Cryptocurrency
US gov’t messed up my $250K Bitcoin price prediction: Tim Draper, Hall of Flame
Tim Draper is a prominent venture capitalist, the founder of Draper University and the creator of the Meet The Drapers television series. He invested early in Tesla, SpaceX and Coinbase and has 254,000 followers on X.
“Let me get my second prediction to actually happen, and then we’ll move on to other predictions,” Tim Draper tells Hall of Flame, refusing to be drawn on price predictions for XRP and Ethereum.
This makes sense, given it’s been six years since he forecast that Bitcoin would reach $250,000 by 2022.
Spoiler alert: It didn’t.
Which is not to say it won’t happen eventually, as Draper has been pretty far-sighted in the past.
Back in 2014, Draper scooped up around 30,000 Bitcoin for $19 million after the U.S. Marshals took down Silk Road. Fast forward to today, and those Bitcoin have increased 4,165% in value to be worth a whopping $810.5 million.
Around the same time, he made a prediction that Bitcoin would reach $10,000 in three years, and lo and behold, it hit that mark in 2017.
Draper explains that he only dropped the $250,000 prediction because people kept asking after he totally nailed his first Bitcoin price guess.
“The only reason I’ve given the second prediction was that the first one was so good. I had a lot of pressure to put another one out there,” Draper declares.
He has politely requested a deadline extension on Bitcoin reaching a quarter of a million, with a timeline that would give a university lecturer a heart attack.
“Give me until the end of June next year,” he says.
Draper accuses the U.S. government of messing up his price prediction. He had expected the growth of blockchain to be reminiscent of the internet era, similar to when he made his earlier investments in companies like Hotmail and Skype.
He emphasizes the significant benefit that the United States reaped by maintaining a hands-off approach to overregulating the internet.
“I expected a much more light touch, the way Bill Clinton was with the internet; they said, hey, we got the internet! We regulated the internet, and Bill Clinton smartly left it alone, and it was fantastic for the whole world.”
Investing Alpha
Despite the media coverage, Draper doesn’t spend his days making predictions; in fact, his schedule is quite packed.
At 65 years old, he remains highly active, renowned as a serial investor who chucked cash early in companies like Tesla, SpaceX, Coinbase, and, well … Theranos.
He enjoys playing basketball because it energizes him and puts him in an investment mindset.
“When I play basketball, I’m thinking about how I can get the defender to move one way, and then I’ll move another,” he explains.
Draper claims he possesses alpha instincts both on the basketball court and in the investment world.
“I’m very aggressive; if I see something I like, I go right after it,” he says.
“I guess as an investor, I invest like a chess move because I’m always evaluating not just the entrepreneur or the idea. But what happens if it’s successful? how great could it be? What does the world look like then?”
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What led to Twitter Fame?
Draper started with a very modest Twitter following.
“I think I had one Twitter follower, and it was my mother,” he jokes.
While you might assume that one of Draper’s investments or media appearances helped his following to skyrocket, he describes his growth as very natural, attributing it to the content he has been consistently posting over the years, which has kept people coming back for more.
He is proud of how “truly organic” his following is.
“I think I have the most steady increase of Twitter followers of any influencer,” he declares.
What type of content can people expect?
Draper isn’t here to clutter up his followers’ feeds with nonsense.
He’s all about adding a little sprinkle of value to their lives, and he sticks to only posting about three times a week.
“I tend to post where it’s something I feel like people should see or where one of my startups has done something extraordinary, and I want to promote them,” he explains.
What content does Tim Draper like?
Within the 2,400 accounts he follows on Twitter, he relies on a select group of trusted people to keep him informed about the crypto industry.
Among his trusted crew are Gemini founders Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen and Silicon Valley investors Brad and Bart Stephens.
Tim Draper predictions
Draper is backing his 250,000 Bitcoin prediction so hard that if it doesn’t hit, he’ll bow out of predictions altogether.
“If it’s not $250,000 or higher, then don’t listen to me ever again on that kind of prediction,” he laughs.
When questioned about the chances of a Bitcoin ETF getting approved, he doesn’t sound hopeful.
“It might have to wait for [Republican candidate] Nikki Haley to be president,” he declares.
“Maybe it’s the cushy relationship they have with banks, maybe it’s the fact that they have uncertainty about it. Maybe a lot of our government is pretty old, maybe they’re just out of touch. But they’re missing something very, very important for the good of society, and I’m hoping they all come around.”
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Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe has made a bold prediction, forecasting that the price of Bitcoin could reach $500,000, with Ethereum’s soaring past $20,000 in the coming years.
His outlook, supported by macroeconomic trends and growing institutional adoption, suggests that the crypto market is on the cusp of an unprecedented rally.
Overcoming ‘Bear Market PTSD’
Market sentiment is currently quite low following one of the biggest daily sell-offs in crypto history, which saw more than $400 billion wiped off in less than a day. However, while Van de Poppe acknowledges the bearish outlook, he argues that the market is primed for a major bull run.
According to him, a “perfect storm” is brewing, fueled by growing institutional adoption and the U.S. government’s more tolerant stance on crypto. This includes a proposal for a national digital asset stockpile. Additionally, institutions are launching crypto products providing greater market access and banks have been given the leeway to offer custody services following the SEC’s revocation of SAB 121.
Van de Poppe admitted that many investors were skeptical, still haunted by past downturns, a phenomenon he called “bear market PTSD,” which makes it hard for traders to believe in a long-term uptrend. Nonetheless, he argued that Bitcoin and Ethereum’s trajectories should not be judged by past cycles alone, especially given their increasing global adoption and the ongoing influx of institutional capital, including millions spent on crypto by an organization linked to U.S. President Donald Trump.
A shifting macroeconomic landscape could also boost crypto’s explosion. The analyst suggests that China’s economic strategy to deal with Trump’s new tariffs could create the perfect condition for altcoins to thrive.
In his opinion, the Asian giant has two options to counter the U.S.: devalue its currency to continue exporting products into the United States or focus on its own domestic market to become stronger. If it chose the second option, it would mean selling its dollar reserves, buying back the renminbi, and making it solvent.
Such a situation, in Van de Poppe’s opinion, would cause the dollar to lose some of its strength, and a weaker dollar coupled with lower yield bonds often leads to increased capital flow into digital assets.
Exponential Gains
Taking everything into consideration, Van de Poppe outlined two likely possibilities. In the blow-off top scenario, he envisions a rapid bull run, similar to the dot-com boom of the ‘90s, which could see BTC shoot up to anywhere between $300,000 and $500,000 before a sharp correction.
Ethereum would follow suit and could climb past $20,000 with the acceleration of institutional adoption, potentially powered by its new marketing initiative, Etherealize.
The second option would be an extended supercycle, leading to a slower but self-sustaining rally that could drive Bitcoin’s value towards $1 million over the next few years. ETH would also benefit from taking advantage of the expected growth of layer-2 networks and institutional DeFi integration to push to $30,000.
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TL;DR
- Large investors bought 750 million DOGE during the recent dip, potentially setting the stage for a price rebound.
- While some analysts expect a further drop to $0.17, historical trends suggest the possibility of another explosive bull run for Dogecoin in the coming months.
Time for a Reversal?
The cryptocurrency market has suffered substantial losses in the past week, mainly due to the crash witnessed on February 3. Bitcoin (BTC) is down 6% for that timeframe but it was the altcoins that took the major hit.
The OG meme coin, Dogecoin (DOGE), was among the biggest losers, with its price plunging well below $0.30 and tanking by 21% weekly (per CoinGecko’s data).
However, it seems like whales have interpreted the downtrend as a “buy the dip” opportunity and increased their exposure to the asset. X user Ali Martinez revealed that large investors purchased 750 million tokens (worth almost $200 million) during the correction. “This is a strong sign of confidence in the market,” the analyst claimed.
Whale accumulation is often seen as a bullish signal since it could make some traders follow suit and thus trigger a potential price uptrend. The buying spree also leaves fewer assets available on the open market, meaning DOGE’s valuation might head north (assuming demand remains constant or increases).
The whales’ latest actions contrast to those at the beginning of the month. Back then, they offloaded 270 million DOGE in the span of 24 hours, which was shortly after, followed by a price decline.
DOGE Predictions
The meme coin’s market dynamics have caused numerous people to speculate on its next potential move. The X user AMCrypto assumed that DOGE might be headed for a further decline to as low as $0.17 before rallying toward a new all-time high.
Trader Tardigrade and KALEO also chipped in recently. The former forecasted a massive bull run, citing the token’s historical performance:
“In the 2016 pullback, DOGE retraced 59.76%, followed by a +9,221% bull run. In the 2020 pullback, DOGE retraced 56.2%, followed by a +30,693% bull run. When in doubt, check the macro chart.”
KALEO was bullish, too, seeing $0.25 as “a solid entry and practically free compared to where we’ll see it a few months from now.”
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[PRESS RELEASE – Singapore, Singapore, February 6th, 2025]
Academic Labs, a notable innovator in the education sector, has announced its listing on Bitpanda, one of Europe’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges. This milestone follows the release of Whitepaper 2.0, which details advancements in its EduFi Ecosystem, built on the Solana blockchain. The whitepaper introduces the AAX Chain and the AI-Agent layer, two innovations aiming to transform education by harnessing AI and Web3 technologies. Notably, Academic Labs has demonstrated remarkable potential, with its cryptocurrency volume doubling and rising by 70% even when the market was down, indicating strong prospects for 2025.
Whitepaper 2.0 introduces two innovations: the AAX Chain and the AI-Agent layer. The AAX Chain, built on the Solana blockchain, harnesses its high-speed, low-cost, and scalable infrastructure to optimize educational resources and facilitate seamless knowledge discovery, curation, and sharing. The native AAX Token, following the SPL token standard, serves as the lifeblood of the ecosystem, enabling value exchange, governance, and incentivization.
The AI-Agent layer enhances personalized learning by leveraging the power of advanced machine learning algorithms. By analyzing large amounts of data from the Universal Library of Knowledge and the comprehensive Learner Data Layer, the AI-Agent generates adaptive learning paths, content recommendations, and targeted support, ensuring that each learner receives a tailored educational experience.
Whitepaper 2.0 also highlights the integration of decentralized identity (DID) within the Academic Labs EduFi Ecosystem. Leveraging the Solana blockchain’s capabilities, learners can create and manage their digital identities securely and transparently, empowering them to showcase their achievements and skills across various platforms while maintaining control over their educational data.
Furthermore, the whitepaper explores the incorporation of decentralized science (DeSci) and decentralized finance (DeFi) applications within the ecosystem. By tapping into Solana’s robust DeFi infrastructure, Academic Labs offers learners and educators novel opportunities to engage with tokenized assets, participate in yield farming and staking programs, and access innovative funding models for educational projects and research endeavors.
The tokenomics of the AAX Token, as detailed in the whitepaper, ensure the long-term sustainability and growth of the Academic Labs EduFi Ecosystem. With a carefully designed token allocation and unlocking schedule, the ecosystem is structured to align incentives and foster long-term commitment to the platform’s success.
Prior to Whitepaper 2.0, Academic Labs had already made steady progress in the EduFi space, launching a successful MVP, hosting hackathons and courses at top universities, and empowering various ecosystems with more than 2 million people.
The whitepaper outlines an ambitious timeline for expanding the Academic Labs EduFi Ecosystem. The platform plans to launch a suite of new products powered by AI and gamification functions in the coming months, enhancing user engagement and learning outcomes. Additionally, Academic Labs aims to secure new listing opportunities for the AAX Token across global cryptocurrency exchanges, increasing liquidity and accessibility for users worldwide.
Following the prior listing on Gate.io, on February 7th, Academic Labs will be listed on Bitpanda, one of Europe’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges. This represents a key step in Academic Labs’ efforts to expand its education-focused initiatives through Web3 and AI.
With the introduction of the AAX Chain, AI-Agent layer, and the planned expansion of its product offerings and token listings, Academic Labs aims to develop AI-driven solutions for the education sector. The integration of advanced technologies, along with the platform’s existing ecosystem, supports its ongoing efforts to enhance digital learning experiences.
About Academic Labs:
Platform: https://acad.live
CoinGecko: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/academic-labs
Gate: https://www.gate.io/tr/trade/AAX_USDT
Bitpanda: https://www.bitpanda.com/en/bitpanda-spotlight
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