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US Investor Seller Pressure Drags Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index to 12-Month Low: CryptoQuant

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The positive seasonality known to affect the bitcoin market during the last quarters of every halving year is wearing off, as seen in BTC’s price movements over the past two weeks. This trend is often driven by high demand from investors; however, recent data shows that these market participants have slowed down in their acquisition of BTC.

The decline in demand, especially from investors in the United States, is seen in the Coinbase Premium Index, which fell to a level not seen in the past 12 months.

Coinbase Premium Slumps Again

According to a report from the CryptoQuant official Burakkesmeci, the Coinbase Premium Index,  which monitors BTC demand from U.S. retail investors, has fallen to -0.237, its lowest point since December 2023.

This metric fell to -0.200 on October 25, 2024, shortly before the United States presidential elections, due to heightened uncertainty about the outcome of the political race. However, the indicator surged above 0.15 a few weeks later as BTC rallied above $100,000 following President Donald Trump’s election victory.

The index’s latest plunge came as BTC fell below $92,000 to roughly $91,300 at the start of the current business week. Burakkesmeci said the index was also affected by a low-liquidity bitcoin market at the end of the year and increasing seller pressure on U.S. soil.

Room for Price Rally?

Outflows from the U.S.-based spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) market prove American investors have been selling their BTC. These products bled roughly $700 million on two out of the last three trading days of the year, and even on the day of inflows, they collectively recorded a measly $5.3 million in injected capital.

Even during the four days leading to Christmas, the spot Bitcoin ETFs shed more than $1.37 billion as investors scrambled to withdraw their funds. Burakkesmeci’s analysis indicates weak institutional demand and a cautious sentiment among U.S. bitcoin investors.

“This drop not only signals a lack of institutional demand but also underscores the cautious sentiment among U.S. investors. Such trends can create a challenging environment for Bitcoin’s short-term price recovery unless we see a shift in macroeconomic conditions or renewed interest from institutional or retail buyers,” the analyst stated.

Nevertheless, a drop in the Coinbase Premium Index signals room for price growth, meaning that bitcoin’s value could experience a recovery in no distant time.

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Cryptocurrency

Ethereum Price Analysis: What’s Next for ETH After Surge to $1.8K Resistance?

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Ethereum faced a notable increase in buying pressure, leading to a bullish rebound at the crucial $1.5K support. The price faces a decisive resistance range at $1.8K, expected to enter a short-term consolidation before breaking above it.

Technical Analysis

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

After a period of muted price action and market inactivity around the decisive $1.5K long-term support region, Ethereum eventually experienced a surge in buying pressure, triggering a bullish rebound. This wave of demand has pushed the price toward the significant $1.8K resistance zone. This area coincides with an important order block, where smart money typically places orders, reinforcing its significance.

The price action at this level is critical; a successful breakout above $1.8K would likely confirm a bullish reversal scenario, opening the path toward the $2.1K target. However, short-term consolidation around this resistance is probable before a decisive move unfolds.

The 4-Hour Chart

On the lower timeframe, ETH’s previous tight-range consolidation was broken by a notable influx of buyers, resulting in an impulsive breakout above the descending channel. This breakout was accompanied by strong bullish momentum, driving the price toward the key $1.8K resistance zone.

This region aligns with Ethereum’s prior swing lows, making it a robust supply area. As a result, short-term consolidation is expected at this level until demand or supply pressure determines the next move. A bullish breakout above $1.8K would set the $2.1K range as the next likely target for buyers.

Sentiment Analysis

By Shayan

The funding rates metric is a crucial indicator of sentiment in the futures markets. Analysing its recent behaviour provides important insights into Ethereum’s latest surge. Typically, healthy and sustainable bullish trends are accompanied by rising funding rates, signalling an influx of buyers in both the perpetual futures and spot markets.

Currently, however, funding rates are consolidating and showing no significant increase. This suggests that Ethereum’s recent price surge has primarily been driven by spot market buying rather than futures market speculation. For this bullish trend to be validated and gain persistence, the funding rates metric needs to start rising, reflecting growing confidence and aggressive buying in the futures market as well.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

These Altcoins Retrace the Most as Bitcoin’s Rally Was Stopped at $95K (Weekend Watch)

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Bitcoin’s continuous rally that started earlier this week finally came to a halt at $96,000 as the asset failed to breach that level and has dropped by around two grand since then.

Many altcoins have produced even more painful declines over the past 24 hours, including SOL, DOGE, ADA, and SHIB.

BTC Rally Paused

It was a great week for the primary cryptocurrency. It began on Monday with a breakout from the short-term upper range boundary at $86,000 that sent BTC above $87,000. The asset continued its run on Tuesday and it finally jumped past $90,000 – for the first time since early March.

After a minor retracement, BTC kept climbing and tapped $92,000 on Wednesday. The culmination came on Friday when the bulls really stepped up on the gas pedal and sent the cryptocurrency flying to just shy of $96,000. This became its highest price in exactly two months.

The weekend has been a lot calmer, as bitcoin failed to overcome that resistance despite another attempt earlier on Sunday. As of now, though, BTC remains around two grand away from its local peak. Its market capitalization has slipped below $1.870 trillion on CG, while its dominance over the alts stands tall at 61.3%.

BTCUSD. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD. Source: TradingView

Alts Retrace

Most altcoins have dropped even more over the past day than BTC. In fact, only ETH and TRX are slightly in the green from the larger caps.

In contrast, some of yesterday’s top performers, such as PEPE and SHIB, have dropped by well over 5% each. ADA, SOL, DOGE, LINK, AVAX, and XRP are also in the red.

The cumulative market capitalization of all crypto assets has declined by around $40 billion since yesterday and roughly $70 billion since the Friday peak.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

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Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin (BTC) Blasts Toward $95K: Is $103K Next?

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According to data from most exchanges, Bitcoin surged past $95,000 on Friday and early Sunday after a volatile ride in the past several weeks.

Up more than 11% over the last seven days and with a market cap hovering just under $1.88 trillion, BTC has social media ablaze with shouts of $100K+ price predictions, even as some seasoned voices warn retail traders to tread carefully.

$103K on the Cards

Analyst Titan of Crypto ignited the bullish case, claiming a “bull flag” breakout is underway, and predicting a short-term move to $103,000 in a post on X.

The asset’s recent price movement coincided with substantial accumulation by large investors. According to Santiment, wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC have been aggressively adding to their positions, with Bitcoin advocate Kyle Chassé calling it “THE STRONGEST SIGNAL IN THE GAME!!!”

Santiment also revealed that market sentiment has reached its most greed-dominated level since November 2024, when the flagship cryptocurrency last peaked before correcting 13%.

The analytics platform suggested whales were ready to mop up any BTC offloaded by profit-seeking retail traders in this period, potentially giving the asset a leg up past $100,000:

“If they sell here because they think we are seeing a top, whales would likely scoop up those coins and potentially push Bitcoin above $100K in the next 1-2 weeks.”

Some prominent market watchers have also highlighted key technical developments, including Daan Crypto Trades, who observed Bitcoin’s resilience at key Fibonacci levels. “$BTC Strong bounce and continuation from the .382 Fibonacci Retracement level,” he stated, expressing his fondness for “higher timeframe trends.”

Bull Cycle Incoming?

Adding to the narrative, Michaël van de Poppe suggested the market might be entering a major bull cycle. He cited a chart by TechDev_52 showing that BTC has been in its longest bear run, lasting four years, and implied a reverse cycle was imminent. “We’re about to start the biggest bull cycle ever,” the crypto investor wrote.

However, the Santiment team offered a more cautious perspective, noting that excessive crowd greed might lead to a local top formation, while more measured behavior could allow BTC to maintain its divergence from traditional markets like the S&P 500.

With its dominance holding at 61.2% and institutional interest remaining strong, the cryptocurrency’s next move could set the tone for the rest of the digital asset market in the next week.

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