Cryptocurrency
US tightens crackdown on crypto with lawsuits against Coinbase, Binance
The top U.S. securities regulator sued cryptocurrency platform Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) on Tuesday, the second lawsuit in two days against a major crypto exchange, in a dramatic escalation of a crackdown on the industry and one that could dramatically transform a market that has largely operated outside regulation.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Monday took aim at Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange. The SEC accuses Binance and its CEO Changpeng Zhao of operating a “web of deception”.
If successful, the lawsuits could transform the crypto market by successfully asserting the SEC’s jurisdiction over the industry which for years has argued that tokens do not constitute securities and should not be regulated by the SEC.
“The two cases are different, but overlap and point in the same direction: the SEC’s increasingly aggressive campaign to bring cryptocurrencies under the jurisdiction of the federal securities laws,” said Kevin O’Brien, a partner at Ford O’Brien Landy and a former federal prosecutor, adding, however, that the SEC has not previously taken on such major crypto players.
“If the SEC prevails in either case, the cryptocurrency industry will be transformed.”
In its complaint filed in Manhattan federal court, the SEC said Coinbase has since at least 2019 made billions of dollars by operating as a middleman on crypto transactions, while evading disclosure requirements meant to protect investors.
The SEC said Coinbase traded at least 13 crypto assets that are securities that should have been registered, including tokens such as Solana, Cardano and Polygon.
Coinbase suffered about $1.28 billion of net customer outflows following the lawsuit, according to initial estimates from data firm Nansen. Shares of Coinbase’s parent Coinbase Global Inc closed down $7.10, or 12.1%, at $51.61 after earlier falling as much as 20.9%. They are up 46% this year.
Paul Grewal, Coinbase’s general counsel, in a statement said the company will continue operating as usual and has “demonstrated commitment to compliance.”
Oanda senior market analyst Ed Moya said the SEC “looks like it’s playing Whac-A-Mole with crypto exchanges,” and because most exchanges offer a range of tokens that operate on blockchain protocols targeted by regulators, “it seems like this is just the beginning.”
Leading cryptocurrency bitcoin has been a paradoxical beneficiary of the crackdown.
After an initial plunge to a nearly three-month low of $25,350 following the Binance suit, bitcoin rebounded by more than $2,000, exceeding the previous day’s high. It was trading just below $27,000 at 0410 GMT.
“The SEC is making life nearly impossible for several altcoins and that is actually driving some crypto traders back into bitcoin,” explained Oanda’s Moya.
BROKER, EXCHANGE CRACKDOWN
Securities, as opposed to other assets such as commodities, are strictly regulated and require detailed disclosures to inform investors of potential risks. The Securities Act of 1933 outlined a definition of the term “security,” yet many experts rely on two U.S. Supreme Court cases to determine if an investment product constitutes a security.
SEC Chair Gary Gensler has long said tokens constitute securities and has steadily asserted its authority over the crypto market, focusing initially on the sale of tokens and interest-bearing crypto products. More recently, it has taken aim at unregistered crypto broker dealer, exchange trading and clearing activity.
While a few crypto companies are licensed as alternative system trading systems, a type of trading platform used by brokers to trade listed securities, no crypto platform operates as a full-blown stock exchange. The SEC also this year sued Beaxy Digital and Bittrex Global for failing to register as an exchange, clearing house and broker.
“The whole business model is built on a noncompliance with the U.S. securities laws and we’re asking them to come into compliance,” Gensler told CNBC.
Crypto companies refute that tokens meet the definition of a security, say the SEC’s rules are ambiguous, and that the SEC is overstepping its authority in trying to regulate them. Still, many companies have boosted compliance, shelved products and expanded outside the country in response to the crackdown.
Kristin Smith, CEO of the Blockchain Association trade group, rejected Gensler’s efforts to oversee the industry.
“We’re confident the courts will prove Chair Gensler wrong in due time,” she said.
Founded in 2012, Coinbase recently served more than 108 million customers and ended March with $130 billion of customer crypto assets and funds on its balance sheet. Transactions generated 75% of its $3.15 billion of net revenue last year.
Tuesday’s SEC lawsuit seeks civil fines, the recouping of ill-gotten gains and injunctive relief.
On Monday, the SEC accused Binance of inflating trading volumes, diverting customer funds, improperly commingling assets, failing to restrict U.S. customers from its platform, and misleading customers about its controls.
Binance pledged to vigorously defend itself against the lawsuit, which it said reflected the SEC’s “misguided and conscious refusal” to provide clarity to the crypto industry.
Customers pulled around $790 million from Binance and its U.S. affiliate following the lawsuit, Nansen said.
On Tuesday, the SEC filed a motion to freeze assets belonging to Binance.US, Binance’s U.S. affiliate. The holding company of Binance is based in the Cayman Islands.
“It’s important to note that recent regulatory actions are aimed at ensuring that companies operating in the cryptocurrency industry are complying with securities laws and protecting investors – this will always be their goal,” said Joshua Chu, group chief risk officer at blockchain technology firms XBE, Coinllectibles and Marvion.
“These events will ultimately lead to a more stable and trustworthy industry, which could help to attract more institutional investors and mainstream adoption.»
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin to Maintain Leadership in 2025 as Sovereign and Institutional Adoption Soars: Franklin Templeton
Despite the recent pullback in the crypto market, experts suggest Bitcoin will remain the leader in the coming year.
The latest Franklin Templeton’s 2025 crypto outlook report, for one, predicted its continued dominance. Bitcoin is expected to solidify its position as a global financial asset, increasingly viewed as a digital store of value.
Bitcoin Dominance Forecasted to Strengthen in 2025
The report anticipates sovereign and institutional adoption will drive this trend, with several nations strategically adding Bitcoin to their reserves. The forecast points to BTC’s role as the foundational asset in the digital economy, which is expected to be further accelerated by evolving regulatory landscapes and institutional interest.
Looking beyond Bitcoin, the report highlighted significant advancements in the broader crypto ecosystem as well. Regulatory clarity, especially in the US after Donald Trump’s presidential win, is poised to enable more diversified financial products, including exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and tokenized securities, and ultimately represent a major shift towards more mainstream adoption.
With a stablecoin regulatory framework expected, major financial institutions are likely to issue their own stablecoins, helping to bridge traditional finance with the burgeoning crypto sector. The growing adoption of tokenized products and stablecoins will fuel decentralized finance (DeFi) growth, expanding the reach of blockchain technology.
AI-Crypto Synergy
Moreover, decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN) are predicted to see rising demand, especially in sectors like logistics and the Internet of Things (IoT), as industries seek more efficient, decentralized solutions. The intersection of AI and crypto will also intensify, with blockchains providing essential transparency and verification for the AI-driven economy.
As AI agents leverage blockchain to automate transactions and manage portfolios, the synergy between digital content, social media, and on-chain activity is expected to expand, further reshaping the digital landscape.
“Overall, 2025 will mark a shift from speculation to utility, as crypto’s foundational technologies become integral to global financial and operational systems. Stakeholders should watch regulatory developments, institutional moves, and advancements in AI-crypto convergence to navigate this dynamic landscape.”
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Cryptocurrency
Here’s Why Ripple (XRP) Could be Poised for a ‘Big Price Movement’
TL;DR
- XRP is up 230% YTD, with analysts pointing to tightening Bollinger Bands and similarities to 2017’s pre-bull run patterns as signs of a possible further rally.
- Some market observers suggest the price could hit $4 or even much higher, supported by declining exchange holdings, which reduce the immediate selling pressure.
Major XRP Rally on the Way?
Ripple’s XRP has been among the worst-performing leading cryptocurrencies in the past seven days. On December 30, it briefly tumbled under $2 before it recovered some losses to the current $2.07 (per CoinGecko’s data).
Despite the bearish outlook in the last week, 2024 has been highly successful for XRP. Recall that it was worth around $0.62 at the start of the year, meaning it has experienced a 230% price increase since then. Multiple analysts believe it has much more room for growth.
One of those is Ali Martinez, who claimed that the Bollinger Bands on the token’s price chart have been squeezing lately, indicating a “big movement” underway.
This technical indicator, developed by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, assists traders in detecting when an asset may be overbought or oversold and spot potential price breakouts or reversals.
Tightening the bands means XRP has experienced relatively low volatility for a prolonged time and might be headed for a huge rally (or correction).
JAVON MARKS remains an optimist and suggested that XRP’s current price condition looks very similar to what transpired in 2017 (shortly before the bull run that took it to a new all-time high of over $3.4).
“Prices right now may only be getting ready to come out of an ‘Intermission Phase’ before yet another ‘groundbreaking’ bullish rally! It may be time to strap in,” the X user assumed.
Previous Predictions
Other market observers who have set bullish targets for Ripple’s native token include Mikybull Crypto and Coach, JV. The former expects a rise to a new peak of $4, whereas the latter thinks that XRP would be one of those cryptocurrencies that investors will regret not buying at current rates:
“XRP will be one of these assets where people will say, “I could have bought XRP at $2, $5, or $7, and will FOMO in at $100.” The beauty in this. Everyone will win in the long run! It’s the short-term mindset that destroys portfolios!”
Meanwhile, the amount of XRP stored on exchanges has been declining in the past week. This suggests a shift from centralized platforms towards private wallets and could be considered bullish since it reduces the immediate selling pressure.
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Cryptocurrency
Investors Are Moving Their BTC Away From Exchanges, What Does This Mean?
Bitcoin (BTC) is consolidating between $94,000 and $92,000, but investors are moving their assets out of exchanges. The asset has plunged in the last two weeks and was hovering around $93,750 at the time of writing.
Analysis by CryptoQuant official AxelAdlerJr revealed that crypto exchanges are recording very low levels of BTC deposits while investors are moving assets away from the platforms, possibly to their personal wallets. AxelAdlerJr said these trends suggest BTC could see robust price movements in the near term.
Lower Daily BTC Deposits
According to AxelAdlerJr, crypto exchanges have witnessed around 30,000 BTC daily deposits over the past few weeks, similar to record lows seen in 2016. In contrast, 10-year average daily deposits hover around 90,000 BTC, and this bull cycle’s peak sits at 125,000 BTC, especially when the asset hit the bullish mark of $66,000.
The last time bitcoin’s daily deposit figures were at this low level was during the onset of its major rally.
“When users send fewer coins to trading platforms, it typically suggests they prefer to keep their BTC in personal wallets rather than gearing up to sell,” stated AxelAdlerJr.
A decrease in deposits on exchanges could lead to a shortage of BTC on the spot market, triggering positive price movements, per the laws of demand and supply. While low deposits do not guarantee a swift price upswing for BTC, they could create an environment that would trigger positive momentum.
Traders Move BTC From Exchanges
In addition to the plunge in daily BTC deposits on exchanges, traders are moving their bitcoins away from these trading platforms. AxelAdlerJr cited the Netflow-to-Reserve Ratio, a metric that monitors the relationship between net inflows and outflows to exchanges and their total reserves.
When the Netflow-to-Reserve Ratio turns negative, it signals a dominance of outflows from exchanges, meaning BTC is being withdrawn. While the metric is currently negative, the CryptoQuant official noted that the most pronounced negative values were seen at the end of the bear market when traders bought BTC from forced sellers at roughly $17,000.
“The drop in daily deposits to exchanges to a level not seen since 2016 suggests a large-scale trend of holding Bitcoin in personal wallets, while the Netflow-to-Reserve Ratio confirms a continued outflow of coins. Taken together, these signals set the stage for potentially more robust price movements in the future,” AxelAdlerJr added.
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