Cryptocurrency
Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Prepares for a Big Move – Up or Down?
Ethereum is on the verge of breaking out of a decisive price range, introducing heightened volatility and indecision to the market.
A bullish breakout would likely trigger a rally toward the $4K resistance, while a bearish move could trigger significant downside momentum.
Technical Analysis
By Shayan
The Daily Chart
ETH’s price action reflects a phase of heightened volatility followed by a period of sideways consolidation. The cryptocurrency is currently trapped within a narrow range, defined by the 100-day moving average at $3.2K and the critical $3.5K resistance zone.
This price range is significant, as it holds substantial liquidity that could fuel a sharp move in either direction upon a breakout. A break above the $3.5K mark would likely initiate a bullish rally toward the $4K threshold, reinforcing positive market sentiment. Conversely, a bearish breakdown below the 100-day MA could result in a cascade of sell orders, potentially driving the price down toward the $3K support level.
The upcoming price action within this range is pivotal for shaping Ethereum’s mid-term trend, with both buyers and sellers prepared for heightened market activity.
The 4-Hour Chart
On the lower timeframe, Ethereum’s tight trading range reflects a fierce struggle between bulls and bears. The price is bounded by the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at $3.2K and the descending wedge’s upper boundary near $3.3K, resulting in volatile sideways movement.
Ethereum buyers are showing determination, aiming to push the price above this dynamic resistance. If successful, this breakout could drive the asset toward the $3.5K threshold, where further upside momentum could be tested. However, should sellers regain control, a breakdown below the 0.5 Fibonacci level would likely lead to a bearish cascade, targeting lower support levels.
Given the market’s current state, a bullish breakout above the descending wedge and a subsequent rally toward the $3.5K resistance is the more probable scenario in the short term. This move could signal renewed optimism and set the stage for further gains in the market.
Onchain Analysis
By Shayan
During the recent consolidation stage, two significant liquidity pools have emerged, one below the $3.2K mark and the other above the $3.5K threshold. These zones represent the liquidation levels for short and long positions, respectively, and are highly attractive targets for bears and bulls. The clustering of liquidity at these levels underscores the heightened tension between supply and demand forces in the market.
This setup makes both the $3.2K support and $3.5K resistance critical levels to watch as the market appears poised for a decisive move. The concentration of liquidity at these thresholds increases the likelihood of a breakout toward either direction in the near term.
Given the current market conditions and the visible bullish momentum, a breakout above the $3.5K mark seems more probable in the short-to-mid term. Such a move would likely aim to capture liquidity above this threshold, paving the way for a sustained rally toward higher resistance levels.
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Cryptocurrency
Crypto Markets Shed $250 Billion as BTC Plunged to 11-Day Low (Market Watch)
The calm weekend was followed by a Monday massacre for bitcoin as the asset plunged by seven grand within an hour or so.
Expectedly, the altcoins have it even worse, with massive price drops from the likes of DOGE, ADA, XRP, SOL, and many others.
BTC Dumps by $7K
Last Monday began somewhat similarly to this one, as BTC dumped hard to just under $100,000. However, it quickly bounced off and even skyrocketed to a new all-time high of over $109,000. More volatility ensued during the day, especially during and after Donald Trump’s inauguration.
His failure to mention crypto during his speech resulted in another correction but BTC remained north of $100,000. It jumped to $107,000 later on in the week but lost some ground during the weekend, which it spent at around $105,000.
Once the Monday Asian trading session kicked in, bitcoin’s price headed straight south. In a matter of a few hours, it dumped by over seven grand and briefly slipped below $98,000, leaving millions of liquidations.
Despite bouncing off to $99,000 now, BTC is still 5% down on the day. Its market capitalization has plunged to $1.960 trillion on CG, but its dominance over the alts has gone to over 56%, as most have suffered a lot more.
Alts Bleed Out
As mentioned above, the alternative coins have gone into deep red territory. Ethereum leads the adverse trend with a 7% drop that has pushed it below $3,100. XRP lost the $3 mark and has plummeted to $2.8. Solana, Dogecoin, Cardano, Chainlink, Avalanche, Stellar, and SUI are all down by double digits.
Even more painful declines of up to 20% come from VIRTUAL, XCN, SOS, RAY, PEPE, OP, BONK, and many others.
The cumulative market capitalization of all crypto assets has seen over $250 billion gone since yesterday. The metric has plunged to a multi-week low of $3.5 trillion on CG.
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Cryptocurrency
Why is Ripple (XRP) Price Down Today
XRP failed to hold above $3 and the price action is now turning bearish.
Key Support levels: $2.6, $2, $1.6
Key Resistance levels: $3, $3.3
1. First Major Sign of Weakens for XRP
It was critical for XRP to hold above $3 if there was hope of higher highs. This level was lost today and the price fell to $2.7. This drop has also turned the level at $3 into a key resistance.
The cryptocurrency fell by 11% today which shows sellers are returning. While this is a market-wide correction, the timing was quite unfortunate for XRP as this is turning the chart bearish.
2. Falling Volume Hinted at Correction
The first giveaway that a correction could be coming for XRP was seen on the volume profile. While the price made a higher high above $3, the volume did not do the same. This was an early sign that a bearish divergence was forming which called for caution.
3. Bearish Divergence Detected
The bearish divergence was quite obvious on the volume profile, as seen below. However, the same situation can also be seen on the MACD and RSI momentum indicators. This only strengthens the argument that XRP could have made a local top at $3.4 and a correction may follow now.
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Cryptocurrency
Why is the Cardano (ADA) Price Down Today
ADA crashed by 10% today as bears return.
Key Support levels: $0.90, $0.73
Key Resistance levels: $1, $1.3
1. Price Struggles at Key Support
Cardano is about to decide where it goes next. If the key support at 90 cents does not hold, then it will turn into a resistance and see the price fall lower towards 73 cents next. At that point, ADA will make a lower low which could indicate a prolonged correction has begun.
2. Momentum is Reversing
The volume is making lower highs, the price is making lower highs, and so does the RSI and MACD histogram. These are all bearish signals. It would be surprising to see the key support hold considering the above. However, until the 90 cents level breaks, it is too early to call it.
3. Impending Bearish Cross on Weekly Timeframe
A big warning sign is given by the weekly MACD which shows that a bearish cross is imminent. If so, that could be the start of a long correction that can see the price fall towards 73 cents or lower. This scenario is likely if the overall market enters a deep correction.
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