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Price analysis 7/7: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SOL, LTC, MATIC, DOT

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Bitcoin is still struggling to stay above $31,000.

While a tight consolidation near the overhead resistance is a positive sign, the failure to rise above it may result in short-term liquidations. However, a shallow pullback should not be considered a trend change because, many times, the bulls take a step back to regroup and launch another attack at the resistance. If the barrier is overcome, the positive momentum picks up.

Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao said in an “ask me anything” session on Twitter that Bitcoin (BTC) could witness a bull year after its halving in 2024. CZ added that BlackRock’s foray into cryptocurrencies will be “hugely beneficial” for the industry.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink made positive comments about Bitcoin while speaking in an interview with Fox Business on July 5. Fink said that Bitcoin was an “international asset not based on any one currency,” and investors could use it as a hedge against inflation or currency devaluation.

Could positive comments from Fink act as a floor during pullbacks? What are the important overhead resistance levels in Bitcoin and altcoins that need to be crossed to signal the start of a short-term up move? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin once again rose above $31,000 on July 6, but the rally was met with strong selling pressure from the bears. That pulled the price down to the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $29,763.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

A positive sign in favor of the bulls is that the BTC/USDT pair has rebounded off the 20-day EMA. This suggests a positive sentiment where traders are viewing minor dips as a buying opportunity. That enhances the prospects of a rally above the $31,000 to $31,500 resistance zone.

If that happens, the pair could start an upward march to $40,000. The bears will attempt to stall the up move at $32,400, but the buyers are expected to bulldoze their way through.

Conversely, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears have the upper hand. The pair may then dump to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $27,971.

Ether price analysis

The long wick on Ether’s (ETH) July 6 candlestick shows that the bears are aggressively guarding the psychological resistance at $2,000.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Both moving averages have flattened out and the relative strength index (RSI) is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. If bears sink the price below the 50-day SMA ($1,837), the short-term advantage will tilt in favor of the bears. The ETH/USDT pair could then descend toward $1,626.

On the contrary, if the price turns up from the current level and maintains above the 20-day EMA ($1,872), it will suggest strong buying at the 50-day SMA. The bulls will then again try to push the price above $2,000.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) has been consolidating between $257 and $220 for the past few days. This suggests that the bears are using the relief rallies to sell while the bulls are buying the dips.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The downsloping 20-day EMA ($242) and the RSI in the negative territory indicate that bears have an edge. Sellers will try to drag the price to the crucial support at $220. The bulls are expected to defend this level with vigor.

On the upside, the bulls will have to propel the price above $257 to suggest the start of a sustained recovery. The $265 level may act as a barrier, but it is likely to be crossed. The pair may then surge to $280.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) has been trading between the 20-day EMA ($0.48) and the horizontal support at $0.45 for the past few days. This shows that the bears are selling on rallies, but supply is being lapped up at lower levels.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This tight-range trading is unlikely to continue for long and may result in a breakout. If the support at $0.45 gives way, the bears will try to build upon this advantage and tug the price to the next strong support at $0.41.

Alternatively, if the price turns up from the current level, the bulls will try to overcome the obstacle at the moving averages. If they manage to do that, the XRP/USDT pair could start its march toward $0.56.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) has been trading between $0.30 and $0.24 for the past few days. Generally, inside a range, traders buy near the support and sell close to the resistance.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Traders did just that in the ADA/USDT pair and sold at $0.30. The bulls are attempting to arrest the decline at the uptrend line. If the price turns up from the current level or the uptrend line, the bulls will once again endeavor to clear the overhead hurdle at $0.30.

If they succeed, the pair may start an up move to $0.38. The 50-day SMA ($0.31) may act as a barrier, but it is likely to be crossed.

Contrarily, a break below the uptrend line could open the doors for a potential drop to the support at $0.25.

Dogecoin price analysis

The failure to propel Dogecoin (DOGE) above the overhead resistance of $0.07 on July 4 may have attracted profit-booking from the short-term bulls.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

That pulled the price below the moving averages, signaling that the DOGE/USDT pair could remain stuck inside the $0.07 to $0.06 range for a few more days. The flattish 20-day EMA ($0.07) and the RSI just below the midpoint also suggest a range-bound action.

The bulls will have to push and sustain the price above the overhead resistance of $0.07 to seize control. That could pave the way for a rally to $0.08 and then to $0.10. On the downside, a break below $0.06 could resume the down move. The pair may then slump to $0.05.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) bounced off the 50-day SMA ($18.34) on July 5, indicating that every minor dip is being purchased. The bulls have pushed the price above the downtrend line, indicating that the short-term corrective phase may be ending.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The moving averages are about to complete a bullish crossover, and the RSI is near the overbought territory. This shows that the bulls are in command. If buyers sustain the price above the downtrend line, the SOL/USDT pair may climb to $24. Such a move will indicate that the pair is range-bound between $15.28 and $27.12.

If bears want to gain the upper hand, they will have to yank the price below the moving averages. That may catch the aggressive bulls off guard, resulting in a drop to the strong support zone between $16.18 and $15.28.

Related: AI has potential to send Bitcoin price over $750K — Arthur Hayes

Litecoin price analysis

The bulls tried to push Litecoin (LTC) above the overhead resistance of $106 on July 5 and 6, but the long wick on the candlesticks shows that the bears fiercely defended the level.

LTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The LTC/USDT pair plunged to the 20-day EMA ($94), which is an important support level to watch out for. If the price bounces off the current level, the bulls will make one more attempt to clear the overhead hurdle at $106.

However, the bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to sell the rallies and sink the pair below the 20-day EMA. If they do that, the selling may intensify and the pair may further slide to the 50-day SMA ($89).

Polygon price analysis

Polygon (MATIC) slipped and closed below the 20-day EMA ($0.67) on July 6, suggesting that the bears are active at higher levels.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will try to trap the aggressive bulls by pulling the price below the uptrend line. If they manage to do that, the ascending triangle pattern will invalidate. That could trigger the stops of several short-term bulls. The MATIC/USDT pair may then slide to $0.60 and subsequently to $0.55.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off the uptrend line, the bulls will again try to resume the up move. A break and close above the 50-day SMA ($0.74) could start the journey toward the pattern target of $0.88.

Polkadot price analysis

The long wick on Polkadot’s (DOT) July 6 candlestick shows that the bears are selling on intraday rallies. The price plunged below the moving averages, but the bulls are trying to arrest the decline.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Both moving averages have flattened out, and the RSI is near the midpoint. This indicates a balance between supply and demand. The DOT/USDT pair may oscillate between $4.74 and $5.64 for a few days.

The first sign of strength will be a break and close above $5.15. That will indicate solid demand at lower levels. The bulls will then again try to push the pair to $5.64. On the downside, a break below $4.74 could tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Cryptocurrency

Aleph Zero Launches Subsecond Shielding on Testnet, Delivering Client-Side ZK Privacy for DeFi

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[PRESS RELEASE – Zug, Switzerland, October 17th, 2024]

Most zero-knowledge proofs are generated server-side for scaling, but Aleph Zero’s zkOS does that directly on users’ devices, offering privacy in a fraction of second.

Aleph Zero, the leading blockchain platform recognized for its focus on privacy and scalability, announces the launch of the first feature of zkOS (zero-knowledge operating system)—Shielding, on its EVM Testnet. This release marks the first opportunity for users to experience the shielding feature of zkOS in action, demonstrating the speed and privacy capabilities of Aleph Zero’s zero-knowledge proof (ZK) technology optimizations.

Privacy at Lightning Speed

The Shielding Demo release is a significant milestone for Aleph Zero, representing its commitment to developing practical privacy solutions for the blockchain industry. Aleph Zero’s zkOS enables zero-knowledge proofs to be generated client-side—meaning data is encrypted locally on the user’s device and never leaves unencrypted—providing high levels of privacy without compromising transaction speed. The Shielding Demo serves as the first practical interface for users to experience this privacy functionality, with zero-knowledge proofs generated within 0.5-3 seconds, ensuring that privacy has minimal impact on transaction performance.

“Privacy has long been a challenge in blockchain, often due to poor user experience,” said Adam Gagol, Co-Founder & CTO of Aleph Zero. “With today’s release, we’re delivering one of the fastest client-side ZK directly to users, combining privacy and performance. The release of the Shielding Demo offers a glimpse into how zkOS can bring privacy to DeFi without sacrificing speed or usability.”

How the Shielding Demo Works

The Shielding Demo provides an intuitive interface for users to test Aleph Zero’s zkOS privacy layer. Here’s how it works:

  • Data Privacy: zkOS generates zero-knowledge proofs locally on the user’s device, ensuring that data remains private and secure.
  • Transaction Flow: Users generate ZK proofs, send transactions to a relayer, and then they are executed on-chain—all while maintaining privacy.
  • Fast Proving Times: The system delivers ZK proofs in 0.5-3 seconds on most devices, demonstrating zkOS’s speed and its minimal impact on transaction times.

The Testnet version of zkOS allows users to interact with the system and witness its capabilities, though Aleph Zero notes that the privacy features will be built directly into the upcoming Common app.

Why zkOS Matters: A Glimpse Into the Future

The launch of the Shielding Demo on Testnet is only the beginning. Aleph Zero’s roadmap for zkOS extends far beyond this initial release, with ongoing work on simplifying the user experience and the introduction of additional privacy features, such as ZK-ID and anonymity revokers, to ensure both privacy and protection against fraudulent use of the platform.

The system is designed to be easily integrated by developers, providing a privacy framework that requires minimal cryptographic knowledge. This simplicity, combined with Aleph Zero’s rapid client-side ZK proof generation, makes zkOS a critical tool for developers building privacy-centric applications across DeFi and other web3 sectors.

Unlocking Privacy for New Use Case

The privacy space in blockchain has been facing increased challenges, such as regulatory scrutiny and delistings, often due to concerns over non-compliance. Aleph Zero’s zkOS offers a fresh approach by delivering privacy solutions that balance user confidentiality with regulatory requirements. Instead of focusing solely on anonymity, zkOS is designed to meet both the needs of users and the evolving demands of compliance.

zkOS enables users to manage their assets securely across multiple blockchains, ensuring their transactions remain private. Unlike traditional privacy methods that rely on centralized or hardware-based systems, zkOS operates directly on the client-side, safeguarding privacy without external dependencies.

Next Steps for Aleph Zero

As the Testnet release progresses, Aleph Zero is focusing on refining Shielding and zkOS for its Mainnet deployment. Users who engage with the Shielding Demo will have the opportunity to be whitelisted for upcoming zkOS Beta testing on Aleph Zero’s EVM Mainnet.

About Aleph Zero

Aleph Zero is an ecosystem of blockchain solutions that are engineered for speed, data confidentiality, and ease of development. It achieves efficiencies akin to conventional web2 systems, upholds rigorous standards for data protection via zero-knowledge proofs (ZKP), and offers a comprehensive toolset for development across web3, ranging from WASM-based Rust to EVM-based Solidity environments. Aleph Zero’s versatility is highlighted by over 40 use cases being actively developed, showcasing its adaptability across various sectors and applications. These use cases are part of an engaged community and growing ecosystem of web3 applications supported by Aleph Zero programs.

For more information, visit https://alephzero.org/.

For any inquiries about this release, please contact josh@serotonin.co or ana@serotonin.co.

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BlackRock’s Spot Bitcoin ETF Records Largest Inflow Since July with $393.4M

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BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF, iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), experienced a massive net inflow of $393.40 million on October 16th.

According to data from SoSoValue, this figure represents the largest influx since July 22, when IBIT saw $526.7 million in new investments.

Spot Bitcoin ETF Market Gains Momentum

The spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total net inflow of $458.54 million on Wednesday. While BlackRock’s IBIT led the charge, Fidelity’s FBTC followed suit with $14.81 million, while Bitwise’s BITB saw $12.93 million on the same day.

Franklin Templeton’s EZBC recorded $11.79 million, and Ark and 21Shares’ ARKB saw $11.51 million in inflows. Other funds, such as Invesco’s BTCO, attracted $6.43 million, and VanEck’s HODL garnered $5.75 million. Valkyrie’s BRRR, too, recorded a minor inflow of $1.92 million.

Notably, Grayscale’s GBTC, WisdomTree’s BTCW, and Hashdex’s DEFI reported no inflows, and no outflows were recorded across any spot Bitcoin ETFs for the day.

Over the past week, BTC’s price has climbed nearly 11% and is currently trading above $67,000. The recent price rally coincided with the increasing inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US. Interestingly, the total assets under management (AUM) for all US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs have risen to $64.46 billion at today’s valuations after skyrocketing to a four-month high.

The heightened investor interest comes at a critical phase, especially with the upcoming U.S. presidential election approaching. The stakes for the crypto industry are escalating, and prediction markets indicate increased odds for Republican candidate and crypto supporter Donald Trump to win against his Democratic opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris.

As reported earlier, this pivot toward Republican prospects has created a bullish sentiment in the market, thereby driving inflows.

Whale Transfers Coincide with Social Media Shift Toward Bitcoin

Whale transactions in Bitcoin also reached the highest levels in over ten weeks, with 11,697 transfers valued at over $100,000 recorded on October 15. The following day, signs of increased whale activity also showed.

Additionally, social media content has predominantly focused on Bitcoin, making up more than a quarter of all discussions, as opposed to altcoins.

According to Santiment, these factors pointed to the possibility that the rally could be temporarily stalled due to profit-taking by significant players and intense crowd FOMO. Despite this, the crypto analytic platform added that long-term metrics are looking positive, suggesting that any decline may be short-lived.

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This Declining Major Bitcoin Metric Hints at Upcoming BTC Bull Run: Details

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TL;DR

  • Bitcoin soared to around $67,400, with some metrics suggesting potential for further gains.
  • However, some bearish signals, such as an overvalued MVRV ratio and overbought RSI, indicate a possible price pullback.

BTC Price Explosion Incoming?

The price of the leading cryptocurrency surged by over eight grand in the past week, currently trading at around $67,400 (per CoinGecko’s data). The rally fueled huge enthusiasm among BTC proponents, many of whom assumed that “Uptober” was finally here.

BTC Price
BTC Price, Source: CoinGecko

Some important indicators signal that the asset has yet to witness substantial gains. One example is the BTC supply stored on exchanges, which, according to X user Ali Martinez, has tumbled to a five-year low. 

Such a development is generally considered bullish since it suggests that holders might be shifting from centralized platforms to self-custody methods (which reduces the immediate selling pressure). Moreover, fundamental economic principles dictate that BTC’s price should head north if demand remains constant or increases while the available supply drops.

A metric hinting that BTC could be ahead of a more volatile period is the growing Open Interest. As CryptoPotato reported on October 15, the figure reached an all-time high of $19.8 billion. It kept rising in the following hours, surpassing $20 billion on October 16 (per CryptoQuant’s data).

The rise of OI is combined with BTC funding rates that have hit their highest positive levels in the past two months. This indicates that most of the open interest is comprised of long positions, which, combined with the growing demand reported by CryptoQuant’s CEO, reaffirms the narrative about a potential rally. 

Some Bearish Factors

Contrary to the aforementioned indicators suggesting that the primary cryptocurrency could experience another bullish momentum soon, some hint at the opposite scenario.

BTC’s MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value), for instance, has been gradually increasing in the past week, crossing the critical ratio of 2. Readings above that mark typically show that the asset could be overvalued and poised for a pullback.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is next on the list. This technical analysis tool measures the speed and change of price movements and is commonly used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. When the ratio is above 70, it indicates that BTC is in overbought territory, meaning a correction could be imminent. The RSI has been hovering above that level in the past three days. 

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