Record bitcoin outflows from exchanges may be a harbinger of a crypto winter end
In November 2022, members of the cryptocurrency community withdrew from exchanges a record volume of bitcoins (185.7 thousand BTC). The bitcoin outflow from exchanges was 30% higher than the previous anti-record set in June 2022. That month, crypto investors withdrew 125.7 thousand bitcoins from exchanges. The third largest outflow of BTC from trading platforms was in October 2020.
The leading position in bitcoin inflow to exchanges, in this case, is occupied by the months preceding the renewal of the cryptocurrency’s absolute maximum. In the first place is March 2017. Eight months later, in December 2017, the Bitcoin Price Chart renewed its cyclical high near the $20,000 level. Also, statistics show that crypto-investors actively introduced BTC to exchanges in November and December of that year.
It is important to clarify that market participants tend to transfer coins to trading platforms from cold storage. Such investor behavior may indicate their willingness to sell cryptocurrency. By contrast, withdrawal of coins from cryptocurrency exchanges signals that market participants are hoarding coins they do not want to part with now.
Statistics show that periods of active withdrawal of cryptocurrency from trading platforms are usually replaced by positive dynamics of coins. Therefore, it can be assumed that such behavior of market participants is a signal of the crypto winter imminent end.
Some of the market participants believe that BTC is on the verge of entering growth. For example, analyst Stockmoney Lizards sees signals for bitcoin to enter a pre-New Year’s rally.
In his opinion, bitcoin largely repeats the patterns of past years. Some users believe that BTC has already bottomed out. We are talking about bitcoin prices going down to $15,473 at the end of November 2022. At the same time, many investors still see the preconditions for updating of cyclic minimum.
Earlier we wrote about Binance negotiating an acquisition of Indonesian crypto exchange.
Cryptotraders lost more than $250,000,000 in liquidations after Fed rate hike
Cryptotraders had a tough day: almost 68,000 positions were liquidated on exchanges in the last 24 hours, and the total volume of liquidations exceeded $257,000,000. All this happened against the news of the US Federal Reserve’s rate hike and another Securities and Exchange Commission regulatory action against cryptocurrencies.
Cryptotraders lost $132,000,000 in BTC
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple were the leaders in the number of forcibly closed positions. BTC liquidations totaled almost $132,000,000; Ethereum traders lost $51,000,000. XRP positions accounted for about $8,000,000 of liquidations. Bitmex exchange executed the largest order of $7.39,000,000.
Cryptocurrency market capitalization has declined 2% in the last 24 hours, but is still above the $1 trillion mark.
The weekly CoinShares report also recorded a massive outflow of funds for six consecutive weeks. During that period, nearly $500,000,000 was withdrawn from cryptocurrency platforms, with $113,000,000 coming from bitcoin. Analysts at the company believe the outflow is due to liquidity needs during the banking crisis rather than a negative outlook. The company mentions that a similar scenario was seen in March 2020 amid a COVID-19-induced panic.
Regulators continue to hunt the cryptobusiness
Another reason for the increased volatility in the market has been harsh action from U.S. regulators. Last night it became known that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission sued cryptomagnate Justin Sun, accusing him of fraud and market manipulation.
The SEC also issued a notice of wrongdoing against Coinbase, the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange. The securities regulator sued Coinbase Global Inc, for some of the products it offers.
We previously reported that Bitcoin (BTC) tests $28,000, but onchain metrics urge caution.
Binance was caught circumventing KYC to register Chinese clients
Employees of the cryptocurrency exchange Binance help clients from China to bypass compliance and verification. CNBC writes about it, citing hundreds of corporate emails from exchange employees on Discord and Telegram. It is reported that Binance has helped over 200,000 users register, bypassing its own security system. One case describes correspondence between a user from China and a Binance employee.
The employee under the pseudonym yaya.z suggested the user from China turn on a VPN, register as a Taiwanese resident and then return the location to China. Binance employees also advise customers not to use VPN services from the U.S., Hong Kong and Singapore, because the exchange does not provide services in those regions, writes CNBC. At the same time, Binance freely processes applications from U.S. email providers like Gmail or Outlook for registration.
The exchange even offers specialized mobile applications for customers from China. A CNBC reporter could download a special mobile application from Binance via email. At the same time, no VPN was needed to download the app, as the download was conducted through the domain of binance[.]com. It is also alleged that the exchange still verifies users with Chinese phone numbers.
An exchange spokesperson denied the existence of a special Chinese version of the mobile application. The exchange also added that it has improved the system to identify users from banned regions. CNBC notes that after providing evidence, Binance removed employee messages from corporate chats to circumvent KYC.
We previously reported that the Ethereum (ETH) price crossed the $1,800 mark, opening the way to $2,000.
Why cryptoanalysts expect bitcoin to fall
The market remains in a bearish trend and bitcoin (BTC) will resume its fall and test $16,000. There are two reasons:
The first statement can be confirmed or disproved by a technical analysis of the cryptocurrency market, but there is not enough additional information for the second.
The market capitalization of altcoins (ALTCAP) does hold nearly $605 billion of resistance. Although ALTCAP has risen above it several times, it didn’t develop above this area.
However, the daily RSI has broken through the bearish divergence trendline (green line). Such a breakout often precedes significant reversals into a bullish trendline. As a result, ALTCAP will move higher towards the $680B resistance area. If not, ALTCAP could fall back to the $518B support area.
There are also those who argue that bitcoin will test the $10000-$11000 area because there is a CME price gap that needs to be filled. The gap refers to the difference between the closing price of bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) on Friday and the opening price on the following Monday.
We previously reported that Hong Kong has allocated another $50,000,000 to the crypto industry.
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