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Following the Flushout, is ETH About to Break Toward $4K? (Ethereum Price Analysis)

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After a period of heightened buying activity and increased bullish momentum, Ethereum has successfully reclaimed a crucial resistance zone, notably the previous major yearly high at $3.6K.

This breakout, if confirmed by a retest, sets the stage for ETH to potentially establish a new all-time high in the near future.

By Shayan

The Weekly Chart

An in-depth analysis of the weekly chart reveals a significant bullish sentiment surrounding Ethereum, as evidenced by a substantial and impulsive upward movement surpassing the critical resistance represented by the prior major yearly high of $3.6K.

This price action reflects a strong interest from market participants in ETH, resulting in heightened demand.

In the event of a successful retest of the breached level, Ethereum’s price is expected to continue its upward trajectory, targeting the critical all-time high of $4868.

Despite the bullish outlook, Ethereum may encounter significant support around the $3.6K threshold, with additional support levels found within the 0.5 ($3066) and 0.618 ($2870) Fibonacci levels, serving as potential zones for corrective movements.

eth_price_chart_0603241
Source: TradingView

The 4-Hour Chart

Further analysis of the 4-hour chart confirms Ethereum’s overall bullish sentiment and increased market confidence, driving the price to its highest level since April 2022. This surge, accompanied by heightened market volatility, reflects substantial buying interest aimed at surpassing the notable resistance level of its ATH at $4.8K.

However, following a rejection at the significant $3.6K resistance, Ethereum found support within critical regions marked by the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels, prompting an immediate reversal. However, the price surged past $3.6K, bolstered by prevailing market demand, indicating the buyers’ dominance in the market.

Currently, ETH approaches a significant psychological resistance zone near the $4K threshold. Given the strength of this price range and the rapid ascent of the current bullish rally, increased volatility and fluctuations are expected.

Despite potential short to mid-term corrections, the overall sentiment remains positive, with Ethereum poised for further upside potential.

eth_price_chart_0603242
Source: TradingView

By Shayan

Ethereum’s recent surge highlights an increase in investor confidence and heightened buying activity. An important indicator reflecting market dynamics is Ethereum’s funding rates, which measure the aggressiveness of trades in the futures market. Positive rates signal a bullish outlook, while negative rates indicate bearish sentiment among traders.

Notably, this metric has seen a significant uptick, reaching levels reminiscent of late 2020 when Ethereum was poised for a robust bullish rally toward its all-time high. This surge in funding rates indicates a strong bullish sentiment among futures traders, potentially leading to a sustained upward trend.

However, while rising funding rates typically accompany a bullish market sentiment, excessively high values can be dangerous.

Elevated rates increase the risk of long liquidation cascades, which may result in heightened market volatility and unexpected corrective movements. Therefore, traders should closely monitor funding rates amidst Ethereum’s bullish momentum and effectively manage risk to assess market conditions and anticipate potential price fluctuations.

eth_funding_rates_0603241
Source: CryptoQuant
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

Cryptocurrency

Crypto Markets Bled $300 Billion in a Day as Bitcoin (BTC) Slumped to $95K (Market Watch)

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A lot can change in the cryptocurrency markets within 24 hours, and the last day proved that narrative, as BTC slumped from over $102,000 to $95,200.

The altcoins have suffered even more, with massive price declines from the likes of ETH, DOGE, ADA, AVAX, LINK, HBAR, DOT, and many others.

BTC Slumps Hard

After a relatively quiet weekend, which BTC spent mostly at around $98,000, the cryptocurrency went on the offensive on Monday. Within just a few hours, its price skyrocketed from under $99,000 to a multi-week peak of $102,400.

This was the first time the asset exceeded the $100,000 mark since the start of the year. It kept climbing during the Tuesday Asian trading session and peaked at $102,800 (on Bitstamp).

However, it quickly started to lose value as the day progressed. Once the US trading hours kicked in and some controversial data came out, BTC started to freefall and dumped by five grand in about 60 minutes. It kept dropping in the following hours and plunged to $95,200 earlier this morning, leaving roughly $700 million in liquidations.

Despite recovering slightly since then, bitcoin is still 6% down on the day. Its market cap has plummeted from over $2 trillion to under $1.9 trillion, and its dominance over the alts stands at 54.3%.

Bitcoin/Price/Chart 8.1.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/Price/Chart 8.1.2024. Source: TradingView

Alts in Freefall State

As it typically happens during such violent corrections, most altcoins have it worse. Ethereum is among the poorest performers, having dumped by 8% from over $3,600 to under $3,400. Even more painful declines come from SOL, DOGE, ADA, AVAX, SUI, LINK, HBAR, DOT, and SHIB, as most of them have dumped by double digits.

XRP and BNB have dropped by a more modest 4.5% and 3.2%, respectively, while LEO is the only larger-cap alt that is not deep in the red.

The total crypto market cap went from $3.760 trillion yesterday to under $3.5 trillion today, losing roughly $300 billion in the process from top to bottom.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

Could Plunging Treasury Yields Be Why BTC Price Slumped Tuesday?

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Rising Treasury yields as a result of falling bond prices Tuesday knocked tech stocks in the Nasdaq Composite down nearly 2%.

Aside from BTC, Ethereum fell nearly 8%, Ripple dropped by 6%, and Solana slumped by nearly 10% in the 24-hour window.

BTC Price Retraces Jan 6 Bump on New Congress

Going into the work week, Bitcoin’s price picked up steam on Sunday after trading flat over Friday and Saturday around the $98,000 handle as it spiked to over $102,500 on Tuesday morning.

That was most likely a result of the blockchain market’s enthusiasm for the incoming pro-cryptocurrency Republican Congress. US delegates for the 119th Congress took their oaths of office on Monday after convening in Washington, DC, on Jan. 3.

Ripple Labs CEO Brad Garlinghouse, who oversees development for XRP—the third-most capitalized token without stablecoins (behind Bitcoin and Ethereum)—recently hailed the 119th as “the most pro-crypto Congress in history.”

But on Tuesday, market euphoria over the new regime in Washington faded fast as a surge in US Treasury bond yields depressed prices for risk assets broadly. Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin weren’t the only growth-oriented high-risk/reward assets to fall on Tuesday.

Bitcoin’s Price Slumps on Treasury Yields

The Nasdaq Composite focused heavily on the tech sector, fell by more than 2.5% before the close of Wall Street markets at 4 pm US Eastern Standard Time. By the end of the day, the Nasdaq had lost nearly 2% after recovering some in intraday trading.

The Institute for Supply Management published new data on Tuesday indicating faster growth in December than analysts expected. Consequently, markets lost their nerve for US Treasury bonds on fears of more inflation in the US dollar.

When the dollar weakens, and prices move up in a growing economy, bond coupons and their principal investment due back to the note’s owner on the maturity date lose value. So, markets sell them at a discount, causing bond yields to rise.

Several analysts in retail and institutional finance have posted some exciting predictions for Bitcoin’s price in 2025. The sentiment overall for a continuing rally has been broadly bullish so far in January.

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Pro-XRP Lawyer Claims the SEC ‘Played Dirty’ in the Lawsuit Against Ripple: Details

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TL;DR

  • Ripple’s lawsuit with the SEC remains unresolved, with the agency accused of unethical tactics, including harassing the company’s CEO.
  • Pro-crypto SEC leadership changes could favor Ripple, though the case’s complexity calls for cautious optimism.

The SEC Pushed ‘Ethical Limits’

The legal tussle between Ripple and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is among the most intriguing topics in the crypto space. It all started in December 2020 when the agency sued the company, its CEO Brad Garlinghouse, and co-founder Chris Larsen, accusing them of illegally raising more than $1.3 billion in an unregistered securities offering by selling XRP.

The two entities have been throwing punches at each other in the following years, and despite the numerous developments and court rulings, the case remains ongoing.

According to John Deaton (an American lawyer representing thousands of XRP investors in the aforementioned lawsuit), the SEC “played dirty” and pushed “ethical limits” in the process. He claimed that the Commission’s attorneys “engaged in abusive discovery tactics, threatening and harassing Ripple’s overseas customers, investors, and partners.”

“Despite having the records of every XRP transaction made by Garlinghouse, the SEC attempted to subpoena all of Brad’s, and his family’s, personal financial records, including credit card statements. It was an attempt to bully, threaten, and coerce Garlinghouse (and Ripple) into submitting to the all powerful SEC,” he added.

Deaton, though, maintained that the company’s CEO endured the pressure, fought back “every step of the way,” and eventually won. 

“I love America because two years and one Presidential election later, the future couldn’t look more bright for an industry, company and CEO,” the lawyer concluded.

It is worth mentioning that Deaton’s post was accompanied by a photo of Garlinghouse, the newly elected president of the USA, Donald Trump, and Ripple’s CTO Stuart Alderoty, who recently had dinner together. The XRP army interpreted this gathering as good news for the firm’s potential growth in the near future and the performance of its native token.

Earlier this month, Garlinghouse credited the substantial resurgence of the cryptocurrency market to Donald Trump’s win in the presidential elections. He said Ripple signed more US deals in the final six weeks of the year than in the previous six months, while 75% of the firm’s open positions are now based in America.

Has Ripple Won the Case?

While the company notched several partial court wins, a final resolution of the lawsuit has yet to be seen. Last summer, Judge Analisa Torres ordered Ripple to pay a $125 million civil penalty for violating federal securities laws through its institutional sales of XRP.

It is important to note that in 2023, the same magistrate found that the firm’s programmatic sales of XRP to retail clients through centralized exchanges did not breach the rules.

Ripple respected the decision and was ready to pay the fine. After all, it represented just a fraction of the $2 billion the SEC initially requested. 

However, the watchdog officially appealed in October, delaying the outcome indefinitely. The upcoming changes in the SEC’s leadership, such as replacing Chairman Gary Gensler with the pro-crypto Paul Atkins, may result in a favorable resolution for Ripple. The XRP army, though, should have somewhat realistic hopes, considering the complexity of the entire legal process.

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