Cryptocurrency
Is the Bitcoin Price in Danger of Dropping to $42K? Here’s a Worrying Scenario
What a difference a couple of days makes, from bullish ‘Uptober’ momentum to bearish price predictions.
Bitcoin slumped around $4,000 in the wake of the Iranian missile attack on Israel, and negative sentiment has seeped back onto crypto social media.
However, zooming out shows that BTC is still within its range-bound channel, which has continued for the past half a year.
A Fall to $40K Possible?
On Oct. 2, ITC Crypto founder Benjamin Cowen painted a very gloomy picture based on historical price action following Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.
Bitcoin rallied for two weeks following the first rate cut in 2019. However, it then tanked to the 100-week moving average in the months that followed.
If history rhymes, a similar fall to the same technical indicator would put BTC prices back at around $42,000 by mid-November, he said.
Just to offer a different view to consider other than the “up only” view mostly shared on this platform, in 2019, #BTC rallied for 2 weeks after the 1st rate cut, then dropped to the 100W SMA 2 months later, which would correspond to mid-November. pic.twitter.com/ogicF89JrM
— Benjamin Cowen (@intocryptoverse) October 2, 2024
However, the suggestion does not take into account that 2019 was the middle of a bear market, and it was not a halving year, which makes a difference.
Nevertheless, other analysts also suggested something similar but provided no rationality, later describing it as a ‘shitpost.’
This was the $BTC test dump for 40k. Bearish. pic.twitter.com/vbmszAMHmb
— Altcoin Sherpa (@AltcoinSherpa) October 1, 2024
As market analyst Miles Deutscher pointed out in a post on X on Oct. 1, there are plenty of reasons to remain bullish.
Increasing global liquidity through M2 money supplies, rate cuts, which are usually good news for riskier assets, China’s economic stimulus measures, an approaching US election where crypto is a focus, and a traditionally bullish period for crypto in Q4 are some of them.
On Oct. 2, ‘Ash Crypto’ told his 1.1 million X followers that this was “a big shakeout.” He added that October will start with a dump, and we will see a sideways chop for most of the month before things lift off.
Miner Profitability Slumps
Nevertheless, Bitcoin miners may have a reason to be bearish. According to JPMorgan analysts, Bitcoin mining profitability hit a recent low in September.
Daily block reward gross profit decreased 6% month-over-month in September, marking the third consecutive month of decline. The drop in revenue has been largely attributed to the Bitcoin halving event in April. However, transaction fee revenue for the month was only $13.86 million, observed Colin Wu.
Binance Free $600 (CryptoPotato Exclusive): Use this link to register a new account and receive $600 exclusive welcome offer on Binance (full details).
LIMITED OFFER 2024 at BYDFi Exchange: Up to $2,888 welcome reward, use this link to register and open a 100 USDT-M position for free!
Cryptocurrency
ADA, XRP Take Main Stage With 8% Gains, BTC Consolidation Continues (Weekend Watch)
Bitcoin’s calmness over the weekend continues as the asset has failed to make a major move from its tight range between $94,000 and $95,000.
In contrast, several altcoins, such as XRP, ADA, and XLM, have posted significant gains over the weekend, while SUI has plunged hard.
ADA, XLM, XRP on the Rise
As reported on Saturday evening, Ripple’s cross-border token stole the show with a massive surge from $2.33 to $2.5. The asset kept climbing in the following hours and tapped a multi-week peak of $2.6 before correcting slightly to $2.52 now.
Cardano’s native token is the other massive gainer from the larger-cap alts. ADA has soared by nearly 9% over the past day and now sits at the coveted resistance level of $1. XLM has also gone on a tear, surging by more than 7% and now trading close to $0.45.
In contrast, SUI has dumped by over 3% to $4.82, while TRX, SHIB, and BNB are also slightly in the red. On the other hand, ETH, SOL, DOGE, AVAX, TON, LINK, HBAR, and DOT have marked minor gains over the past 24 hours.
The cumulative market capitalization of all crypto assets has remained at essentially the same spot as yesterday at just shy of $3.450 trillion on CG.
BTC Calms at $94K
The primary cryptocurrency had a highly eventful and volatile trading week in which it soared past $102,000 on Tuesday, only to crash by more than ten grand in the next 48 hours. This multi-week low took place on Thursday as BTC came close to breaking below $91,000 and even $90,000.
More volatility ensued in the following hours, with a jump toward $96,000 and a rejection that pushed it back to almost $92,000.
However, the bulls managed to defend the latter and pushed BTC to $94,000 where it has spent most of the weekend, aside from a brief spike to $95,000.
As such, bitcoin’s market cap remains at $1.865 trillion on CG, but its dominance over the alts is down to 54.2%.
Binance Free $600 (CryptoPotato Exclusive): Use this link to register a new account and receive $600 exclusive welcome offer on Binance (full details).
LIMITED OFFER for CryptoPotato readers at Bybit: Use this link to register and open a $500 FREE position on any coin!
Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
Cryptocurrency
2 Metrics Indicate Ripple (XRP) Price Faces Trouble After Recent Surge to $2.60
TL:DR;
- XRP’s price went on an unexpected run on Saturday night, surging to a multi-week peak of $2.6 before correcting slightly.
- However, some on-chain metrics suggest that the asset could face trouble in the following days, especially if it fails to close above $2.47.
As reported on Saturday evening, XRP’s rally drove the asset from $2.33 to $2.5 and later to $2.6, which represented an 11.5% surge within less than 24 hours. Although the asset has lost some steam since then and currently sits at $2.51, it’s still over 6% up on the day.
This came shortly after reports emerged that whales had amassed more than a billion XRP tokens within a mere 48-hour period during the most recent correction in the middle of the business week.
However, this is where the popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez sounded the alarm about a potential drawback for XRP’s price.
At first, he pointed out that the TD Sequential, a technical indicator used to show the market exhaustion in either direction, had flashed a sell signal on the 4-hour chart. Nevertheless, this bearish formation will be invalidated if the asset closes above that line, which it still maintains.
The TD Sequential presents a sell signal on the $XRP 4-hour chart, anticipating a brief correction. The bearish formation will be invalidated if #XRP closes above $2.47! pic.twitter.com/CrW303RTaT
— Ali (@ali_charts) January 11, 2025
Additionally, Martinez highlighted a growing number of short positions opened when XRP peaked at $2.6. Recall that Ripple’s cross-border token was among the few with notable gains on Saturday evening while the rest of the market stood silently.
Many traders might have anticipated a short-term correction due to XRP’s divergence from the pack, which indeed occurred to the current levels. The question now remains whether the cryptocurrency will remain above the aforementioned support or that was just the start of a broader correction.
A lot of $XRP shorts were opened at $2.60, creating a substantial liquidation zone that market makers may try to grab. pic.twitter.com/cPIPwSjLEI
— Ali (@ali_charts) January 12, 2025
Binance Free $600 (CryptoPotato Exclusive): Use this link to register a new account and receive $600 exclusive welcome offer on Binance (full details).
LIMITED OFFER for CryptoPotato readers at Bybit: Use this link to register and open a $500 FREE position on any coin!
Cryptocurrency
Ripple Price Analysis: Can XRP’s Momentum Sustain After 8% Daily Surge?
Ripple displayed low market activity, as reflected in its subdued price action for a while before a sudden surge to $2.6 yesterday.
The price remains confined within a sideways wedge pattern, highlighting a phase of consolidation and indecision. A decisive breakout is necessary to establish a sustained market direction.
XRP Analysis
By Shayan
The Daily Chart
Ripple’s current low volatility signals a lack of trading interest, potentially linked to broader macroeconomic factors, such as uncertainty surrounding President Trump’s transition to the White House. XRP’s price remains trapped within a wedge pattern and oscillates in the $2-$3 range even though it jumped to $2.6 yesterday evening.
A breakout from this range is crucial, as it will likely dictate Ripple’s long-term trend. A bullish breakout could trigger a rally, while a bearish breakout may result in significant declines.
The 4-Hour Chart
On the 4-hour timeframe, Ripple found support at the 0.5 Fibonacci level ($2), prompting a minor upward move. However, the price has now entered a low volatility phase with no clear directional bias.
Ripple faces significant support near the 0.5 ($2) and 0.618 Fibonacci levels, which have served as strong defenses for buyers in recent months. If buyers manage to defend this region, XRP may experience a bullish spike. However, if sellers push the price below this key support zone, the market could face long liquidations, leading to a substantial decline.
Binance Free $600 (CryptoPotato Exclusive): Use this link to register a new account and receive $600 exclusive welcome offer on Binance (full details).
LIMITED OFFER for CryptoPotato readers at Bybit: Use this link to register and open a $500 FREE position on any coin!
Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
- Forex2 years ago
Forex Today: the dollar is gaining strength amid gloomy sentiment at the start of the Fed’s week
- Forex2 years ago
How is the Australian dollar doing today?
- Forex2 years ago
Unbiased review of Pocket Option broker
- Forex2 years ago
Dollar to pound sterling exchange rate today: Pound plummeted to its lowest since 1985
- Cryptocurrency2 years ago
What happened in the crypto market – current events today
- World2 years ago
Why are modern video games an art form?
- Commodities2 years ago
Copper continues to fall in price on expectations of lower demand in China
- Forex2 years ago
The dollar is down again against major world currencies