Cryptocurrency
More than half of transactions on cryptocurrency exchanges turned out to be manipulation of cryptocurrency

Most transactions on the largest unregulated cryptocurrency exchanges are manipulation of cryptocurrency by groups of related owners. This is according to a report by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).
The authors of the paper, titled “Wash Trading in Cryptocurrencies,” Lin William Tsung of Cornell University in the U.S., Ke Tang and Yang Yang of Tsinghua in Beijing and UK-based Xi Li analyzed a commercial database of 29 of the largest crypto exchanges in the world across jurisdictions to estimate the share of their turnover called wash trading – trading that involves multiple sales of the same asset to each other. In this way, big players can influence the current Bitcoin exchange rate.
“We have found that manipulative trading on an exchange is positively correlated with its cryptocurrency prices in the short term. We also found that exchanges with a longer history of creation and a large user base are less involved in manipulative trading. Lesser-known exchanges, by contrast, have short-term incentives for fictitious trading without attracting too much attention,” the paper said.
It turned out that on regulated exchanges the share of such transactions was less than 3%. Sale of an asset to itself for fake exchange interest is on average 77.5% of analyzed transactions. At the “first tier” exchanges it is less, 53.4 %, at other exchanges – 81.8 %. Also, the annual turnover at the main unregulated exchanges is 54.3% of transactions of “laundering trade”.
The researchers also pointed out that the turnover of cryptocurrency exchanges during the analyzed period was about several trillion dollars.
Another report from the National Bureau of Economic Research found that about 70% of unregulated cryptocurrency exchanges fake trading activity. Unregulated exchanges include Binance, Bitfinex, Bittrex, Huobi, HitBTC, KuCoin,OKEx, Poloniex. Liquid, Zb, as well as smaller trading floors like Exmo, Coinbene, Gate.io and others. It turned out that twelve of the sixteen small crypto exchanges had about 80% of their trading volumes tampered with.
Previously, we reported on why bitcoin rose and what investors predicted.
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin Price Tests $110K as Total Liquidations Near $300 Million

Bitcoin’s price has managed to completely erase the losses from yesterday and it appears that bulls are on the run again.
At the time of this writing, BTC is trading at around $109,500, preparing to test the pivotal technical and psychological level of $110K, sitting right below the cryptocurrency’s all-time high.
Data from Coinglass shows that the total number of liquidations across the derivatives market currently sits at almost $300 million – a 32% increase compared to the previous 24 hours.
BTC leads the way with around $50 million in liquidations, where the majority of positions were short. In total, $190M out of the $300 million in forced-closed traders were betting on the price to go down.
Naturally, the altcoins are following suite and are also recovering and most of them are now trading in the green. It’s interesting to see if this will transition into a more sustained upward movement in the next few days.
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Cryptocurrency
Ripple (XRP) Price Outlook: 2 Bearish and 2 Bullish Factors to Watch

TL;DR
XRP’s recent dip comes alongside a drop in key on-chain metrics – like active accounts and executed transactions – hinting at declining user engagement and a potential short-term correction.
Despite the concerns, optimism remains high as Polymarket gives a 92% chance for a spot XRP ETF approval by end-2025, while negative exchange netflows suggest reduced immediate selling pressure.
Pullback on the Horizon?
Ripple’s XRP started July on the right foot, with its price rising to as high as $2.30. The uptrend, however, was short-lived, and it currently trades at around $2.17 (according to CoinGecko’s data).
Meanwhile, the decline of certain XRP metrics suggests the asset’s investors may have to endure a more substantial correction in the near future. Data shows that the number of active accounts, the number of executed transactions, and the number of newly activated accounts have headed south in the past few days.
This development points to reduced user engagement and utility in XRP’s ecosystem, which may lead to price stagnation or even a pullback.
Interest in Ripple’s cross-border token has also waned over the past several months. Google searches involving the asset are currently far below the peak levels registered in December last year. This could mean that fewer new buyers are entering the market.
The Bullish Signals
Every coin has two sides, so let’s also observe the factors that suggest Ripple’s native token might be on the verge of a renewed rally.
To begin with, XRP investors could gain significantly if a spot ETF receives regulatory approval in the United States. A growing list of major firms – such as Grayscale, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, 21Shares, and others – have already expressed interest in launching such a product.”
According to Polymarket, there’s a 92% chance that a spot XRP ETF will be greenlighted in America before the end of 2025.
The surge in odds follows the SEC’s recent approval of Grayscale’s request to convert its Digital Large Cap Fund (GDLC) into a spot ETF – a fund that holds multiple cryptocurrencies, including XRP.
Next on the list is XRP’s exchange netflow, which has been predominantly negative in the last several weeks. This indicates that investors have switched from centralized platforms toward self-custody methods, reflecting a reduced immediate selling pressure.
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Cryptocurrency
Who is Selling Their BTC at These Prices? Glassnode Reveals Bitcoin Profit Takers

About a month ago, market analysts noted that profit-taking on the Bitcoin network was modest. However, that has changed.
The on-chain insights provider Glassnode has revealed that profit-taking on the leading digital network is ramping up again. This comes as Bitcoin (BTC) remains in a consolidation phase following weeks of upward movement.
BTC Holders Take Profits
According to Glassnode’s tweet, bitcoin’s realized profits hit $2.46 billion on June 30, while the network’s seven-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) spiked to $1.52 billion.
The SMA, which identifies trends by averaging prices over a specific period, is currently above its year-to-date (YTD) average of $1.14 billion. However, the metric is still below its November-December 2024 peak of approximately $4.5 billion.
The spike in Bitcoin’s seven-day SMA indicates that coin distribution on the network is on the rise. Mid-to-long-term BTC holders have been leading this profit-taking spree; Glassnode said investors aged three to five years have realized at least $849 million in profits. This cohort of market participants is followed by those aged seven to ten years, with $485 million in profits, and investors aged one to two years with $445 million.
Short-term BTC holders, those holding for under one year, have been cashing out the least gains, at less than $6 million.
Interestingly, older BTC holders have been leading the profit-taking for this cycle. CryptoPotato reported a rise in spending by this cohort in late May, which drove the aggregate volume for the one- to five-year cohorts to $4 billion, its highest level since February. While older investors take the lead, the bulk of the volume is coming from this particular group of Bitcoin holders.
Whales Are Redistributing Too
Glassnode’s latest report is further substantiated by an analysis from the institutional decentralized finance (DeFi) analytics platform, Sentora (previously known as IntoTheBlock).
The firm disclosed that wallets holding more than 1,000 BTC have been steadily reducing their balances. This indicates that although institutional money is flowing into Bitcoin, whales are still offloading their holdings.
It is worth mentioning that Sentora sees the redistribution by whales as a sign of a maturing market rather than weakness. Older whale coins being dispersed could become a dynamic that would strengthen Bitcoin’s long-term potential.
Meanwhile, BTC was still consolidating at the time of writing, hovering under $110,000 – a level, which it has remained confined to in the last few weeks.
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