inside a descending channel since failing to break above the $4,000 resistance level.
Yet, the cryptocurrency is climbing back above the $3,000 level and the midline of the channel. If the market successfully recovers back to these levels, a breakout above the channel and a continuation toward $4,000 and even higher prices can be expected.
The 4-Hour Chart
The 4-hour chart offers a much clearer picture of recent price action. The market has barely broken through the $3,000 resistance zone and is currently testing the midline of the descending channel.
With the RSI showing values above 50%, ETH is likely to break through the level and potentially continue outward to the $3,600 resistance area. In this case, market participants can be optimistic that a new bullish wave will begin soon.
Sentiment Analysis
By TradingRage
Ethereum Funding Rates
Following the recent decline in Ethereum’s price, many futures traders have been liquidated or reversed their long positions. This can be a good sign, as the futures market has seemingly cooled down.
This chart demonstrates the Ethereum funding rates metric, which measures whether buyers or sellers are executing their futures orders more aggressively (using market orders). Positive values point to bullish sentiment, while negative ones show bearish expectations.
It is evident that the funding rates have significantly dropped compared to a couple of months ago. Low but positive funding rates can be interpreted as a bullish signal, as they show that while the futures market is not overheated anymore, the demand is still there, and the price can soon rally higher.
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
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