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Cryptocurrency

This Is Why Bitcoin (BTC) Could Drop to $40K: CryptoQuant

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Bitcoin tumbled more than 15% on Monday, briefly dipping below $50,000 amidst concerns of a US recession and growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. This was the first time since February that BTC fell below this threshold before rebounding to around $52,000.

Experts suggest that the crypto asset could see more downsides.

More Pain for Bitcoin?

CryptoQuant’s latest analysis indicates that Bitcoin could potentially drop to $40,000, signaling a challenging period for investors. The crypto analytic platform highlighted that traders are currently experiencing their most negative unrealized profit margins since November 2022.

This downturn reflects a significant shift in market sentiment, with increased selling pressure as traders seek to mitigate losses amidst an uncertain economic backdrop.

As a result of Bitcoin’s massive fall, the percentage of holders in profit dropped to 75%, as per IntoTheBlock’s observation. This is a significant decline and the lowest level seen since January, when Bitcoin’s price formed a local bottom around $39,000.

Bitcoin wasn’t the only asset affected by intense selling pressure. Ethereum was down by more than 22% over the past 24 hours, which dragged its price down to $2,264 at the time of writing.

During the same period, Solana and XRP were also down by over 18.2% and 16.6%, along with the rest of the market. Meanwhile, Dogecoin declined by over 20%.

Over $1 Billion Liquidated

The bloodbath triggered the liquidation of $1.08 billion in crypto-tracked futures over the past 24 hours. According to the data compiled by CoinGlass, $919.62 million long positions were liquidated, while short trades accounted for $162.45 million.

Bitcoin was hit hardest, seeing over $371 million in liquidations, with longs accounting for $310.26 million and shorts for $61.22 million. Ethereum followed suit, with nearly $353 million liquidated during the same timeframe, including $303 million from longs and $49.6 million from shorts. Next up were Solana and Dogecoin, which also experienced notable liquidations, with $60.91 million and $13.14 million, respectively.

In the process, 283,280 traders were liquidated in the last 24 hours while the largest single liquidation order happened on Huobi for BTC-USD valued at $27 million.

The decline subsequently caused the crypto fear and greed sentiment index to indicate “fear,” reaching its lowest point since early July.

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Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin (BTC) Hits a New ATH, But It’s Not What You Think

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TL;DR

  • One important BTC metric reached a new all-time high, highlighting strong adoption and optimism across investors.
  • Analysts see potential for BTC to hit nearly $120K, but with RSI nearing 70, a short-term correction could be looming.

Not the Peak the Bulls Expected

Despite the retreat after hitting a new historical peak of almost $112,000 on May 22, Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has been booming in the past several months. Currently, it is worth just over $107,000, representing a 53% increase on a yearly basis.

The bull run coincides with the rising number of BTC holders, which, according to the crypto analytics platform, reached a new all-time high of 55.39 million. The development can be interpreted as an optimistic sign, as it indicates growing adoption and higher demand for the primary cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin Price Targets

We mentioned BTC’s price rally witnessed in the last months, and now let’s see if there’s more room for growth, at least according to some popular analysts.

The X user Captain Faibik recently claimed that the valuation could surge to a new all-time high of over $113,000 should it break the resistance level of $105,700.

CryptoBullet chipped in, too. They noted BTC’s recent resurgence above $107,000, suggesting that the price “is ready to go higher” and set a target of $119,000.

On the other hand, investors should keep an eye on Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index, which neared overbought territory at almost 70. This signals that the asset’s valuation has increased too rapidly over a short period, which could be a precursor to a correction.

BTC RSI
BTC RSI, Source: Crypto Waves

Conversely, ratios below 30 are considered bullish, indicating that the price may be headed for a rally.

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Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Soars Above $107K as US and China Resume Trade Talks in London

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Bitcoin’s price has taken off in Europe’s afternoon trading session, pushing above $107,000 at the time of this writing.

The cryptocurrency was trading below $106,000 throughout the morning session but the bulls took control and pushed the price up, liquidating around $60 million worth of short positions in the past four hours alone.

BTCUSD_2025-06-09_14-19-56
Source: TradingView

As CryptoPotato reported on X, this coincided with another whale betting big on BTC on the popular decentralized exchange – Hyperliquid. The entity deposited over $5 million in USDC and instantly opened a long position with 20x leverage.

Of course, this probably doesn’t have much to do with the recent increase, which is likely connected to renewed expectations of a positive resolution between the US and China on tariffs.

The delegations of both countries have arrived in London and are about to commence talks to stabilize the fragile trade truce, according to Walter Bloomberg on X. The US team is led by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, while the Chinese delegation is led by the Vice Premier He Lifeng.

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World Governments Are Issuing More Debt Than Ever, Will Bitcoin Benefit?

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“World governments are issuing more debt than ever,” commented the Kobeissi Letter over the weekend.

Global sovereign bond issuances hit a record $18 trillion last year, and $16 trillion of that debt was issued by developed countries.

Additionally, global government bond issuance has nearly doubled since 2019 on an unsustainable debt trajectory, it noted.

“Historically high public spending on social programs and defense, new tax and spending policies, as well as elevated interest rates, have been behind this massive surge.”

More Debt More Bonds

Government bonds are a way for nations to raise money by issuing interest-earning debt securities to finance public spending.

As debt surges, more of it needs to be refinanced, which means more bond buyers are needed, which puts pressure on the bond markets.

On June 6, the Financial Times reported that investor demand for long-term government debt is weakening, as evidenced by recent auctions of 20-year bonds in Japan and the US, which were poorly received, triggering sharp price drops and rising yields.

Prominent investors such as BlackRock’s Larry Fink and billionaire hedge fund manager Ray Dalio warned of unsustainable deficits, especially in the US, which is considering a $2.4 trillion debt increase, prompting fears of a path to insolvency.

Long-term bond yields serve as benchmarks for corporate debt, and higher yields will raise borrowing costs for businesses, risking growth. Additionally, a debt market dominated by hedge funds and short-term players may become more volatile.

Bitcoin The Beneficiary

Store-of-value assets like Bitcoin could benefit significantly from the unfolding global bond market strain and loss of faith in sovereign debt.

If government debt becomes less attractive due to high yields, poor auction performance, and credit rating downgrades, investors may seek alternatives to store capital.

Governments may also increasingly rely on inflation to erode the real value of debt, and BTC has often been considered an inflation hedge.

Being non-sovereign and decentralized, Bitcoin also offers a parallel financial system that is immune to political manipulation or debt monetization.

As countries and investors diversify away from US Treasuries and the dollar, Bitcoin could also be part of a new neutral reserve asset basket, especially in emerging markets.

The asset was holding steady at around $105,500 at the time of writing, having recovered from its Friday dip to $101,000.BTC has gained more than 50% over the past 12 months.

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