Cryptocurrency
How High Can Ripple’s Price Go if the SEC Approves an XRP ETF? (ChatGPT Speculates)

TL;DR
- An ETF approval could fuel a triple-digit XRP rally in the mid-term (according to ChatGPT).
- Despite the positive outlook, there is a risk of a “Buy the Rumor, Sell the News” effect, where prices fall after the possible green light.
The Potential Price Targets
Ever since the launch of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US tracking the performance of Bitcoin (in January 2024) and Ethereum (July 2024), industry participants have been wondering what’s coming next.
There have been some indications lately that an XRP ETF may go live in the near future. Bitwise registered such an investment instrument in Delaware at the beginning of October, while Canary Capital followed suit several days later. The former is yet to file the ETF with the US SEC (the agency that decides whether these funds will be approved), while the latter already did so.
The Commission has been at legal war with Ripple for nearly four years, meaning a green light from it could be quite challenging. However, a possible nod is not entirely out of the cards and might significantly boost the price of XRP. We decided to ask ChatGPT to specify exactly how high the valuation could jump if that were the case.
The AI-powered chatbot estimated that the token’s price could soar to $1.50 within months of approval. However, this exponential rise would depend on other elements, including increased institutional investment, broader market adoption, and more.
ChatGPT went even further, predicting that the potential green light of an XRP ETF combined with a favorable resolution of the Ripple v. SEC lawsuit could pump the asset’s value to over $2.50 in the mid-term.
The case has recently witnessed some key developments. As CryptoPotato reported, the regulator appealed a 2023 verdict set by Federal Judge Torres, which ruled that secondary sales of Ripple’s XRP token did not constitute securities sales.
Prior to the contend, the magistrate ordered the company to pay a $125 million penalty for violating certain securities laws, an amount representing just a fraction of the $2 billion the SEC initially sought.
Watch Out for Sell the News Effect
Conversely, ChatGPT warned investors that XRP’s value may head south even if the ETF tracking the asset’s performance is approved due to some behavioral factors.
One example is “the Buy the Rumor, Sell the News” phenomenon, in which prices rise in anticipation of a positive event and then plummet after an official announcement.
“While an ETF approval generally signals a positive outlook for an asset, XRP’s reaction will depend heavily on the timing, market sentiment, and investor behavior. If many traders are already positioned for a bullish outcome, a price drop is possible due to profit-taking and unmet expectations,” the chatbot claimed.
A classic “sell-the-news” event occurred at the start of this year. BTC’s price gradually increased for months in anticipation of the approval of the first spot Bitcoin ETF in America. Shortly after the launch, though, the asset made a U-turn, erasing much of the gains.
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Cryptocurrency
Ripple Taps The Oldest US Bank to Custody RLUSD

The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BNY Mellon) continues to serve as a global partner for different cryptocurrency-related initiatives, and the latest involves Ripple and its recently launched stablecoin.
According to a press release by the company, the oldest bank in the US will serve as a custodian for RLUSD.
The statement reads that both parties are “jointly committed to paving the way for digital asset adoption at institutional scale, and together, are bridging the gap between traditional finance and crypto.”
RLUSD saw the light of day at the end of last year when the New York Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) gave the green light. It’s now one of the few global stablecoins issued under the agency’s Trust Company Charter.
It is pegged to the US dollar at a 1:1 ratio, and it is backed by “high-quality liquid assets,” the company stated. Unlike other stablecoins, RLUSD is not focused on retail engagement. Instead, it has been “purpose-built for enterprise utility, particularly in improving the speed, cost, and efficiency of cross-border payments.”
“As primary custodian for RLUSD, we’re proud to support the growth of digital assets by providing a differentiated platform, designed to meet the evolving needs of institutions in the digital assets ecosystem,” commented Emily Portney, Global Head of Asset Servicing at BNY.
In addition to the collaboration for RLUSD custody, Ripple will also utilize BNY’s transaction banking services to “underpin its operations and continue delivering seamless solutions for its customers.”
BNY was one of the first US banks to dip its toes in the cryptocurrency market years ago, well before the country’s political and regulatory landscape became as favorable as it is now. Since the early COVID days, the institution has launched several BTC and crypto-related products and provides custody to certain digital asset firms, such as Grayscale.
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Cryptocurrency
Ripple (XRP) Eyes Breakout After 32-Week Hold Pattern

TL;DR
- XRP completes a 32-week consolidation, matching the 2017 pattern that led to an explosive breakout.
- Futures open interest hits $5.17B, with traders betting big on near-term XRP momentum.
- Tight Bollinger Bands suggest volatility ahead; the past setup led to a 600% price pump.
XRP Price Trends Higher Amid Low Volume
Ripple (XRP) was trading at $2.34 as of Wednesday, posting a 2.4% gain in the last 24 hours. This follows a rise from $2.26 and extends the asset’s weekly gain to 6.48%. Its total market capitalization now stands at approximately $137.4 billion.
Meanwhile, trading volume has dropped 42.4% in the same period, with $2.58 billion in tokens changing hands. Lower volume during a price rise can signal weaker conviction, though the overall trend remains positive. The 24-hour trading range sits between $2.26 and $2.34.
Technical Setup Mirrors 2017 Pattern
According to trader @Ripplesinwales, XRP’s price has completed a 32-week consolidation period. This pattern matches a similar formation that occurred in 2017, which preceded a sharp breakout in week 33.
$XRP has been in a 32 week consolidation
Same duration consolidation occurred in 2017
Week 33 could be explosive pic.twitter.com/HImaSFLhbp
— Ripples ☠️ (@Ripplesinwales) July 9, 2025
Chart data confirms the token is moving out of a long-term symmetrical triangle, a structure that often leads to a directional move. Volume has shown small signs of picking up. This has led traders to monitor the next few sessions closely as a potential breakout window.
Futures Market Open Interest Nears Record
Open interest in XRP futures reached $5.17 billion, marking a 3.07% increase and the highest reading since January. This surge brings XRP’s open futures positions near their previous all-time high. The metric has risen 33% since the June 22 low, showing stronger interest in derivatives markets.
In addition, Coinglass data indicates that open interest peaked at 800 million XRP before settling slightly lower at 743 million. Futures open interest reflects how much capital is deployed in active positions, and growth in this area suggests that traders are positioning for possible larger moves.
As previously reported by CryptoPotato, Steph Is Crypto pointed out that XRP’s Bollinger Bands have recently tightened. The last time the asset saw this setup, it resulted in a 600% price move.
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Cryptocurrency
Why Is AAVE Pumping? $1T Borrow Target Fuels Rally

TL;DR
- AAVE gains 14% in 7 days as cumulative borrows edge toward the $1 trillion mark.
- Aave dominates DeFi with 22% of total TVL, surpassing Lido in protocol share.
- The price nears $300 as technical indicators show strength, trading above the Bollinger midline with rising volatility.
- Analyst says AAVE’s timing aligns with monthly pivot pattern, keeping bulls on alert.
AAVE Approaches Major Borrowing Threshold
Aave (AAVE) was trading at roughly $300 at press time, reflecting a 6.41% increase in the past 24 hours. Over the last 7 days, the price has gained 14.16%, with a market capitalization of approximately $4.54 billion based on a circulating supply of 15 million tokens.
Trading volume has also picked up, with $494.6 million recorded in the last 24 hours. The current daily range is between $280.39 and $300.84, showing sustained interest and strong upward movement from traders and investors.
Consequently, Aave’s total cumulative borrow volume has reached $775 billion, according to a recent update from the protocol. “Trillions next,” the Aave account posted on X, suggesting continued growth and borrowing activity on the platform.
Hit $775B cumulative borrows.
Trillions next. pic.twitter.com/B8dnowP7i1
— Aave (@aave) July 8, 2025
DeFi analytics platform DefiLlama reports that Aave now represents 22% of total DeFi TVL and 46% of TVL within the lending sector. The current TVL across all DeFi platforms stands at $26.426 billion. Aave leads with the largest share, overtaking Lido, which has seen a decline in its dominance within the staking category.
Technical Setups Show Bullish Strength
Looking at the daily chart, AAVE is currently trading near the upper Bollinger Band. The bands are expanding, indicating increased volatility and the possibility of a continued trend. The price remains above the midline of $266.38, a sign that bullish pressure is still active.
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is at +0.10, pointing to mild positive inflows. A reading above zero reflects buying activity, though current strength remains moderate. If CMF rises further, it could support a stronger move upward.
Analyst Sees Monthly Timing Patterns Align
Crypto analyst Jip Molenaar noted that AAVE often forms its first monthly pivot in the first six days.
“Around 58% of months the last 5 years form the first pivot early,” they said.
The second pivot usually appears during the final nine days, which could align with the current market setup.
Meanwhile, with more than two weeks left in the month, traders are watching closely. The price action around this timing window may help define the next direction as AAVE edges closer to key resistance at the $300–$310 zone.
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