Cryptocurrency
Fed’s Recession Fears Could Catapult Bitcoin Prices to $1M By 2030

Powell warned Wednesday, Apr. 16 of a stagflationary situation ahead with “higher inflation and slower growth.” He said the scenario would be “challenging” for the central bank to make policy decisions.
The Fed chair said there would be tension between the central bank’s twin mandates from Congress: maximum productive employment with minimum consumer price inflation.
Meanwhile the New York Federal Reserve’s Treasury yield curve recession indicator gives a 56% chance of the US economy going into recession in July.
Economic Fears Could Catalyze Bitcoin’s Trajectory to $1 Million
In Q1, BlackRock’s crypto chief Robbie Mitchnick said while speaking with Yahoo Finance, “A recession would be a big catalyst for Bitcoin.”
“It’s long liquidity, meaning it benefits from increased fiscal spending, deficit accumulation, and lower interest rates—all typical features of a recessionary environment,” Mitchnick said.
The inflationary recession the US central bank fears may be the catalyst that launches Bitcoin to the stratospheric $1 million forecast Block and CashApp founder Jack Dorsey made for by 2030.
Here are five ways markets expect that to happen:
1. There Are No Tariffs on Cryptocurrency
There are no tariffs on Bitcoin.
— Michael Saylor (@saylor) April 3, 2025
Unlike imported steel and manufactured items, there are no Trump Administration tariffs for Bitcoin or cryptocurrencies on the table. Bitcoin is an amorphous global Web3 layer network that exists in a borderless cyberspace.
Javier Molina, market analyst for the eToro trading brokerage platform, said in mid-April:
“Right now Tesla, Apple, and Google are showing more volatility than bitcoin, because that’s where the tariffs have a direct impact.”
US import tariffs slow the exchange of dollar exports in exchange for foreign materials and manufactured goods. As a result, countries that import fewer dollars may opt to import Bitcoin instead.
2. National and Corporate BTC Stockpiles Race
In fact, the US government’s own official stockpile plans have launched an international land grab for the scarce supply of remaining Bitcoin, capped at 21 million.
Fortune Magazine reported on Thursday that Binance is in talks with several world powers to help them implement sovereign Bitcoin funds.
Meanwhile, a Trump White House official even discussed an idea in April with Anthony Pompliano to use tariff revenue to buy Bitcoin for the US strategic national reserve. These shifts are tectonic in the scale of their implications for present market valuations.
Following in the wake of US leadership and Strategy’s successes, corporate balance sheets and whale-sized BTC addresses began accumulating Bitcoin like never before in Q1.
3. Fed Rate Cuts God Candle Bitcoin’s Price
Yes pic.twitter.com/m3wfn7802r
— Simply Bitcoin (@SimplyBitcoinTV) April 18, 2025
Furthermore, if Trump’s trade war leads to a slowing economy and rising prices, keeping Powell occupied at the moment, it could be another tsunami for Bitcoin’s price, with entrenched support levels locked in at the historical factor of 10 times on a roughly 4-year market cycle.
The financial crisis-era Fed rate cuts to nearly 0% in 2009 saw Bitcoin’s price move from $0.003 in 2010 to $469 in December 2015, when the central bank began raising rates again.
The global asset price crash in 2020, followed by emergency rate cuts to 0% in May 2020, launched Bitcoin’s price again from $5,245 on Mar. 18, 2020, to $66,953 in Nov. 2021.
Then, after pulling back for three months, Bitcoin immediately continued revising ruthlessly downward following the Fed’s pivot to rate hikes in Mar. 2022. That took markets to below $16,000 before the year was over.
Later, as the Fed started trimming rates down again in September 2024, like clockwork, Bitcoin’s price rallied to historic record high levels.
A slowing economy would likely prompt the printing press to target lower interest rates that ease lending to get businesses moving again. This has historically had the effect of pushing prices up for consumers, stock traders, and Bitcoin buyers.
4. US Fiscal Deficits Are Rocket Fuel For BTC
The Congressional Budget Office expects the US yearly national deficit in tax revenue to cover spending to continue to grow from its current record proportions. The CBO also predicts the national debt will be 156% of GDP by 2055.
There is a direct correlation since 1980 between US recessions and federal deficit spending rising to and becoming entrenched at new record high levels, according to data published by the St. Louis Federal Reserve.
Washington deficit spending levels also historically trend with Bitcoin prices because the government hogs up credit markets, creating upward pressure on loan rates that brings on more of the Fed’s printing press to keep business flowing.
5. Easy Dollars Make Hard Bitcoin More Dear In Recessions
Bitcoin’s world-historically disruptive growth as an independent Internet currency seems to exemplify the economic principle expressed by Gresham’s Law:
“Bad money drives out good from circulation.”
Thomas Gresham, who founded the Royal Exchange of the City of London in the 16th Century, noticed a pattern in the circulation of metal coins off the mint.
During uncertain times, merchants would spend and deposit the coins that were easier to make, like copper and silver, but hoard the most difficult coins, like gold.
International currency economists found the same pattern in free-floating global currency exchanges in the 20th century monetary era as central banks adjusted supplies and loan rates.
While dollars are easy for the Fed to make as long as the economy has the capacity to grow production to cover its loans, BTC is very hard to make, but demand for it continues to grow.
Bitcoin’s price was up 37% on the 12-month window the week ending Friday, Apr. 18. Meanwhile, the high-growth, tech-focused Nasdaq Composite was up 4.39% on a one-year basis.
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Cryptocurrency
Crypto Markets Skyrocket by Almost $400B in Days as BTC Price Surges Past $103K (Weekend Watch)

Bitcoin’s recent price ascent took the asset to a new multi-month peak of over $104,000 where it faced some resistance and now sits above $103,000.
Many altcoins continue to post impressive gains, with ETH standing well above $2,300, while DOGE has soared past $0.21.
BTC’s Impressive Week
If we roll back the clock to May 6, we will see that BTC’s price was just rejected at $98,000, and the asset had slipped back down to under $94,000. Although this $4,000 price drop might sound painful, a broader look would show that bitcoin has still added roughly $20,000 since the early April lows. Impressive, right?
Well, the primary cryptocurrency wasn’t done yet, not by a long shot. It bounced off that support line, and it took about a day to fly past the coveted $100,000 line. As such, BTC stood within a six-digit price territory for the first time in over three months.
The gains kept coming on Friday as bitcoin exploded to its highest price level since late January of over $104,000. It met some resistance there and was pushed south by a few grand, but that was short-lived. As of now, BTC stands well above $103,000 – a 7% weekly surge and a 26% monthly pump.
Its market capitalization has risen to $2.050 trillion, while its dominance over the alts has taken a hit and is down to 60.5%, as many altcoins have registered mindblowing price increases.
Alts With Big Gains
Many altcoins have doubled down on yesterday’s price increases with massive gains today as well. ETH is among the leaders as another 6% surge has taken it to $2,350 where it faces a crucial resistance.
Binance Coin, Solana, Avalanche, and Shiba Inu have marked similar pumps, while DOGE has risen by over 12% and now trades above $0.21.
As a whole, the meme coins have posted the biggest gains, with PEPE and FARTCOIN leading the charts with substantial double-digit price increases.
The total crypto market cap has surged to $3.4 trillion on CG. This means that the metric has added roughly $400 billion since May 6.
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
Cryptocurrency
3 Reasons Why a New Bitcoin (BTC) ATH Is Incoming

TL;DR
Bitcoin’s recent outflows from exchanges and other vital factors support the case for a push toward a new all-time high.
However, the rising RSI suggests the asset may be overbought and vulnerable to a short-term pullback.
New Peak on the Way?
The price of the leading cryptocurrency has been booming lately, briefly climbing above $104,000 earlier today (May 9). As of this writing, bitcoin (BTC) is worth approximately $103,000, which represents a 33% monthly increase.
The asset’s impressive rally sparked huge enthusiasm on crypto X, with multiple users predicting that an upswing toward a new all-time high is just a matter of time. Some important factors support the bullish thesis.
An example is BTC’s exchange netflow, which has been predominantly negative on most days in the past week or so. This indicates a shift from centralized trading platforms toward self-custody methods and reduced selling pressure.
The interest in BTC is also worth mentioning. Over the last few weeks, Google searches with the word ‘bitcoin’ have been on the rise, signaling increased attention from investors, especially retail.
As CryptoPotato reported earlier today (May 9), Bitcoin’s network saw almost 350,000 newly created wallets in a single day, signaling a FOMO effect. On some occasions in the past, the massive influx of retail investors has been a precursor of cycle tops. Although the current retail numbers are higher now than in the last several weeks, they are still far from what could be described as the bull run top.
Last but not least, we will focus on the upcoming meeting between US and Chinese officials scheduled for this weekend. The two sides will supposedly discuss de-escalation of the ongoing trade war. Recently, American President Donald Trump hinted that the tariffs imposed on China might be cut in the near future.
Eased tension between the two biggest economies in the world could positively impact the financial and crypto markets since it would reduce uncertainty and might boost investor confidence.
Greed Is Here, But Watch Out
BTC’s recent bull run seems to have affected investors’ sentiment. Today, the popular Fear & Greed Index surged to “greed” territory of 73, a level last observed in January this year.
The metric tracks numerous segments, such as price volatility, social media comments, and surveys, to determine the momentary investor feelings toward BTC.
The predominantly bullish sentiment might sound encouraging, but one should keep in mind Warren Buffett’s advice, who once urged people “to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.”
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is another indicator worth monitoring. The momentum oscillator measures the speed and magnitude of the latest price changes and varies from 0 to 100. It helps traders spot potential trend reversals, as readings above 70 typically signal that the asset could be overbought and headed for a pullback. Currently, the ratio stands at almost 75.
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Cryptocurrency
How Saylor’s Strategy Transformed Bitcoin into a Deflationary Asset: Details

By being pre-programmed to have only 21 million bitcoins ever to exist, the largest cryptocurrency’s model is not, by definition, deflationary. After all, new BTC is mined every day, and none is being destroyed in the traditional sense of the word, which is the opposite of deflationary.
However, CryptoQuant’s CEO explained how Strategy and its co-founder, and BTC champion, Michael Saylor, made bitcoin into a deflationary asset.
Is BTC Deflationary?
By definition, deflationary means that the asset’s supply is designed to decrease over time. So, by that explanation, the newly minted BTC every day (currently ~450 BTC/day) does not put the cryptocurrency into that category. Someone would argue that BNB should be there since it has a burning mechanism to reduce the overall supply from 200,000 to 100,000.
Ethereum also made some progress on that matter, but that’s a different and rather controversial topic (and it doesn’t really work as promised, at least not always).
In BTC’s case, though, there’s one big (un)spoken hero who deserves a big “thank you” from Bitcoin Maxis, according to CryptoQuant’s chief exec, Ki Young Ju (even though he deleted the original post with the thank you note). In the updated one, he explained that Michael Saylor, through the company he co-founded, has turned Bitcoin into a deflationary asset because the entity is “buying BTC faster than it’s mined.”
CQ’s CEO determined that Strategy’s strategy (yeah, we get how it sounds) not to sell at any cost has turned its massive stash of over 555,000 BTC into an illiquid supply. This means that MSTR’s holdings are equal to -2.23% annual deflation rate for bitcoin. The percentage could be even higher when we examine other “stable institutional holders” who have incorporated the HODL strategy.
#Bitcoin is deflationary.@Strategy is buying BTC faster than it’s mined. Their 555K BTC is illiquid with no plans to sell. MSTR’s holdings alone mean a -2.23% annual deflation rate—likely higher with other stable institutional holders. pic.twitter.com/9VKT3IdcYo
— Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) May 10, 2025
555,450 and Counting
The company began its massive accumulation spree in September 2020 when it was called MicroStrategy and Saylor was still CEO. At a time when bitcoin was fighting to stay above $10,000 (yes, one zero less than now), the NASDAQ-listed business intelligence software firm bought 21,454 BTC via 78,388 off-chain transactions.
In the following year, the cryptocurrency’s price skyrocketed to an all-time high of almost $70,000. The company kept buying. Then, the asset plunged deep below $20,000 following the FTX crash as well as many other industry blow-offs. The firm continued accumulating, even though its stash was now well in the red.
The 2024 US elections only strengthened Strategy’s conviction, and the firm now owns 555,450 BTC, valued at almost $58 billion at current prices. This puts its holdings in an unrealized profit state of nearly $20 billion.
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