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Hard Times for ETH Holders: Whales’ Unrealized Profit Ratio Shrinks to Bear Market Levels

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Ethereum continues to face tough times in this bull cycle, underperforming other alternative coins despite its position as the second-largest cryptocurrency.

While the broader crypto market is struggling currently, ether (ETH) appears to be getting hit the hardest compared to its rivals, as seen in the asset’s on-chain metrics. The latest data analyzed by the market intelligence platform CryptoQuant has found that the profit levels for ETH holders have fallen to levels seen during the last bear cycle.

Whales’ Profit Ratio Hits Bear Market Levels

According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, the unrealized profit ratio for ETH whales—traders holding at least 100,000 ETH—has fallen to bear market levels. This cohort of investors last saw this level of unrealized profits in January 2023 and the months before then.

Darkfost said that most whales’ positions have returned to the same profit levels recorded during the previous bear market. This is despite the fact that ETH is currently almost twice its value from the last bear season.

While the unrealized profit ratio for traders holding at least 100,000 ETH just fell to former bear market levels, the metric for the cohort holding between 1,000 and 10,000 ETH has reverted to negative unrealized profit ratio levels.

Additionally, the ETH/BTC ratio continues to decline, with the metric facing a combination of intense fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) and complex price action. Data from TradingView reveals the ETH/BTC price at a five-year low of 0.0246, following a state of constant decline since 2022.

Tough Time for ETH Holders

This period of difficulty for Ethereum can also be seen in ETH price, which has plummeted 15% monthly and 10% weekly. After a brief surge on Sunday due to news of the United States creating a strategic crypto reserve, including ETH, the cryptocurrency fell more than 20% from $2,541 to $2,019 within 24 hours. At the time of writing, ETH had recovered slightly and was changing hands at $2,232, depicting a 6% uptick daily.

At ether’s current price, it is almost 50% below its December 2024 peak above $4,000. Market analysts have predicted that ETH could fall to late 2022 lows of $1,200 after identifying a double-top formation from the asset’s monthly time frame chart. This is likely to happen if ETH breaks below its $2,100 support level.

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Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin (BTC) Hits a New ATH, But It’s Not What You Think

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TL;DR

  • One important BTC metric reached a new all-time high, highlighting strong adoption and optimism across investors.
  • Analysts see potential for BTC to hit nearly $120K, but with RSI nearing 70, a short-term correction could be looming.

Not the Peak the Bulls Expected

Despite the retreat after hitting a new historical peak of almost $112,000 on May 22, Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has been booming in the past several months. Currently, it is worth just over $107,000, representing a 53% increase on a yearly basis.

The bull run coincides with the rising number of BTC holders, which, according to the crypto analytics platform, reached a new all-time high of 55.39 million. The development can be interpreted as an optimistic sign, as it indicates growing adoption and higher demand for the primary cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin Price Targets

We mentioned BTC’s price rally witnessed in the last months, and now let’s see if there’s more room for growth, at least according to some popular analysts.

The X user Captain Faibik recently claimed that the valuation could surge to a new all-time high of over $113,000 should it break the resistance level of $105,700.

CryptoBullet chipped in, too. They noted BTC’s recent resurgence above $107,000, suggesting that the price “is ready to go higher” and set a target of $119,000.

On the other hand, investors should keep an eye on Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index, which neared overbought territory at almost 70. This signals that the asset’s valuation has increased too rapidly over a short period, which could be a precursor to a correction.

BTC RSI
BTC RSI, Source: Crypto Waves

Conversely, ratios below 30 are considered bullish, indicating that the price may be headed for a rally.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Soars Above $107K as US and China Resume Trade Talks in London

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Bitcoin’s price has taken off in Europe’s afternoon trading session, pushing above $107,000 at the time of this writing.

The cryptocurrency was trading below $106,000 throughout the morning session but the bulls took control and pushed the price up, liquidating around $60 million worth of short positions in the past four hours alone.

BTCUSD_2025-06-09_14-19-56
Source: TradingView

As CryptoPotato reported on X, this coincided with another whale betting big on BTC on the popular decentralized exchange – Hyperliquid. The entity deposited over $5 million in USDC and instantly opened a long position with 20x leverage.

Of course, this probably doesn’t have much to do with the recent increase, which is likely connected to renewed expectations of a positive resolution between the US and China on tariffs.

The delegations of both countries have arrived in London and are about to commence talks to stabilize the fragile trade truce, according to Walter Bloomberg on X. The US team is led by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, while the Chinese delegation is led by the Vice Premier He Lifeng.

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World Governments Are Issuing More Debt Than Ever, Will Bitcoin Benefit?

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“World governments are issuing more debt than ever,” commented the Kobeissi Letter over the weekend.

Global sovereign bond issuances hit a record $18 trillion last year, and $16 trillion of that debt was issued by developed countries.

Additionally, global government bond issuance has nearly doubled since 2019 on an unsustainable debt trajectory, it noted.

“Historically high public spending on social programs and defense, new tax and spending policies, as well as elevated interest rates, have been behind this massive surge.”

More Debt More Bonds

Government bonds are a way for nations to raise money by issuing interest-earning debt securities to finance public spending.

As debt surges, more of it needs to be refinanced, which means more bond buyers are needed, which puts pressure on the bond markets.

On June 6, the Financial Times reported that investor demand for long-term government debt is weakening, as evidenced by recent auctions of 20-year bonds in Japan and the US, which were poorly received, triggering sharp price drops and rising yields.

Prominent investors such as BlackRock’s Larry Fink and billionaire hedge fund manager Ray Dalio warned of unsustainable deficits, especially in the US, which is considering a $2.4 trillion debt increase, prompting fears of a path to insolvency.

Long-term bond yields serve as benchmarks for corporate debt, and higher yields will raise borrowing costs for businesses, risking growth. Additionally, a debt market dominated by hedge funds and short-term players may become more volatile.

Bitcoin The Beneficiary

Store-of-value assets like Bitcoin could benefit significantly from the unfolding global bond market strain and loss of faith in sovereign debt.

If government debt becomes less attractive due to high yields, poor auction performance, and credit rating downgrades, investors may seek alternatives to store capital.

Governments may also increasingly rely on inflation to erode the real value of debt, and BTC has often been considered an inflation hedge.

Being non-sovereign and decentralized, Bitcoin also offers a parallel financial system that is immune to political manipulation or debt monetization.

As countries and investors diversify away from US Treasuries and the dollar, Bitcoin could also be part of a new neutral reserve asset basket, especially in emerging markets.

The asset was holding steady at around $105,500 at the time of writing, having recovered from its Friday dip to $101,000.BTC has gained more than 50% over the past 12 months.

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