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Here’s What Binance Whales Are Doing Amidst Market Chaos and BTC’s Surge

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Bitcoin made a strong comeback this week, as it trades close to $85,000 after dumping below $74,000 last Monday. Despite the earlier market chaos triggered by Trump’s tariff imposition and the subsequent 90-day pause, new data revealed that Binance whales are not panicking amid the current period of macroeconomic uncertainty.

This is found after considering two key indicators – the Exchange Whale Ratio and the Binance Whale to Exchange Flow.

Binance Whales Unfazed

First, the Exchange Whale Ratio on Binance, which compares the top 10 inflows to the total inflows, shows a major trend, according to the latest report by CryptoQuant. The 365-day moving average (DMA) is steadily increasing, which indicates that whale involvement in Bitcoin has grown larger over time, especially during bullish phases.

However, the 30-day moving average (DMA) reveals a short-term decrease in whale activity, returning to levels last observed in September/October 2024. This suggests that while whale participation remains significant, their short-term influence may be waning, which could possibly signal reduced selling pressure.

The second indicator, the Binance Whale to Exchange Flow, tracks the 30-day value of whale inflows. The data shows a notable decline, with whale inflows dropping by more than $3 billion – a decrease comparable to previous corrections in 2024. This drop in inflows indicates that whales are less likely to engage in aggressive selling and are opting instead to hold onto their positions.

As such, CryptoQuant’s analysis observed that Binance whales are not reacting to market uncertainty with panic. Instead, they appear to be consolidating their holdings rather than capitulating. Such a trend potentially reflects a sense of cautious optimism or strategy amid broader market volatility.

The same cannot be said for the US institutional investors.

US Institutions Shaken

Investor sentiment in the US was impacted by trade tensions following President Trump’s tariff plans, which prompted a significant rise in outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs last week. Between April 7 and April 11, institutional investors withdrew a portion of their capital from Bitcoin funds, with total net outflows reaching $713 million.

SoSo Value’s data revealed that BlackRock’s IBIT fund saw the largest outflow, with $343 million in net withdrawals, accounting for nearly half of the total outflows.

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Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin (BTC) Hits a New ATH, But It’s Not What You Think

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TL;DR

  • One important BTC metric reached a new all-time high, highlighting strong adoption and optimism across investors.
  • Analysts see potential for BTC to hit nearly $120K, but with RSI nearing 70, a short-term correction could be looming.

Not the Peak the Bulls Expected

Despite the retreat after hitting a new historical peak of almost $112,000 on May 22, Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has been booming in the past several months. Currently, it is worth just over $107,000, representing a 53% increase on a yearly basis.

The bull run coincides with the rising number of BTC holders, which, according to the crypto analytics platform, reached a new all-time high of 55.39 million. The development can be interpreted as an optimistic sign, as it indicates growing adoption and higher demand for the primary cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin Price Targets

We mentioned BTC’s price rally witnessed in the last months, and now let’s see if there’s more room for growth, at least according to some popular analysts.

The X user Captain Faibik recently claimed that the valuation could surge to a new all-time high of over $113,000 should it break the resistance level of $105,700.

CryptoBullet chipped in, too. They noted BTC’s recent resurgence above $107,000, suggesting that the price “is ready to go higher” and set a target of $119,000.

On the other hand, investors should keep an eye on Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index, which neared overbought territory at almost 70. This signals that the asset’s valuation has increased too rapidly over a short period, which could be a precursor to a correction.

BTC RSI
BTC RSI, Source: Crypto Waves

Conversely, ratios below 30 are considered bullish, indicating that the price may be headed for a rally.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Soars Above $107K as US and China Resume Trade Talks in London

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Bitcoin’s price has taken off in Europe’s afternoon trading session, pushing above $107,000 at the time of this writing.

The cryptocurrency was trading below $106,000 throughout the morning session but the bulls took control and pushed the price up, liquidating around $60 million worth of short positions in the past four hours alone.

BTCUSD_2025-06-09_14-19-56
Source: TradingView

As CryptoPotato reported on X, this coincided with another whale betting big on BTC on the popular decentralized exchange – Hyperliquid. The entity deposited over $5 million in USDC and instantly opened a long position with 20x leverage.

Of course, this probably doesn’t have much to do with the recent increase, which is likely connected to renewed expectations of a positive resolution between the US and China on tariffs.

The delegations of both countries have arrived in London and are about to commence talks to stabilize the fragile trade truce, according to Walter Bloomberg on X. The US team is led by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, while the Chinese delegation is led by the Vice Premier He Lifeng.

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World Governments Are Issuing More Debt Than Ever, Will Bitcoin Benefit?

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“World governments are issuing more debt than ever,” commented the Kobeissi Letter over the weekend.

Global sovereign bond issuances hit a record $18 trillion last year, and $16 trillion of that debt was issued by developed countries.

Additionally, global government bond issuance has nearly doubled since 2019 on an unsustainable debt trajectory, it noted.

“Historically high public spending on social programs and defense, new tax and spending policies, as well as elevated interest rates, have been behind this massive surge.”

More Debt More Bonds

Government bonds are a way for nations to raise money by issuing interest-earning debt securities to finance public spending.

As debt surges, more of it needs to be refinanced, which means more bond buyers are needed, which puts pressure on the bond markets.

On June 6, the Financial Times reported that investor demand for long-term government debt is weakening, as evidenced by recent auctions of 20-year bonds in Japan and the US, which were poorly received, triggering sharp price drops and rising yields.

Prominent investors such as BlackRock’s Larry Fink and billionaire hedge fund manager Ray Dalio warned of unsustainable deficits, especially in the US, which is considering a $2.4 trillion debt increase, prompting fears of a path to insolvency.

Long-term bond yields serve as benchmarks for corporate debt, and higher yields will raise borrowing costs for businesses, risking growth. Additionally, a debt market dominated by hedge funds and short-term players may become more volatile.

Bitcoin The Beneficiary

Store-of-value assets like Bitcoin could benefit significantly from the unfolding global bond market strain and loss of faith in sovereign debt.

If government debt becomes less attractive due to high yields, poor auction performance, and credit rating downgrades, investors may seek alternatives to store capital.

Governments may also increasingly rely on inflation to erode the real value of debt, and BTC has often been considered an inflation hedge.

Being non-sovereign and decentralized, Bitcoin also offers a parallel financial system that is immune to political manipulation or debt monetization.

As countries and investors diversify away from US Treasuries and the dollar, Bitcoin could also be part of a new neutral reserve asset basket, especially in emerging markets.

The asset was holding steady at around $105,500 at the time of writing, having recovered from its Friday dip to $101,000.BTC has gained more than 50% over the past 12 months.

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