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Polkadot in the Charts: What do On-Chain Data and Technical Analysis Indicate for DOT’s Price?

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Several altcoins have surrendered their recent gains this week amid rising geopolitical tensions, with Polkadot (DOT) facing similar challenges. The latest market correction pulled the altcoin’s price down to $4.04, a drop of over 14% in just three days.

At times like this, it’s important to take a step back and examine some fundamentals and traders’ sentiment in the face of popular industry analysts’ conclusions.

Polkadot On-Chain

One of the most important on-chain metrics that track the network’s activity over time is the number of daily active users and new users joining the ecosystem.

While the number of new accounts on Polkadot has remained relatively the same since May last year, the number of active users has increased by more than 25%.

Source: Subscan

The amount of DOT transferred daily has also increased significantly during this period, showing that the network is processing larger transfer volumes.

Source: Subscan

DOT’s Imminent Breakout – Are Investors Ready?

One analysis indicates that DOT is poised for a significant breakout. The altcoin appears to be approaching the conclusion of its accumulation phase and could potentially be on the verge of breaking out of a long-standing falling wedge pattern.

According to its findings, recent movements in major large-caps suggest that DOT is poised to follow this trend, making it only a matter of time before it experiences a substantial upward shift. The projected targets for this breakout, indicating key resistance levels, are set at $11.83, $18.41, $26.30, and $37.53.

“With over 600 days below the key zone, Polkadot is gearing up for a major push.”

Source: X

Another market observer, Lucky, also highlighted a similar promising outlook for DOT in his latest technical analysis. He said that the asset is nearing the end of its yearly accumulation phase, which could propel DOT’s price to “take off” soon.

An Outrageous Scenario Based on Historic Similarities

According to investment firm TradingShot’s latest analysis, DOT may be on track for a significant price surge, potentially reaching $200 by the end of 2025. The analysis suggests that Polkadot is following a pattern similar to Ethereum Classic’s (ETC) 2018-2021 cycle.

As shown on a one-week chart, both assets exhibit nearly identical RSI sequences. Lower highs and double tops lead into a bear market, followed by an RSI bottom that sparks a breakout above the one-week MA50 and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.

Source: X

Currently, Polkadot’s RSI is hovering around 40.00, a key level that marked the start of a parabolic rally in Ethereum Classic. If Polkadot mirrors this cycle, it could aggressively rise toward the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, hitting $200 by late 2025.

Disclaimer: CryptoPotato has received a grant from the Polkadot Foundation to produce content about the Polkadot ecosystem. While the Foundation supports our coverage, we maintain full editorial independence and control over the content we publish.

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Cryptocurrency

ADA, XRP Take Main Stage With 8% Gains, BTC Consolidation Continues (Weekend Watch)

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Bitcoin’s calmness over the weekend continues as the asset has failed to make a major move from its tight range between $94,000 and $95,000.

In contrast, several altcoins, such as XRP, ADA, and XLM, have posted significant gains over the weekend, while SUI has plunged hard.

ADA, XLM, XRP on the Rise

As reported on Saturday evening, Ripple’s cross-border token stole the show with a massive surge from $2.33 to $2.5. The asset kept climbing in the following hours and tapped a multi-week peak of $2.6 before correcting slightly to $2.52 now.

Cardano’s native token is the other massive gainer from the larger-cap alts. ADA has soared by nearly 9% over the past day and now sits at the coveted resistance level of $1. XLM has also gone on a tear, surging by more than 7% and now trading close to $0.45.

In contrast, SUI has dumped by over 3% to $4.82, while TRX, SHIB, and BNB are also slightly in the red. On the other hand, ETH, SOL, DOGE, AVAX, TON, LINK, HBAR, and DOT have marked minor gains over the past 24 hours.

The cumulative market capitalization of all crypto assets has remained at essentially the same spot as yesterday at just shy of $3.450 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto

BTC Calms at $94K

The primary cryptocurrency had a highly eventful and volatile trading week in which it soared past $102,000 on Tuesday, only to crash by more than ten grand in the next 48 hours. This multi-week low took place on Thursday as BTC came close to breaking below $91,000 and even $90,000.

More volatility ensued in the following hours, with a jump toward $96,000 and a rejection that pushed it back to almost $92,000.

However, the bulls managed to defend the latter and pushed BTC to $94,000 where it has spent most of the weekend, aside from a brief spike to $95,000.

As such, bitcoin’s market cap remains at $1.865 trillion on CG, but its dominance over the alts is down to 54.2%.

BTCUSD. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD. Source: TradingView
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

2 Metrics Indicate Ripple (XRP) Price Faces Trouble After Recent Surge to $2.60

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TL:DR;

  • XRP’s price went on an unexpected run on Saturday night, surging to a multi-week peak of $2.6 before correcting slightly.
  • However, some on-chain metrics suggest that the asset could face trouble in the following days, especially if it fails to close above $2.47.
XRPUSD. Source: TradingView
XRPUSD. Source: TradingView

As reported on Saturday evening, XRP’s rally drove the asset from $2.33 to $2.5 and later to $2.6, which represented an 11.5% surge within less than 24 hours. Although the asset has lost some steam since then and currently sits at $2.51, it’s still over 6% up on the day.

This came shortly after reports emerged that whales had amassed more than a billion XRP tokens within a mere 48-hour period during the most recent correction in the middle of the business week.

However, this is where the popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez sounded the alarm about a potential drawback for XRP’s price.

At first, he pointed out that the TD Sequential, a technical indicator used to show the market exhaustion in either direction, had flashed a sell signal on the 4-hour chart. Nevertheless, this bearish formation will be invalidated if the asset closes above that line, which it still maintains.

Additionally, Martinez highlighted a growing number of short positions opened when XRP peaked at $2.6. Recall that Ripple’s cross-border token was among the few with notable gains on Saturday evening while the rest of the market stood silently.

Many traders might have anticipated a short-term correction due to XRP’s divergence from the pack, which indeed occurred to the current levels. The question now remains whether the cryptocurrency will remain above the aforementioned support or that was just the start of a broader correction.

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Cryptocurrency

Ripple Price Analysis: Can XRP’s Momentum Sustain After 8% Daily Surge?

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Ripple displayed low market activity, as reflected in its subdued price action for a while before a sudden surge to $2.6 yesterday.

The price remains confined within a sideways wedge pattern, highlighting a phase of consolidation and indecision. A decisive breakout is necessary to establish a sustained market direction.

XRP Analysis

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

Ripple’s current low volatility signals a lack of trading interest, potentially linked to broader macroeconomic factors, such as uncertainty surrounding President Trump’s transition to the White House. XRP’s price remains trapped within a wedge pattern and oscillates in the $2-$3 range even though it jumped to $2.6 yesterday evening.

A breakout from this range is crucial, as it will likely dictate Ripple’s long-term trend. A bullish breakout could trigger a rally, while a bearish breakout may result in significant declines.

The 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour timeframe, Ripple found support at the 0.5 Fibonacci level ($2), prompting a minor upward move. However, the price has now entered a low volatility phase with no clear directional bias.

Ripple faces significant support near the 0.5 ($2) and 0.618 Fibonacci levels, which have served as strong defenses for buyers in recent months. If buyers manage to defend this region, XRP may experience a bullish spike. However, if sellers push the price below this key support zone, the market could face long liquidations, leading to a substantial decline.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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