Cryptocurrency
Significant growth in Bitcoin is now considered extremely unlikely. What prevents the main cryptocurrency?
One of the expected events of this week is the growth of Bitcoin to the level of 20 thousand dollars. So far, the main cryptocurrency is trading below this line, which was previously considered by many to be a very important support level and just a psychological mark. At the same time, BTC is now dependent on the dynamics of the DXY index, which is a representation of the strength of the U.S. dollar against a basket of the other six most weighty currencies in the world and is breaking records. Let’s talk more about the current conditions in the coin market.
At the moment, most experts really don’t expect any dramatic change in what’s happening in the coin industry, as inflation in various regions continues to pick up and geopolitical issues have not yet been resolved. That doesn’t mean, however, that the growth phase for the cryptocurrency niche will never come.
There could be several reasons for the transition to coin growth. The main one is a change in the policy of the Federal Reserve, whose representatives should sooner or later leave the key rate alone after its long rise. Also, adoption of a spot ETF on Bitcoin would have a good effect.
That said, in the short term there really isn’t much to expect from the coin market.
Why Bitcoin is not rising
The DXY index is near its all-time highs at the moment, which shows the strength of the dollar against other assets, although it has seen a slight correction in the last few days.
Even such a slight drop in the index is a very sensitive indicator for the price of Bitcoin. It is worth noting how quickly risky assets rise when the DXY drops even to its lowest value. They react much more strongly to a drop in the index than to its rise. When the DXY falls even lower, more notable bounces in the crypto market are expected.
In other words, the analyst is betting on the weakening of the dollar against other assets. Such a situation usually creates conditions for investors’ activity, as they face the need to invest their own capital. And cryptocurrencies are an attractive niche, given their fundamental features.
First, we are talking about the fixed rate of inflation, which cannot be influenced. As of today, this Bitcoin indicator is 1.68 percent per year – that is exactly the share by which the total supply of bitcoins increases over a year. At the same time, in the overall economy of various countries, this figure in annual terms exceeds 10 percent.
Some experts are even more pessimistic. They argue that the probability of Bitcoin growing to at least $24,000 soon is “quite low.” A similar situation is also seen in the stock market – investors should allegedly prepare for a new wave of correction, rather than aiming for higher levels.
Bitcoin is weakly showing any preconditions for growth. After falling below $20,000 this week, the main cryptocurrency has not demonstrated even an attempt to approach thelevel. At the same time, any serious fall from current values could mean much bigger losses for investors, as the scale of this correction is already unprecedented.
Glassnode analysts have noted a trend of “heavy pressure” on long-term Bitcoin holders. This does not mean that the current bearish trend is even close to its bottom, and in fact it only lasts fully just over 50 days. By comparison, the bear trends of 2015 and 2018 lasted 402 and 328 days, respectively. Although, if we consider the market peak to be November 2021, when Bitcoin reached $69,000, the final current interval turns out to be longer.
So there is a chance that true fans of digital assets have yet to prove their unwavering faith in the industry. And Glassnode analysts also make it clear that it is too early to wait for the final turn of the industry in the direction of the bulls.
Cryptocurrency
3 Possible Reasons Behind Ripple’s (XRP) 15% Surge Past $1.6
Ripple’s native token has been among the best performers in the crypto market in the past few days, surging by over 60% since last Saturday. Despite retracing below $1.6, it reached that level for the first time since May of 2021.
Here are some of the possible reasons behind this impressive increase.
WisdomTree’s Ripple ETP
The Europe-based crypto asset manager WisdomTree has launched its latest exchange-traded product tracking the performance of a certain cryptocurrency, this time Ripple’s XRP.
The announcement reads that the WisdomTree Physical XRP ETP, with the ticker WXRP, is already live for trading on SIX Swiss exchange in USD and Swiss francs, on Euronext Amsterdam in USD, and on Xetra and Euronext Paris in euros.
“With risk-on sentiment building, altcoin exposures like XRP could outperform a standard bitcoin and ether allocation. XRP can sit alongside these mega caps in a multi-asset portfolio and reduce investors’ exposure to a single token.
Cryptocurrencies represent more than 1 per cent of the market portfolio, and should, therefore, be a component of a well-rounded investment strategy. As an asset class with low correlation to traditional asset classes, crypto can help enhance diversification and potentially improve risk-adjusted returns in a multi-asset portfolio.” – Commented the company’s Digital Assets Research Director, Dovile Silenskyte.
Gensler’s Exit
Perhaps the most valid reason behind XRP’s increase to over $1.6 earlier today is the hype by Gary Gensler’s announcement from Thursday evening. At the time, the current SEC chair said he would leave his position on the day the president-elect, Donald Trump, is inaugurated on January 20, 2025.
Although the move was expected, given Trump’s previous promise to fire Gensler on day 1 and the fact that SEC chairs have typically left their positions after a change in the presidency, it still sent shockwaves in the crypto industry.
Due to the four-year battle between the agency and Ripple, the latter’s native token skyrocketed by over 25% within the first 12 hours after the news broke. XRP went from about $1.15 to over $1.4. However, its rally continued on the next day, as mentioned above, and Gensler’s exit remains a highly plausible reason.
Regulatory Change and ETF Hopes
Gensler quitting the SEC is only a part of the overall wave of changes that will hit the US regulators after the Republicans take office. Reports are emerging frequently these days claiming that Trump has picked pro-crypto candidates for numerous key positions in his upcoming administration.
This is also regarded bullish for the entire market, which has added more than $1.2 trillion since the elections on November 5. XRP is no exception as, alongside other assets like Solana (SOL), is expected to have its own exchange-traded fund in the US. There have been a few filings with US regulators since September and experts believe the resolution could be just months away.
With a more favorable guard at the SEC, that resolution could be quite positive for the XRP army. After all, Ripple’s CEO has frequently noted that an XRP ETF is ‘inevitable.’
Also, the “average” turnaround time to get an ETF approved is 6-12 months so, we are probably looking at some time next summer (assuming things go as expected with the appeal).
— Jeremy Hogan (@attorneyjeremy1) November 18, 2024
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Cryptocurrency
Here’s What Users Expect as Donald Trump Begins Tenure as Crypto President: Bybit
It’s been barely a few weeks since the pro-crypto candidate Donald Trump won the United States presidential elections, and the digital asset market still feels the impact of that victory. As the Trump administration prepares to take complete charge of affairs at the White House by January, crypto users anticipate what this could mean for the industry.
According to a quarterly institution report by the digital asset exchange Bybit and the crypto research firm Blocks Scholes, market participants are expecting a transformative period in the industry, with a focus on areas like heightened institutional interest, regulatory reforms, and increased value for bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins.
Trump to Provide Regulatory Clarity
Trump was previously a crypto skeptic, but he eventually turned around and centered his 2024 campaign on advocating for BTC. The U.S. president has declared that he would create clear policy and regulatory frameworks for digital assets to ensure the United States takes a leadership position in the crypto space.
Bybit and Blocks Scholes said Trump’s re-emergence as America’s first crypto president could foster an environment more conducive to innovation. Trump wants to make the U.S. the crypto capital of the planet, and his goals align with those of digital asset stakeholders.
The crypto space will likely see significant regulatory changes with a Republican majority in both chambers of the U.S. Congress. The Bybit report revealed that targeted political spending by crypto entities during the election reshaped legislative priorities, especially in key Senate races.
As pro-crypto lawmakers take office, bills like the Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21 Act), which aimed to provide regulatory certainty for digital assets, could be enacted into law. The bill faced legislative challenges while passing Congress chambers.
Favorable Environment For Altcoins And DeFi
Furthermore, Trump’s win increases the potential for altcoins to gain traction even as BTC continues to dominate the market narrative. The incoming administration may cause investors to show fresh interest in the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector and networks powered by smart contracts.
The Biden administration took an unfavorable stance toward DeFi and even took legal action against some decentralized entities. However, as regulatory clarity emerges, Trump’s presidency could attract increased investment in these platforms.
Meanwhile, BTC has already gained over 47% since Trump won. With the cryptocurrency about 2% away from the $100,000 mark, traders are optimistic of a continued rally in the coming months.
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Cryptocurrency
Double-Digit Price Surges From These Altcoins as BTC Was Stopped Before $100K (Weekend Watch)
Bitcoin tried and tried to break into a six-digit price territory but was stopped just inches below $100,000 and has been pushed south by around a grand.
Its dominance over the alts has slumped in the past day, as many, such as DOGE, ADA, AVAX, and DOT, have charted double-digit surges.
BTC Fails at $100K
Bitcoin had a highly positive business week, which started with a price surge to over $90,000 on Monday. After a brief retracement, the bulls returned and helped BTC chart a new all-time high of $94,000 on Tuesday.
However, that was just the start as the asset kept climbing and broke above $95,000, $96,000, $97,000, $98,000, and $99,000 by Friday.
Naturally, all eyes turned to the coveted $100,000 target, which many speculated could be broken immediately. However, the bears managed to defend that level well. As such, bitcoin failed to overcome it on Friday, even though it came just $250 away from it.
Since then, the cryptocurrency has corrected slightly and now sits below $99,000. Nevertheless, its market cap is still above $1.950 trillion, placing it as the seventh-largest asset in the world, but its dominance over the alts has taken a big hit and is down to 56% on CG.
Alts on the Rise
The declining BTC dominance means only one thing – alts are exploding. While that cannot be said about ETH, SOL, and BNB, other larger caps have charted mind-blowing surges in the past day.
As already reported, these include XRP, DOGE, and ADA, all of which have shot up to multi-year peaks. The landscape is similar for Avalanche and Polkadot, as they have skyrocketed by 22% each. AVAX now sits close to $44, while DOT is near $7.5.
Even more notable surges come from XLM (52%), ALGO (33%), and VET (31%).
The total crypto market cap reached a new all-time high earlier at over $3.5 trillion on CG.
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