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Is Ethereum’s Weak Performance a Reason to Worry or an Opportunity in Disguise? (Santiment)

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The current bull market has seen top alternative cryptocurrencies, except Ethereum, shine, and now, ETH holders are becoming frustrated. Market sentiment signals extreme negativity among the Ethereum community, and the crypto project’s slumping market cap growth is not helping matters.

Compared to other assets like Ripple (XRP) and Solana (SOL), whose market capitalizations have grown by 36.9% and 32.2% in the past month, ETH has been struggling and even recorded a 4.7% decline.

Factors Driving ETH Underperformance

A new report by the market intelligence platform Santiment analyzed factors driving Ethereum’s underperformance.

According to the analysis, the crypto community has been criticizing Buterin for periodically selling off large amounts of ETH. Although the Ethereum co-founder has explained severally that those sales were executed to fund personal expenses or support projects related to the blockchain, community members see them as a sign that he may not be confident in the network’s future.

On several occasions, Buterin’s ETH sales have triggered multi-week-long sell-offs among traders amid heightened concerns about Ethereum’s future and decentralization. Some market participants insist that Buterin, a few big players, and the Ethereum Foundation have too much control over the network because of their large ETH holdings.

These players include Coinbase, Binance, and Lido Finance, and their influence has raised centralization concerns among users. Additionally, users are worried about Ethereum following government rules in some cases, such as blocking transactions to the crypto mixer Tornado Cash.

A Good Sign?

From a more technological perspective, some analysts believe Ethereum’s underperformance could also be linked to its decision to go modular. Modularization in this context refers to Ethereum splitting its responsibilities across smaller, specialized projects called layer-2 solutions.

While going modular could have a positive impact on Ethereum in the long term, ETH is struggling currently because these layer-2 solutions are taking away some of the attention and investment that used to go to the cryptocurrency. One illustration of this issue is the ETH supply spiking significantly after the Dencun upgrade because transaction fees declined, and less ETH got burned.

Regardless of these factors, Santiment believes that the extremely negative social side of Ethereum is a good sign for the short-term future of ETH because the market often moves in the opposite direction from general investor sentiment. So, ETH could finally break past the $4,000 range in the coming weeks if retail traders remain bearish and sell off their coins to long-term holders and key stakeholders out of frustration.

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ETH Withdrawals Surge to $1.2B Weekly as Price Nears 3-Month High

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In the last seven days, Ethereum (ETH) has defied market odds and reversed its price trajectory, rallying to a level last seen in mid-February 2025.

This surge in the value of the second-largest cryptocurrency comes amid aggressive accumulation from market participants and declining sell-side pressure.

ETH Records Large Exchange Withdrawals

According to a tweet by the institutional-grade decentralized finance (DeFi) platform Sentora (previously IntoTheBlock), ether has witnessed an intense and sustained trend of net outflows from centralized exchanges since the beginning of the month.

Ethereum investors have withdrawn more than $1.2 billion worth of ETH from trading platforms within the last seven days. This happened just as ETH recorded a 52% rally in its price, jumping from less than $1,800 to at least $2,730. Massive accumulation trends like this often signal that investors are moving their assets off exchanges to hold in the long term, hoping for significant price appreciation.

ETH has remained dormant for most of this bull cycle, and this has caused investors and market participants to dismiss its bullish potential for this season. However, the asset’s sudden breakout from a resistance zone that has held it down for months triggered a shift in market sentiment.

Investor sentiment moved from fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) due to ether’s underperformance to the fear of missing out (FOMO) as traders scrambled for entry points amid the rally. As more traders try to get into the market, demand for ETH will increase. With sell-side pressure decreasing amid massive withdrawals from exchanges, ETH is bound to experience higher surges in the near term.

Most ETH Holders in Profit

Ether’s ongoing price appreciation has increased the percentage of addresses holding the cryptocurrency in profit to more than 60%. This is a significant development compared to 32% of addresses in profit roughly a month ago.

While most analysts believe ether’s rally is not just the result of a short squeeze, others have warned that the asset could consolidate between $2,400 and $2,700 before its next leg up. Nevertheless, on-chain analyst Ali Martinez has identified the range between $2,060 and $2,420 as the most crucial support floor for ETH. Here, there are 10 million wallets holding more than 69 million ETH.

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Retail Bitcoin Investors Are Returning — A Sign of Renewed Confidence?

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Every major bitcoin (BTC) rally during bull seasons has always seen the active participation of retail investors. While retail activity has been low in the last three months, the situation is changing.

Data from the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant revealed that retail investors have begun to return to the Bitcoin market as BTC has maintained its upward momentum over the past few weeks.

Retail Investors Are Coming Back

CryptoQuant analyst Carmelo Alemán explained that retail investors, who are the most sensitive to market fluctuations, are gradually returning to the Bitcoin ecosystem. This cohort of market participants refers to those with BTC balances ranging from $0 to $10,000.

Since BTC began to recover on April 9, the market has witnessed a significant increase in retail buying, as seen in the Retail Investor (Volume $0 to $10K by USD) Demand 30D Change metric. The indicator turned positive on April 28 and recorded a 3.4% surge in purchases from retail investors from then until May 13.

The growth suggests the market is witnessing a notable recovery in retail investor interest. The trend also shows renewed confidence in Bitcoin’s potential, reinforcing bullish narratives and increasing buying pressure. This renewed confidence can become a catalyst for Bitcoin’s next price movements, as higher demand often drives positive momentum.

More Rally Incoming?

Notably, the entrance of retail investors may indicate the beginning or middle of a bull cycle, especially if institutional buyers have positioned themselves. Hence, if BTC continues its current rally, more retail investors could flock into the market, triggering an even more significant surge.

“This could benefit the entire crypto space, as small investors are likely to diversify into other projects, including DeFi, staking, futures, and other instruments. All signs point to this shift in retail behavior being the start of a new wave of mass adoption in the cryptocurrency market,” Alemán stated.

The CryptoQuant analyst added that increased retail participation can lead to growth in active addresses, new addresses, transfer volume, and Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO) count. This will reflect an expansion of the crypto ecosystem in the coming months.

Meanwhile, BTC was changing hands around $102,770 at the time of writing, after crossing $100,000 for the first time in three months. The asset was showing a 21% monthly and 9% weekly surge.

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Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Cardano (ADA) Are ‘Gems With 100x Potential,’ Says Analyst

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TL;DR

  • Shiba Inu (SHIB) is gaining momentum, with analysts pointing to certain catalysts for a potential triple-digit price surge in the current cycle.

  • Cardano (ADA) is described as “built to last,” with some predicting a breakout to $1.60 in the short term and possibly $3 by year-end.

SHIB Bull Run on the Way?

The popular X user Henry recently claimed to have explored more than 500 cryptocurrencies to determine which ones are the “gems with 100x potential,” and Shiba Inu (SHIB) found a spot in the prestigious club.

The analyst suggested that the “SHIB movement [has] just started,” adding that the meme coin has much more room for growth due to the increased Shibarium adoption and the aggressive token burns. Henry is not the first to predict that further advancements in the layer-2 blockchain solution could positively impact Shiba Inu’s price. Not long ago, the Bitcoin advocate Jeremie Davinci said:

I like Shiba Inu, as you know, and I think it will do relatively well in this cycle, but it may not go as high as you expect. I think Shiba Inu has a lot of utility now that they have Shibarium, and basically, it’s a chain that you can actually run all kinds of applications.

However, nobody is using it, and there are no applications for using your tokens on Shibarium yet. If they get that solved, Shiba Inu will go to the moon.”

Shibarium officially went live in the summer of 2023 and is specifically designed to foster the development of the meme coin’s ecosystem. Earlier this year, the total number of transactions processed on the protocol surpassed the milestone of one billion.

Henry also reminded that analysts predict a solid surge for Shiba Inu this year. The market observer shared their optimism, envisioning a “huge pump which is going to break all the past levels ATH and will be at least 790%.”

How About ADA?

Cardano’s native token was also on the list. Henry described it as the ocean: “calm, deep, and misunderstood.” However, the analyst argued that when ADA moves, it makes waves across the entire market. 

They further suggested that the asset was “built to last” and that Cardano “is shaping infrastructure.” In their view, ADA’s price is set to reach $3 later this year.

Other industry participants who recently touched upon the token’s performance and made optimistic predictions include Captain Faibik and STEPH IS CRYPTO. The former forecasted a “massive bullish rally” above $1.60 in the short term. 

The latter did not provide exact numbers, simply envisioning that ADA is about “to go parabolic.”

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