Cryptocurrency
Is the Bitcoin Rally Cooling Down in the Short Term? Altcoin Seasons Starts Brewing (Analysis)
On March 8, on-chain analytics provider Santiment reported that despite the incredible milestone for Bitcoin, “there is a combined sense of exhaustion and altcoin distraction coming from the trading community right now.”
BTC prices briefly topped $70,000 on Coinbase on Friday marking a new all-time high for the digital asset.
However, it sharply retreated from this level for the second time in a week, falling to around $68,000 a few hours later.
Bitcoin Fervor Fading?
So far, it has been largely institutions driving momentum for crypto markets with consecutive days of high trading volumes and inflows for the newly launched spot Bitcoin ETFs.
Santiment also reported that social activity, or the percentage of discussions related to BTC versus other assets, is at a fairly healthy 27.5% right now. However, it is not near the euphoric levels shown when $60,000 was eclipsed less than two weeks ago.
“This is a GOOD thing. FOMO and greed are typically top signals.”
🥳 #Bitcoin has established yet another new #AllTimeHigh today, reaching a market value as high as $70,199 on #Coinbase. Despite the incredible milestone for #cryptocurrency, there is a combined sense of exhaustion and #altcoin distraction coming from the trading community right… pic.twitter.com/S4YqYkiOJ6
— Santiment (@santimentfeed) March 8, 2024
It added that previously dormant coins are continuing to move back into circulation at a rapid pace. This is one of the common factors in nearly every bull market, it stated before adding:
“Until crowd euphoria and coin stagnancy take hold on the Bitcoin network once again, market caps have a path to continue climbing.”
Crypto investor Scott Melker was bullish, telling his 946,000 X followers on March 8 that he believes that we are just at the start of a major bull run for both Bitcoin and the broader crypto market in general.
“I think that we will likely see a huge bubble and that coins with no fundamental value will also skyrocket before it inevitably pops.”
At the time of writing, crypto market capitalization was $2.72 trillion, its highest level since December 2021 and just 12% down from its all-time high.
JPMorgan on Bitcoin ETFs
In related news, JPMorgan analysts estimated the potential magnitude of the bitcoin ETF market size to reach around $62 billion. Net inflow into spot bitcoin ETFs is currently around $9.2 billion, however, some may have been rotated out of similar products such as Grayscale’s GBTC which has seen daily outflows since its conversion.
“This is a realistic target of the potential size of spot bitcoin ETFs over time perhaps within a time period of two to three years,” wrote bank analysts led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou.
The new #Bitcoin ETFs purchased nearly 400,000 Bitcoin (worth ~$27 Billion!!!) in just 39 trading days 💥$GBTC converted to an ETF & experienced large redemptions👇$IBIT $FBTC $ARKB $BITB $BRRR $BTCO $HODL $EZBC pic.twitter.com/MHDXgEvzPg
— HODL15Capital 🇺🇸 (@HODL15Capital) March 8, 2024
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Cryptocurrency
Crypto Markets Bled $300 Billion in a Day as Bitcoin (BTC) Slumped to $95K (Market Watch)
A lot can change in the cryptocurrency markets within 24 hours, and the last day proved that narrative, as BTC slumped from over $102,000 to $95,200.
The altcoins have suffered even more, with massive price declines from the likes of ETH, DOGE, ADA, AVAX, LINK, HBAR, DOT, and many others.
BTC Slumps Hard
After a relatively quiet weekend, which BTC spent mostly at around $98,000, the cryptocurrency went on the offensive on Monday. Within just a few hours, its price skyrocketed from under $99,000 to a multi-week peak of $102,400.
This was the first time the asset exceeded the $100,000 mark since the start of the year. It kept climbing during the Tuesday Asian trading session and peaked at $102,800 (on Bitstamp).
However, it quickly started to lose value as the day progressed. Once the US trading hours kicked in and some controversial data came out, BTC started to freefall and dumped by five grand in about 60 minutes. It kept dropping in the following hours and plunged to $95,200 earlier this morning, leaving roughly $700 million in liquidations.
Despite recovering slightly since then, bitcoin is still 6% down on the day. Its market cap has plummeted from over $2 trillion to under $1.9 trillion, and its dominance over the alts stands at 54.3%.
Alts in Freefall State
As it typically happens during such violent corrections, most altcoins have it worse. Ethereum is among the poorest performers, having dumped by 8% from over $3,600 to under $3,400. Even more painful declines come from SOL, DOGE, ADA, AVAX, SUI, LINK, HBAR, DOT, and SHIB, as most of them have dumped by double digits.
XRP and BNB have dropped by a more modest 4.5% and 3.2%, respectively, while LEO is the only larger-cap alt that is not deep in the red.
The total crypto market cap went from $3.760 trillion yesterday to under $3.5 trillion today, losing roughly $300 billion in the process from top to bottom.
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Cryptocurrency
Could Plunging Treasury Yields Be Why BTC Price Slumped Tuesday?
Rising Treasury yields as a result of falling bond prices Tuesday knocked tech stocks in the Nasdaq Composite down nearly 2%.
Aside from BTC, Ethereum fell nearly 8%, Ripple dropped by 6%, and Solana slumped by nearly 10% in the 24-hour window.
BTC Price Retraces Jan 6 Bump on New Congress
Going into the work week, Bitcoin’s price picked up steam on Sunday after trading flat over Friday and Saturday around the $98,000 handle as it spiked to over $102,500 on Tuesday morning.
That was most likely a result of the blockchain market’s enthusiasm for the incoming pro-cryptocurrency Republican Congress. US delegates for the 119th Congress took their oaths of office on Monday after convening in Washington, DC, on Jan. 3.
Ripple Labs CEO Brad Garlinghouse, who oversees development for XRP—the third-most capitalized token without stablecoins (behind Bitcoin and Ethereum)—recently hailed the 119th as “the most pro-crypto Congress in history.”
But on Tuesday, market euphoria over the new regime in Washington faded fast as a surge in US Treasury bond yields depressed prices for risk assets broadly. Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin weren’t the only growth-oriented high-risk/reward assets to fall on Tuesday.
Bitcoin’s Price Slumps on Treasury Yields
The Nasdaq Composite focused heavily on the tech sector, fell by more than 2.5% before the close of Wall Street markets at 4 pm US Eastern Standard Time. By the end of the day, the Nasdaq had lost nearly 2% after recovering some in intraday trading.
The Institute for Supply Management published new data on Tuesday indicating faster growth in December than analysts expected. Consequently, markets lost their nerve for US Treasury bonds on fears of more inflation in the US dollar.
When the dollar weakens, and prices move up in a growing economy, bond coupons and their principal investment due back to the note’s owner on the maturity date lose value. So, markets sell them at a discount, causing bond yields to rise.
Several analysts in retail and institutional finance have posted some exciting predictions for Bitcoin’s price in 2025. The sentiment overall for a continuing rally has been broadly bullish so far in January.
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Cryptocurrency
Pro-XRP Lawyer Claims the SEC ‘Played Dirty’ in the Lawsuit Against Ripple: Details
TL;DR
- Ripple’s lawsuit with the SEC remains unresolved, with the agency accused of unethical tactics, including harassing the company’s CEO.
- Pro-crypto SEC leadership changes could favor Ripple, though the case’s complexity calls for cautious optimism.
The SEC Pushed ‘Ethical Limits’
The legal tussle between Ripple and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is among the most intriguing topics in the crypto space. It all started in December 2020 when the agency sued the company, its CEO Brad Garlinghouse, and co-founder Chris Larsen, accusing them of illegally raising more than $1.3 billion in an unregistered securities offering by selling XRP.
The two entities have been throwing punches at each other in the following years, and despite the numerous developments and court rulings, the case remains ongoing.
According to John Deaton (an American lawyer representing thousands of XRP investors in the aforementioned lawsuit), the SEC “played dirty” and pushed “ethical limits” in the process. He claimed that the Commission’s attorneys “engaged in abusive discovery tactics, threatening and harassing Ripple’s overseas customers, investors, and partners.”
“Despite having the records of every XRP transaction made by Garlinghouse, the SEC attempted to subpoena all of Brad’s, and his family’s, personal financial records, including credit card statements. It was an attempt to bully, threaten, and coerce Garlinghouse (and Ripple) into submitting to the all powerful SEC,” he added.
Deaton, though, maintained that the company’s CEO endured the pressure, fought back “every step of the way,” and eventually won.
“I love America because two years and one Presidential election later, the future couldn’t look more bright for an industry, company and CEO,” the lawyer concluded.
It is worth mentioning that Deaton’s post was accompanied by a photo of Garlinghouse, the newly elected president of the USA, Donald Trump, and Ripple’s CTO Stuart Alderoty, who recently had dinner together. The XRP army interpreted this gathering as good news for the firm’s potential growth in the near future and the performance of its native token.
Earlier this month, Garlinghouse credited the substantial resurgence of the cryptocurrency market to Donald Trump’s win in the presidential elections. He said Ripple signed more US deals in the final six weeks of the year than in the previous six months, while 75% of the firm’s open positions are now based in America.
Has Ripple Won the Case?
While the company notched several partial court wins, a final resolution of the lawsuit has yet to be seen. Last summer, Judge Analisa Torres ordered Ripple to pay a $125 million civil penalty for violating federal securities laws through its institutional sales of XRP.
It is important to note that in 2023, the same magistrate found that the firm’s programmatic sales of XRP to retail clients through centralized exchanges did not breach the rules.
Ripple respected the decision and was ready to pay the fine. After all, it represented just a fraction of the $2 billion the SEC initially requested.
However, the watchdog officially appealed in October, delaying the outcome indefinitely. The upcoming changes in the SEC’s leadership, such as replacing Chairman Gary Gensler with the pro-crypto Paul Atkins, may result in a favorable resolution for Ripple. The XRP army, though, should have somewhat realistic hopes, considering the complexity of the entire legal process.
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