Cryptocurrency
Miners send millions to exchanges — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week
Bitcoin (BTC) starts the first week of July with a sigh of relief for traders as $30,000 support holds.
BTC price action refuses to succumb to bears after 20% gains in Q2, with weekly and monthly timeframes looking strong. What’s next?
A quiet week is expected on TradFi markets, with Wall Street gearing up for the Independence Day holiday and little in store in terms of United States macroeconomic data.
Bitcoin thus needs volatility triggers from elsewhere if bulls are to have a shot at breaching resistance in place for several months.
Views among market participants are mixed on that topic — some believe that $32,000 and higher is easily achievable, while others consider this month as the peak of Bitcoin’s 2023 recovery.
Cointelegraph takes a look at some of the major factors set to influence BTC price performance in the coming days and weeks.
Short-term BTC price upside calls extend to $40,000
Bitcoin’s weekly close was convenient for bulls, offering only modest volatility, with BTC/USD continuing higher overnight.
The new week thus saw a visit to $30,850 on Bitstamp, per data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView — the latest attempt to act closer to the $31,000 mark and the yearly highs.
Fuel for a trend change nonetheless remains absent, leading more optimistic traders to wait and see when it comes to upside continuation.
“My Bitcoin plan remains the same,” popular trader Jelle summarized to Twitter followers in part of his latest analysis.
“Market structure is bullish, we’ve reclaimed the 200-week EMA. Once we the $32k resistance area, I expect the bull market kicks off. Until then, we trade the range and buy deeper pullbacks.”
Jelle referred to the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA), which together with its counterpart simple moving average (SMA) continue to act as market support after a brief challenge in June.
An accompanying chart showed the first major upside target as the current all-time high at $69,000.
Fellow trader Crypto Ed hoped for a push toward $36,000 and even $40,000, while considering the likelihood of a retracement to $28,000 — already a popular dip-buying zone — first.
Market structure, he said, remained “good” despite last-minute volatility into the end of the month, with BTC/USD wicking to $29,500.
# BTC following my plan for $36+40k so far….
Nice reactions Friday on red and green box.In my next YT update I’ll explain what I expect from here. 1 more ABC down towards 28k, or up only?
Should be online around 10am CET. pic.twitter.com/Xu13Ra0mP5
— Ed_NL (@Crypto_Ed_NL) July 3, 2023
On-chain monitoring resource Material Indicators meanwhile noted Bitcoin whales’ role in maintaining the BTC price range.
#FireCharts shows Purple Whales have been buying dips and distributing through the range, and Brown Mega Whales buying into liquidity at resistance to elevate the range.
Historically, Purple Whales have had the most influence over #Bitcoin PA.
Use Promo Code MIJ4TH for 25%… pic.twitter.com/QE1UDypKHZ
— Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) July 3, 2023
“No question BTC whales have been distributing in the $30k range, but they’ve also been buying the dips which have helped keep BTC in this range,” part of further analysis added.
As Cointelegraph reported, July has never seen more than 10% losses for BTC price, but this is not stopping one popular trader, CryptoBullet, forecasting an end to bullish moves this month.
Predicting the area around $36,000 as the local top, CryptoBullet predicts that downside — including giving up the key moving averages — will come next.
“I’m not saying we’ll dip to 20k this or next month. Imo it will happen in Q4,” he wrote in subsequent Twitter comments on his original prediction.
Banks in focus over bond-buying losses
The macroeconomic climate looks set to be mercifully calm this week as the U.S. centers on the July 4 Independence Day holiday.
Little macroeconomic data is due, and barring curveball events, crypto should receive little volatility from sources such as changing inflation expectations.
Those expectations remain anchored in interest rate hikes returning later this month, however, when the Federal Reserve meets to decide on future policy.
As of July 3, data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool puts the odds of a 0.25% hike at nearly 90%. The decision is due in three weeks’ time.
“Every week feels pivotal as Fed rate expectations shift rapidly. Meanwhile, stocks are pushing 52-week highs and trading has been great,” financial commentary resource The Kobeissi Letter summarized about the mood, calling the coming week “short but important.”
Elsewhere, increasing attention is being paid to the U.S. banking sector.
Regional banks continue to struggle, as evidenced by the performance of the KBW Regional Banking Index (KRX).
Is this the most important chart today ?
⚠️The Regional US Bank Index⚠️
Fallen by two-thirds and yet it can’t find a bid
Shorted by all, and yet it can’t catch a bid…
The 2008 monologue says the Fat Lady sings when this retraces 50% of its losses, $105 – $110, and yet it… pic.twitter.com/ATeuxuasFG
— Hugh Hendry Eclectica (@hendry_hugh) July 1, 2023
Even Bank of America (BoA) is on the radar for its loss-making bond purchases, a problem likewise faced by Germany’s central bank.
“These incredible headlines don’t get enough attention,” angel investor Balaji Srivinsan argued about a Financial Times piece on the Bundesbank’s predicament.
“The central bank of the fourth largest economy in the world may need a bailout because it bought bonds. This isn’t a tech crisis or even a banking crisis. It’s a bond crisis, a central bank crisis, a fiat crisis.”
Kobeissi meanwhile warned that the U.S. bank implosions which sparked the March Bitcoin bull run shared key similarities to the current situation with BoA.
New FDIC data shows Bank of America, $BAC, faces $100+ BILLION in bond market paper losses.$BAC claims it’s not an issue as they don’t plan to sell.
Sound familiar? That’s because it is.
Both Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic collapsed for this reason.
(a thread)
1/12
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) July 2, 2023
Bitcoin miners challenge record exchange transfers
Bitcoin miners have underscored the significance of BTC price action passing and holding $30,000 — but perhaps not in the way bulls would like.
Data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode reveals a huge increase in the amount of coins miners are sending to exchanges.
This even surpassed levels from April 2021, when BTC/USD hit $58,000 in the first of the year’s new all-time highs.
“Following the ascension in spot price above the psychologically key $30K level, Bitcoin Miners have continued to send large clips of BTC to exchanges,” Glassnode commented.
“Currently, Miners are sending $105M to exchanges, the second largest USD denominated transfer on record.”
Miner balances, however, maintain a slow overall uptrend in place since the start of 2023. On Jan 1, Glassnode data shows, the balance tally stood at 1,824,377 BTC, compared to 1,827,916 BTC on July 2.
Despite the sales, there is little evidence to suggest that BTC miners are experiencing difficulties. Hash rate currently remains near all-time highs, while network difficulty is just 3.26% below its own record levels seen last month.
BTC hodlers in profit refusing to sell
A more inspiring picture comes from the stalwart Bitcoin investor cohorts refusing to sell no matter the price.
Even within the context of this year’s gains, Bitcoin hodlers are staying firm in their resolve not to take profit en masse.
This is now being reflected in the amount of the BTC supply deemed “illiquid,” or out of reach in the event that strong buying pressure returns.
Glassnode’s Illiquid Supply Change metric is “extremely elevated,” currently at levels not seen at any time except during the pit of the 2022 bear market. While prices have increased, so has hodler conviction.
The #Bitcoin Illiquid Supply Change remains extremely elevated near cycle highs as HODLing remains prominent.
Currently, coins are flowing into illiquid wallets with little to no history of spending at a rate of +194.5K BTC per month.
https://t.co/uPfaksndNc pic.twitter.com/RRijcPWLCE
— glassnode (@glassnode) June 28, 2023
On paper, hodlers have every reason to take profit at $30,000. Glassnode’s Long-Term Holder Market Value to Realized Value (LTH-MVRV) metric, which charts profitability of coins held for 155 days or more, currently shows that the average LTH entity is 47% in profit on their position.
Sentiment reflects investor indecisiveness
Lastly, the jittery nature of the average crypto market participant remains firmly on display in sentiment data.
Related: Bitcoin speculators send 35K BTC to exchanges in new ‘elation inflow’
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index continues to highlight just how malleable sentiment is depending on how Bitcoin treats the $30,000 mark.
It is not only BTC/USD which is facing a key resistance/support flipping task — Ether (ETH), too, has its work cut out to reclaim $2,000.
As such, Fear & Greed continues to bounce around between the mid-50s — “neutral” — and mid-60s, or “greed.”
Current 2023 highs for the Index are at 69/100, with levels at Bitcoin’s 2021 all-time highs of $69,000 only around 10% higher.
Magazine: How smart people invest in dumb memecoins: 3-point plan for success
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
Cryptocurrency
Crypto Analyst Says Altcoins May Take 2 Months to Recover, Here’s Why
With the current state of the market, after one of the largest liquidations in the history of the crypto industry, an analyst is insisting that altcoins could take two months to recover from the gains they have shed over the last couple of days.
According to a tweet by crypto and stock market analyst Matthew Hyland, it is unlikely that altcoins will see a straight recovery within the next few days. Judging by past data, the cryptocurrencies could even take more than two months to find their way back up.
Altcoins Need 2 Months to Recover
Following bitcoin’s (BTC) $10,000 price slump over the weekend and into Monday, the altcoin market bled out, with many registering massive double-digit declines within hours. This market wipeout was triggered by United States President Donald Trump imposing tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China.
The trade tariffs announcement led to one of the largest dumps in crypto history, with over 700,000 traders liquidating for more than $2.3 billion and the crypto market cap plummeting by at least 12% within a day.
Although the broader crypto market has shown signs of recovery within the last 24 hours, especially with President Trump temporarily pausing the tariffs against Canada and Mexico, most cryptocurrencies are still far from their pre-weekend levels.
Hyland stated that it is likely that the low is in for this cycle. He cited a similar liquidation event seen in 2020 during the COVID-19 crash, explaining that altcoins took more than two months to recover from the decline they saw at the time fully.
No High Expectations
Furthermore, the analyst highlighted more recent market liquidations witnessed during the TerraLuna dump in mid-2022 and in the aftermath of the bankrupt crypto exchange FTX implosion in late 2022. He asserted that recovery from previous experiences all took months.
Hyland urged crypto traders to keep their expectations “tempered” because they will not see the price highs recorded by most altcoins in December 2024 for at least two months. Bearing in mind that the crypto market is unpredictable and “can do anything,” Hyland still insisted that traders should expect the recovery to take time.
“I will gladly be wrong, but assuming there will be a straight recovery within days is just not likely and will probably make you uneasy if it doesn’t happen. Even a V shape like 2020 took weeks with many dips on the way back up,” the analyst stated.
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Cryptocurrency
Arthur Hayes Slams US Bitcoin Reserve Plans and Crypto Regulation Efforts
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has dismissed the idea of a U.S. Bitcoin reserve, calling it a politically driven and impractical concept.
In his February 5 essay called “The Genie,” Hayes argued that government stockpiling of the cryptocurrency would serve political interests rather than financial stability.
Bitcoin Reserve Would Be a Political Tool
“What can be bought can be sold,” he wrote, warning that politicians acquire assets for short-term gains. While some see Bitcoin as the “hardest” form of money, he pointed out that the U.S. government has no fundamental economic use for it. Instead, he suggested that political leaders would exploit its price fluctuations to serve their agendas rather than embrace its ideological underpinnings.
Hayes criticized Senator Cynthia Lummis’s proposal for a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve (BSR), arguing that if President Trump were to authorize the purchase of one million BTC, prices would rise temporarily but stall once buying stopped.
He also predicted that if the head of state failed to address major voter concerns like inflation, foreign conflicts, and corruption, Democrats could regain power in 2026. If they did, they would likely view the Bitcoin reserve as a convenient source of funds and sell it off to finance new policies. According to him, this would create uncertainty about the future of the government-held BTC, undermining confidence in the market.
The former exchange executive also questioned whether the administration would engage with Bitcoin beyond holding it as a passive asset. “Would they run nodes? Sponsor developers? Or just treat it like a trophy?” he asked.
Hayes further accused Trump’s team of using Bitcoin’s volatility to secure political gains, suggesting the reserve could become a tool for campaign fundraising.
Discussions about a federal Bitcoin reserve gained momentum after the President announced a sovereign wealth fund, with Lummis hinting that it could be used to buy Bitcoin. Prediction market platform Polymarket currently places the odds of a U.S. Bitcoin stockpile before the end of 2025 at 46%.
Regulatory Complexity
Hayes also spoke on crypto regulation, condemning what he called the “Frankenstein crypto bill.” He argued that any new framework would likely be excessively complex and prescriptive, favoring only the largest players in the industry who could afford the high costs of compliance.
He explained that investors with large stakes in centralized financial firms are the most likely to push for regulation, as they have the influence to shape policy in their favor. In contrast, developers in decentralized finance lack the resources to lobby for their interests.
The crypto investor warned that regulatory compliance would be affordable only to firms with deep pockets like Coinbase and BlackRock, reinforcing monopolies rather than creating competition. He also cautioned entrepreneurs against relocating to the U.S. for regulatory clarity, arguing that systemic corporate interests would stifle innovation and block smaller players from succeeding.
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Cryptocurrency
Dubai to Host Second Edition of Middle East Blockchain Awards as MENA Drives Global Crypto Growth
[PRESS RELEASE – Dubai, United Arab Emirates, February 6th, 2025]
The Middle East Blockchain Awards (MEBA) returns for its second year after the success of its inaugural edition, with Dubai selected as the host city. The ceremony will take place at the iconic Jumeirah Burj Al Arab on April 29, coinciding with the TOKEN2049 conference. The event will unite industry leaders, innovators, and visionaries to celebrate achievements in blockchain and cryptocurrency.
MEBA 2025 arrives at a pivotal moment amid the rapid acceleration of blockchain adoption across the MENA region. Recent data from Chainalysis positioned the region as the seventh-largest cryptocurrency market in the world. Between July 2023 and June 2024, MENA received an estimated on-chain value of $338.7 billion—accounting for 7.5% of the global transaction volume.
Notably, the UAE has emerged as a global leader in digital asset adoption. According to Henley & Partners’ latest report, the UAE ranks third worldwide in digital currency usage. Chainalysis data also revealed that the UAE received approximately $34billion in cryptocurrencies between June 2023 and July 2024, experiencing a robust 42% year-on-year growth. This is driven by the country’s progressive approach to blockchain technology, with cities like Dubai establishing themselves as key innovation hubs.
Max Palethorpe, Founder and CEO of Hoko Group, the official organizers of MEBA, commented: “The Middle East Blockchain Awards provides a unique platform to recognize the incredible achievements that are driving the next wave of innovation in blockchain and digital transformation. With the UAE leading the charge in the Web 3.0 revolution, it’s inspiring to see industry leaders coming together to shape the future of this dynamic industry. This year’s event promises to be a true celebration of the pioneers who are pushing boundaries and setting new standards.”
Returning as a judge for the second consecutive year, Dr. Marwan Al Zarouni, CEO, AI for Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism and CEO of Dubai Blockchain Centre (DBCC) added: “I am thrilled to be part of the judging panel once again and witness the rapid evolution of blockchain technologies in the MENA region. With the UAE at the forefront of this transformation, the government’s forward-thinking approach, combined with the region’s dynamic innovation ecosystem, is accelerating the adoption of Web 3.0 technologies. The Middle East Blockchain Awards captures this momentum and further cements the UAE’s position as a global hub for blockchain excellence.”
Other judges of the Middle East Blockchain Awards this year include:
● Jumana Al Darwish, Award Winning Social Entrepreneur and Founder of Happy Box
● Scott Melker, Host, The Wolf of All Streets Podcast, and Crypto TownHall
● Mario Nawfal, Host of Largest Show on X and Founder of International Blockchain Consulting Group
● Saqr Ereiqat, Secretary General of Dubai Digital Assets Association and Co-Founder of Crypto Oasis
● Jorge Sebastiao, Co-Founder Global Blockchain Organization and Co-Founder EcoX
● Matthies Mende, Founder and CEO of Bonuz and Co-Founder of Dubai Blockchain Center
MEBA aims to foster innovation, recognize excellence, and set new standards for blockchain and Web 3.0 projects across the region. In its inaugural edition in 2022, MEBA partnered with Abu Dhabi Global Market’s flagship platform, Abu Dhabi Finance Week, and the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Crypto and Blockchain Association (MEAACBA).
Submissions are now open at www.mebawards.io, where participants can find additional details about the categories and the nomination process.
About Hoko Abu Dhabi
Hoko Agency is a diversified and innovative company that owns and operates a diverse portfolio of businesses within the sectors of Finance, Blockchain, Entertainment, Sport and F&B. Hoko strives to be the best-in-class in each of their service lines; offering quality products, world class service and fitting solutions that go beyond the industry’s expectations.
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