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Price analysis 7/7: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SOL, LTC, MATIC, DOT

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Bitcoin is still struggling to stay above $31,000.

While a tight consolidation near the overhead resistance is a positive sign, the failure to rise above it may result in short-term liquidations. However, a shallow pullback should not be considered a trend change because, many times, the bulls take a step back to regroup and launch another attack at the resistance. If the barrier is overcome, the positive momentum picks up.

Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao said in an “ask me anything” session on Twitter that Bitcoin (BTC) could witness a bull year after its halving in 2024. CZ added that BlackRock’s foray into cryptocurrencies will be “hugely beneficial” for the industry.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink made positive comments about Bitcoin while speaking in an interview with Fox Business on July 5. Fink said that Bitcoin was an “international asset not based on any one currency,” and investors could use it as a hedge against inflation or currency devaluation.

Could positive comments from Fink act as a floor during pullbacks? What are the important overhead resistance levels in Bitcoin and altcoins that need to be crossed to signal the start of a short-term up move? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin once again rose above $31,000 on July 6, but the rally was met with strong selling pressure from the bears. That pulled the price down to the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $29,763.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

A positive sign in favor of the bulls is that the BTC/USDT pair has rebounded off the 20-day EMA. This suggests a positive sentiment where traders are viewing minor dips as a buying opportunity. That enhances the prospects of a rally above the $31,000 to $31,500 resistance zone.

If that happens, the pair could start an upward march to $40,000. The bears will attempt to stall the up move at $32,400, but the buyers are expected to bulldoze their way through.

Conversely, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears have the upper hand. The pair may then dump to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $27,971.

Ether price analysis

The long wick on Ether’s (ETH) July 6 candlestick shows that the bears are aggressively guarding the psychological resistance at $2,000.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Both moving averages have flattened out and the relative strength index (RSI) is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. If bears sink the price below the 50-day SMA ($1,837), the short-term advantage will tilt in favor of the bears. The ETH/USDT pair could then descend toward $1,626.

On the contrary, if the price turns up from the current level and maintains above the 20-day EMA ($1,872), it will suggest strong buying at the 50-day SMA. The bulls will then again try to push the price above $2,000.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) has been consolidating between $257 and $220 for the past few days. This suggests that the bears are using the relief rallies to sell while the bulls are buying the dips.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The downsloping 20-day EMA ($242) and the RSI in the negative territory indicate that bears have an edge. Sellers will try to drag the price to the crucial support at $220. The bulls are expected to defend this level with vigor.

On the upside, the bulls will have to propel the price above $257 to suggest the start of a sustained recovery. The $265 level may act as a barrier, but it is likely to be crossed. The pair may then surge to $280.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) has been trading between the 20-day EMA ($0.48) and the horizontal support at $0.45 for the past few days. This shows that the bears are selling on rallies, but supply is being lapped up at lower levels.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This tight-range trading is unlikely to continue for long and may result in a breakout. If the support at $0.45 gives way, the bears will try to build upon this advantage and tug the price to the next strong support at $0.41.

Alternatively, if the price turns up from the current level, the bulls will try to overcome the obstacle at the moving averages. If they manage to do that, the XRP/USDT pair could start its march toward $0.56.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) has been trading between $0.30 and $0.24 for the past few days. Generally, inside a range, traders buy near the support and sell close to the resistance.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Traders did just that in the ADA/USDT pair and sold at $0.30. The bulls are attempting to arrest the decline at the uptrend line. If the price turns up from the current level or the uptrend line, the bulls will once again endeavor to clear the overhead hurdle at $0.30.

If they succeed, the pair may start an up move to $0.38. The 50-day SMA ($0.31) may act as a barrier, but it is likely to be crossed.

Contrarily, a break below the uptrend line could open the doors for a potential drop to the support at $0.25.

Dogecoin price analysis

The failure to propel Dogecoin (DOGE) above the overhead resistance of $0.07 on July 4 may have attracted profit-booking from the short-term bulls.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

That pulled the price below the moving averages, signaling that the DOGE/USDT pair could remain stuck inside the $0.07 to $0.06 range for a few more days. The flattish 20-day EMA ($0.07) and the RSI just below the midpoint also suggest a range-bound action.

The bulls will have to push and sustain the price above the overhead resistance of $0.07 to seize control. That could pave the way for a rally to $0.08 and then to $0.10. On the downside, a break below $0.06 could resume the down move. The pair may then slump to $0.05.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) bounced off the 50-day SMA ($18.34) on July 5, indicating that every minor dip is being purchased. The bulls have pushed the price above the downtrend line, indicating that the short-term corrective phase may be ending.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The moving averages are about to complete a bullish crossover, and the RSI is near the overbought territory. This shows that the bulls are in command. If buyers sustain the price above the downtrend line, the SOL/USDT pair may climb to $24. Such a move will indicate that the pair is range-bound between $15.28 and $27.12.

If bears want to gain the upper hand, they will have to yank the price below the moving averages. That may catch the aggressive bulls off guard, resulting in a drop to the strong support zone between $16.18 and $15.28.

Related: AI has potential to send Bitcoin price over $750K — Arthur Hayes

Litecoin price analysis

The bulls tried to push Litecoin (LTC) above the overhead resistance of $106 on July 5 and 6, but the long wick on the candlesticks shows that the bears fiercely defended the level.

LTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The LTC/USDT pair plunged to the 20-day EMA ($94), which is an important support level to watch out for. If the price bounces off the current level, the bulls will make one more attempt to clear the overhead hurdle at $106.

However, the bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to sell the rallies and sink the pair below the 20-day EMA. If they do that, the selling may intensify and the pair may further slide to the 50-day SMA ($89).

Polygon price analysis

Polygon (MATIC) slipped and closed below the 20-day EMA ($0.67) on July 6, suggesting that the bears are active at higher levels.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears will try to trap the aggressive bulls by pulling the price below the uptrend line. If they manage to do that, the ascending triangle pattern will invalidate. That could trigger the stops of several short-term bulls. The MATIC/USDT pair may then slide to $0.60 and subsequently to $0.55.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off the uptrend line, the bulls will again try to resume the up move. A break and close above the 50-day SMA ($0.74) could start the journey toward the pattern target of $0.88.

Polkadot price analysis

The long wick on Polkadot’s (DOT) July 6 candlestick shows that the bears are selling on intraday rallies. The price plunged below the moving averages, but the bulls are trying to arrest the decline.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Both moving averages have flattened out, and the RSI is near the midpoint. This indicates a balance between supply and demand. The DOT/USDT pair may oscillate between $4.74 and $5.64 for a few days.

The first sign of strength will be a break and close above $5.15. That will indicate solid demand at lower levels. The bulls will then again try to push the pair to $5.64. On the downside, a break below $4.74 could tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Cryptocurrency

Restaking Bitcoin: Unlocking Productive Capital Without Compromise (Interview With SatLayer’s CEO)

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As the field of decentralized finance (DeFi) continues evolving, Bitcoin’s role within it is being quietly (or not so much) redefined. While the primary cryptocurrency has long stood (and perhaps, continues to) as a passive store of value, newer frameworks like restaking protocols are emerging to unlock its tremendous economic potential without altering its base-layer integrity.

In this exciting interview with Luke Xie, the co-founder and CEO of SatLayer, we explore how the concept of Bitcoin restaking could reshape its utility across DeFi.

From programmable slashing logic to multi-chain security coordination, however, restaking presents both technical hurdles and considerable opportunities. So stay tuned and let’s dive right into it.

satlayer_cover

What role do you think the Bitcoin Reserve in the US will play in decentralized finance?

The U.S. Bitcoin Reserve symbolizes mainstream validation of Bitcoin’s long-term value. While it may not directly participate in DeFi, its existence underpins trust in Bitcoin as a pristine, censorship-resistant collateral asset. This trust creates a stronger foundation for decentralized finance built on Bitcoin. The more confidence institutions and sovereign entities have in BTC, the more likely DeFi protocols are to adopt it as a core asset — unlocking composability, liquidity, and programmability that respects Bitcoin’s ethos.

What are the biggest technical challenges in bringing restaking to Bitcoin?

Xie summarized the challenges into three main groups.

Slashing programmability across diverse BVSs

Unlike traditional staking, which is typically binary (you either sign correctly or not), restaking introduces service-specific enforcement. Each BVS — whether it’s an oracle, bridge, DEX, or rollup — has its own definition of misbehavior. The challenge lies in designing slashing logic that is not only programmable and verifiable, but also flexible enough to adapt to the needs of each individual service.

Secure multi-BVS coordination

Operators often secure multiple BVSs at the same time, each with its own rules and risk parameters. Ensuring that slashing and reward logic is correctly isolated or cross-enforced — without compromising security or fairness — is a critical part of restaking infrastructure design.

Vault design and isolation guarantees

Restakers deposit BTC LSTs into vaults that connect to one or more BVSs. Each vault inherits that service’s specific slashing conditions and risk exposure. The challenge is ensuring restakers have full visibility into what risks they’re opting into, with clearly encoded slashing logic, predictable withdrawal flows, and transparent grace period mechanics.

What advantages does Bitcoin restaking offer compared to traditional staking in proof-of-stake ecosystems?

Bitcoin’s market cap is at $2.1T (as of May 23, 2025) and yet over 90% of Bitcoin sits idle — stored but unused, with its economic potential untapped. Restaking changes that. It transforms BTC from passive capital into productive, yield-generating collateral, unlocking powerful economic utility without altering Bitcoin’s base layer.

Bitcoin restaking pairs BTC’s unmatched economic credibility with a fee-based, utility-driven yield model. Unlike traditional proof-of-stake systems that rely on inflationary emissions and dilute token holders, Bitcoin restaking is built on real services and real demand.

Restaked BTC is used to secure Bitcoin Validated Services (BVSs) — decentralized use-cases like on-chain insurance coverage and liquidity float provisioning — that generate protocol-level fees from day one. This means restakers earn sustainable, non-inflationary yield based on the actual economic value they contribute, not just for locking up capital.

With SatLayer, restaked BTC doesn’t just secure a single chain — it can support a modular, multi-chain ecosystem, from rollups and bridges to oracles and appchains. Restakers gain exposure to multiple sources of real yield without being tied to any one protocol’s inflation schedule.

What does a “productive BTC” world look like in the next 2–3 years, and what needs to happen to get there?

A “productive BTC” world is one where Bitcoin is no longer just a passive store of value — it’s actively securing decentralized systems, earning real yield, and serving as pristine collateral across DeFi and real-world applications.

In this future, BTC is restaked to secure critical infrastructure like oracles, rollups, bridges, and appchains. The rewards aren’t driven by inflation or speculative tokenomics, but by delivering tangible, economically valuable security to networks that need it. The yield is real — paid by users and applications that derive genuine utility and trust from Bitcoin’s economic weight.

At the center of this transformation is SatLayer — the protocol that connects BTC holders, emerging protocols, and real economic activity.

To make this future a reality, SatLayer is, from day one, onboarding Bitcoin Validated Services (BVSs) — revenue generating decentralized services that rely on Bitcoin-backed restaking to function securely — in order to generate sustainable, real, protocol-level fees. 

This design promotes a crucial mindset shift: BTC holders are no longer just “hodling” — they’re empowered to put their assets to work and earn sustainable, ecosystem-driven yield.

As this takes hold, it sets off a self-sustaining, incentives-aligned flywheel:

  1. BTC enters productive restaking  via SatLayer.
  2. Protocols gain Bitcoin-backed security, boosting their credibility and resilience.
  3. Restakers earn real sustainable yield, increasing Bitcoin’s utility and appeal.
  4. That yield attracts more BTC into the system, amplifying its security guarantees.
  5. More projects choose to build on Bitcoin-backed security, unlocking even more yield opportunities.

With SatLayer as the foundation, BTC evolves from digital gold into the economic engine of a secure, decentralized future.

How is SatLayer approaching security and slashing risks in a modular, multi-chain restaking model?

Built with a security-first mindset, SatLayer’s core infrastructure undergoes quarterly third-party audits by leading security firms, along with continuous testing and formal verification of critical components.

But SatLayer’s real innovation lies in how it handles risk: through programmable, application-specific slashing. Unlike traditional staking models with one-size-fits-all penalties, SatLayer enables each Bitcoin Validated Service (BVS) to define its own slashing logic — customized to its specific use case, security requirements, and threat model.

Example: In the context of an on-chain coverage BVS, Bitcoin restakers provide security guarantees for underwriting smart contract risk or protocol failures. In the event that an insured protocol fails — due to a hack, smart contract bug, liquidation shortfall, or depeg — programmable logic can trigger a slash and initiate payouts. Essentially, BVSs act as decentralized claims adjudicators — ingesting on-chain events, oracle data, and even off-chain proofs to verify claims and execute coverage.

This modular, opt-in security model ensures that Bitcoin restakers are only ever exposed to risks they explicitly accept, with full visibility into each BVS’s slashing logic and parameters before delegating capital.

By combining audit-grade infrastructure with programmable risk management, SatLayer brings Bitcoin-grade assurance to a dynamic, restaking environment — all while preserving sovereignty and minimizing unintended exposure.

How can Bitcoin’s credibility and SatLayer’s infrastructure help rebuild trust in decentralized finance?

The 2022–2023 wave of DeFi failures exposed the dangers of over-financialization and opaque, mispriced risk. Bitcoin offers a counterweight — with monetary clarity, fixed supply, and a neutral, non-inflationary baseline.

And SatLayer extends that clarity into DeFi.

By enabling BTC to secure protocols through restaking — in a transparent, opt-in way — it replaces governance-heavy systems with code-enforced trust.

When decentralized services are underpinned by Bitcoin’s credibility and SatLayer’s modular, verifiable economic layer, they gain stronger guarantees, are fundamentally more resilient — and become more aligned with the original values of decentralization: trustless execution, transparent logic, user sovereignty, and censorship resistance.

What’s a major misconception the crypto community has about Bitcoin’s potential role in DeFi?

A major misconception in the crypto community is that Bitcoin can’t play an active role in DeFi — that it’s only useful as a passive store of value, not as programmable collateral.

This belief stems from Bitcoin’s deliberately minimal scripting model and the absence of native smart contracts. As a result, many assume that BTC must be wrapped, bridged, or fundamentally compromised to participate in decentralized applications.

But that’s changing.

Protocols like SatLayer challenge this assumption head on — introducing restaking and slashing mechanisms that extend Bitcoin’s utility without sacrificing its core principles. Through opt-in vaults, verifiable operator behavior, and programmable economic enforcement, Bitcoin can now provide real, cryptoeconomic security to services like oracles, insurance, bridges, and liquidity layers — without being bridged or reissued.

The real misconception is underestimating how far credibility, transparency, and programmable enforcement can go when composed with intention.

With a modular framework like SatLayer, Bitcoin transforms from passive digital gold into an active foundation for a new financial economy — one that’s secure, programmable, and trustless by design.

Disclaimer: The content shared in this interview is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or endorsement of any project, protocol, or asset. The cryptocurrency space involves risk and volatility. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with qualified professionals before making any financial decisions. This interview was conducted in cooperation with SatLayer, who generously shared their time and insights. The content has been reviewed and approved for publication in mutual understanding. Minor edits have been made for clarity and readability, while preserving the substance and tone of the original conversation.

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Is Bitcoin a Better Buy Now Than it Was at $20K? (Lawyer Explains)

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TL;DR

  • Bitcoin at its current value is seen by some as a “safer buy” than at $20,000, supported by expectations of rising debt from new economic policies and accelerating institutional and nation-state adoption.

  • Factors like negative exchange netflows, a stable MVRV ratio, and a record 55 million BTC holders point to potential for further price growth.

Is BTC Now a ‘Safer Buy?’

John Deaton, an American attorney who represents thousands of XRP investors in the lawsuit between Ripple and the US SEC, recently expressed an interesting opinion regarding the primary cryptocurrency.

He shared a post by David Bailey (Chairman of Bitcoin Magazine), who recently urged people to “get as much capital” and use it to purchase Bitcoin (BTC).

While Deaton said he is not in favor of telling individuals to take out loans to buy crypto, he argued that the leading digital asset at a price of $106,000 seems like a “safer buy” than it was at $20,000. He backed his theory with the likely passage of the Build Back Better (BBB) economic initiative and the GENIUS Act, predicting they would lead to the printing of fiat money and “skyrocketing” debt.

The lawyer added that this possible development, combined with rapid institutional and nation-state adoption, makes buying BTC at current prices “more asymmetrical” than it was at $25,000.

“But I’ll fully admit I suffer from both confirmation and wealth-preservation bias,” Deaton concluded.

Further Pump Incoming?

BTC trading above the psychological level of $100,000 might still seem surreal to some members of the crypto community, who have been waiting for that milestone for years. 

Moreover, some key factors suggest that the asset may experience an additional rally in the short term. For instance, the BTC exchange netflow has been predominantly negative in the past months, suggesting that investors have shifted from centralized exchanged toward self-custody methods. This, in turn, reduces the immediate selling pressure.

BTC Exchange Netflow
BTC Exchange Netflow, Source: CryptoQuant

Bitcoin’s MVRV, which compares the asset’s market capitalization to its realized capitalization and helps traders identify whether the asset is undervalued or overvalued, is also worth observing.

Over the past few weeks, the ratio has been fluctuating within the healthy range of 2 to 2.5, suggesting there is still potential for further appreciation. According to CryptoQuant, historical data shows that readings above 3.70 have typically signaled market peaks, whereas values below 1 have indicated bottoms.

BTC MVRV
BTC MVRV, Source: CryptoQuant

Last but not least, the total number of BTC holders recently hit a new all-time high of over 55 million, signaling growing adoption and higher demand for the asset. 

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BitMEX Launches June Jumpstart Trading Competition with a 3 BTC Prize Pool

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[PRESS RELEASE – Mahe, Seychelles, June 9th, 2025]

BitMEX, the safest crypto exchange, announced today the launch of its June Jumpstart Trading Competition, allowing traders to compete for their share of a 3 BTC prize pool.

The competition will run from June 6, 2025, at 11:00 AM (UTC) to June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM (UTC). Users can participate in the competition anytime during the campaign period.

Rewards will be distributed across three leaderboards:

  • Highest Trading Volume: 80% of the total prize pool will be shared by the Top 100 Traders ranked by trading volume
  • Highest PnL: 10% of the total prize pool will be shared by the Top 100 Traders ranked by PnL
  • Highest ROI%: 10% of the total prize pool will be shared by the Top 100 Traders ranked by ROI%

All new traders who join the competition also have the opportunity to win their share of an additional 10,000 USDT prize pool based on their trading volume.

To participate in the June Jumpstart Trading Competition, new customers must be fully verified on BitMEX. Competition details and registration can be found here.

About BitMEX

BitMEX is the OG crypto derivatives exchange, providing professional crypto traders with a platform that caters to their needs through low latency, deep crypto native liquidity, and unmatched reliability.

Since its founding, no cryptocurrency has been lost through intrusion or hacking, allowing BitMEX users to trade safely in the knowledge that their funds are secure. So too that they have access to the products and tools they require to be profitable.

BitMEX was also one of the first exchanges to publish its on-chain Proof of Reserves and Proof of Liabilities data. The exchange continues to publish this data twice a week – proving assurance that they safely store and segregate the funds they are entrusted with.

For more information on BitMEX, users can visit the BitMEX Blog or www.bitmex.com, and follow Telegram, Twitter, Discord, and its online communities. For further inquiries, users may contact press@bitmex.com.

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