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Is the Ethereum Bull Market Back or is Another Dip Below $3K Imminent? (ETH Price Analysis)

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Ethereum’s price is yet to continue its uptrend following a rejection from the $4,000 resistance level. But the bulls are now showing signs of strength, perhaps staging a more considerable recovery.

Technical Analysis

By TradingRage

The Daily Chart

As the daily chart depicts, Ethereum’s price has been making lower highs and lows inside a descending channel since failing to break above the $4,000 resistance level.

Yet, the cryptocurrency is climbing back above the $3,000 level and the midline of the channel. If the market successfully recovers back to these levels, a breakout above the channel and a continuation toward $4,000 and even higher prices can be expected.

eth_price_chart_0405241
Source: TradingView

The 4-Hour Chart

The 4-hour chart offers a much clearer picture of recent price action. The market has barely broken through the $3,000 resistance zone and is currently testing the midline of the descending channel.

With the RSI showing values above 50%, ETH is likely to break through the level and potentially continue outward to the $3,600 resistance area. In this case, market participants can be optimistic that a new bullish wave will begin soon.

eth_price_chart_0405242
Source: TradingView

Sentiment Analysis

By TradingRage

Ethereum Funding Rates

Following the recent decline in Ethereum’s price, many futures traders have been liquidated or reversed their long positions. This can be a good sign, as the futures market has seemingly cooled down.

This chart demonstrates the Ethereum funding rates metric, which measures whether buyers or sellers are executing their futures orders more aggressively (using market orders). Positive values point to bullish sentiment, while negative ones show bearish expectations.

It is evident that the funding rates have significantly dropped compared to a couple of months ago. Low but positive funding rates can be interpreted as a bullish signal, as they show that while the futures market is not overheated anymore, the demand is still there, and the price can soon rally higher.

eth_funding_rates_chart_0405241
Source: CryptoQuant
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

Cryptocurrency

Notorious ‘Blockchain Bandit’ Resurfaces, Moves 51,000 ETH in Largest Fund Transfer

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After a brief hiatus, the notorious “Blockchain Bandit” has re-emerged as the year ends, consolidating a staggering 51,000 ETH, valued at approximately $172 million, into a single multisig wallet.

This transfer was made on December 30.

“Blockchain Bandit” Returns

In the latest update, prominent blockchain investigator ZachXBT revealed that the consolidation originated from 10 wallets, which have been dormant for almost two years, with the last activity being flagged in January 2023. Alongside the Ether transfer, 470 BTC were also moved.

The Blockchain Bandit earned infamy between 2016 and 2018 through an insidious technique called “Ethercombing.” By exploiting cryptographic vulnerabilities, the attacker systematically guessed weak private keys, which were often generated by faulty random number algorithms or misconfigured wallets.

This method allowed the malicious entity to steal more than 45,000 ETH across 49,060 transactions by compromising 732 private keys. While brute-forcing private keys is generally deemed improbable due to their vast numerical range, the Bandit capitalized on predictable flaws such as non-random key generation and poorly implemented recovery phrases.

Cybersecurity analysts suggest that state-sponsored actors, possibly North Korean hacker groups, could be behind the attacks, noting parallels with other large-scale crypto thefts. Such groups are known to target cryptocurrency platforms to fund illicit operations, including weapons programs.

The Bandit’s recent activity – coupled with the use of multi-signature wallets – signals preparations for potentially laundering the funds through mixers or decentralized exchanges to obscure their origins.

From Fake Meetings to Seed Phrase Traps

This attacker’s resurgence comes amid a wider uptick in crypto cybercrime as fraudsters develop new strategies to ensnare unsuspecting targets. Earlier this month, hackers were reported to have exploited fake Zoom meeting links to target crypto users and steal sensitive credentials as well as digital assets.

SlowMist traced the malware’s code to Russian-linked operatives, revealing over $1 million converted to ETH.

Another scam targeted opportunistic thieves by sharing seed phrases of fake crypto wallets. Once accessed, the wallets demand TRX for transaction fees, rerouting funds to scammers instead. Kaspersky warns that this scheme, disguised as a beginner’s mistake, manipulates thieves into becoming victims of their own greed.

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Binance’s $31B Stablecoin Reserves Signal Strong Market Confidence Despite Bitcoin’s Lull

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According to CryptoQuant’s latest data, Binance has reached a new milestone in its stablecoin reserves as it hit an all-time high of $31 billion recently. This marks a significant recovery and growth, as the reserves stood at just $7 billion in June 2023.

Therefore, the latest figure reflects a nearly fivefold increase over six months. Such a surge typically indicates increased buying pressure which, in turn, suggests a strong investor confidence and activity in the market.

As per the on-chain analytic platform’s data, current reserve levels, holding steady at around $30 billion, indicate continued market positioning by investors that would potentially support sustained demand and market strength.

All Eyes on Bitcoin’s Next Stop

This development coincides with Bitcoin’s potential breakout above $120,000, driven by strong market fundamentals and Binance’s increasing stablecoin reserves. Analysts believe that BTC, currently trading below $94,000 after a 13% correction from its $108,300 all-time high, could peak at $120,000 in January.

Meanwhile, QCP Capital highlighted that Bitcoin’s spot market has faced notable challenges, with thinner liquidity creating gaps and any recent recovery attempts capped by persistent selling pressure. Momentum in the world’s largest crypto by market cap has waned significantly as the year ends, exacerbated by $1.8 billion in net outflows from spot ETFs since December 19 and a slowdown in MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin purchases.

This weak price action mirrors broader market sentiment, as major indices like the S&P 500 and NASDAQ have experienced sharp declines amid heightened uncertainty around global trade heading into 2025.

Despite the sluggish close, the asset manager said that Bitcoin remains a standout performer in 2024, up 120% and outpacing stocks and gold. Looking to Q1 2025, QCP anticipates institutional asset reallocation in January as a key catalyst for the crypto.

With broader institutional adoption, including university endowment funds, Bitcoin’s dominance is expected to grow, stabilizing spot price movements and aligning volatility dynamics more closely with equities. Additionally, QCP predicted stronger demand for downside puts for hedging and increased covered call selling on topside gains.

Bitcoin Holder Trend

Even as Bitcoin faced pressure, Glassnode’s data revealed that Short-Term Holders (STHs) are still, on average, in a favorable position and hold an unrealized profit of over 7.9%. This suggests that many recent buyers entered the market below the current price levels, with their aggregate cost basis resting at $86,600.

This price level is shaping up to be a key region of interest, as it may serve as both a psychological and technical indicator for local price momentum.

Last week, CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju also shed light on a growing trend of Bitcoin whales accumulating the crypto through privacy transactions. Over the past two years, CoinJoin transactions have tripled annually, resulting in increased activity in anonymous transfers.

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Tron’s Revenue Reaches $2.12 Billion in 2024: Ethereum, Solana Trail Behind

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Tron’s (TRX) price reached an all-time high of $0.44 in the first week of December 2024, smashing previous records amid a crypto-wide bull run that gained steam after Donald Trump’s presidential win. TRX’s return to the 10th position by market capitalization has brought a sense of revival to the community, yet its price continues to struggle, down over 43% from its newly established peak and stuck around the $0.25 level for nearly two weeks.

Despite this, Tron’s monthly revenue has steadily increased.

Tron Tops Revenue Rankings

According to the latest findings by Lookonchain, the Tron network has seen a significant surge in revenue over the past 30 days, reaching approximately $330 million – an increase of 39.7% compared to the previous month. As a result, revenue climbed to $764.11 million over the past 90 days.

In the third quarter of 2024, Tron recorded a significant revenue surge that can be attributed to the rapid success of SunPump, its token launcher platform tailored for meme coins. SunPump gained traction starting August 16, with activity skyrocketing in the two weeks that followed.

Zooming out, this growth has contributed to more than 115% year-on-year rise in the network’s total revenue for 2024, which now stands at $2.12 billion.  This is further validated by CryptoDep’s data, which shows Tron topping the blockchain revenue charts for 2024. This placed Tron ahead of Ethereum, which trails behind with $2 billion in revenue.

Meanwhile, Solana, despite its impressive 3,028% growth trend and $90.9 billion market cap, remains far behind Tron in revenue generation. Similarly, Base and other emerging blockchains, such as Arbitrum, with $44.7 million, and Optimism, with $37.9 million, lag significantly behind.

A Bullish Reversal For TRX?

Nevertheless, the cryptocurrency market as a whole turned bearish post-Christmas, with TRX suffering significant losses. The holiday season has been a lull for the crypto, but it could soon find a local bottom.7

Resistance zones are anticipated at $0.40 and $0.49. Speculations about asset manager Grayscale and Tron founder Justin Sun’s recent initiatives have driven community interest.

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