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Is BTC Heading Toward $65K After Surging 10% Weekly? (Bitcoin Price Analysis)

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Bitcoin has recently experienced a strong bullish reversal from a critical support zone, defined by the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels.

BTC is now approaching the 100-day moving average at $61.6K, where it may encounter significant selling pressure, suggesting a potential short-term consolidation.

Technical Analysis

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

A closer examination of Bitcoin’s daily chart reveals that after a decline toward the key support zone between the 0.5 ($56.3K) and 0.618 ($52.1K) Fibonacci levels, the asset encountered substantial buying pressure, triggering a sharp reversal. This bullish momentum led to a roughly 15% surge toward the 100-day moving average at $61.6K, a major resistance level.

The current price action suggests buyers have re-entered the market, aiming for further upside. However, Bitcoin is now trading within a critical range, with resistance at $61.6K and support between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels, where a brief period of consolidation may occur.

The 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin saw an apparent reversal at the $53K support, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level, igniting a steady upward trend. The failure to create a new lower low within the $52K-$54K range indicates strong buying interest, effectively halting the previous bearish momentum. Bitcoin is now approaching a key resistance area around $65K, which has historically been a challenging level for the price.

Should buyers push the price above this zone, the next target will be the $70K resistance. However, if the price is rejected at $65K, a bearish pullback toward the $52K-$54K psychological support could follow.

On-Chain Analysis

By Shayan

The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio is a popular indicator for assessing overall market sentiment. It’s calculated by dividing the market cap by the realized cap. When the ratio falls below 1, it signals that the majority of investors are facing losses, a scenario often associated with the formation of bear market bottoms over extended periods.

The MVRV ratio has recently slipped beneath its 365-day moving average, a historically significant level that has frequently marked the start of market recoveries. While this could be seen as a potential opportunity for long-term investors, it’s essential to exercise caution.

A meaningful recovery is typically signaled once the MVRV ratio climbs back above this key level. In previous market cycles, such a move has often been a turning point, leading to renewed investor confidence. However, current conditions, characterized by heightened fear and uncertainty, suggest that any recovery may take longer to unfold. As such, adopting a cautious and patient approach remains vital during this period.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

Cryptocurrency

Burgers and Bitcoin: Donald Trump Demonstrates Support for BTC at NYC Bar 

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The presidential candidate reiterated his support for digital assets on Sept. 18 by treating his supporters to burgers at a New York bar and paying with BTC.

Trump entered a crypto-themed venue called PubKey in Greenwich Village where he was met with applause from Bitcoiners and supporters.

“Who wants a burger?” he asked before spending almost a thousand dollars on burgers for those in the bar, reported Bloomberg.

Burgers and Bitcoin

Co-founder of PubKey, Drew Armstrong, said that Trump paid for the food using the Strike payments app which is built on the Lightning Network, and the venue received the BTC using the Zaprite app.

The Republican presidential candidate has been appealing to crypto holders and investors, which comprise a considerable vote-base in the United States. “Bitcoin is really happening,” he said at PubKey.

Another co-founder of PubKey, Thomas Pacchia, said Trump’s presence at the venue was “huge, iconic,” and influential for BTC, adding “A former president, a potential future president, this is a real coming of age for the Bitcoin community.”

He added that the transaction was the first time a former US president has used Bitcoin to purchase goods or services. Nevertheless, Democrat supporters outside the venue blasted Taylor Swift songs in protest.

Trump was on his way to a rally in Long Island, where he said he was serious about winning the state of his birth, which has voted Democrat in every presidential election since 1984.

As the election in early November nears, it is expected that Donald Trump will further emphasize his support for Bitcoin and the crypto industry to counter his Democrat rival, Kamala Harris, who has said very little on the subject.

Harris Edges Ahead

The Trump-themed memecoin MAGA (TRUMP) jumped 6.5% over the past 12 hours to reach $2.13 at the time of writing. However, the asset has been battered over the past seven days, dropping 25% since the same time last week.

Additionally, Trump officially launched his long-anticipated DeFi project, World Liberty Financial (WLF), through a live X Space event on Sept. 17.

National polls from FiveThirtyEight currently have Harris leading Trump by 48.5% to 45.2%. Moreover, Polymarket also has the Democrat candidate ahead.

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CertiK Ventures Announces $45 Million Investment Plan, Including Free Access to Community Security Tools

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[PRESS RELEASE – New York, US, September 19th, 2024]

On September 19, 2024, leading Web3 security firm CertiK, CertiK Ventures, OKX Ventures, and OKX Wallet hosted the “New Round, New Path” event during Token2049. During this event, CertiK announced a comprehensive upgrade of its products and services, which cover the entire life cycles of Web3 projects. Additionally, CertiK announced the launch of its free community security tools, including Token Scan and Wallet Scan, to support the evolving community. CertiK’s highly anticipated CertiK Ventures will invest $45 million in these endeavors to support high-potential, burgeoning Web3 projects.

CertiK is a first mover in Web3 security with a valuation of $2 billion, making it the highest-valued Web3 security company to date. Its investors include prominent institutions such as Insight Partners, Sequoia Capital, Tiger Global, and Goldman Sachs. CertiK’s core services include auditing, security scoring, compliance and anti-money laundering (AML), KYC, penetration testing, and incident response. To date, CertiK has provided security services to more than 4,700 projects across 150 countries, including renowned Web3 companies such as Ton, Ripple, Aptos, and Binance. The official launch of CertiK Ventures during Token2049 completes CertiK’s full-chain security solution, enabling its upgraded product suite to support projects from their early stages to becoming major industry players.

In addition, CertiK has introduced a range of free security tools, starting with Token Scan and Wallet Scan, to help users safeguard their assets. CertiK developed these tools based on extensive experience in conducting more than 70 white-hat operations, reporting more than 4,000 security incidents, discovering 115,000 code vulnerabilities, and protecting approximately $360 billion in assets. These free tools are designed to offer substantial support and empowerment to the community.

CertiK’s latest initiatives are not just product and service upgrades; they represent empowerment of and dedication toward Web3 security. With the announcement of its $45 million investment plan, CertiK Ventures will help drive the development of high-potential projects, accelerating the integration of innovation and security within the Web3 ecosystem.

Website | Company Twitter | Community Twitter | CertiK Alert | Telegram

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Net Outflows for Bitcoin, Ethereum ETFs on Fed Rate-Cut Day

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In the days ahead of the highly anticipated US FOMC meeting, when the central bank was expected to lower the interest rates, local investors were on a shopping spree for spot Bitcoin ETFs.

However, that changed when the day arrived.

Bitcoin ETF Outflows

CryptoPotato reported yesterday the impressive streak for the four trading days leading to the FOMC meeting. As mentioned, just over $500 million in net inflows entered the 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs from September 12 to September 17.

However, the landscape was different yesterday. Even though the Federal Reserve reduced the key interest rates by 50 basis points, while the general expectations were for a more modest 0.25% cut, the financial vehicles saw $52.7 million in net outflows on the day.

Ark Invest’s ARKB led the adverse trend with $43.4 million in net withdrawals. Grayscale’s initial and largest fund (GBTC) was next with $8.1 million, and BITB trailed behind with $3.9 million. The rest saw little to no actual flows, while Grayscale’s smaller and newer fund, BTC, notched $2.7 million in inflows.

BlackRock’s IBIT remains the largest of the bunch, with almost $21 billion in AUM. However, there has been only one day of positive flow for the past three weeks.

In contrast, Fidelity’s FBTC enjoyed a favorable streak of seven consecutive days of net inflows before yesterday’s lack of action.

Consistency for Ethereum ETFs

While the spot Bitcoin ETFs saw more than $500 million in net inflows in the days leading to the Fed’s policy pivot, the Ethereum counterparts didn’t have the same luxury. The withdrawals stood at $15.1 million on Tuesday and $9.4 million on Monday.

Their situation didn’t improve much yesterday when investors pulled out $9.8 million overall from the ETH-based products. Grayscale’s ETHE was at the forefront once again, seeing $14.7 million in net outflows.

The only silver lining came from BlackRock’s EHTA, which notched $4.9 million in net inflows. ETHA is the only new financial vehicle tracking the performance of Ethereum that has surpassed the coveted $1 billion milestone since its inception a couple of months back.

Despite the negative days for the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, the underlying assets’ prices skyrocketed to multi-week peaks. BTC neared $63,000 earlier today, while ETH came close to $2,450.

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