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Ripple case more crucial than ever amid Coinbase, Binance SEC crackdown: Lawyers

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Whether XRP is ruled as a security or not in the Ripple case will certainly have an influence on the two latest crypto exchange lawsuits, crypto lawyers told Cointelegraph.

The judges presiding over Coinbase and Binance’s lawsuits will likely watch the results of the SEC v Ripple case closely, crypto lawyers told Cointelegraph.

Ripple has been in a legal battle with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission since December 2020, with the regulator alleging that Ripple offered unregistered securities via XRP since 2013.

On June 6 the SEC filed a lawsuit against Coinbase also alleging that it has been offering unregistered securities. A day before it filed a lawsuit against Binance containing some similar allegations.

Lawyer James Murphy, known as “MetaLawMan” on Twitter, explained in a series of tweets on June 9 that a favorable outcome for Ripple could “undermine the entire basis for the SEC’s case” against both Coinbase and Binance.

However, he also warned that “before anyone gets too excited,” a ruling by Judge Torres in the Ripple case would not be “binding precedent” for these recent filings.

This means that the judges for the Coinbase and Binance lawsuit will “not be bound to rule the same way,” as only decisions of the Court of Appeals and the Supreme Court have that influence.

Speaking to Cointelegraph, pro-XRP lawyer John Deaton believes the SEC is “well aware” that Judge Torres’ decision in the Ripple case will be published “in the very near future.”

Deaton believes that the SEC purposefully filed these new cases ahead of that result, in case the regulator faces an unfavorable outcome in the Ripple case, stating:

“I believe the SEC wanted to get those cases filed before that decision just in case it is a bad result for the SEC, possibly causing it to lose some political and legal momentum.”

Murphy believes the judge assigned to the Coinbase case, Judge Reardon, “will pay very close attention” to the determination of whether XRP is a security or not, pointing out that they serve in the same court in lower Manhattan.

He believes that Reardon would “follow the same reasoning” as to whether the 13 tokens cited in the Coinbase complaint are securities, adding that this can go “both ways,” if it’s a favorable outcome for the SEC.

XRP-friendly lawyer Bill Morgan, a consultant at Morgan Mac Lawyers, also opined that the Ripple case could have an influence over the Binance and Coinbase cases.

Morgan explained that the outcome in the Ripple lawsuit can be used as an “advantage” for either the industry or the SEC, depending on the result.

“If they lose badly in the Ripple case, they go forwards with Coinbase and Binance with a substantial judgment against them. Obviously Coinbase and Binance will use that to their advantage that the sales of XRP is not an investment contract.”

Deaton noted that he actually predicted back in 2022 that the SEC would sue Coinbase and Binance “by the way the SEC was approaching the Ripple and XRP case.”

However, he believes that the SEC will tone down its action against crypto firms once the major financial institutions adopt a greater share of the crypto market.

“Once JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs or other traditional players get a bigger slice of the crypto market then the SEC will become more reasonable” he stated.

Cryptocurrency

Ripple (XRP) Price Outlook: Can Bulls Defend $0.6 or is a Crash Coming?

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The XRP rally appears to be taking a pause. Will bears return?

Key Support levels: $0.54

Key Resistance levels: $0.68

1. Rally on Hold

In the past few days, XRP failed to make a higher high which could give an opportunity for sellers to return. At the time of this post, buyers still managed to hold the price around 60 cents. If they lose this key level, then a deeper pull back could follow.

XRPUSDT_2024-07-25_13-02-48
Chart by TradingView

2. Volume Continues to Fall

The volume continued to fall compared to our last update. This is an early bearish indicator. If nothing changes, then sellers are likely to push XRP closer to the most important support which is found at 54 cents.

XRPUSDT_2024-07-25_13-03-28
Chart by TradingView

3. Weekly MACD Remains Bullish

While the intra-day volatility continues to be high, the weekly timeframe gives a clear bullish bias. Even if XRP falls to the key support again, buyers are likely to return there.

XRPUSDT_2024-07-25_13-03-02
Chart by TradingView
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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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ETH Price Dumped 10% as Spot Ethereum ETFs Saw $133M in Outflows on Day 2

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The second day of trading for the spot Ethereum ETFs was quite different than the first as more than $133 million were withdrawn from the largest financial vehicles.

The underlying asset’s price reacted with a massive price drop that drove it south by 10% in a day, thus proving the initial reports that the approvals might turn out to be a sell-the-news moment.

CryptoPotato reported yesterday that the spot Ethereum ETFs had a solid first day of trading (on July 23) when more than $106 million poured in as a whole. BlackRock’s ETHA and Bitwise’s ETHW led the pack with $266.5 million and $204 million, respectively.

They even managed to reduce the impact of the outflows from Grayscale’s ETHE, as $484 million exited the converted fund.

However, the landscape on July 24 was entirely different. Grayscale’s product had $326.9 million in outflows, but the demand for the other ETFs was missing, and the overall withdrawals for the day soared to $133.3 million. Only Fidelity’s FETH had an impressive day with $74.5 million in inflows.

Somewhat expected, ETH’s price suffered due to this underwhelming performance by the products that were just launched. The asset tumbled from almost $3,500 to a multi-day low of $3,130 earlier today, marking a 10% decline.

Ethereum/Price/Chart 25.07.2024. Source: TradingView
Ethereum/Price/Chart 25.07.2024. Source: TradingView

Despite recovering some ground since then, ETH is still 8% down on the day and sits below $3,200. Over $100 million in long ETH positions have been wrecked in the past day, which is a third of the entire amount ($292 million as of now).

Recall that there were several reports ahead of the spot Ethereum ETF launch that suggested the upcoming products will become a sell-the-news moment at first.

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Ripple (XRP) Community Speculates on Upcoming SEC Meeting Today

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TL;DR

  • The Ripple vs. SEC legal battle is still ongoing, with some experts predicting a resolution by the end of summer. An SEC meeting today has fueled speculation about an imminent agreement.
  • Ripple’s token XRP has been rallying and could experience significant volatility based on the lawsuit’s outcome. A favorable ruling might trigger a bull run, while the opposite decision could hinder its progress.

Could Today be the Big Day?

The legal battle between Ripple and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has witnessed numerous developments lately. It entered its trial phase in April 2024 (more than three years after the start of the process), with both parties presenting necessary information and documents and abiding by the court rules.

Despite being in its final stage, a resolution is still yet to come. Ripple’s CEO recently argued that the entities might shake hands “very soon,” while other experts were more precise with their predictions. The American attorney Fred Rispoli suggested that the case could be officially closed by July 31, whereas Jeremy Hogan thinks this could happen before the summer’s end.

Some X users speculated that an agreement may be announced as soon as this week based on the SEC’s closed meeting scheduled for today (July 25). The agency is supposed to discuss several subjects, including “Institution and settlement of administrative proceedings” and “Resolution of litigation claims.” The meeting was initially set for July 18 but later rescheduled for today.

On the other hand, other industry participants reminded that the Commission often conducts similar gatherings, and so far, it has not touched upon the Ripple case. 

The Possible Impact on XRP

Ripple’s native token has been rallying recently, briefly surging to $0.63 last week and currently hovering at around $0.61. It is among the few altcoins that have defied the market-wide correction. Bitcoin (BTC), for instance, is down 2.5% in the past 24 hours, while Ethereum (ETH) has tumbled by nearly 10% in the same period. 

A potential resolution of the Ripple v SEC lawsuit could trigger enhanced volatility for XRP as the asset could repeat its surge from last year in case of a positive outcome for the company or vice-versa.

Some believe Ripple has the upper hand in the spat, having secured three vital (yet partial) court victories throughout 2023. XRP’s price skyrocketed by over 70% mere hours after the first triumph in July last year. Back then, Judge Torres ruled that Ripple’s programmatic sales to secondary trading platforms do not constitute offers of investment contracts.

Those willing to learn more about the case and its possible impact on XRP, please take a look at our dedicated video below:

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