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Is the Bitcoin Price in Danger of Dropping to $42K? Here’s a Worrying Scenario

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What a difference a couple of days makes, from bullish ‘Uptober’ momentum to bearish price predictions.

Bitcoin slumped around $4,000 in the wake of the Iranian missile attack on Israel, and negative sentiment has seeped back onto crypto social media.

However, zooming out shows that BTC is still within its range-bound channel, which has continued for the past half a year.

A Fall to $40K Possible?

On Oct. 2, ITC Crypto founder Benjamin Cowen painted a very gloomy picture based on historical price action following Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.

Bitcoin rallied for two weeks following the first rate cut in 2019. However, it then tanked to the 100-week moving average in the months that followed.

If history rhymes, a similar fall to the same technical indicator would put BTC prices back at around $42,000 by mid-November, he said.

However, the suggestion does not take into account that 2019 was the middle of a bear market, and it was not a halving year, which makes a difference.

Nevertheless, other analysts also suggested something similar but provided no rationality, later describing it as a ‘shitpost.’

As market analyst Miles Deutscher pointed out in a post on X on Oct. 1, there are plenty of reasons to remain bullish.

Increasing global liquidity through M2 money supplies, rate cuts, which are usually good news for riskier assets, China’s economic stimulus measures, an approaching US election where crypto is a focus, and a traditionally bullish period for crypto in Q4 are some of them.

On Oct. 2, ‘Ash Crypto’ told his 1.1 million X followers that this was “a big shakeout.” He added that October will start with a dump, and we will see a sideways chop for most of the month before things lift off.

Miner Profitability Slumps

Nevertheless, Bitcoin miners may have a reason to be bearish. According to JPMorgan analysts, Bitcoin mining profitability hit a recent low in September.

Daily block reward gross profit decreased 6% month-over-month in September, marking the third consecutive month of decline. The drop in revenue has been largely attributed to the Bitcoin halving event in April. However, transaction fee revenue for the month was only $13.86 million, observed Colin Wu.

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Cryptocurrency

Ripple Price Analysis: Can XRP Skyrocket to $2 by the Year’s End?

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Ripple’s recent price action underscores significant bullish momentum as buyers continue to dominate the market.

Despite a potential brief consolidation phase, XRP is steadily approaching another coveted milestone of $2, with the prospect of achieving tapping that target by the year’s end growing.

XRP Analysis

By Shayan

The Weekly Chart

The weekly chart reveals Ripple’s remarkable trends, marked by a significant sell-off following the SEC lawsuit, during which the price plummeted to $0.28, a staggering 85% decline. This phase was followed by an extended period of low-volatility consolidation.

Eventually, buyers returned with vigor, driving the price through key resistance levels, including the pivotal $1.3 mark. Ripple’s subsequent impulsive surge highlights strong buying interest, pushing the cryptocurrency closer to a local peak of $1.9.

As the price approaches this critical level, bullish sentiment remains robust, but caution is warranted due to the overbought condition reflected in the RSI indicator. A brief consolidation or correction may precede upward momentum, with $1.3 as the primary support during any potential pullback.

The 4-Hour Chart

The 4-hour timeframe reflects Ripple’s breakout dynamics in greater detail. Upon encountering resistance at the $1.3 zone, the asset entered a consolidation phase, forming a sideways triangle pattern. This setup allowed the RSI to retreat from overbought levels and settle at equilibrium. Eventually, XRP surged, breaking out of the triangle’s upper boundary, signaling a bullish continuation.

Ripple managed to reclaim the $1.3 threshold and advance toward $2. While the bullish momentum is evident, a bearish divergence between the price and RSI hints at possible exhaustion. Furthermore, the presence of supply near the $1.9 resistance zone increases the likelihood of a consolidation phase in the near term. This temporary pause could allow the market to stabilize before XRP attempts to achieve new highs.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

XLM Rally Continues With 485% Monthly Surge, BTC Cools Off to $98K (Weekend Watch)

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Bitcoin’s inability to overcome the coveted $100,000 milestone on Friday and Saturday has resulted in a minor price decline to around $98,000 as of now.

Several altcoins, such as XRP and DOGE, have plummeted as well in the past day, but others, like TON, DOT, and XLM, have charted double-digit surges.

BTC Calms to $98K

BTC traded at around $90,000 at the start of the business week but quickly started to gain traction and exploded above the previous all-time high of $93,800 by the middle of it. This came amid the growing impressive net inflows toward the spot Bitcoin ETFs in the States.

The cryptocurrency’s rally continued in the following days and peaked on Friday. At the time, the asset came just inches away from touching $100,000 but was stopped at about $99,800 on most exchanges.

Thus, it failed to reach that line for the first time ever, even though the community was anticipating and predicting it. Since then, BTC has lost some traction and has retraced by around two grand to $98,000 now.

Still, it’s 7.2% up on the week, which places its market cap at $1.940 trillion on CG. Its dominance over the alts, though, has declined further to 55.5%, which brought speculations about a potential altcoin season.

Bitcoin/Price/Chart 24.11.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/Price/Chart 24.11.2024. Source: TradingView

XLM’s Show

Many larger-cap alts like ADA, XRP, and DOGE charted notable gains yesterday, but have retraced heavily today. ADA is down by 3% to under $1.05, XRP has slumped by over 6% to under $1.45, and DOGE has plummeted by 7.5% to $0.43.

In contrast, TON and DOT have soared by 11% and 17%, respectively, to $6.25 and $8.9. XLM, though, has stolen the show once again by skyrocketing by 29%. Stellar’s native token has added more than 480% in the past month and now trades above $0.56.

The total crypto market cap has shed about $50 billion since yesterday’s peak but still stands close to $3.5 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

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Weekly ETF Recap: All Green Days for Bitcoin, But Not for Ethereum

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The US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs enjoyed a highly positive week, with every trading day ending with net inflows of millions and even billions of dollars.

In stark contrast, the Ethereum counterparties ended the same five-day trading period deep in red territory.

Over $3B Enter BTC ETFs Weekly

It has been nothing short of a spectacular run for BTC’s price as well as the inflows in the spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US after Donald Trump’s decisive victory in the 2024 presidential elections. The past trading week was no different, although it started somewhat sluggishly on Monday with a modest $254.8 million in inflows.

However, things picked up on Tuesday with $829.5 million, another $773.4 million on Wednesday, and $490.3 million on Friday. Oh, let’s not forget the whopping $1.005,1 billion on Thursday. This puts the total for the week at $3.353,1 billion, according to Farside.

Expectedly, BlackRock’s IBIT, the world’s largest Bitcoin ETF, was at the forefront of these substantial inflows most days. IBIT attracted over $500 million on three separate occasions – Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. Thus, its total AUM has skyrocketed to well over $31 billion.

Fidelity’s FBTC also saw some impressive inflows of $256.1 million on Tuesday and just over $300 million on Thursday. Ark Invest’s ARKB had its best day on Tuesday, with $267.3 million in net inflows.

Within this highly positive week for the ETFs, BTC’s price shot up from around $90,000 on Monday to $99,825 (on Bitstamp) on Friday, thus coming less than $200 away from the six-figure territory.

ETH ETFs Suffer

The spot Ethereum ETFs also had quite impressive several trading days after the US elections, marking their best week yet in the period from November 11 to November 15. However, there were some warning signs at the end of the week, which only intensified in the following days.

In fact, the ETH ETFs ended almost every day in the past trading week in the red, with outflows of $39.1 million on Monday, $81.3 million on Tuesday, $30.3 million on Wednesday, and $9 million on Thursday. The funds managed to break this negative streak, which actually extended to six consecutive days in the red, including the previous Thursday and Friday, on November 22.

They attracted $91.3 million, with BlackRock’s ETHA leading the pack with $99.7 million, while Grayscale’s ETHE and ETH were in the red with $18.6 million and $0.6 million, respectively.

Overall, the ETH funds ended the week with net outflows of $68.4 million. Nevertheless, ETH’s price is up by just over 10% in the past week and sits above $3,400.

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