Cryptocurrency
How the Fed’s decisions affect the crypto market: expert opinions
Against the background of the key rate increase of the U.S. Federal Reserve in mid-June 2022, the crypto market went into decline. The BeinCrypto editorial board decided to find out how further decisions by the regulator could affect the crypto industry. Experts helped us understand the question
The crypto market adjusts to the Fed
Further increases may be very tough, even by 100 basis points. In his opinion, everyone is afraid of such a decision by the Fed.
The U.S. is failing to cope with inflation. So far they have been successful in destroying the economy and cryptocurrency. This is their goal, to buy up all the depreciated or bankrupt assets afterwards. We saw this approach during the collapse of the Soviet Union and the 2008 crisis. Some say that the Fed is following the same way, and that pseudo-socialism is gradually giving way to capitalism.
Cryptocurrencies are designed to combat this kind of market manipulation. The correlation of the crypto market with the S&P500 and other indices is a great folly on the part of the market and investors who are aligning themselves with the Fed.
Awareness of market behavior may come to its participants along with the recession, the government’s crackdown on billionaire companies and their privatization. At that point, the VTS will disengage from a market that can be so easily manipulated.
The Fed would like to leave the rate at low levels. To its rise, the regulator is forced by the rising rate of inflation. Through the rate, the Fed regulates the cost of borrowing and the speed of circulation of the national currency. When the rate rises, credit becomes more expensive and the rate of circulation of the currency decreases. This causes the economy to cool and inflation to fall.
A side effect of the rate hike is a strengthening of the dollar against a wide range of financial instruments, including cryptocurrencies. Further rate hikes will cause cryptocurrencies to fall in value against the U.S. dollar.
Not everything is within the Fed’s control
There is another opinion. Raising or lowering rates does not affect cryptocurrencies in any way. The reason for the markets to move anywhere can be absolutely any. It all depends on several factors: what cycle is in the market now, how long it has been going on, how big players feel, and so on.
During the last six months, there has been a correlation between the cryptocurrency market and U.S. indices. At the same time, correlation is an extremely unstable thing.
Experts’ opinions on the effect of U.S. Federal Reserve policy on the crypto market are divided. Some believe that the movement of digital assets depends largely on the regulator’s decisions, while others believe that investors should pay attention to a combination of factors.
Hong Kong has allocated another $50 million to accelerate the development of the crypto industry after local authorities allocated HK$50 million (about $6.37 million) in late February to develop the Web3 direction. This is stated in a press release on the website of the government.
Legalization of cryptocurrencies in Hong Kong
According to the head of the Financial Services and Treasury Bureau of Hong Kong (FSTB) Christopher Hui, the pool of funds will be allocated, in particular, to organize major international Web3-events. Hui also said that the government will organize educational programs for young people, for which preparations have already begun.
In addition, the 2023 budget provides for the creation of a working group to focus on developing virtual assets and study the situation in the crypto market, development opportunities and the need for changes in regulation.
“Hong Kong is well positioned to become a leading hub for Web3 in Asia and beyond, and we attach great importance to virtual assets (VA) and Web3. The government is committed at a high level to developing this sector and providing a comprehensive support system for enterprises,” Hui said.
He added that the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) is now working on regulating stablecoins to introduce them into the economy next year. The country also plans to improve securities regulations so that retail investors can access ETFs based on cryptocurrency futures.
Despite several personal initiatives, Hong Kong authorities are also working closely with mainland China, testing international payments in the digital currency and working with the Central Bank. In all, as of the end of February, more than 80 Chinese companies had expressed interest in operating in Hong Kong.
Bloomberg wrote about China’s support back in late February. The agency pointed out that after Hong Kong set out to develop the crypto industry last October, Chinese officials have become more frequent visitors to Hong Kong. According to sources, this interest is because Beijing wants to use the city as a testing ground for digital assets amid tight control of crypto activity on the mainland.
We previously reported that the collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank is spurring demand for crypto apps.
Stablecoin issuer USDT is rapidly printing “digital dollars” in the TRON (TRC-20) ecosystem. This time, Tether printed another billion dollars in USDT, according to transaction details. The total number of USDT in circulation in the TRON ecosystem is over 42.1 billion USDT. By comparison, the Ethereum ecosystem issued significantly less – 34.2 billion USDT.
As TRONScan data shows, this is the second billion-dollar tranche issued by Tether for TRON. The last time the USDT-issuing company issued a similar amount of Stablecoin was on March 14. Since the beginning of 2023, this is the fourth transaction to issue such a large amount of USDT. As of 2023, the largest issuance occurred in February. At that time, Tether issued two billion dollars in USDT at once.
Amid the news, bitcoin barely reacted to the USDT pump. According to TradingView, the bitcoin (BTC) exchange rate in the BTC/USDT trading pair is $27,949, up just 1.4% overnight. Bitcoin has a market capitalization of $540.4 billion.
In early March, The Wall Street Journal revealed that Tether had opened bank accounts using fake documents and shell companies. It turned out that one of Tether’s Turkish accounts had been opened in the name of Denix Royal Dis Ticaret Limited Sirketi, which had previously been caught laundering money for a terrorist group.
Tether chief technology officer Paolo Ardoino ridiculed the publication on Twitter and said the WSJ’s information was untrue. Tether said it adheres to legal requirements to combat money laundering and terrorist financing, and uses KYC mechanisms of the highest level. Renowned cryptocurrency critic Molly White, for her part, said that The Wall Street Journal journalists couldn’t “just make this stuff up.”
We previously reported that major cryptocurrency exchanges have moved offshore.
According to a report by platform CoinGecko, 21 of the 30 largest crypto exchanges (70%) are based in offshore financial centers – territories that want to attract companies from abroad through loyal laws and schemes with low or no taxation.
Analysts of the service note that offshore zones, as a rule, offer non-residents more financial services and on more loyal terms than “in the home country”.
Where are crypto exchanges registered? They choose islands
Seychelles, the Cayman Islands and the British Virgin Islands were among the most popular offshore locations for cryptocurrencies. These territories are also considered tax havens for many corporations.
Also, one in five Crypto exchanges in offshore locations (20%) are registered in the Seychelles. This jurisdiction has become home to many centralized exchanges. Among them, there are well-known major platforms such as OKX, KuCoin, and MEXC Global. Many companies are “moving” to the Seychelles because the Seychelles Financial Services Authority (FSA Seychelles) refuses to license and oversee activities or companies related to cryptocurrencies.
In total, according to CoinGecko, the top 30 cryptocurrency exchanges are listed in 15 different countries: 11 of the 30 platforms (37%) are in North America – mostly in the Cayman Islands, British Virgin Islands and the United States. The number of companies located in Europe, Asia and Africa is evenly split: 20% each (or 6 countries).
The number of companies offshore may grow
Because of stricter U.S. regulators’ policies toward cryptocurrency companies, many firms are having to move to more cryptocurrency-friendly countries.
For example, the Hong Kong government, to turn the state into a new crypto hub, has allowed retail investors to trade digital tokens such as bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). The Hong Kong authorities themselves admit that they want to create a “favorable environment” for developing the local crypto industry.
Also, Ras Al Khaimah, one of seven regions in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), is preparing to open a free zone for cryptocurrency companies. Entrepreneurs in these areas own 100% of their businesses and have their own tax schemes and regulatory frameworks.
We previously reported on the Top 5 low-cost AI tokens with huge growth potential.
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