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Cryptocurrency

Price analysis 7/1: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SOL, LTC, MATIC, DOT

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Bitcoin (BTC) witnessed a volatile trading session on the last day of the quarter. The bulls were trying to maintain Bitcoin’s price above $31,000 but they received a jolt on a Wall Street Journal report which stated that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) had returned applications for the Bitcoin spot-price exchange-traded fund (ETF). 

Although there was a knee-jerk reaction to the news, the downside was limited because it turned out that the ETF applications were returned due to a technical issue. The regulators said the asset managers could refile after providing the necessary clarifications.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Bitcoin’s failure to cross above $31,000 seems to be making the short-term speculators jittery. A Glassnode research report released on June 28 shows that short-term holders (STHs), entities holding coins for 155 days or less, have sent more than 35,000 coins to the exchanges.

Any adverse news is likely to witness a negative reaction from SThs. What are the important support and resistance levels that need to be watched on Bitcoin and altcoins in the near term? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin continues its tight consolidation near the overhead resistance at $31,000. This shows that the bears are trying their level best to stall the up-move but the bulls have kept up the pressure.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Generally, a tight consolidation near an overhead resistance resolves to the upside. The upsloping 20-day exponential moving average ($28,982) and the relative strength index (RSI) in the positive territory indicate that the path of least resistance is to the upside.

If buyers sustain the price above $31,000, the BTC/USDT pair could pick up momentum and start the next leg of its uptrend. There is a minor resistance at $32,400 but it is likely to be scaled. The pair could then dash toward $40,000.

This positive view will invalidate in the near term if the price turns down and plummets below the 20-day EMA. The pair may then swing inside the large range between $31,000 and $24,800 for a few more days.

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) bounced off the moving averages on June 29, indicating that the lower levels are attracting buyers.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls will try to propel the price above the overhead resistance at $1,937. If they manage to do that, the ETH/USDT pair may rise to the psychological level of $2,000. This level may again act as a minor barrier but it is likely to be crossed. The pair may then rally to $2,142.

Instead, if the price turns down sharply from 1,937, it will suggest that bears are not willing to surrender. That will increase the likelihood of a drop below the moving averages. The pair may then slump to $1,700 and next to $1,600.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) slipped below the support at $230 on June 28 but the long tail on the candlestick shows that the bulls aggressively purchased the dip.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($245) remains the key level for the bulls to cross. If they kick the price above it, the BNB/USDT pair could fly toward the overhead resistance zone between $257 and $265. Sellers are expected to mount a strong defense in this zone.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. The bears will then make one more attempt to sink the pair below $220 and start the next leg of the downtrend.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) fell close to the first support at $0.44 on June 28 and June 30 but the long tail on the candlesticks shows strong buying at lower levels.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The $0.44 support is an important level to watch out for in the near term. If this level breaks down, the selling could pick up and the XRP/USDT pair may tumble to $0.41. This level may again attract strong buying by the bulls.

The 20-day EMA ($0.48) remains the key resistance for the bulls to scale. If buyers overcome this obstacle, it will enhance the prospects of a rally to the strong overhead resistance zone between $0.53 and $0.56.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) has been range-bound between $0.24 and $0.30 for the past few days. The long wick on the June 30 candlestick shows that the bears are fiercely defending the $0.30 level.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The failure to sustain the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.28) could keep the ADA/USDT pair stuck inside the range for some more time.

A close above the 20-day EMA will be the first indication that the bears may be losing their grip. Buyers will then try to strengthen their position further by driving the price above the crucial overhead resistance at $0.30. If they do that, the pair may surge toward the 50-day SMA ($0.32).

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) turned up from the support at $0.06 on June 28, indicating that the bulls continue to defend the level with vigor.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flattish 20-day EMA ($0.07) and the RSI just below the midpoint suggest a range-bound action in the near term. The price may swing between $0.06 and $0.07 for a while longer. This neutral view will tilt in favor of the buyers if they thrust and sustain the price above the overhead resistance at $0.07. The DOGE/USDT pair may then climb to $0.08.

Alternatively, the bears will have to sink and sustain the price below the strong support of $0.06 to gain the upper hand. The pair may then fall to the vital support at $0.05.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) broke below the $16.18 support on June 28 but this proved to be a bear trap. The price turned up sharply on June 29 and skyrocketed above the 20-day EMA ($17.07) as the bears may have rushed to cover their short positions.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The buying continued on June 30 and the bulls are trying to drive the price above the breakdown level of $18.70. If they can pull it off, the SOL/USDT pair may shoot up to $22 and subsequently to $24.

If bears want to prevent the upside, they will have to stop the relief rally at $18.70 and pull the price back below the 20-day EMA. The pair could then retest the crucial support zone between $16.18 and $15.28.

Related: Why approving a Bitcoin ETF might unleash $18B in sell-pressure

Litecoin price analysis

Litecoin (LTC) plummeted below the moving averages on June 28 but the bears could not build upon this advantage.

LTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls purchased the dip on June 29 and pushed the price back above the moving averages on June 30. This attracted aggressive buying by the bulls who drove the price above the downtrend line of the descending channel pattern. The price reached the crucial resistance at $106 but the bulls could not overcome this barrier.

This is an important level for the bears to defend because if this resistance crumbles, the LTC/USDT pair may jump to $135. The major support is at the downtrend line of the channel.

Polygon price analysis

Polygon (MATIC) is attempting to form a bullish ascending triangle pattern, which will complete on a break and close above $0.69.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls tried to push the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.66) on June 30 but the long wick on the candlestick shows aggressive selling at higher levels. If the price dips below the uptrend line, the MATIC/USDT pair may slide toward $0.55.

Alternatively, if the price rises from the current level, it will signal strong buying near the uptrend line. A break and close above $0.69 could open the doors for a potential rally to the 50-day SMA and subsequently to $1.

Polkadot price analysis

The bears tried to sink Polkadot (DOT) below the 20-day EMA ($4.93) on June 28 and June 30 but the bulls held their ground. This suggests that dips are being bought.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls are attempting to clear and sustain the overhead hurdle at $5.15. If they succeed, the DOT/USDT pair rise to $5.56. This level may attract strong selling by the bears but on the way down, if bulls do not allow the price to slip below $5.15, the possibility of a rally to the downtrend line increases.

The 20-day EMA remains the key level to watch out for because a break below it may open the doors for a collapse to the pivotal support at $4.22.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Cryptocurrency

4 XRP Warning Signs Flash: Is Ripple’s Price About to Tumble?

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TL;DR

  • Ripple’s native token fared relatively well during one phase of the ongoing market-wide correction, but has slipped further below the crucial resistance at $3.
  • Although the asset has lost more than 20% of its value since its all-time high registered in mid-July already, there could be more pain on the horizon. Here are four signs supporting this narrative.

Technical Indicators

It was just a few weeks ago when XRP rode a massive wave that drove it from a range-still position of around $2.2 to an all-time high of $3.65. Following this spectacular run, the asset expectedly calmed and retraced toward $3.3. At this point, analysts emerged to warn about the significance of the $3 support, which has to endure so that XRP can remain in a bullish state.

Although this was indeed the case for a long period during the recent correction, that support line finally cracked in the past several hours, and the third-largest cryptocurrency now sits well below it. Although it still hasn’t closed beneath it on the daily, it could dump to the next two support lines at $2.8 and $2.5 if it does, as previously reported.

The second worrying sign for XRP’s price comes from the TD Sequential metric. Ali Martinez, a popular crypto analyst with roughly 140,000 followers on X, warned that the indicator had flashed a sell signal on the 4-hour chart at the local top.

Thirdly, Martinez highlighted the MVRV ratio, which just notched a “death cross, another sign that a steeper correction could be underway.”

XRP MVRV. Source: Ali Martinez
XRP MVRV. Source: Ali Martinez

Whales Dumping

Ahead of and during the aforementioned rally to a new all-time high, large market participants, known as whales, were accumulating en masse. Within a few weeks, they spent billions to acquire more tokens. In fact, they were buying even when the asset’s price dipped.

However, whales have switched their strategy and disposed of more than 700 million XRP tokens in the span of just a day. To put things into a USD perspective, this stash is worth over $2.1 billion at current prices. Such massive sell-offs increase the immediate selling pressure and serve as examples for smaller investors who can follow suit.

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Has Ripple’s XRP Already Peaked in 2025? We Asked 3 AIs: Answers Might Surprise You

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Ripple’s cross-border payments token took central stage in July as it finally did what many thought it was impossible and broke its all-time high set over seven years ago (January 2018) at $3.4. XRP peaked at $3.65 after a mindblowing 65% rally that took place in just a matter of ten days or so.

However, the third-largest cryptocurrency, which had a market cap of well over $200 billion at that point, has already dropped by 20% to a multi-week low of $2.9 as of press time, raising a few questions, such as whether it has already reached its 2025 high. To gain a different perspective, we decided to ask three of the most popular AIs: Grok, ChatGPT, and Gemini.

More Peaks to Come?

Is the July 2025 all-time high of $3.65 as good as it is going to get for XRP this year? Well, the three AIs in question provided a few alternative answers, as giving a straightforward yes or no answer would be irresponsible, given the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market. Also, it’s impossible to know what would happen in the future.

Nevertheless, the AI solutions offered these scenarios based on what has transpired in the past year or so – developments, market changes, regulatory improvements, etc – and on a few probabilities.

ChatGPT’s bullish scenario indicated that the current correction is “often healthy after a parabolic run.” If XRP holds above critical support levels, such as $2.8 and $3, its rally could resume in the following week. Additionally, it noted that if BTC and ETH maintain their overall bullish structure, XRP has a solid chance of jumping past its July peak.

It could get another price boost if spot Ripple ETFs are approved in the States and when, for once, the legal case against the SEC officially concludes. ChatGPT also noted that XRP tends to outperform later during a bull market phase.

“Historically, XRP has been a late-stage bull run performer.

In both 2017 and 2021, it had explosive second legs after initial consolidation.”

Grok’s answer was somewhat similar:

“XRP’s $3.65–$3.66 high in July 2025 is a significant milestone, but most expert sources don’t rule out the possibility of new highs later this year if strong market or regulatory catalysts materialize. For now, the price correction appears to be a healthy retracement after a swift rally, not necessarily the definitive peak of the cycle.”

Peak Already Achieved?

Gemini was slightly less optimistic about XRP’s upcoming performance by the end of the year. It outlined significant competition in Ripple’s field, from contenders like Stellar, that can take some of its market share and jeopardize XRP’s adoption curve.

In terms of the asset’s price movements, it said it “might consolidate around its current price or even experience further declines before a potential rally in 2026.”

ChatGPT also provided a more skeptical scenario, suggesting that the lack of fresh catalysts could limit XRP’s upside potential. It noted that capital can rotate out of XRP into other popular altcoins, which are yet to benefit during this market phase, such as TON, SOL, or some meme coins, and Ripple’s native token could cool down.

Overall, though, ChatGPT, as well as Grok, maintained a more bullish stance. The former noted that XRP’s actual high this year can be somewhere between $4 and $5. The latter was even more optimistic, indicating that a price pump to $8 is not out of the question if certain developments go Ripple’s way, such as approval of spot XRP ETFs, major partnership announcements, or a broader market surge.

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Here Are Some Binance Coin (BNB) Eye Poppers For You

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A former Tokyo Stock Exchange software engineer built and launched the Binance cryptocurrency exchange in 2017. Soon after that, they issued BNB as a native token for its ecosystem.

One of the features that makes it original is BNB’s supply limit of 200 million and Binance’s regularly scheduled BNB “burns.” These are intended to halve its supply effectively.

The company cryptographically locks up some of its own BNB tokens in a way that makes them impossible ever to retrieve or spend again, thus “burning” them.

As a result, the value of the remaining BNB supply increases in an exchange economy against fiat currencies and stablecoins.

That’s a way for the company to share some of the profit with all the other token holders. It provides built-in, long-term support for BNB price growth. So far, ROIs for long-term BNB holders have been very attractive when compared to returns on investment for US stock owners.

Here are some eye-popping BNB crypto token figures, milestones, and comparisons for you.

1. BNB Price Record High To Date (Jul. 28): $850

The BNB price rally on crypto exchanges in July took it to an all-time high record of $850. Even though the price has since declined by some 12%, this is still a very impressive accomplishment.

Over the past month, that’s a +14% ROI, after settling down to $755 at the time of this writing.

This also makes for an impressive growth of around 35% in the past 365 days. Since debuting on crypto exchanges at $0.10 for 1 BNB coin eight years ago in July 2017, that’s an ROI of 849,900%.

It’s an average annualized ROI of 106,237% for Binance tokens over the eight years since the landmark crypto bull market year of 2017.

BNB Tokens vs. S&P 500 US Stocks Compared

By comparison, the S&P 500 Index grew by 158% from Jul. 2017 until this July.

The average annualized ROI of 19.75% for the past eight years was well above average for the broad US stock market benchmark. For many decades now, the S&P 500 has delivered around 10% yearly ROI.

The eight-year ROI from 2017 BNB tokens, approaching one million percent, is staggering compared to the 158% growth from stocks that most people’s grandparents are relying on to keep their retirement years secure and comfortable.

Investing relatively small amounts of money in Binance in 2017 has remarkably produced a significantly life-changing, trajectory-altering financial result for the average household or business.

Are results this extraordinary and unheard of even real? Is there something questionable or dubious about them?

2. BNB Market Cap Surpasses $100 Billion

Amazon shares delivered investors 298,666% ROI in 28 years. Something almost three times that gargantuan percentage in less than a third of the time is par for the course with the Internet’s accelerating rates of market adoption for new tech platforms.

Binance and its BNB currency are no small flash in the pan. Comparisons to US tech giants Microsoft and Amazon are apt and plentiful. It’s not just BNB’s price growth and ROI that are impressive, but its market cap.

The total market capitalization for the BNB economy surpassed $100 billion in July for the third time since last December and in Nov. 2021.

Binance is just eight years old. In 28 years, Amazon has grown to be a nearly $2.5 trillion market cap company by common stock shares.

The sheer, relentless, daily volume of profitable business that Binance conducts with customers, swapping cryptocurrencies for a small fee per transaction, supports the growth in its native token’s market cap and exchange prices.

Binance has gotten into trouble with the U.S. government for anti-money laundering law violations and settled them with the Department of Justice by paying a stiff $4.3 billion fine.

That puts the exchange in the same company as every banking giant like JP Morgan in Warren Buffett’s portfolio, which has also paid massive corporate fines to the US government over similar cases.

3. Nanotech Grabs Corporate BNB Treasuries In 2025

Meanwhile, another corporate treasury stockpile race is brewing over BNB tokens.

Michael Saylor and his Washington, D.C.-based Strategy, Inc. have started investing in Bitcoin over the past four years. Now, even the US government is collaborating with the crypto bros to stockpile BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL, and ADA.

Then you’ve got a publicly traded hotel company in Japan and an online sports betting company in Minnesota piling billions into Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Now, two nanotech firms are buying BNB tokens to establish their own corporate crypto treasuries.

Chinese microchip designer Nano Labs is snapping up some $90 million worth of 120,000 BNB tokens to rebalance its corporate finances.

Pennsylvania-based biotech firm Windtree Therapeutics announced on July 24 that it is committing $520 million to its BNB token treasury strategy, a move aimed at attracting major institutional investment, bringing its total to $700 million.

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