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Most Financial Advisors Believe Bitcoin ETFs Will Be Denied: Bitwise Survey

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Optimism over a Bitcoin ETF may not be as prevalent in mainstream financial circles as within the online crypto community, according to new survey results published by Bitwise.

The crypto index fund provider – which itself is awaiting approval for its Bitcoin ETF application – said that only 39% of surveyed investment advisors believe an ETF will be approved in 2024.

Advisors Doubt The Bitcoin ETF

The survey took place between October 20 and December 18 – a period of significant price appreciation for Bitcoin amid confidence that an ETF approval was imminent and inevitable.

This followed major events signaling that regulators might flip their heretofore hostile stance against spot ETFs, including a June ETF application from BlackRock and an August court victory for Grayscale over the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

By the time the survey began, the SEC had already lost all remaining time to appeal its court loss, forcing the agency to re-examine ETF applications in a more welcoming light.

“I read this as most boomer advisors are not spending inordinate amounts of time on Twitter or even online,” said Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas in response to the survey.

Balchunas and his fellow analyst James Seyffart maintain that Bitcoin ETF applicants have a 90% likelihood of receiving approval between January 8 and 10, given the SEC’s lengthy and constructive dialogue with applicants over the past two months.

Some reports suggest that issuers could receive notifications of approval as early as Friday before beginning to trade early next week. Additionally, Balchunas said on Thursday that the SEC is “giving final comments as we speak” and that approvals are “as close to “done” as we’ve been.”

Multiple asset managers have also given subtle hints that approvals are imminent this week. SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci tweeted, “It’s done” on Thursday, while Grayscale’s chief legal officer said he was “just filling out some forms.”

Is This Bullish?

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan interpreted investment advisors’ lack of faith in approvals as a bullish sign, signaling that the event is not yet “priced in” to Bitcoin.

“There’s a massive gap in expectations between advisors and those who monitor ETF developments for a living,” stated Hougan. “Couple that with the fact that almost 90% of advisors say they’re waiting for an ETF before making a bitcoin investment, and you see a lot of demand bubbling just below the surface.”

Bitwise’s survey also found that only 19% of advisors can buy crypto in client accounts, even though 88% of advisors were questioned by clients about crypto last year.

“Seventy-one percent (71%) of advisors favor Bitcoin over Ethereum, a marked increase from the previous year (53%),” the company added.

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Crypto Analyst Says Altcoins May Take 2 Months to Recover, Here’s Why

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With the current state of the market, after one of the largest liquidations in the history of the crypto industry, an analyst is insisting that altcoins could take two months to recover from the gains they have shed over the last couple of days.

According to a tweet by crypto and stock market analyst Matthew Hyland, it is unlikely that altcoins will see a straight recovery within the next few days. Judging by past data, the cryptocurrencies could even take more than two months to find their way back up.

Altcoins Need 2 Months to Recover

Following bitcoin’s (BTC) $10,000 price slump over the weekend and into Monday, the altcoin market bled out, with many registering massive double-digit declines within hours. This market wipeout was triggered by United States President Donald Trump imposing tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China.

The trade tariffs announcement led to one of the largest dumps in crypto history, with over 700,000 traders liquidating for more than $2.3 billion and the crypto market cap plummeting by at least 12% within a day.

Although the broader crypto market has shown signs of recovery within the last 24 hours, especially with President Trump temporarily pausing the tariffs against Canada and Mexico, most cryptocurrencies are still far from their pre-weekend levels.

Hyland stated that it is likely that the low is in for this cycle. He cited a similar liquidation event seen in 2020 during the COVID-19 crash, explaining that altcoins took more than two months to recover from the decline they saw at the time fully.

No High Expectations

Furthermore, the analyst highlighted more recent market liquidations witnessed during the TerraLuna dump in mid-2022 and in the aftermath of the bankrupt crypto exchange FTX implosion in late 2022. He asserted that recovery from previous experiences all took months.

Hyland urged crypto traders to keep their expectations “tempered” because they will not see the price highs recorded by most altcoins in December 2024 for at least two months. Bearing in mind that the crypto market is unpredictable and “can do anything,” Hyland still insisted that traders should expect the recovery to take time.

“I will gladly be wrong, but assuming there will be a straight recovery within days is just not likely and will probably make you uneasy if it doesn’t happen. Even a V shape like 2020 took weeks with many dips on the way back up,” the analyst stated.

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Arthur Hayes Slams US Bitcoin Reserve Plans and Crypto Regulation Efforts

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BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has dismissed the idea of a U.S. Bitcoin reserve, calling it a politically driven and impractical concept.

In his February 5 essay called “The Genie,” Hayes argued that government stockpiling of the cryptocurrency would serve political interests rather than financial stability.

Bitcoin Reserve Would Be a Political Tool

“What can be bought can be sold,” he wrote, warning that politicians acquire assets for short-term gains. While some see Bitcoin as the “hardest” form of money, he pointed out that the U.S. government has no fundamental economic use for it. Instead, he suggested that political leaders would exploit its price fluctuations to serve their agendas rather than embrace its ideological underpinnings.

Hayes criticized Senator Cynthia Lummis’s proposal for a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve (BSR), arguing that if President Trump were to authorize the purchase of one million BTC, prices would rise temporarily but stall once buying stopped.

He also predicted that if the head of state failed to address major voter concerns like inflation, foreign conflicts, and corruption, Democrats could regain power in 2026. If they did, they would likely view the Bitcoin reserve as a convenient source of funds and sell it off to finance new policies. According to him, this would create uncertainty about the future of the government-held BTC, undermining confidence in the market.

The former exchange executive also questioned whether the administration would engage with Bitcoin beyond holding it as a passive asset. “Would they run nodes? Sponsor developers? Or just treat it like a trophy?” he asked.

Hayes further accused Trump’s team of using Bitcoin’s volatility to secure political gains, suggesting the reserve could become a tool for campaign fundraising.

Discussions about a federal Bitcoin reserve gained momentum after the President announced a sovereign wealth fund, with Lummis hinting that it could be used to buy Bitcoin. Prediction market platform Polymarket currently places the odds of a U.S. Bitcoin stockpile before the end of 2025 at 46%.

Regulatory Complexity

Hayes also spoke on crypto regulation, condemning what he called the “Frankenstein crypto bill.” He argued that any new framework would likely be excessively complex and prescriptive, favoring only the largest players in the industry who could afford the high costs of compliance.

He explained that investors with large stakes in centralized financial firms are the most likely to push for regulation, as they have the influence to shape policy in their favor. In contrast, developers in decentralized finance lack the resources to lobby for their interests.

The crypto investor warned that regulatory compliance would be affordable only to firms with deep pockets like Coinbase and BlackRock, reinforcing monopolies rather than creating competition. He also cautioned entrepreneurs against relocating to the U.S. for regulatory clarity, arguing that systemic corporate interests would stifle innovation and block smaller players from succeeding.

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Dubai to Host Second Edition of Middle East Blockchain Awards as MENA Drives Global Crypto Growth

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[PRESS RELEASE – Dubai, United Arab Emirates, February 6th, 2025]

The Middle East Blockchain Awards (MEBA) returns for its second year after the success of its inaugural edition, with Dubai selected as the host city. The ceremony will take place at the iconic Jumeirah Burj Al Arab on April 29, coinciding with the TOKEN2049 conference. The event will unite industry leaders, innovators, and visionaries to celebrate achievements in blockchain and cryptocurrency.

MEBA 2025 arrives at a pivotal moment amid the rapid acceleration of blockchain adoption across the MENA region. Recent data from Chainalysis positioned the region as the seventh-largest cryptocurrency market in the world. Between July 2023 and June 2024, MENA received an estimated on-chain value of $338.7 billion—accounting for 7.5% of the global transaction volume.

Notably, the UAE has emerged as a global leader in digital asset adoption. According to Henley & Partners’ latest report, the UAE ranks third worldwide in digital currency usage. Chainalysis data also revealed that the UAE received approximately $34billion in cryptocurrencies between June 2023 and July 2024, experiencing a robust 42% year-on-year growth. This is driven by the country’s progressive approach to blockchain technology, with cities like Dubai establishing themselves as key innovation hubs.

Max Palethorpe, Founder and CEO of Hoko Group, the official organizers of MEBA, commented: “The Middle East Blockchain Awards provides a unique platform to recognize the incredible achievements that are driving the next wave of innovation in blockchain and digital transformation. With the UAE leading the charge in the Web 3.0 revolution, it’s inspiring to see industry leaders coming together to shape the future of this dynamic industry. This year’s event promises to be a true celebration of the pioneers who are pushing boundaries and setting new standards.”

Returning as a judge for the second consecutive year, Dr. Marwan Al Zarouni, CEO, AI for Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism and CEO of Dubai Blockchain Centre (DBCC) added: “I am thrilled to be part of the judging panel once again and witness the rapid evolution of blockchain technologies in the MENA region. With the UAE at the forefront of this transformation, the government’s forward-thinking approach, combined with the region’s dynamic innovation ecosystem, is accelerating the adoption of Web 3.0 technologies. The Middle East Blockchain Awards captures this momentum and further cements the UAE’s position as a global hub for blockchain excellence.”

Other judges of the Middle East Blockchain Awards this year include:

●     Jumana Al Darwish, Award Winning Social Entrepreneur and Founder of Happy Box

●     Scott Melker, Host, The Wolf of All Streets Podcast, and Crypto TownHall

●     Mario Nawfal, Host of Largest Show on X and Founder of International Blockchain Consulting Group

●     Saqr Ereiqat, Secretary General of Dubai Digital Assets Association and Co-Founder of Crypto Oasis

●     Jorge Sebastiao, Co-Founder Global Blockchain Organization and Co-Founder EcoX

●     Matthies Mende, Founder and CEO of Bonuz and Co-Founder of Dubai Blockchain Center

MEBA aims to foster innovation, recognize excellence, and set new standards for blockchain and Web 3.0 projects across the region. In its inaugural edition in 2022, MEBA partnered with Abu Dhabi Global Market’s flagship platform, Abu Dhabi Finance Week, and the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Crypto and Blockchain Association (MEAACBA).

Submissions are now open at www.mebawards.io, where participants can find additional details about the categories and the nomination process.

About Hoko Abu Dhabi

Hoko Agency is a diversified and innovative company that owns and operates a diverse portfolio of businesses within the sectors of Finance, Blockchain, Entertainment, Sport and F&B. Hoko strives to be the best-in-class in each of their service lines; offering quality products, world class service and fitting solutions that go beyond the industry’s expectations.

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