Cryptocurrency
Price analysis 7/1: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SOL, LTC, MATIC, DOT
Bitcoin (BTC) witnessed a volatile trading session on the last day of the quarter. The bulls were trying to maintain Bitcoin’s price above $31,000 but they received a jolt on a Wall Street Journal report which stated that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) had returned applications for the Bitcoin spot-price exchange-traded fund (ETF).
Although there was a knee-jerk reaction to the news, the downside was limited because it turned out that the ETF applications were returned due to a technical issue. The regulators said the asset managers could refile after providing the necessary clarifications.
Bitcoin’s failure to cross above $31,000 seems to be making the short-term speculators jittery. A Glassnode research report released on June 28 shows that short-term holders (STHs), entities holding coins for 155 days or less, have sent more than 35,000 coins to the exchanges.
Any adverse news is likely to witness a negative reaction from SThs. What are the important support and resistance levels that need to be watched on Bitcoin and altcoins in the near term? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin continues its tight consolidation near the overhead resistance at $31,000. This shows that the bears are trying their level best to stall the up-move but the bulls have kept up the pressure.
Generally, a tight consolidation near an overhead resistance resolves to the upside. The upsloping 20-day exponential moving average ($28,982) and the relative strength index (RSI) in the positive territory indicate that the path of least resistance is to the upside.
If buyers sustain the price above $31,000, the BTC/USDT pair could pick up momentum and start the next leg of its uptrend. There is a minor resistance at $32,400 but it is likely to be scaled. The pair could then dash toward $40,000.
This positive view will invalidate in the near term if the price turns down and plummets below the 20-day EMA. The pair may then swing inside the large range between $31,000 and $24,800 for a few more days.
Ether price analysis
Ether (ETH) bounced off the moving averages on June 29, indicating that the lower levels are attracting buyers.
The bulls will try to propel the price above the overhead resistance at $1,937. If they manage to do that, the ETH/USDT pair may rise to the psychological level of $2,000. This level may again act as a minor barrier but it is likely to be crossed. The pair may then rally to $2,142.
Instead, if the price turns down sharply from 1,937, it will suggest that bears are not willing to surrender. That will increase the likelihood of a drop below the moving averages. The pair may then slump to $1,700 and next to $1,600.
BNB price analysis
BNB (BNB) slipped below the support at $230 on June 28 but the long tail on the candlestick shows that the bulls aggressively purchased the dip.
The 20-day EMA ($245) remains the key level for the bulls to cross. If they kick the price above it, the BNB/USDT pair could fly toward the overhead resistance zone between $257 and $265. Sellers are expected to mount a strong defense in this zone.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. The bears will then make one more attempt to sink the pair below $220 and start the next leg of the downtrend.
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) fell close to the first support at $0.44 on June 28 and June 30 but the long tail on the candlesticks shows strong buying at lower levels.
The $0.44 support is an important level to watch out for in the near term. If this level breaks down, the selling could pick up and the XRP/USDT pair may tumble to $0.41. This level may again attract strong buying by the bulls.
The 20-day EMA ($0.48) remains the key resistance for the bulls to scale. If buyers overcome this obstacle, it will enhance the prospects of a rally to the strong overhead resistance zone between $0.53 and $0.56.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano (ADA) has been range-bound between $0.24 and $0.30 for the past few days. The long wick on the June 30 candlestick shows that the bears are fiercely defending the $0.30 level.
The failure to sustain the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.28) could keep the ADA/USDT pair stuck inside the range for some more time.
A close above the 20-day EMA will be the first indication that the bears may be losing their grip. Buyers will then try to strengthen their position further by driving the price above the crucial overhead resistance at $0.30. If they do that, the pair may surge toward the 50-day SMA ($0.32).
Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin (DOGE) turned up from the support at $0.06 on June 28, indicating that the bulls continue to defend the level with vigor.
The flattish 20-day EMA ($0.07) and the RSI just below the midpoint suggest a range-bound action in the near term. The price may swing between $0.06 and $0.07 for a while longer. This neutral view will tilt in favor of the buyers if they thrust and sustain the price above the overhead resistance at $0.07. The DOGE/USDT pair may then climb to $0.08.
Alternatively, the bears will have to sink and sustain the price below the strong support of $0.06 to gain the upper hand. The pair may then fall to the vital support at $0.05.
Solana price analysis
Solana (SOL) broke below the $16.18 support on June 28 but this proved to be a bear trap. The price turned up sharply on June 29 and skyrocketed above the 20-day EMA ($17.07) as the bears may have rushed to cover their short positions.
The buying continued on June 30 and the bulls are trying to drive the price above the breakdown level of $18.70. If they can pull it off, the SOL/USDT pair may shoot up to $22 and subsequently to $24.
If bears want to prevent the upside, they will have to stop the relief rally at $18.70 and pull the price back below the 20-day EMA. The pair could then retest the crucial support zone between $16.18 and $15.28.
Related: Why approving a Bitcoin ETF might unleash $18B in sell-pressure
Litecoin price analysis
Litecoin (LTC) plummeted below the moving averages on June 28 but the bears could not build upon this advantage.
The bulls purchased the dip on June 29 and pushed the price back above the moving averages on June 30. This attracted aggressive buying by the bulls who drove the price above the downtrend line of the descending channel pattern. The price reached the crucial resistance at $106 but the bulls could not overcome this barrier.
This is an important level for the bears to defend because if this resistance crumbles, the LTC/USDT pair may jump to $135. The major support is at the downtrend line of the channel.
Polygon price analysis
Polygon (MATIC) is attempting to form a bullish ascending triangle pattern, which will complete on a break and close above $0.69.
The bulls tried to push the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.66) on June 30 but the long wick on the candlestick shows aggressive selling at higher levels. If the price dips below the uptrend line, the MATIC/USDT pair may slide toward $0.55.
Alternatively, if the price rises from the current level, it will signal strong buying near the uptrend line. A break and close above $0.69 could open the doors for a potential rally to the 50-day SMA and subsequently to $1.
Polkadot price analysis
The bears tried to sink Polkadot (DOT) below the 20-day EMA ($4.93) on June 28 and June 30 but the bulls held their ground. This suggests that dips are being bought.
The bulls are attempting to clear and sustain the overhead hurdle at $5.15. If they succeed, the DOT/USDT pair rise to $5.56. This level may attract strong selling by the bears but on the way down, if bulls do not allow the price to slip below $5.15, the possibility of a rally to the downtrend line increases.
The 20-day EMA remains the key level to watch out for because a break below it may open the doors for a collapse to the pivotal support at $4.22.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.
TL;DR
- Whales, hackers, and the Ethereum Foundation wallets moved over $500M in ETH through large sales and withdrawals.
- Ethereum transfers rose to 4.6M ETH, nearing the monthly high of 5.2M recorded in July.
- Staking inflows hit 247,900 ETH, the highest in a month, locking more supply from trading.
Large Withdrawals and Whale Activity
Ethereum (ETH) has seen heavy movement from major wallets over the past few days. On-chain data from Lookonchain shows a newly created wallet pulled 17,591 ETH, worth $81.62 million, from Kraken in just two hours.
Over three days, two new wallets withdrew a combined 71,025 ETH, valued at $330 million, from the exchange.
One of these wallets, address 0x2A92, has withdrawn 53,434 ETH, worth $242.34 million, in two days. This includes a recent purchase of 30,069 ETH, valued at $138.46 million, during a market drop.
Major ETH Holders Offload Millions Amid Price Rally
In contrast, several separate entities have been disposing of some ETH holdings. A wallet tied to a hacker address 0x17E0 sold 4,958 ETH for $22.13 million at $4,463, securing a profit of $9.75 million. Earlier this year, the same address sold 12,282 ETH at $1,932 and later bought back part of the amount at higher prices.
A different whale sold 20,600 ETH for $96.55 million over the past two days, generating a profit of more than $26 million after holding the position for nine months.
Meanwhile, an Ethereum Foundation-linked wallet, 0xF39d, sold 6,194 ETH worth $28.36 million in the last three days at an average price of $4,578.
Recent sales from the same wallet included an additional 1,100 ETH and 1,695 ETH for over $12.7 million combined.
The #EthereumFoundation-linked wallet(0xF39d) sold another 1,300 $ETH($5.87M) at $4,518 ~11 hours ago.
Over the past 3 days, this wallet has sold a total of 6,194 $ETH($28.36M) at an average price of $4,578.https://t.co/4hfCWymHVG pic.twitter.com/ErUyEY8SJy
— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) August 15, 2025
Network Activity on the Rise
CryptoQuant data shows Ethereum’s total tokens transferred have been climbing since August 9. After ranging between 1 million and 3 million ETH through late July and early August, transfers have risen to 4.6 million ETH, approaching the monthly high of 5.2 million recorded in mid-July. This increase has occurred alongside a price rally from about $3,400 to $4,600.
Interestingly, staking inflows generally stayed between 20,000 and 80,000 ETH per day over the past month. On August 14, inflows jumped to 247,900 ETH, the highest in the period.
At the time, ETH was trading near $4,600. Large staking deposits reduce the amount of ETH available for immediate trading, as staked coins are locked for a set period.
In the meantime, ETH trades at $4,647 with a 24-hour volume of $68.25 billion, down 2% on the day but up 19% over the week.
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TL;DR
- Whales bought two billion DOGE this week, lifting their combined holdings to 27.6 billion coins.
- A single 900M DOGE transfer worth $208M to Binance drew attention to large exchange movements.
- DOGE broke key resistance, with momentum building for a possible push toward the $1 price mark.
Price and Market Moves
Dogecoin (DOGE) traded at $0.23 at press time, slipping 4% over the past day but still showing a 2% gain for the week. Daily turnover came in at about $6.18 billion.
Meanwhile, the broader crypto market saw over $1 billion in liquidations. Hotter-than-expected US Producer Price Index data pushed traders to scale back expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut. DOGE had roughly 290,500 coins liquidated during the sell-off.
On the two-week chart, analyst Trader Tardigrade notes that DOGE has cleared a downward-sloping resistance line after completing what appears to be a “wave V” in an Elliott Wave sequence. Similar setups in the past, where prolonged declines stayed within falling channels before breaking higher, have been followed by sharp rallies.
$Doge/2-week#Dogecoin is gaining strong momentum to surge above $1 pic.twitter.com/TuSEKr19nv
— Trader Tardigrade (@TATrader_Alan) August 15, 2025
Momentum gauges are also turning up. The Stochastic RSI, which had dropped into oversold territory, is now heading higher. Previous reversals from this zone have coincided with sustained upward moves. The current formation points to a possible run that could carry DOGE past the $1 mark.
Heavy Whale Buying and Large Transfers
As reported by CryptoPotato, blockchain data shows large investors have added two billion DOGE in the past week, spending just under $500 million. That brings their holdings to about 27.6 billion coins, or 18% of the supply. The buying streak has prompted speculation within the community.
Recently, Whale Alert flagged a 900 million DOGE transfer worth about $208 million into Binance. The tracking indicates that it originated from a wallet connected to the exchange, likely as an internal activity. The address involved holds 2.88 billion DOGE, one of the largest balances on the network.
Ali Martinez also reports that transactions above $1 million reached a one-month high, with activity building since early August and peaking as DOGE traded at $0.25.
Whales are back! Dogecoin $DOGE activity at a 1-month high. pic.twitter.com/C83Pv68mCt
— Ali (@ali_charts) August 14, 2025
Sentiment Building
Analyst Gordon described the current setup as “a nice bit of consolidation” before a potential breakout, adding,
“This will be one of the first coins normies FLOCK to & the pump will be MASSIVE.”
With whale accumulation rising, high-value transfers increasing, and a bullish technical pattern in play, DOGE is positioned for a potential push toward $1 if momentum holds.
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XRP has recently entered a consolidation phase after a strong rally earlier this summer, with the price action now hovering around key resistance levels on both its USDT and BTC pairs. Yet, while momentum has slowed, the charts still indicate a generally bullish structure, with multiple key support levels remaining firmly in place.
Technical Analysis
By ShayanMarkets
The USDT Pair
On the XRP/USDT daily chart, the price is currently trading near the $3.10 mark, facing a strong resistance zone around $3.40. This follows a breakout above the $2.70 range in July, which has now flipped into a support area.
Both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages are also trending upward and recently formed a bullish crossover around $2.45, reinforcing the medium-term bullish sentiment. If the $3.40 resistance breaks, a push toward the critical $4.00 range becomes likely.
However, the RSI hovering near the neutral 50 level suggests a lack of strong momentum for now, meaning a short-term pullback into the $2.80 support zone is still possible.
This zone will be key for maintaining the bullish structure. Losing it could open the door for a deeper correction toward the 200-day moving average located around the $2.40 mark. Yet, as long as the price stays above the moving averages, the broader trend remains bullish.
The BTC Pair
Looking at the XRP/BTC chart, the pair has recently pulled back after hitting the 3,000 SAT resistance, with the price currently around 2,600 SAT.
This follows a clean breakout above the long-term descending channel and a successful retest of its upper boundary, which coincided with the 200-day moving average and the 2,400 SAT support zone. This confluence remains a key bullish technical factor, as holding above it could attract renewed buying pressure.
That said, RSI levels around 48 show that momentum has cooled after the sharp July rally, meaning XRP may continue ranging between 2,400 SAT and 3,000 SAT in the near term. A decisive close above 3,000 SAT would likely open the path to the 3,400 SAT zone, while losing 2,400 SAT could shift the bias back toward 2,000 SAT support. For now, the structure still favors the bulls as long as higher lows remain intact.
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
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