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How the expiration of options worth $780 million will affect the price of bitcoin

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What happens to the price of bitcoin

A significant number of BTC options are set to expire, and it’s important to understand how this may impact the price of the underlying asset.

BTC options are derivative contracts that allow traders to buy or sell BTC at a predetermined price on a specific expiration date. If the option holder chooses not to exercise the option, they are not obligated to do so. This flexibility makes options a more versatile tool compared to futures contracts, which require closing a position regardless of profit or loss. The total value of the expiring contracts is $780 million, covering approximately 29,000 contracts. Let’s examine whether the expiration of these options could lead to increased market volatility and affect the price.

Bearish sentiment prevails

According to Greeks.live, the put-call ratio for BTC options is currently 0.81. This ratio is calculated by dividing the number of put (short) options by the number of call (long) options. A value below 1 is generally considered bullish. However, Greeks.live cautions against discounting bearish sentiment:

“Although the overall position data has remained relatively stable, the share of put options has started to increase. This indicates that bearish traders are gaining ground following a prolonged period of sideways movement.”

The total open interest, representing the number of outstanding contracts yet to expire, currently exceeds 308,000. The “maximum pain” point is at $27,500, which is the price level at which the largest number of holders would experience financial losses.

Bitcoin price outlook

Over the past 24 hours, the price of BTC has experienced a 2% decline and is currently trading at $26,880. The asset has been consolidating in recent weeks after a decline from its 2023 high of $31,000.

The market is still in a sideways pattern, and support is holding at current levels. However, if this support is breached, BTC may experience a further decline and potentially undergo a deeper correction. In such a scenario, even the positive sentiment among options traders may not be sufficient to support the asset.

Earlier, we reported that Solana has experienced a surge in new user activity.

Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Here’s Why BTC Jumped by 5% Today

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Bitcoin has recently experienced an uptick in demand near the crucial support region of the 100-day moving average, leading to a notable rebound.

This price action underscores a bullish sentiment in the market with the potential for a continued rally toward a new all-time high.

Technical Analysis

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

A detailed analysis of Bitcoin’s daily chart reveals that following a resurgence of demand near the critical $53K support area, the cryptocurrency initiated an impulsive bullish rally, surpassing several key resistance levels and introducing a bullish sentiment into the market.

These zones include the 200-day moving average at $60.5K, the 100-day moving average at $64.4K, and the static resistance at $61K. After breaking above the 100-day MA, the price recently exhibited a corrective retracement, completing a pullback to the broken level and validating the breakout.

Currently, Bitcoin has faced heightened buying pressure near the 100-day MA and experienced a bullish rebound toward the $67K threshold. If conditions remain stable, there is potential for the bullish trend toward the significant resistance region of $70K in the mid-term to continue.

btc_price_chart_2607241
Source: TradingView

The 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour chart, after receiving sufficient support near the lower boundary of the multi-month wedge at $54K, the price initiated an impulsive bullish rally, reaching the wedge’s upper trendline at $68K.

This price action clearly indicates that buyers are eager to push above the $70K resistance and set a new ATH for Bitcoin in the mid-term. During the recent rally, the price has formed an ascending short-term trendline, serving as the main support for BTC in the short term.

However, Bitcoin faced increased selling pressure near the wedge’s upper boundary, leading to a notable rejection toward the upslope trendline and the $64K support region.

Yet, the cryptocurrency was supported by the trendline and the $64K threshold, initiating a new surge toward the wedge’s upper boundary. Currently, the price is confined by the dynamic support of the ascending trendline and the dynamic resistance of the wedge’s upper boundary, roughly forming a triangle pattern.

A break above the wedge’s upper trendline will pave the way for a renewed bullish surge toward the $70K threshold. Conversely, a break below the ascending trendline could lead to a retracement toward the $64K mark.

btc_price_chart_2607242
Source: TradingView

On-chain Analysis

By Shayan

While Bitcoin’s price has experienced a notable bullish reversal, a closer examination is essential to determine if this trend will persist.

The Taker Buy/Sell Ratio, a crucial metric for evaluating futures market sentiment, provides valuable insights into the market dynamics. Values above 1 indicate aggressive buying by bulls, while values below 1 suggest bearish selling pressure.

The chart highlights the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio, which has experienced an impulsive surge above the “1” threshold concurrently with Bitcoin’s bullish revival. This surge signifies strong buying interest in the perpetual market, indicating a notable bullish sentiment and significant buying activity. If the upward trend in the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio continues, it confirms a potential mid-term bullish trend, with the price likely rallying toward the $70K mark.

btc_taker_buy_sell_ratio_chart_2607241
source: CryptoQuant
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

MEET48 “2024 GIPR2” Voting Event Final Results on August 3rd, Ranking Top on DappBay and DappRadar

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[PRESS RELEASE – Singapore, Singapore, July 26th, 2024]

Recently, the “2024 GIPR2” voting event Dapp of MEET48, a metaverse virtual community based on an AI and WEB3.0 diversified UGC entertainment content ecosystem, has rapidly risen in the rankings on DappBay and DappRadar, attracting widespread attention.

The MEET48 “2024 GIPR2” voting event (https://gipr.meet48.xyz/#/gipr) is divided into the Idol Group, Sprout Group, and Virtual Idol Group. Users can log into the MEET48 official website and app, complete tasks and watch contestant videos to earn points, mint NFTs, and use points to buy voting tickets to vote for idols. The final voting rankings will determine the metaverse and overseas offline performance resources that participants will receive. Users who participate in voting interactions will also be whitelisted for future airdrop eligibility.

As of 12PM on July 26, 2024, the MEET48 event Dapp has become the number one social category Dapp on DappBay and ranked fifth in the social category on DappRadar.

According to DappRadar data, MEET48’s event Dapp recorded 25.25 million on-chain transactions in the past 30 days, with 669.98K active user addresses (UAW). In DappBay’s statistics, MEET48’s event Dapp also performed excellently, with 25.62 million on-chain transactions and 647K users in the past 30 days.

Currently, the MEET48 “2024 GIPR2” voting event Dapp has over 3 million registered users, and the total accumulated votes in the event have exceeded 10 million. These users, who joined through the airdrop, will eventually be integrated into MEET48’s intelligent social metaverse community through the MEET48 content ecosystem matrix products.

With the final results of the “2024 GIPR2” voting airdrop event set to be announced on August 3rd, MEET48’s popularity is expected to continue rising. For those who have not yet participated, there is still an opportunity to complete tasks and earn points to join the airdrop event:

https://gipr.meet48.xyz/#/gipr.

About MEET48

MEET48 currently boasts a technical and R&D team of 500 people, covering regional operations in Singapore, Hong Kong, Taipei, Tokyo, Seoul, and Dubai. This makes it one of the largest Web3 application project teams globally. MEET48 aims to achieve the mass adoption of Web3 technology by focusing on an AI UGC content ecosystem centered on AIGC (Animation, IDOL, GAME, and Comics) Gen Z trend entertainment content and a graphical, intelligent metaverse social base.

For more information users can visit MEET48’s: Official Website | Twitter (X) | Telegram | Discord

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Ripple Price Analysis: Is XRP Ready to Finally Explode Above $0.60?

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Ripple’s price is finally gaining some bullish momentum following months of downtrend and consolidation.

By TradingRage

The USDT Paired Chart

Analyzing the XRP/USDT pair, it is evident that the price has demonstrated a rapid recovery from the $0.43 support level. It broke above both the $0.5 level and the 200-day moving average, located around the $0.55 mark.

The price is currently on the verge of breaking above the $0.59 resistance zone and if it succeeds, a rally higher toward the key $0.72 resistance level would be probable in the coming weeks.

xrp_price_chart_2607241
Source: TradingView

The BTC Paired Chart

The BTC paired chart also displays a similar behavior. The market has rebounded and broken above the 800 SAT level. Yet, the price has yet to break through the 200-day moving average, located around the 900 SAT mark.

Typically, a rise above the 200-day moving average indicates the beginning of a new uptrend. Therefore, if a breakout occurs, XRP will likely significantly appreciate against BTC in the short term.

xrp_price_chart_2607242
Source: TradingView
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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